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Game Thread #28: Brewers (15-12) at Cubs (17-10)

Mordecai_brown_tiny by Jeff Sackmann on

Look on the bright side: At worst, we'll walk away from today's game having split six games at Wrigley.  At best, we will have won the second consecutive series at our main division rival's home park.

The matchup is worth watching regardless of the other storylines: Yovani Gallardo vs. Carlos Zambrano.  (I just about typed "Victor," but there is a limit to my wishful thinking.)  Here's the BR Game Preview.

With Soriano off the DL, the Cubs offense gets a little boost, but not as much as it would (in theory, anyway) if Sori would learn to hit further down in the lineup.  As a low-OBP, high-SLG guy, he would be more valuable there.  (Though not much--I just tried swapping Fukudome and Soriano and the difference works out to about 0.05 runs per game.)

Project-a-tron is eerily similar to last night, only with lower run totals.  I really, really hope it's right about the lower run totals.

  • Brewers 4.7
  • Cubs 4.6
  • Brewers WinExp: 47.22%

Go Brewers!

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The Soriano Theory

With him back, I actually think the Cubs are less likely to win.

by drezdn on May 1, 2008 12:43 PM CDT   0 recs

At least in the short term, and assuming that he didn’t do a rehab stint in AAA.

by drezdn on May 1, 2008 12:43 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

No Pie?

Aw, shucks.

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on May 1, 2008 1:11 PM CDT   0 recs

I was at the Debacle last night.

The main reason I was upset at Turnbow is because some poor sap got robbed of 10,000 in the pays big 21 jackpot! I’m glad I was somewhat inebriated so the game outcome wasn’t as disheartening as it would have been otherwise.

Personally, I think we got hosed on that one! - Harry Doyle

by reverse24 on May 1, 2008 1:14 PM CDT   0 recs

Win Expectancy

for the Brewers…

Simulator: 48.13%
Vegas: 42.55%

vr, Xeifrank

by Xeifrank on May 1, 2008 1:15 PM CDT   0 recs

hey, your simulator

can you easily customize some things?

for example, you ran the simulator with the brewers lineups, right? can you run it with the instruction to cubs pitchers to always walk fielder when first base is open? i have a theory that this is the optimal strategy for opposing teams. your simulator might have an opinion on that.

Bring Back The Old Logo!

by jacob on May 1, 2008 1:29 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I think it's funny

Usually it’s the catcher who rests in day games following night games, but for the Brewers it’s the shortstop.

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on May 1, 2008 1:18 PM CDT   0 recs

hmm, counsell's starting

that means project-a-tron says 46.44% for the Crew.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 1:23 PM CDT   0 recs

Counsell is no doubt honored

That he counts as -0.78% of a win in your system.

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on May 1, 2008 1:26 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

No doubt

his projected SLG is .315 compared to Hardy’s .415.

That’s…not good.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 1:27 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

DeRosa got Weeks'd

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 1:26 PM CDT   0 recs

Maybe he'll punch DeRosa

Maybe Z will snap and punch DeRosa in his face… or baby maker.

by SgtClueLs on May 1, 2008 1:27 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

straight shot, right to the ovary

"Cubs fans boo again – 99% of these people can’t see the plate." -Ueck

by dux2bux on May 1, 2008 1:28 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

game on WGN

I’m watching that so I can avoid FSN camera work and listen to Uck for a change.

by ol Pete on May 1, 2008 1:30 PM CDT   0 recs

nice

Gallardo just froze A-Ram. love it.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 1:37 PM CDT   0 recs

That was a very Sheets-ian yakker

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 1:38 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Gallardo

We need more guys like him…pitchers who throw strikes, but not Dave Bush type strikes

by UWbrewball on May 1, 2008 1:38 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Don't worry, blog happy

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 1:41 PM CDT   0 recs

I don't

I like most everything else, but not that.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 1:43 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I've got no relevant degrees

I train people to take the b-school admissions test…no b-school.

I’m a programmer…not a day of programming class.

And no, no journalism degree. Thank heavens.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 1:44 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I blog and I never once took a blogging class

Also, I have no degrees relating to internet porn, despite my startling proficiency.

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 1:45 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Just curious

What language(s) do you program in?

by drezdn on May 1, 2008 1:45 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I do almost everything in python

Though I have at least a passing knowledge of several others.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 1:46 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Not Indian though

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 1:46 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I'm not all that confident in the angle i'm getting

but this looks like a pretty big strike zone. maybe really big.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 1:45 PM CDT   0 recs

I mean really, really big

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 1:45 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Yakety Yak

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 1:50 PM CDT   0 recs

Gallardo

Is going to have to score the runs himself, Sam Narron-style.

by drezdn on May 1, 2008 1:56 PM CDT   0 recs

Maybe the next time through.

by drezdn on May 1, 2008 1:58 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Brenley

needs to get over his hate of Kendall. Takes a shot every chance he gets.

The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!

by 80badger on May 1, 2008 1:56 PM CDT   0 recs

What's he saying?

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 1:57 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

You don't steal

on the Brewer pitchers you steal on Kendall.

The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!

by 80badger on May 1, 2008 2:02 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Sweet.

Thanks to RJ I can’t pick Rickie back up until the 5th

Lordz Of Vengeance....Sometimes I drink...Okay...I drink most of the time.

by Dikembe Meiztombo on May 1, 2008 1:57 PM CDT   0 recs

Are you gonna seek vengeanz?

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 1:58 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Naturally

Lordz Of Vengeance....Sometimes I drink...Okay...I drink most of the time.

by Dikembe Meiztombo on May 1, 2008 2:02 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Fuckin’ right I did. Usually when you see a headline like that here, its not a lie.

Lordz Of Vengeance....Sometimes I drink...Okay...I drink most of the time.

by Dikembe Meiztombo on May 1, 2008 2:06 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

That's why

you should never trust what you read on a blog. :)

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on May 1, 2008 2:09 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Weeks sucks so bad

Even his doubles are ill-timed.

;)

by Lake County on May 1, 2008 2:01 PM CDT   0 recs

nice!

rickie will be over .200 for another few ABs.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 2:01 PM CDT   0 recs

Hey Jeff

You’re still in NYC, right?

by Lake County on May 1, 2008 2:02 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

yep

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 2:02 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I miss the Village

Several of us Milwaukeeans are going to do the Yankee-Shea thing in early June.

You’re welcome to join us.

by Lake County on May 1, 2008 2:04 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

cool

definitely keep me posted.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 2:04 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Weeks should have tried to score

Soto fears him.

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 2:01 PM CDT   0 recs

Sori

no more advertising or whatever that was on the eye black?

by ol Pete on May 1, 2008 2:02 PM CDT   0 recs

Cameron

obviously perfers sunglasses to eye black when hitting!

The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!

by 80badger on May 1, 2008 2:04 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

That was an awful

bit of catching by Soto

The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!

by 80badger on May 1, 2008 2:02 PM CDT   0 recs

You had one job to do!

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 2:03 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Battlekow

Did you end up going to that show on Friday?

by drezdn on May 1, 2008 2:04 PM CDT   0 recs

No, the rain kept me away

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 2:05 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I throw 45 through 3

And I eat a banana today.

by ol Pete on May 1, 2008 2:05 PM CDT   0 recs

But can he throw the Banana?

by drezdn on May 1, 2008 2:06 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Hopefully

The Cubs are worn out from batting so much yesterday. It was all part of our plan.

by drezdn on May 1, 2008 2:08 PM CDT   0 recs

Naturally

Insert Dean Wormer cliche here

by Lake County on May 1, 2008 2:08 PM CDT   0 recs

See if you can guess

what I am now

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 2:09 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Hits are one thing

jack shots are an embaraasment.

The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!

by 80badger on May 1, 2008 2:10 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Gallardo

Only 2 earned runs given up so far are on homers.

by UWbrewball on May 1, 2008 2:14 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Almost Sheets-like

He doesn’t seem to give up a ton of runs, but when he does, they are homers.

by drezdn on May 1, 2008 2:15 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Could be the hitter's mentality

Probably not going to string together a bunch of hits, so might as well go up there and try to jack one.

by UWbrewball on May 1, 2008 2:18 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Some drunk

in the bleachers just caught Z’s homer and totally freaking out!!!

The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!

by 80badger on May 1, 2008 2:08 PM CDT   0 recs

Easier?

Wouldn’t it be easier to say someone caught the ball in the blachers and freaked out. I thought everyone in Wrigley bleachers is hammered.

by SgtClueLs on May 1, 2008 2:11 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

That wasn't a bad pitch by Gallardo, either

And Zambrano looked ridiculous on the pitch before. Dammit.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on May 1, 2008 2:11 PM CDT   0 recs

Let's have a poll

damMit or damNit?

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 1, 2008 2:12 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Dammit!

Lordz Of Vengeance....Sometimes I drink...Okay...I drink most of the time.

by Dikembe Meiztombo on May 1, 2008 2:13 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs