Wednesday's Frosty Mug
Some things to read before rediscovering the greatness of the Swedish Chef.
In honor of the Chef, let's open today with a Sabathia Smorgasbord. Jimmy Rollins (via Jon Heyman) thinks Sabathia won't be able to resist the money the Yankees will offer. In-Between Hops sounds like he's trying to convince himself that 4 years, $100 million would be a good idea, either for the team or for Sabathia. And Sabathia's pending payday has led Jake Peavy's agent to see dollar signs as well.
Also worth noting in the Heyman piece above: he cites sources claiming Ken Macha is the frontrunner for the managerial job, which we've heard before, but he also says Bob Brenly's interview did not go well. It's the first time I've heard that.
Once a manager has been hired there's two more vacancies to fill in the front office, as Tony Blengino and Tom McNamara are following Jack Zduriencik to Seattle. Blengino was Zduriencik's top assistant, and McNamara was an East Coast cross-checker.
Also in that link, Tom H. says Taylor Green suffered a broken nose being hit by a bad hop on a ground ball and will require surgery. I'm not sure that's right...if it is, that would mean Taylor Green broke his nose being hit by a pitch AND on a ground ball within about two weeks of each other. At any rate, Taylor Green's fall season is likely over.
MetsBlog has started a conversation about the possibility of trading for Prince Fielder. The post itself isn't anything exceptionally notable, but the comments are a virtual buffet of unintentional comedy. Take this one, for example:
So if you could have either Ryan Braun or Matt Holliday (complete with 89 OPS+ away from home) in left field, which would you take? Beyond the Box Score rates Braun as the third best left fielder in 2008, behind Holliday and Manny Ramirez.
UPDATE: There are some stats out there that I understand just well enough to misuse. Holliday actually has a 89 tOPS+ away from home. That compares his home stats to his away stats. His power diminishes on the road (his slugging drops 100 points), but his OBP stays about the same (just over .400), so his home/road differential isn't as staggering as I thought.
Also, Beyond the Box Score ranks Jason Kendall as the 12th best catcher in baseball, crediting him with 0 runs added as a hitter but 12 saved defensively. Sky Kalkman says he "might just have been the most valuable player to hit like a shlub."
Ever wonder what it's like to be an MLB Executive once the season's over? If so, Paul DePodesta has a story for you.
Only one notable piece of hot stove news today: the Angels have declined their option on Garret Anderson. Not a likely fit as a Brewer, unless he's willing to take a cut in playing time.
I'm really not interested in talking politics in this space, but I did recently find out that Mark Attanasio is a big donor to Democrat candidates.
Oh, and can a sports blog save a marriage? No, probably not.
Drink up.
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18 comments
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Comments
Thanks KL
Now I’m spending the morning watching youtube videos of the muppet show.
They should really bring it back!
by SgtClueLs on Oct 29, 2008 10:30 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Most definitely
"If loving CC is wrong I do not want to be right"
"If lovin’ Braun is wrong, I want to be a repeat offender"
by kirbir on Oct 29, 2008 10:31 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Last night, about 9 pm
I Youtubed “The Rainbow Connection,” which is going to be the first dance at my wedding.
All of a sudden, it was well after 11 and I realized I’d spent 2 hours paging through old Muppet videos on Youtube.
I don't specifically articulate my motives, because that wouldn't travel as well as a boo does.
by KLSnow on Oct 29, 2008 11:31 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Did you really have to ask the Braun question?
Of course I’d want Braun :)
"If loving CC is wrong I do not want to be right"
"If lovin’ Braun is wrong, I want to be a repeat offender"
by kirbir on Oct 29, 2008 10:32 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
shlub
My impression of the word usage in life up till now is that it means ‘worthless.’ My dictionary tells me ‘talentless.’
My guess is that here it means he doesn’t have a high slugging percentage. I wonder what the mathematical adjustment was for slugging percentage of the average lineup he plays with. I wonder if his quickness at grabbing squibs and bunts, sometimes on the fly, are calculated somehow.
by ol Pete on Oct 29, 2008 10:38 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
It probably means
That he had a middling OBP and a awful slugging percentage.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on Oct 29, 2008 11:10 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
i used "shlub" as worthless
and considering the numbers I used put Kendall’s offense at EXACTLY replacement-level, that seems reasonable.
no, the defensive stats used don’t include handling bunts/pop-ups directly, although there IS an adjustment for errors. measuring catcher defense is pretty rough right now
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
by Sky Kalkman on Oct 29, 2008 11:17 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
is there an adjustment for the lineup he plays in?
I would also add that if you’re calculating errors as part of your formula, there is a large variance in official scorers. Milwaukee’s, at least by reputation, is something of a hard ass.
by ol Pete on Oct 29, 2008 12:08 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
yes, there's an adjustment, although it's not very important.
the linear weights used are based on team-derived BaseRuns.
the errors part of formula might miss by five runs at maximum on one or two players. Kendall already has the largest defensive bonus for any catcher, so i don’t see why you think he’s being cheated significantly.
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
by Sky Kalkman on Oct 29, 2008 1:38 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Holliday
Maybe he’s figured something out – he’s gone from dropping 100 points in OBP going from Coors to elsewhere in 2004-2006 to dropping 60 in 2007 to being about the same last year. His career home/away splits are probably where you got the idea he struggles away from Coors.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on Oct 29, 2008 11:15 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
all players tend to hit better at home, so just quoting home/road splits isn't completely fair, anyway
also, Holliday’s road parks are more difficult than average, since they don’t ever include Coors.
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
by Sky Kalkman on Oct 29, 2008 11:19 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tom H article
The subheading says “Melvin allows him to bring along pair.”
Hm, shouldn’t our front office know to emasculate the competition?
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on Oct 29, 2008 11:27 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
This could get snippy
Jack Z to Brewers: “Grow a pair”
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on Oct 29, 2008 11:37 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Heyman
“Gillick’s success in Philly is another point in favor of scouts over stats in the debate about the value of the two strategies. Gillick puts a lot of faith in his scouts, employs a stable of experienced scouts and relies on their eyes rather than a bunch of numbers anyone can read.”
Yes! It’s not the same as the Colletti-love I expected (nay, perversely hoped) to see after the Dodgers won, but it’s nice to see there won’t be a lack of only the old-fashioned scouting guys triumphing over only the newfangled stats guys articles out there.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on Oct 29, 2008 11:34 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
No stats guy would ever keep players like Howard, Utley, and Rollins around.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on Oct 29, 2008 11:38 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm impressed with the Phillies' ability to identify quality fielders
Utley, Rollins, Victorino, Werth, and Feliz are excellent. Of course, there’s also Burrell and Howard, but hey.
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
by Sky Kalkman on Oct 29, 2008 11:49 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
If anyone's interested
Brad Schreiber made a verbal commitment to Purdue. He’s not ruling out the draft entirely yet, but it looks like he’s going to be going there. He had quite a few offers.
I endorse Blengino.
by Jordan M on Oct 29, 2008 3:38 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs


























