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Who Will the Brewers Draft?

Seems like the present is a rather bilious topic of late, so let's talk future: on June 5th, 17 short days from now, the MLB draft will be upon us. The Brewers, by virtue of losing Francisco Cordero and Scott Linebrink to free agency, have a boatload of picks: six of the first 62, and seven of the first 94. That's right--in a little over two weeks, the Brewers' farm system will be bolstered by seven of the top 100 amateur players around. Pretty sweet deal.

The Brewers' minor league larder has been judiciously stocked over the past decade by scouting director Jack Zduriencik, and as the system has borne fruit after prize-winning fruit, the team's needs have become more specific, and more immediate. Zduriencik has a long history of taking the best player available regardless of position, but with a surfeit of first base/corner outfield talent already in the system, Zduriencik might want to modify his strategy. To see who's available, let's take a look at some mock drafts and top prospect lists:

Another key question, as Baseball America puts it:

Signability concerns surround three first-round talents advised by the Scott Boras Corporation add to the confusion. [Vanderbilt 3B Pedro] Alvarez likely won't fall too far, but Florida high school first baseman Eric Hosmer and California prep righthander Gerrit Cole have no obvious places to land if their asking prices are deemed exorbitant.

The Brewers, operating on their best-available philosophy, would definitely be tempted by Hosmer, but his $7M price tag and the fact that he plays first base might cause them to pass. Cole is another question. It's difficult to find a consensus on his ability: he's projected anywhere from going #10 overall (Mound Talk) to not even being ranked in the top 50 (PG Crosschecker); MyMLBdraft.com has the Brewers taking him at #16.

Rather than continue to feed their high school pitcher fetish with a guy like Cole, I'd love to see the Brewers take a polished, hard-throwing college reliever such as Georgia's Josh Fields (40/15 K/BB in 26.3 IP) with their first-round pick. Other possibilities in that category include Rice's Bryan Price (51/24 in 43.7 IP), Arizona's Ryan Perry (63/14 in 64.3 IP), and Purdue's Josh Lindblom (42/9 in 37.3 IP).

With a fast-track reliever on board and due to arrive no later than next year, the Brewers can use some of their plethora of other early picks to take chances on toolsy-but-raw players (think Brent Brewer), guys who are signability risks (Brewer again), or potentially great talents that have dropped due to injury (such as Omar Aguilar). One guy I'd really like the Brewers to look at in the supplemental round is Pepperdine OF Eric Thames. Sickels has Thames #25 on his board and PG Crosschecker #49 on theirs, but Project Prospect had this to say about Thames:

A lefty with speed and power, Thames showed up at 49th in PG Cross Checker's rankings. While I believe Thames is a first-round talent and I think his statistics back that (9.83 score in my system), many draft journalists seem hesitant to give him that much credit -- and I've yet to hear a good reason why. He may last into the supplemental first round but I don't think he'll last out of it.

Thames suffers from his home field, which according to Boyd's World has a park factor of only 71; in other words, it depresses offense almost 30% from normal. With any luck, less-aware teams won't realize how much his environment is affecting his stats and undervalue him.

A couple pitchers who could potentially fall to the supplemental round because of injuries that shouldn't affect their pitching ability are Fresno State RHP Tanner Scheppers (stress fracture in shoulder) and Tennessee HS RHP Sonny Gray (broken ankle).

Just like pitching prospects, you can never have enough catchers in your system, and one guy that Team Canada might like, for obvious reasons, is British Columbia high schooler Brett Lawrie. Lawrie is projected variously as a 3B, SS, or C, with BA stating:

The more scouts we talk to, the more we find that think Lawrie could stick as a catcher.

Finally, another guy that caught my eye as potentially another Will Inman or Carlos Villanueva-type pitcher who would make a good third round value pick is UC-Irvine's Scott Gorgen, who despite topping out at around 90 MPH on his fastball supposedly throws the best changeup in the draft; this is borne out by his stellar 95/25 K/BB in 85 innings.

That's certainly enough for now. Take a look at the links I provided and let me know who you think the Brewers will/should draft.

1 recs | Comment 14 comments

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What does bilious mean?

;)

Its all about the Bullpen this season that is the key.

by WSB Chris on May 19, 2008 4:01 PM CDT   0 recs

mention-the-brewers-and-get-punched

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 19, 2008 4:06 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I never did like Brent's family

How do you not teach your kid to field? :)

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on May 19, 2008 4:07 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Or hit?

:)

Whenever prince is at first, he should charge the mound and yell "MEAT!"

by jihad on May 19, 2008 6:50 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Cubs game

don’t mean to jack the thread but is anyone watching this? Soto had an inside the park HR and Edmonds just made an incredible over the shoulder catch at the base of the hill in center. It is weird watching a good baseball team.

Mendoza (Uecker) Watch: Weeks .193, Hall .199, Cameron .200

by molitorfan on May 19, 2008 7:38 PM CDT   0 recs

Nose hit

They’ve been getting some breaks as well.

by tvnick5 on May 19, 2008 7:50 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Connor Winn

These comments were in the local newspaper down here in north Atlanta this morning. It is a newspaper and not a mere “blogger” so I guess we can trust the source. ;-) One of the smaller local high schools has some real talent on the team and apparently the Brewers have been watching.

In fact, the fearsome foursome of Grayson Garvin, James Ramsey, Kevin Ruiz and Connor Winn are a big reason they are just three steps away from the program’s first state championship.
Winn was recently named the Region 6-AA Player of the Year and is hitting second in Gwinnett County in average (.526) and home runs (12) and has added 27 RBIs. Those numbers have made him not only one of Georgia Tech’s top signees, but also another potential draft target, with the St. Louis Cardinals, Florida Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers each having made preliminary contact with him.

I had the opportunity to watch these guys play twice when they played my sons HS team. Both games had a MLB scout(s) present taking copius notes. There is a tremendous amount of interest in Gavin who is a lefty with some incredible mound presence for only being 18. Interestingly both games had a Phillies scout present yet I did not notice them mentioned in the news article. Winn is impressive to watch play. Obviously it is difficult to measure HS level talent but this kid seemed to have the raw tools and attitude necessary to keep playing at a very high level.

The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!

by 80badger on May 20, 2008 7:31 AM CDT   0 recs

Very cool, thanks

Last year, PG Crosschecker rated (out of a possible 10) Garvin a 10 and Winn an 8. This is what they said in their preseason top 100 HS article:

28. WESLEYAN HS, Norcross, Ga. (28-6-1)
Traditionally, the power reigns in the larger schools in Georgia. But Wesleyan has the talent to compete with anyone, despite being only a 2-A school. Vanderbilt-bound LHP Grayson Garvin leads the way for the Wolves, who have several other players heading off to play college ball. Florida State-bound IF James Ramsey (.468), Georgia Tech-bound IF Connor Winn (.421-12-26) and Georgia-bound OF Kevin Ruiz provide great depth for the Wolves.
Do you have any idea how strong any of their commitments are?

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 20, 2008 8:21 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Sorry

I didn’t post the link orginally, I see you found it. Regarding the commitments, the discussions I have had with our coaches and other guys I know who have coached these kids in their younger days is that all four boys are sticking to the commits. Vandy is really pumped about Gavin despite the shoulder tenderness he had midway through the season. As noted in the article he got a little rest and seems back on top. Gavin pitched at our place just prior to the shoulder tenderness and was awesome. The Phillies scout was there with a Jugs gun and spent most of the afternoon just shaking his head. HIs peed is very impressive but his control of his offspeed stuff is what struck me.

A close friend and fellow coach who pitched 4 years at Georgia Tech and actually played in the Brewers minors for a couple of years says that Tech can’t wait to get Winn and that every indication they have is that Winn is excited about playing in front of the “home town” fans. The thing I hear most constantly about Winn is his “approach” being very mature for his age, a very coachable kid.

The Wallbangers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!

by 80badger on May 20, 2008 10:42 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Oh, and do you have a link?

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 20, 2008 8:33 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Nevermind, I actually found it

No thanks to Google.

link

He's extremely quick and good.

by battlekow on May 20, 2008 8:43 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Considering how poorly the Linebrink trade turned out

I hope the picks we got when he left turn into useful players.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on May 20, 2008 8:52 AM CDT   0 recs

the crew led by big Jack Z

He will go with the best Prospect but i can see pitcjhing being a major priority.

by steelmann58 on May 20, 2008 11:43 AM CDT   0 recs

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