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Position Player Wins Above Replacement, 08

As I noted in a fanshot below, Fangraphs has a new total value metric for position players: the new and improved Wins Above Replacement. They won't have WAR on team pages until later, so to save everyone the time of looking up the numbers from last year, here are the Brewers position players Wins Above Replacement for 2008. Kendall is omitted because the formula uses UZR, which doesn't compute a defensive number for catchers.

 

Player Batting Runs Fielding Runs Position RAR WAR Dollar value (millions)
Prince Fielder 26.8 7.8 -12.42 29.7 3  $          13.3
Rickie Weeks 5 -4.1 2 21.5 2.1  $           9.6
J.J. Hardy 16.3 11.6 6.8 55.6 5.5  $          25.0
Bill Hall -10 5.8 2 12.7 1.3  $           5.7
Ryan Braun 29.7 -3.7 -7.1 41 4.1  $          18.4
Mike Cameron 12.4 9.7 1.9 40.9 4.1  $          18.3
Corey Hart 1.9 -0.7 -7.3 15.9 1.6  $           7.1
Russell Branyan 7.5 -1.2 0.2 11.6 1.2  $           5.2
Gabe Kapler 7.9 2.4 -1.3 17.2 1.7  $           7.7
Craig Counsell -3.6 4.1 2.7 13.2 1.3  $           5.9
             93.90                  31.70         (12.52)      259.30      25.90  $      116.20

A couple of my observations:

  • Hardy was a win better than the the players who tied for second, Braun and Cameron. Fielder was fourth in value, Weeks fifth. Hardy is ridiculously good.
  • The "Dollar value" column basically indicates what a player would have been worth, in 2008, on a one-year deal. Doug Melvin signed Cameron for $6 million, he was worth about $18 million. He also gained at least a win of value by moving Braun to left (-3 defense, -7 position vs. -25 defense, +2 position in 2007), so you can add another $5 million to Cameron's "value" to the Brewers. Hall was also almost a win better at third than in center. If we assume all three players would have hit the same regardless of where they were playing, the signing of Cameron and shuffling of those three was worth about $30 million dollars to the Brewers last year.
  • It's impressive that Melvin got 3 wins above replacement from his top two bench players. That seems pretty rare. Comparing to replacement, Counsell and Kapler together were about equal to Fielder last year. 
  • Oh, and I have to add this here. Chase Utley was 8 wins above replacement this year, valued at $36.8 million dollars. Ryan Howard, MVP runner-up and Haudricourt pick for MVP? 3.4, $15.2 million.

This is really an awesome overall metric because it allows you to compare two position players on the same scale, and it factors in everything. Just go to the bottom of any position player page or click the "value" in-page link at the top.

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Who Has Been Clutch?

Aug 2009 from Amazin' Avenue - 23 comments

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coughtradeFieldercough

by HRF on Dec 24, 2008 3:03 PM CST reply actions  

Also, thanks for posting.

by HRF on Dec 24, 2008 3:03 PM CST reply actions  

The “Dollar value” column basically indicates what a player would have been worth, in 2008, on a one-year deal.

Can you say that in different terms or expand on it?

by ol Pete on Dec 24, 2008 5:39 PM CST reply actions  

It’s just based on the principle that 1 win above replacement on the free agent market costs about $4.5 million. Each extra win costs you another $4.5 mil, in general. So that column is just WAR*4.5. It changes based on the year, so Barry Bonds’s ridiculous 2002 was worth about $36 mil then, whereas Hardy is worth $25 mil now. Bonds’s 2002 14 WAR would have been worth over $60 mil this year.

The reason I add the part about a one-year deal is that because of the guaranteed contracts, the players might take less than the 4.5 mil / WAR for security. So we’re not saying Hardy would get a 4 year, $100 mil deal if he was a free agent, for sure. And it’s only looking back, not to the future.

That clear it up a little bit? It’s just a different way of expressing WAR to show value relative to year, and in some cases like Cam, you can directly compare their monetary worth to their 1-year contract.

Scored three times and detonated an indisputable in four visits to the batting box.

by Jordan M on Dec 24, 2008 10:56 PM CST up reply actions  

Excellent explanation, thanks.

by ol Pete on Dec 26, 2008 9:02 AM CST up reply actions  

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