More Tables!

This comment in Jeff's positional averages post got me thinking about what this blog really needs: more tables!

Specifically, I thought tables showing how various projections stack up against last year's positional averages would be pretty nifty, so I made some. Every position player who can be reasonably expected to accrue at-bats for the Brewers next year is included, save Vinny Rottino, because he plays too many positions and doesn't hit well enough to be interesting anyway.

Notes: Gabe Gross and Kevin Mench are measured against the mean of the LF & RF averages, and Craig Counsell likewise is compared to a combination of 2B & SS. Also, for the purpose of this frivolity, I'm considering Tony Graffanino a third baseman. As for the numbers themselves, 1.00 is exactly average, 1.01 1% better than average and 0.99 1% worse. Behold:

Ryan Braun:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 1.02 0.98 1.10 1.05
ZiPS 0.95 0.93 0.96 0.95
CHONE 0.93 0.90 0.95 0.93


Brady Clark:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 1.00 1.03 0.90 0.96
ZiPS 1.01 1.09 0.85 0.95
CHONE 0.96 1.03 0.84 0.93

JD Closser:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 0.93 1.00 0.94 0.97
ZiPS 0.90 0.98 0.90 0.93
CHONE 0.90 0.99 0.91 0.94

Craig Counsell:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 0.94 1.02 0.87 0.94
ZiPS 0.91 1.02 0.83 0.91
CHONE 0.90 1.00 0.84 0.91

Johnny Estrada:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 1.05 0.99 1.02 1.01
ZiPS 1.03 0.98 0.97 0.98
CHONE 1.03 1.00 0.99 0.99

Prince Fielder:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 1.03 1.03 1.09 1.06
ZiPS 0.98 0.99 1.05 1.02
CHONE 0.97 1.00 1.02 1.02

Tony Graffanino:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 1.00 0.99 0.89 0.94
ZiPS 0.93 0.97 0.81 0.88
CHONE 0.93 0.95 0.82 0.88

Gabe Gross:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 0.95 1.02 0.97 0.99
ZiPS 0.96 0.99 0.89 0.93
CHONE 0.91 0.99 0.87 0.92

Tony Gwynn:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 0.95 0.96 0.83 0.89
ZiPS 0.91 0.93 0.75 0.83
CHONE 0.96 1.00 0.82 0.90

Bill Hall:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 1.03 1.03 1.22 1.14
ZiPS 1.00 1.00 1.16 1.09
CHONE 0.98 0.99 1.14 1.07

JJ Hardy:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 0.96 0.99 1.03 1.01
ZiPS 0.90 0.98 0.96 0.97
CHONE 0.95 1.02 1.03 1.02

Corey Hart:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 1.04 1.02 1.12 1.08
ZiPS 0.95 0.96 1.00 0.99
CHONE 0.98 0.97 0.98 0.97

Geoff Jenkins:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97
ZiPS 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.94
CHONE 0.94 0.97 0.95 0.96

Corey Koskie:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 0.94 1.00 0.99 0.99
ZiPS 0.89 0.98 0.94 0.96
CHONE 0.86 0.96 0.91 0.93

Kevin Mench:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 1.00 0.98 1.05 1.02
ZiPS 0.98 0.94 1.00 0.98
CHONE 0.93 0.92 0.94 0.93

Damian Miller:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 0.94 0.99 0.95 0.97
ZiPS 0.92 0.97 0.89 0.92
CHONE 0.90 0.97 0.89 0.93

Laynce Nix:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 0.97 0.92 1.05 0.99
ZiPS 0.93 0.89 0.96 0.93
CHONE 0.94 0.89 1.00 0.96

Mike Rivera:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 0.90 0.88 0.96 0.93
ZiPS 0.90 0.88 0.98 0.93
CHONE 0.92 0.91 1.00 0.96

Rickie Weeks:

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 1.00 1.03 1.00 1.01
ZiPS 0.95 1.03 1.06 1.04
CHONE 0.99 1.12 1.10 1.11

And by anticipated popular demand:

Bill Hall (3B):

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 1.01 1.00 1.14 1.08
ZiPS 0.97 0.96 1.08 1.03
CHONE 0.96 0.95 1.06 1.02

Rickie Weeks (CF):

Proj AVG% OBP% SLG% OPS%
PECOTA 1.02 1.07 1.07 1.07
ZiPS 0.97 1.02 1.01 1.02
CHONE 1.02 1.12 1.06 1.09

As you can see, despite Johnny Estrada's healthy batting average ratios, he's really just an average catcher (or at least is projected as such).

Only Hall, Fielder and Weeks clear 1.00 in each projection. Surprisingly, JJ Hardy emerges as probably the fourth-best hitter on the team after adjusting for position, depending on how you take Corey Hart's PECOTA projection--and we'd never have known it without tables!

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