2009 Brewers ZiPS Projections
In case you were curious. I must say, I like Szym's new format.
over 3 years ago
cwyers
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Holy Braun
Optimistic (15%) .337/.390/.683, 52 HR, 160 RBI, 21 SB
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
I would think Gamel would be more of an improvement (offensively of course) over Hall.
Eric Gagne DL time: May 23-June 29 Brewers record in that span: 20-9
Starting pitching looks pretty bleak.
I’m not really sure how Salome is “very good” with his .314 OBP. I would give him a more good with those stats. And these projections really don’t like Alcides Escobar, eh?
Eric Gagne DL time: May 23-June 29 Brewers record in that span: 20-9
The bar is pretty low for catchers
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
I suppose.
I guess I just prefer to look more at the grand scheme of things where his batting line really wouldn’t be all that impressive.
Eric Gagne DL time: May 23-June 29 Brewers record in that span: 20-9
What's the history on the accuracy of the pitching projections?
if only because I don’t believe Mark DiFelice would really walk that many batters. ;) (OK, and I’d like to believe that McClung is better than that projection…the 2007-08 model isn’t quite the same guy TB kept throwing out there to get pounded upon.)
IIRC, ZiPS is just a bit behind Chone/PECOTA in accuracy.
They’re all accurate to about +/- 0.80 ERA, IIRC. So there’s room to play hope, I suppose.
Rickie's optimistic line looks good
Maybe a change in manager would benefit him: trying to get some bunt hits, cutting down his 2 strike swing and maybe just a different voice than Ned’s.
Having an OBP 120 points over BA seems exceptional. I wonder how rare that is.
Yeah, yeah, yeah
I was working on it.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
You always say that
"If loving CC is wrong I do not want to be right"
"If lovin’ Braun is wrong, I want to be a repeat offender"
Since 1913...*
Just over 10,000 hitters have qualified for the batting title in a season (using the current 3.1 PA per game rule retroactively). Of those, only 391 have put up an OBP at least .120 over his batting average. Four hitters out of 147 batting title qualifiers made the list this year: Adam Dunn, Jack Cust, Carlos Pena, and Jason Giambi. Each of those guys hit below .250 on the season.
Weeks missed the list by 12 points this year, but he made it in 2007, when he had a 139 point difference between his .374 OBP and .235 BA. He’s one of only eight players (out of sixty-three total) to make the list since 2000 while hitting fewer than 20 home runs during the season.
*Actually not a randomly picked year: it’s how long batting strikeouts have been consistently recorded in both leagues – isn’t relevant to this but it was to the reason I originally put together the list.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.



























