Game Thread #12: Brewers (7-4) at Mets (5-5)

It's the rubber game at Shea, with Jeff Suppan taking on Oliver Perez.  The action starts at 12:10 CT.

As KLSnow mentioned in the Mug this morning, it'll be interesting to see the lineups, as Braun and Fielder requested a switch.  For what it's worth, swapping them (against a lefty, anyway), is a very, very slight negative according to the lineup analysis algorithm, but of course the algorithm doesn't know anything about how comfortable the #3 and #4 hitters are.

And anyway, for as long as Cameron is out, Yost seems likely to hit a lefty second when a right-hander is on the mound, so moving Fielder back to cleanup splits up the two lefties in the lineup.  Seems like an innocuous move all around, especially when Bill Hall is knocking it out of the park every other time he makes contact.

Platoon-ified Project-A-Tron says:

  • Brewers 4.5
  • Mets 4.4
  • Brewers WinExp: 48%

(Yes, I know that makes no sense.  Basically, most of the home-field advantage in baseball comes from the strategic edge of batting last.  If the runs scored are projected to be so close, many possible outcomes will result in a tie game late, including those that go to extra innings.  So basically, the predicted score makes it a 50-50 shot, and the home field advantage gives the edge to the Mets.)

Go Brewers!

UPDATE: Tom H has the lineups, and the request has been granted.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Brew Crew Ball

You must be a member of Brew Crew Ball to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Brew Crew Ball. You should read them.

Join Brew Crew Ball

You must be a member of Brew Crew Ball to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Brew Crew Ball. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker