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Monday's Frosty Mug

Some things to read while enjoying pumpkin yogurt.

Still no official news on the managerial front, but as noted in the Fanshots, Tom H. seems to think Ken Macha is the frontrunner. Chuckie Hacks still prefers Bob Brenly, and has the following to say about Macha:
Plus, as mentioned in this post, those A's managers just sit in the dugout and press whatever button the sabermetrics say works the best. Not a lot of real managing come out of the Athletics dugout.
If Macha promises to be exactly what he's accused of being here, a manager who works based on statistical evidence, then I'm ready to wholeheartedly endorse him. I can do without "real managing." View From the Bleachers wants to keep Brenly bad enough to consider naming him the heir apparent when Lou Pinella retires.

Also, remember a month or so ago when I asked if Jack Z. might be a better fit to serve as GM of the Brewers than Doug Melvin? Nevermind. It's looking increasingly likely that Jack Z. will hire Ned Yost to manage the Mariners. He says he's looking for winners. I'm less disappointed about him leaving now.

It's been several days since we heard the Brewers were planning on making an offer to CC Sabathia, now we have the first rumor of specifics: The Atlanta Journal Constitution is reporting the offer is expected to be 4 years, $100 million, and that Sabathia is more likely to stay a Brewer if Mike Cameron is also brought back. That would leave the Brewers on the hook for $95 million next season before free agency even begins.

There's still not much word on the market for Ben Sheets. Crawfish Boxes has decided the Astros need another pitcher, but doesn't want that pitcher to be Sheets. If the Brewers are going to keep Cameron and make a legit run at signing Sabathia, there's almost certainly not room for Sheets in Milwaukee. So where will he go?

Maybe having money available for free agents is overrated after all. The Rockies, for example, are using their spare pennies to attempt to re-sign Glendon Rusch.

Also likely available as a free agent: Ray Durham. MLB Trade Rumors says the Brewers will not be eligible for compensation picks if/when Durham signs with another team.

This one is making my head hurt: Jeremy Jeffress, easily the Brewers' top pitching prospect, left a game in the AFL last week complaining of shoulder discomfort. He was pitching a day ahead of schedule so he'd be available to pitch a fall league all-star game. He was diagnosed with shoulder fatigue, even though he never actually saw a doctor, and now, as noted in this FanShot, it's being reported he could return to action in the AFL. Are they trying to kill this guy? I love fall baseball as much as (actually, probably more than) the next guy, but seriously, there is nothing in the AFL worth risking the health of a stud prospect over. Shut him down.

Here are some notes from the hot stove today: Here's something to spark another debate on the merits of bringing Mike Cameron back: Kerry Whisnant says players with high strikeout rates are, on average, more productive. I tend to think the argument should be flipped, that more productive players are more likely to get away with having a high strikeout rate, but I suppose a case can be made for both sides.

This dugout will look awfully familiar: the coaching staff of the 2009 Washington Nationals will feature both Marquis Grissom and Pat Listach.

Oh, and the folks over at Fire Joe Morgan may be getting their wish.

Drink up.

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Comments

Display:

Wow what did Seattle ever do to us???

First we “steal” their baseball team way back in the day, now we are sending them Ned Yost.

I think the next time I travel to Seattle I will tell the people at the Starbucks that I am from Canada not Wisconsin. That way they will not throw my coffee on me lol.

As far as CC I still think he will end up being the starting pitcher in New Yankee Stadium come opening day.

The Yanks will keep parking oil tankers full of money in front of his house till he says yes. And I will not hold it against CC when he finally says enough I will play for you New York lol.

Let me spell it for you Cub fans O N E H U N D R E D A N D O N E Y E A R S

by WSB Chris on Oct 27, 2008 11:21 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Don't forget

Seattle also got Bad Richie (via Arizona).

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Oct 27, 2008 4:19 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

and

Fred Vinson for Ahman Green and now bad Holmgren and injured Hasselbeck

September 15: Not a bad little Monday

by molitorfan on Oct 28, 2008 8:25 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sabathia & Cameron

I don’t really get how having Cameron around next year would really impact whether or not Sabathia signs for four years. What would CC do for the final three years after Cameron is no longer a Brewer?

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Oct 27, 2008 12:26 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Maybe

count his $75 million?

September 15: Not a bad little Monday

by molitorfan on Oct 28, 2008 8:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Playoffs

I’m personally wishing for the Phillies to win in 5 for a few reasons
1) We have the best %-wise record in the playoffs against the eventual champions
2) We get to announce the winner of the manager sweepstakes (or move on to interviewing managers of other playoff squads) ASAP.
3) We get to move on to replacing our scouting head.

by PagsBrewCrew on Oct 27, 2008 1:34 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

SABR-style vs gut management

there’s obviously a place for both.

you don’t strictly want a SABR style manager. Sometimes you need to pull a pitcher who is ordinarily excellent vs righty batters that just coughed up a couple of big hits, even though statistics says that he’s a good matchup against the next batter.

But nor do you want a strictly gut manager. Someone who’ll walk the “hot for today” batter to face a statistically stronger batter if it doesn’t benefit the double-play potential.

Obviously you want to mix the best of both worlds. Someone who’ll be upbeat around the clubhouse and have a good rapoire with the players, but also someone who is not afraid to yank players out of the lineup who are struggling when you need a win now. A manager who realizes the (approximate) leverage index of a situation and isn’t afraid to use a closer or another effective reliever in a high leverage situation in the 7th or 8th inning, but one that won’t be all kinds of crazy (blowing through 3 pitchers to face 3 batters in the 7th, leaving you with no one effective for the 9th) would be a good mix.

by PagsBrewCrew on Oct 27, 2008 3:22 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

You're mistaking "strictly SABR" with "only using some numbers."

Because your manager in the first situation, if he’s truly using all the available data to make his decision, will know the matchups, as you suggested, but will also know if a pitcher tends to tail off around 90 pitches, or if he tends to give up runs in bunches.

But your point is taken. Anyone who uses statistics can also misuse them. That’s why I think Jeff should manage.

I don't specifically articulate my motives, because that wouldn't travel as well as a boo does.

by KLSnow on Oct 27, 2008 10:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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