Game Thread #28: Brewers (15-12) at Cubs (17-10)
Look on the bright side: At worst, we'll walk away from today's game having split six games at Wrigley. At best, we will have won the second consecutive series at our main division rival's home park.
The matchup is worth watching regardless of the other storylines: Yovani Gallardo vs. Carlos Zambrano. (I just about typed "Victor," but there is a limit to my wishful thinking.) Here's the BR Game Preview.
With Soriano off the DL, the Cubs offense gets a little boost, but not as much as it would (in theory, anyway) if Sori would learn to hit further down in the lineup. As a low-OBP, high-SLG guy, he would be more valuable there. (Though not much--I just tried swapping Fukudome and Soriano and the difference works out to about 0.05 runs per game.)
Project-a-tron is eerily similar to last night, only with lower run totals. I really, really hope it's right about the lower run totals.
- Brewers 4.7
- Cubs 4.6
- Brewers WinExp: 47.22%
Go Brewers!
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The Soriano Theory
With him back, I actually think the Cubs are less likely to win.
by drezdn on May 1, 2008 12:43 PM CDT 0 recs
At least in the short term, and assuming that he didn’t do a rehab stint in AAA.
by drezdn on
May 1, 2008 12:43 PM CDT
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No Pie?
Aw, shucks.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on May 1, 2008 1:11 PM CDT 0 recs
I was at the Debacle last night.
The main reason I was upset at Turnbow is because some poor sap got robbed of 10,000 in the pays big 21 jackpot! I’m glad I was somewhat inebriated so the game outcome wasn’t as disheartening as it would have been otherwise.
Personally, I think we got hosed on that one! - Harry Doyle
by reverse24 on May 1, 2008 1:14 PM CDT 0 recs
Win Expectancy
for the Brewers…
Simulator: 48.13%
Vegas: 42.55%
vr, Xeifrank
by Xeifrank on May 1, 2008 1:15 PM CDT 0 recs
(and by the way, I upped the precision by an add'l digit just for you)
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
May 1, 2008 1:18 PM CDT
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hey, your simulator
can you easily customize some things?
for example, you ran the simulator with the brewers lineups, right? can you run it with the instruction to cubs pitchers to always walk fielder when first base is open? i have a theory that this is the optimal strategy for opposing teams. your simulator might have an opinion on that.
Bring Back The Old Logo!
by jacob on
May 1, 2008 1:29 PM CDT
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I think it's funny
Usually it’s the catcher who rests in day games following night games, but for the Brewers it’s the shortstop.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on May 1, 2008 1:18 PM CDT 0 recs
hmm, counsell's starting
that means project-a-tron says 46.44% for the Crew.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 1:23 PM CDT 0 recs
Counsell is no doubt honored
That he counts as -0.78% of a win in your system.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on
May 1, 2008 1:26 PM CDT
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No doubt
his projected SLG is .315 compared to Hardy’s .415.
That’s…not good.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
May 1, 2008 1:27 PM CDT
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Maybe he'll punch DeRosa
Maybe Z will snap and punch DeRosa in his face… or baby maker.
by SgtClueLs on
May 1, 2008 1:27 PM CDT
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straight shot, right to the ovary
"Cubs fans boo again – 99% of these people can’t see the plate." -Ueck
by dux2bux on
May 1, 2008 1:28 PM CDT
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game on WGN
I’m watching that so I can avoid FSN camera work and listen to Uck for a change.
by ol Pete on May 1, 2008 1:30 PM CDT 0 recs
Keep us posted as your broadcasting choices evolve
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 1, 2008 1:31 PM CDT
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nice
Gallardo just froze A-Ram. love it.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 1:37 PM CDT 0 recs
That was a very Sheets-ian yakker
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 1, 2008 1:38 PM CDT
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Gallardo
We need more guys like him…pitchers who throw strikes, but not Dave Bush type strikes
by UWbrewball on
May 1, 2008 1:38 PM CDT
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So you're saying we need good pitchers
Got it.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 1, 2008 1:39 PM CDT
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not if we promote all nine laportas.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
May 1, 2008 1:39 PM CDT
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just tearing people apart today. alittle bitter about yesterday?
"Cubs fans boo again – 99% of these people can’t see the plate." -Ueck
by dux2bux on
May 1, 2008 1:40 PM CDT
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Don't worry, blog happy
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on May 1, 2008 1:41 PM CDT 0 recs
I don't
I like most everything else, but not that.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
May 1, 2008 1:43 PM CDT
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Jeff "I don't have a journalism degree" Sackmann
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 1, 2008 1:43 PM CDT
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I've got no relevant degrees
I train people to take the b-school admissions test…no b-school.
I’m a programmer…not a day of programming class.
And no, no journalism degree. Thank heavens.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
May 1, 2008 1:44 PM CDT
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I blog and I never once took a blogging class
Also, I have no degrees relating to internet porn, despite my startling proficiency.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 1, 2008 1:45 PM CDT
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I do almost everything in python
Though I have at least a passing knowledge of several others.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
May 1, 2008 1:46 PM CDT
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I'm not all that confident in the angle i'm getting
but this looks like a pretty big strike zone. maybe really big.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 1:45 PM CDT 0 recs
I mean really, really big
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 1, 2008 1:45 PM CDT
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Gallardo
Is going to have to score the runs himself, Sam Narron-style.
by drezdn on May 1, 2008 1:56 PM CDT 0 recs
Brenley
needs to get over his hate of Kendall. Takes a shot every chance he gets.
The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!
by 80badger on May 1, 2008 1:56 PM CDT 0 recs
You don't steal
on the Brewer pitchers you steal on Kendall.
The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!
by 80badger on
May 1, 2008 2:02 PM CDT
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Sweet.
Thanks to RJ I can’t pick Rickie back up until the 5th
Lordz Of Vengeance....Sometimes I drink...Okay...I drink most of the time.
by Dikembe Meiztombo on May 1, 2008 1:57 PM CDT 0 recs
Are you gonna seek vengeanz?
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 1, 2008 1:58 PM CDT
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Naturally
Lordz Of Vengeance....Sometimes I drink...Okay...I drink most of the time.
by Dikembe Meiztombo on
May 1, 2008 2:02 PM CDT
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Fuckin’ right I did. Usually when you see a headline like that here, its not a lie.
Lordz Of Vengeance....Sometimes I drink...Okay...I drink most of the time.
by Dikembe Meiztombo on
May 1, 2008 2:06 PM CDT
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That's why
you should never trust what you read on a blog. :)
"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"
by roguejim on
May 1, 2008 2:09 PM CDT
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Weeks sucks so bad
Even his doubles are ill-timed.
;)
by Lake County on May 1, 2008 2:01 PM CDT 0 recs
nice!
rickie will be over .200 for another few ABs.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on May 1, 2008 2:01 PM CDT 0 recs
I miss the Village
Several of us Milwaukeeans are going to do the Yankee-Shea thing in early June.
You’re welcome to join us.
by Lake County on
May 1, 2008 2:04 PM CDT
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Weeks should have tried to score
Soto fears him.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on May 1, 2008 2:01 PM CDT 0 recs
Sori
no more advertising or whatever that was on the eye black?
by ol Pete on May 1, 2008 2:02 PM CDT 0 recs
Cameron
obviously perfers sunglasses to eye black when hitting!
The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!
by 80badger on
May 1, 2008 2:04 PM CDT
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That was an awful
bit of catching by Soto
The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!
by 80badger on May 1, 2008 2:02 PM CDT 0 recs
You had one job to do!
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 1, 2008 2:03 PM CDT
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No, the rain kept me away
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 1, 2008 2:05 PM CDT
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I used to make a living, man, pickin' the banana
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 1, 2008 2:10 PM CDT
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Hopefully
The Cubs are worn out from batting so much yesterday. It was all part of our plan.
by drezdn on May 1, 2008 2:08 PM CDT 0 recs
See if you can guess
what I am now
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 1, 2008 2:09 PM CDT
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I really hate it when opposing pitchers get hits
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on May 1, 2008 2:08 PM CDT 0 recs
Hits are one thing
jack shots are an embaraasment.
The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!
by 80badger on
May 1, 2008 2:10 PM CDT
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Gallardo
Only 2 earned runs given up so far are on homers.
by UWbrewball on
May 1, 2008 2:14 PM CDT
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Almost Sheets-like
He doesn’t seem to give up a ton of runs, but when he does, they are homers.
by drezdn on
May 1, 2008 2:15 PM CDT
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Could be the hitter's mentality
Probably not going to string together a bunch of hits, so might as well go up there and try to jack one.
by UWbrewball on
May 1, 2008 2:18 PM CDT
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Some drunk
in the bleachers just caught Z’s homer and totally freaking out!!!
The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!
by 80badger on May 1, 2008 2:08 PM CDT 0 recs
Easier?
Wouldn’t it be easier to say someone caught the ball in the blachers and freaked out. I thought everyone in Wrigley bleachers is hammered.
by SgtClueLs on
May 1, 2008 2:11 PM CDT
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That wasn't a bad pitch by Gallardo, either
And Zambrano looked ridiculous on the pitch before. Dammit.
"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"
by roguejim on May 1, 2008 2:11 PM CDT 0 recs
Let's have a poll
damMit or damNit?
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 1, 2008 2:12 PM CDT
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Dammit!
Lordz Of Vengeance....Sometimes I drink...Okay...I drink most of the time.
by Dikembe Meiztombo on
May 1, 2008 2:13 PM CDT
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