Brevard County Batting MLEs

by Jeff Sackmann on Jan 7, 2007 1:13 PM CST in Minor League Notes

I had planned to post West Virginia pitching MLEs today, but I discovered a problem. A problem I thought I fixed a while ago, but apparently didn't.

Instead, here are the numbers for Brevard County. Remember, these are park-adjusted approximations of how these players would've done if they played in the big leagues last year. Plain old park-adjusted stats are below the jump.

Player	Age	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	IW	HP	K	SH	SF	GDP	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP
Ryan Braun	23	226	50	9	1	5	15	1	3	57	3	4	3	0.221	0.274	0.336	0.610	0.274
Carlos Corporan	22	285	63	11	0	2	9	1	7	48	3	3	8	0.221	0.260	0.281	0.541	0.260
Nestor Corredor	22	71	11	2	0	0	3	0	0	16	1	0	1	0.155	0.189	0.183	0.372	0.200
Ryan Crew	22	223	53	8	1	1	18	0	1	36	0	2	4	0.238	0.295	0.296	0.591	0.280
Carlos De La Cruz	24	42	6	2	0	1	3	0	0	11	2	0	1	0.143	0.200	0.262	0.462	0.167
Alcides Escobar	19	351	74	7	1	1	13	1	2	59	6	7	4	0.211	0.239	0.245	0.484	0.251
Travis Ezi	24	130	32	5	3	1	6	0	3	31	1	0	2	0.246	0.295	0.354	0.649	0.316
Charlie Fermaint	20	425	95	15	3	6	28	1	5	126	1	4	8	0.224	0.277	0.315	0.592	0.304
Adam Heether	24	166	29	8	0	2	17	1	3	40	0	2	7	0.175	0.261	0.259	0.520	0.218
Hernan Iribarren	22	398	103	9	3	1	26	0	1	61	11	6	8	0.259	0.302	0.304	0.606	0.304
Milko Jaramillo	26	39	8	1	0	1	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0.205	0.244	0.308	0.552	0.206
Brendan Katin	23	450	105	26	2	10	23	2	6	120	0	3	11	0.233	0.278	0.367	0.645	0.297
Scott McKnight	21	83	15	1	0	0	4	0	1	33	4	0	1	0.181	0.227	0.193	0.420	0.300
CJ Medlin	24	159	28	5	0	1	17	1	2	62	0	1	5	0.176	0.263	0.226	0.489	0.281
Josh Murray	21	95	16	2	0	1	8	2	2	34	1	1	1	0.168	0.245	0.221	0.466	0.250
Freddy Parejo	21	347	66	14	2	3	14	0	1	61	9	6	9	0.190	0.220	0.268	0.488	0.223
Kyle Phillips	22	216	41	3	0	3	14	2	1	42	2	2	9	0.190	0.240	0.245	0.486	0.222
Hasan Rasheed	22	160	31	1	1	0	15	0	0	56	3	0	6	0.194	0.263	0.213	0.475	0.298
Steven Sollmann	24	346	80	12	0	1	30	1	13	40	5	2	5	0.231	0.315	0.275	0.589	0.259
Ned YostIV	23	79	9	2	0	1	5	0	1	24	0	1	4	0.114	0.174	0.177	0.352	0.148

Park-adjusted stats:

Player	Age	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	IW	HP	K	SH	SF	GDP	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP
Ryan Braun	23	226	62	12	2	8	23	1	4	51	3	4	3	0.274	0.346	0.451	0.798	0.323
Carlos Corporan	22	285	78	14	0	3	13	1	10	43	3	3	8	0.274	0.325	0.354	0.679	0.314
Nestor Corredor	22	71	13	2	0	0	4	0	0	14	1	0	1	0.183	0.227	0.211	0.438	0.228
Ryan Crew	22	223	66	11	2	1	27	0	1	32	0	2	4	0.296	0.372	0.377	0.748	0.342
Carlos De La Cruz	24	42	7	3	0	1	4	0	0	10	2	0	1	0.167	0.239	0.310	0.549	0.194
Alcides Escobar	19	351	91	9	1	2	19	1	3	53	6	7	4	0.259	0.297	0.308	0.605	0.301
Travis Ezi	24	130	39	7	5	2	9	0	4	28	1	0	2	0.300	0.364	0.477	0.841	0.370
Charlie Fermaint	20	425	117	20	4	9	42	1	8	113	1	4	8	0.275	0.349	0.405	0.753	0.356
Adam Heether	24	166	36	10	0	3	25	1	4	36	0	2	7	0.217	0.330	0.331	0.661	0.260
Hernan Iribarren	22	398	127	12	4	2	39	0	1	55	11	6	8	0.319	0.376	0.384	0.761	0.367
Milko Jaramillo	26	39	10	1	0	1	2	0	1	4	1	0	0	0.256	0.310	0.359	0.668	0.265
Brendan Katin	23	450	130	34	3	15	34	2	9	108	0	3	11	0.289	0.349	0.478	0.827	0.352
Scott McKnight	21	83	18	1	0	0	6	0	1	30	4	0	1	0.217	0.278	0.229	0.507	0.340
CJ Medlin	24	159	35	6	0	2	25	1	3	56	0	1	5	0.220	0.335	0.296	0.631	0.327
Josh Murray	21	95	20	2	0	2	12	2	3	31	1	1	1	0.211	0.315	0.295	0.610	0.290
Freddy Parejo	21	347	82	18	3	5	21	0	2	55	9	6	9	0.236	0.279	0.349	0.628	0.268
Kyle Phillips	22	216	51	4	0	4	21	2	1	38	2	2	9	0.236	0.304	0.310	0.614	0.270
Hasan Rasheed	22	160	38	1	1	0	22	0	0	50	3	0	6	0.238	0.330	0.256	0.586	0.345
Steven Sollmann	24	346	99	16	0	1	45	1	19	36	5	2	5	0.286	0.396	0.341	0.737	0.317
Ned YostIV	23	79	11	3	0	1	8	0	1	22	0	1	4	0.139	0.225	0.215	0.440	0.179

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Comments

question

Does projecting how a player in A ball would have done in the majors that year tell us anything useful about the player?

by Dutch on Jan 9, 2007 12:15 AM CST reply actions

it puts everybody on the same scale

If I tell you a player hit .280 in A+, it doesn't tell you a whole lot about how ready he is for other levels, except for some nebulous sense you may have about how other players have done after hitting .280 in A-ball.

All the projection systems work with younger players by using MLEs, so that the only variable is ability level. It doesn't matter whether you hit .280 in a-ball or .250 in double-A (for instance) if those two are equivalent.

by Jeff Sackmann on Jan 9, 2007 1:17 AM CST up reply actions

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