Prince Fielder's community projection looks lofty when compared to the other systems, but it's actually a downgrade from last year. Yes, it's only a difference of .011 OPS but given that Prince is only 24 years old projecting an improvement over last year can be legitimately supported. The major difference is the HR rate. bcb projects HR/AB of 8.3% (last year he hit a HR in 8.7% of his ABs) while chone, zips and marcel project 7.2%, 7.5%, 6.3% respectively. One look at hittracker allows us to confirm what we think we know already. Prince doesn't hit cheapies. I like our chances here to be more accurate than all three systems.
. pa ab h 1b 2b 3b hr bb avg obp slg ops
bcb 659 569 168 84 36 1 47 89 .296 .391 .610 1.002
chone 635 542 157 83 33 2 39 82 .290 .394 .574 .968
zips 585 165 85 35 1 44 83 .282 .380 .571 .951
marcels 605 521 150 82 33 2 33 68 .288 .387 .549 .936
For marcels I calculated avg, obp, slg, ops using my projection tool.