Brewers WAR Projections
They're recent and I'll be updating them as the offseason continues.
about 3 years ago
Jack Moore
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Nice
Thank you for this. Marcels, I assume? I like the salary column too, that’s handy.
Scored three times and detonated an indisputable in four visits to the batting box.
Question
So how is the number of total innings pitched by starters and relievers figured? In the spreadsheet you have Brewers starters and replacements combining for 863 2/3 innings, 119 2/3 less than they pitched last year and 76 1/3 less than the MLB average. Obviously relievers (689 1/3) are then way above the Brewers’ 2008 total (472 1/3) and the 2008 MLB average (505 1/3). Is this intended to reflect replacement SP not pitching as many innings because they’re not very good?
I get that the actual innings totals aren’t the meat and potatoes of the projection anyway and aren’t meant to be taken very literally, but it seems kind of strange to sum up team totals with those differences.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
Part of it is that replacement SPs don't pitch very many innings.
But mostly it’s because the IP projections are generally pessimistic.
I can’t find exactly how it’s done, but I assume it’s similar to the way hitters are figured out.
Hitters start at 200 PA, then + .5 * last year’s PA total + .1 * 2 years ago’s PA total.
He said that he starts starters at 60 IP and relievers at 25 IP, so I think that’s how it works.
You can just scale WAR with expected playing time, too. This is really just a starting point.
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NL Central Standings
| W | L | PCT | GB | STRK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
Cincinnati
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
Houston
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
Milwaukee
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
Pittsburgh
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
St. Louis
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
(updated 2.15.2012 at 1:03 PM CST)
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