Bite the Sabathia bullet?
As the trading deadline nears, many teams in baseball will be looking to buy or sell, depending on recent success.
As we all have hoped, the Brewers are competing quite well and are in the market as a potential buyer. With the farm system stocked with prime players (thanks to wonderful scouting and drafting), the Brewers hold several valuable trade chips that could just bring in the missing piece to the 2008 Series puzzle.
The question is this: What should the Brewers do? Hold tight to the prospects or make a move to finally overtake the Cubs and pound them into submission? C.C. Sabathia, as you all know, will most likely become the most coveted prize of this summer's trading frenzy. Will he be too overpriced and the better option may be to go for a smaller name, like Rich Harden, but just as effective, or break the bank and go for it all with Sabathia?
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I wouldn't mind giving up either Gamel or LaPorta
It would suck, but…. sometimes, shit’s gotta get done.
I WANT GALLARDO BACK.
I'll warm up with you anytime
by ufoboy90 on
Jun 27, 2008 12:36 AM CDT
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But not both
CC is a prize, but I don’t want to rent him for 60+ days. If we could have gotten him in December, it would have been easier to swallow a couple of blue chippers
by Saberilliterate on
Jun 27, 2008 8:11 AM CDT
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Rich Harden
Isn’t he one of the few pitchers to get hurt more often than Sheets the past few seasons?
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on
Jun 27, 2008 12:48 AM CDT
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Can't we try to get Cliff Lee instead?
Just casually looking at stats, our very own Dave Bush is better at keeping runners off the bases this year than Sabathia.
I’m with the Greinke fanboys over here. If you’re going to trade the farm, trade it for someone who either isn’t eligible for free agency or has a contract remaining for a few more years, not another Scott Linebrink case. I
by morineko on
Jun 27, 2008 12:52 AM CDT
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More importantly
Is your grandmother attracted to immense black men?
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 27, 2008 1:40 AM CDT
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I don't think she's seen Sabathia pitch
...but she thinks McClung is too fat, so that should give you a baseline ;)
How’d half my post go missing? I had said that nobody appeared happy with the results of the Linebrink trade-the relievers were still useless and in the end, no playoffs for the Brewers, no major-league-ready pitchers for the Padres-oh, well, draft picks are nice.
by morineko on
Jun 27, 2008 2:19 AM CDT
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Kevin Millwood/Vicente Padilla
This article from a couple days ago speculates-I don’t know how informedly-that the Brewers could be interested in either.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 27, 2008 1:39 AM CDT
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is Millwood up for sale, though?
He’s about the only thing on the Rangers I could justify describing with the word “pitcher.” However, I have to wonder about the skills of a guy who requires Gerald Laird as his personal catcher.
by morineko on
Jun 27, 2008 2:21 AM CDT
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depends
on management’s intentions with Sheets. If they think they can keep both Sheets and Sabathia together for a couple of years (unlikely, I know), I say whatever it takes. If not, I’d still like to see us go for it, but only if we don’t give up too much of our future. I’d be willing to part with either of the Matts, but obviously not both. Still not sure what I would make of a Sabathia/Fielder swap. I tend to think we would be giving up too much right now. In time, we could make up for the loss of prince with Gamel and LaPorta, but not this early.
Sheets
Sabathia
Gallardo
Suppan
TBD
Good lord, i’m salavating.
"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost
by SunglassesAtNight on
Jun 27, 2008 10:57 AM CDT
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You know Gagne's contract is up at the end of the year
That is a cool $10 mil off the books. Fielder will get a chunk of that as will Hart and Weeks but probably not all of it. Also, Cam’s contract is up and Cappy’s might have to be DFA’ed. We would have to dig deep but that might be possible. Kendall is going to get enough playing time to kick in his option though right?
by dixieflatline on
Jun 27, 2008 1:30 PM CDT
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$$$
There is little chance the Brewers could afford Sheets OR CC…both? Good thought, but no way.
by Big In 2015 on
Jun 27, 2008 9:53 PM CDT
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I’m not sure I see the Indians making a play for Fielder. If Prince is determined to hit the open market, the Tribe would be in roughly the same position with him that you guys are, except closer to the end of his years under control. I see how that would be attractive to the Brewers, trading a year and change of a star bat for half a year of a star arm, but I’d like to think Shapiro wants longer-term value.
I realize that seems a little contradictory with my comment below—that the Indians want help that’s ready next year. I guess the answer is that those goals aren’t mutually exclusive: We want a guy who’s ready to contribute next year, AND ALSO somebody who will be able to stay with the team. C.C. doesn’t have a no-trade clause, so if luck’s on our side, the bidding will be high enough that we find a deal which solves both problems
by fleerdon on
Jun 27, 2008 10:26 PM CDT
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Fielder isn't a free agent until after 2011.
by Zeyes on
Jun 27, 2008 11:34 PM CDT
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No kidding? Obviously I didn’t look into it—just kind of figured when I heard he might be on the block this winter. Sorry to be ignorant. So it’s just arbitration issues that would put him on the block? Bummer.
In any event, the Indians are also broke. So I guess I should add “cheap” to the list of things we’re shopping for.
by fleerdon on
Jun 28, 2008 12:23 AM CDT
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What I don't see
is that the Indians don’t have much use for first base/DH types either.
by Braunstalker on
Jun 27, 2008 11:34 AM CDT
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Option 5 in Poll

- Trade for this guy (or someone like him)
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 27, 2008 11:50 AM CDT
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Rotoworld mentions Greinke as a possible guy the Brewers are interested in.
However, the Royals need to get a lot in return. They mention Gamel PLUS Escobar or Salome.
by brewfan2 on
Jun 27, 2008 12:44 PM CDT
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Usually I'm extremely protective of our prospects
for example, I wouldn’t give up any of the main four AA position players for Sabathia. But for Greinke- whatever it takes.
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 27, 2008 12:59 PM CDT
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I would trade Gamel and Salome for Greinke.
Not sure about Gamel and Escobar. Gamel might not stick at 3rd and I hear he might not be as good in the outfield as LaPorta or Braun. That means first base. Salome might not stick at catcher and if he can’t stick there that means DH. Escobar will stick at SS making his value higher than Salome IMO.
by dixieflatline on
Jun 27, 2008 1:28 PM CDT
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Would they take major league talent instead?
Instead of Escobar/Salome, would they take Hardy and/or a guy that is ML ready like Gwynn? The thing that gives the Brewers so many options is that they can either trade away prospects or trade away major league caliber starters and promote prospects as replacements without missing much. A team like the Royals may not love the fact that JJ only has a few years of team control left, but they are getting a known commodity in return and they should be able to sign him to a four year deal relatively cheaply.
by Getting Yosted on
Jun 27, 2008 1:42 PM CDT
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The Royals aren't going to trade Greinke for our scraps
Hardy and Gwynn are OK, but they want a superstar, not decency. Prince for Greinke would be much more realistic.
by brewfan2 on
Jun 27, 2008 1:47 PM CDT
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I was thinking Gamel or LaPorta plus those two
They want superstar potential, but we can also send them major league talent instead of Escobar or Salome.
by Getting Yosted on
Jun 27, 2008 2:06 PM CDT
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I would be fine with
A Gamel and Salome trade, but I’m not feeling the Gamel and Escobar option. Interesting thought, if Prince eventually gets flipped for someone, who makes a better 1st base option…LaPorta or Gamel?
"He's been very, very impressive," Yost said. "I mean really impressive. I mean really, really impressive."
by MadJimiBrewha on
Jun 27, 2008 2:10 PM CDT
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LaPorta was a pretty good defensive 1B in college, but Gamel is more athletic
You’d probably see LaPorta to first and Gamel possibly replacing him in one of the corner OF spots, though the team would still obviously love to have him stick at third in that scenario.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 27, 2008 2:37 PM CDT
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Heck, A Zinger?
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on
Jun 27, 2008 1:03 PM CDT
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(scratch the "someone like him")
I want Zack Greinke.
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 27, 2008 1:14 PM CDT
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i hate to bust your bubbles
but MLB Trade Rumors is reporting that Grienke is not leaving Kansas City. In fact, they are trying to rework his contract.
Come check out BrewersNation, a new Brewers blog that keeps you up to date on ALL Brewers news and rumors.
by jimmyb1799 on
Jun 27, 2008 4:53 PM CDT
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oh dear
if its on MLBTR, it must be true!
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Jun 27, 2008 7:11 PM CDT
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Yep
Now leading off for the Cubs: second baseman…
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on
Jun 27, 2008 7:26 PM CDT
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They kinda said that
but they also said this last week:
While the Royals don’t seem to consider Zack Greinke untouchable, they’d have to be bowled over to trade him.
I think LaPorta, Salome, Gillespie and another piece could definitely ‘bowl them over’.
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 28, 2008 8:14 AM CDT
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in other words
it’s a negotiating ploy.
we go through this every year with some player or another, and what the GMs say at the end of June has very little to do with who ends up getting traded.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Jun 28, 2008 8:17 AM CDT
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fair point
but wouldn’t you think that we should give up prospects for someone a little more proven than Greinke? he’s been great this season, but inconsistent at best before that. i’m still a little nervous about his mentality on the mound.
Come check out BrewersNation, a new Brewers blog that keeps you up to date on ALL Brewers news and rumors.
by jimmyb1799 on
Jun 28, 2008 9:02 AM CDT
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Greinke has excellent stuff, excellent scouting reports, and excellent stats
He’s also cheap for the next two years. There just isn’t really a better option, realistically.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 28, 2008 9:04 AM CDT
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Except for that
Turnbow for Lincecum trade I’ve secretly been brokering.
"My thing is that you guys eat meat all day and you can't hit a ball. That's my thing." - P. Fielder
by SRB on
Jun 28, 2008 12:58 PM CDT
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BPro on Sabathia
WC: What about the Brewers, and how does the potential loss of two ace-level pitchers to free agency factor in? Giving Jack Zduriencik that many picks sounds interesting.link (sub. req.)KG: Giving Jack Z. a lot of picks is always a dangerous thing—for other teams. Milwaukee has some good fits potentially for Cleveland. They might be interested in mid-level catching prospects like Jon Lucroy and Angel Salome, a glove-first shortstop like Alcides Escobar who has shown some offensive sings of life this year, and the Brewers also have some decent arms they might be able to throw in. Don’t forget that with Matt LaPorta coming quickly and Mat Gamel mashing at Double-A but looking more and more like and first base/DH type defensively, the Brewers are close to having too many bats and not enough positions, so somebody is going to have to go.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 27, 2008 2:00 PM CDT
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Let's see if I have this right
If the Crew did end up trading for Sabathia and didn’t resign him or Sheets, they will have 5 picks in the first 50 or so picks?
"He's been very, very impressive," Yost said. "I mean really impressive. I mean really, really impressive."
by MadJimiBrewha on
Jun 27, 2008 2:25 PM CDT
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Don't forget about Cameron
If he goes to another team, we probably get a decent pick too, and maybe, just maybe, Gagne could be considered a Linebrink type free agent and we get even more.
by brewfan2 on
Jun 27, 2008 2:32 PM CDT
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Other free agents-to-be
Kendall, Mota, Torres, Counsell, Shouse, Kapler, Branyan, and Choate.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 27, 2008 2:42 PM CDT
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Choate
for some reason I thought he was younger.
I’m assuming Kendall is going to reach his extension bench mark and will be back next year, assuming he wants to be.
Would any of those guys net compensation picks?
"He's been very, very impressive," Yost said. "I mean really impressive. I mean really, really impressive."
by MadJimiBrewha on
Jun 27, 2008 2:45 PM CDT
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Torres, I'm sure
Branyan, who knows?
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 27, 2008 2:53 PM CDT
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crap!
Torres will price himself out of our market probably, now that he’s a “proven closer.” We’ll be able to get Shouse back, I’m sure, and don’t really care about Mota, but man it’d be nice to have Torres for next year.
by warwick5s on
Jun 27, 2008 3:18 PM CDT
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Torres
does have an option for next year, I’m not sure on the money amount.
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 27, 2008 3:27 PM CDT
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Player or club?
"He's been very, very impressive," Yost said. "I mean really impressive. I mean really, really impressive."
by MadJimiBrewha on
Jun 27, 2008 3:36 PM CDT
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Team option
around $4 mil
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 27, 2008 3:55 PM CDT
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$3.75, with a $0.3 buyout
so essentially a $3.5MM decision. If his arm doesn’t literally fall off, I think we’ll be exercising that one.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Jun 27, 2008 3:56 PM CDT
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from fruit loops and bile AKA the other BCB
“These other teams, (if you are talking about the Brewers), have no reason to even realistically try to get Sabathia. The Brewers are interested mainly to drive up the price for the Cubs & Angels. Most other teams won’t have the dollars to sign Sabathia. The Cubs have a unique combination of money & prospects.”
by ol Pete on
Jun 27, 2008 2:05 PM CDT
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Literally laughed out loud there
(and everyone around me wondered what the heck was going on)
"He's been very, very impressive," Yost said. "I mean really impressive. I mean really, really impressive."
by MadJimiBrewha on
Jun 27, 2008 2:12 PM CDT
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haven't been over there in a while, this is a good one
Go visit the Evil BCB sometime.
They actually follow Cubs games and fly the L flag when the Cubs lose. Seriously. For this reason alone, I wouldn’t mind seeing Wrigley Field do away with it.
by dat cubfan daver on Jun 27, 2008 11:23 AM
Um Daver
I prefer to refer to them as the "totally weak assed, bitch and moan, we ban people for thinking otherwise her BCB".
Don’t know who you are referring to!
by Kinky Reggae on Jun 27, 2008 11:38 AM CDT
by warwick5s on
Jun 27, 2008 2:19 PM CDT
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I hadn't been over there in a while either
Its so hard to visit because there are always numerous long protracted pissing matches over anything or nothing.
by ol Pete on
Jun 27, 2008 2:24 PM CDT
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well...they gotta love
that we’ve started to fly an anti-Cards banner too:)
In any case, can we give the Indians (or Royals) two draft picks or players-to-be-named later:P
by PagsBrewCrew on
Jun 27, 2008 2:27 PM CDT
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man, are we ever powerful
He wants to see them do away with the flag simply because we’re flying it, too? Awesome.
by Zeyes on
Jun 27, 2008 3:09 PM CDT
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well...
it is a unique combination of money and prospects, of sorts. Though probably not in the way that fellow meant.
by Zeyes on
Jun 27, 2008 3:06 PM CDT
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Seem to think that
Jason Marquis, Eric Patterson, Rich Hill, Matt Murton and a few others can get Greinke, Harden or Sabathia.
I enjoy being the fan of the team with good prospects and little money more than I would being the fan of the team with loads of money and no prospects.
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 27, 2008 3:57 PM CDT
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Cubs feel like a long shot on Sabathia to me...
...and it would probably take a package starting with Sean Gallagher, maybe adding in a catching prospect like Castillo or Donaldson. Even then, if I were the Indians I’d probably rather have LaPorta or Gamel, depending on how I projected Gamel at third.
by cwyers on
Jun 27, 2008 7:39 PM CDT
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Wouldn't it make more sense
to target an elite reliever rather than a starter, assuming we’re looking to give up prospects? We already have an above average rotation anchored by one of the best pitchers in the National League (in the middle of a Cy Young season if he stays healthy and Volzquez falls back down to earth).
On the other hand, we have one reliever in our entire bullpen who doesn’t hemorrhage runs in every appearance. Our bullpen currently has a higher ERA than our starting rotation, which certainly can’t be good. If our defeat in 1982 has taught us anything, it’s not to rely on a single reliever!
"My thing is that you guys eat meat all day and you can't hit a ball. That's my thing." - P. Fielder
by SRB on
Jun 27, 2008 4:37 PM CDT
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im not sure who SRB meant in his post...
but Fuentes, Rafael Perez, and Heath Bell could all be had at the trade deadline for the right price.
Come check out BrewersNation, a new Brewers blog that keeps you up to date on ALL Brewers news and rumors.
by jimmyb1799 on
Jun 27, 2008 4:57 PM CDT
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I don't know about Bell...
Hoffman seems to be quickly running out of gas and Bell may be stepping in soon.
by brewfan2 on
Jun 27, 2008 5:03 PM CDT
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yes, but...
the padres GM Kevin Towers is not one to leave anyone untouchable when they are struggling so much. it wouldn’t be worth the haul we’d have to give up, but i think bell could be had if DM reeeeally wanted him. oh…i think rafael betancourt is available too. along with huston street, obviously.
Come check out BrewersNation, a new Brewers blog that keeps you up to date on ALL Brewers news and rumors.
by jimmyb1799 on
Jun 28, 2008 9:04 AM CDT
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I think you mean
FUentes
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 27, 2008 6:13 PM CDT
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I traded for Bell on MLB '08: The Show
He’s my best set-up guy.
Though, the Rays also accepted my trade offer of Dave Bush straight up for: Scott Kazmir.
And I got Lincecum for, I think, Bill Hall.
I love that game. :)
by NoahJ on
Jun 29, 2008 1:10 AM CDT
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I'm not sure
I didn’t have anyone in mind when I posted, and maybe there aren’t any quality relievers available. But if we’re talking about trading our top prospects for a rental, it seems like Sabathia would be less useful than a reliever this season.
Off the top of my head, the Mariners would probably be willing to discuss Putz, though I’m not necessarily saying that would be a good idea what with his injuries and performance this season.
"My thing is that you guys eat meat all day and you can't hit a ball. That's my thing." - P. Fielder
by SRB on
Jun 27, 2008 8:27 PM CDT
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You don't trade prospects for relievers
Unless we’re talking Eck or Rivera in their primes. The others just fall apart so quick it isn’t worth the risk. You can trade spare parts or guys that just don’t fit your philosophy but legitimate prospects should never be moved for a reliever.
by Getting Yosted on
Jun 27, 2008 5:04 PM CDT
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This is a rental, correct?
You don’t sign relievers to long contracts, but even if we traded for Sabathia it would only be for the remainder of this season.
"My thing is that you guys eat meat all day and you can't hit a ball. That's my thing." - P. Fielder
by SRB on
Jun 27, 2008 8:22 PM CDT
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Bullpen/starter ERA
Lucky for us the Cardinals are in the same boat, except their rotation ERA is 3.95 vs. a bullpen ERA of 4.30. The Brewers have 4.08 and 4.12, respectively.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on
Jun 27, 2008 5:28 PM CDT
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Visiting Cubs fan, so take this with a grain of salt.
But I’m presuming – just looking at B-Ref – that your rotation is Sheets, Parra, Suppan, McClung and Bush, not necessarily in that order – but I’m confident that Bush is last in that alignment.
Since we’re talking a rental situation – and let’s ignore for a second externalities like draft picks – the main thing you want to look at is value over Dave Bush. If you get Sabathia, then you turn Dave Bush into a reliever, and Bush probably wouldn’t be a bad reliever; pitchers generally do better when they move to the pen.
In that sense, you get by far the most value out of Sabathia. You get a lot more innings, if nothing else.
by cwyers on
Jun 27, 2008 7:35 PM CDT
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Hey, folks, just stopping in from Let’s Go Tribe. Former MKE resident, big Brew Crew fan.
I won’t presume to speak for Mark Shapiro—as a general rule, we know which guys he’s going to trade, but not his targets. That said, what’s happened to the Indians is a minor failure, for various reasons, of a generation of position player talent that was supposed to be contributing now. (Let’s put it this way: Mildly talented guys like Francisco, Choo, and Garko were not supposed to be keystones in our lineup at this point.)
We’ve probably got the arms for 2009, but with Victor Martinez’s health in question, and Travis Hafner’s entire career up in the air, we’ve got some big offensive holes to fill at the ML level. So I can say with reasonable confidence that we’re shopping for high-ceiling corner bats ready no later than next year. I won’t pretend to be well-read about your system, but you’ve got to figure this will take at least one of your upper-level, top-flight bats. Otherwise, what’s the point? We’ve got some guys who should be ready in 2010, 2011; it’s next year we’re worried about.
by fleerdon on
Jun 27, 2008 7:48 PM CDT
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LaPorta could definitely be ready to start next year
He fits what the Indians want, he’s cheap, ready to start next year, can play 3/4 of the corner positions, and he has tremendous power (he might lead the whole minors in homers this year). The question is whether we want to give him up for a rental like Sabathia, if there are any pitchers available who have years left on their contract. Though we are in the race this year, we’re in the same boat in regards to money and window of opportunity.
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 28, 2008 8:12 AM CDT
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I get where you’re coming from. I’d be salivating over the chance to see the Brewers’ current class of hitters mature at the same time myself.
I will say this. My experiences, particularly over the last 4 years, tell me, if you’ve got the right chance in baseball, you have to take it. “Windows of opportunity” look a lot longer when you’re in the race and guys are healthy. Take the Indians’ 2007 vs. 2008 as a cautionary tale though: You really don’t ever know when your two of your three best hitters and two of your top three starters will all go down in the same season, and teams like ours don’t have the resources to fill those holes on the fly. I understand that you guys aren’t the ones pulling the trigger, but knowing what I know now … I get why the Brewers would do this, too.
by fleerdon on
Jun 28, 2008 2:07 PM CDT
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As an aside, about Sabathia’s price: We’ve debated this at length over at LGT, and here’s what we came up with.
1. C.C.’s really, really good. I know this seems like a given, but he’s as likely as anybody to be the very best pitcher in the game over any given stretch of the season. The team that gets him is getting a healthy, high-strikeout, low-walk, high-innings guy in his prime who slots at #1 anywhere he goes.
2. He doesn’t have any no-trade protection. Meaning that (unlike with Santana) nearly every contender, irrespective of market size, is going to at least kick the tires on him. Why wouldn’t they? He can patch a hole in an rotation, or replace a 5th starter with an ace. So it’s not just a matter of making a fair trade, but there’s an element of out-bidding the competition as well.
Do I sound gleeful about all this? I hope not. It sucks. Everybody’s hurt and our best player is leaving town. But I think we’ll discover as the deadline draws closer that the question for the Brewers isn’t whether the price for Sabathia is going to be one of the top-tier, upper-level bats - it almost certainly will be - but instead whether 2008 is promising enough to take that chance.
by fleerdon on
Jun 28, 2008 2:22 PM CDT
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brad nelson
could also interest the indians if they want a corner infield bat that is ready to go. he’s blocked in the milwaukee system, but he’s been raking in triple-A throughout 2008 thus far.
Come check out BrewersNation, a new Brewers blog that keeps you up to date on ALL Brewers news and rumors.
by jimmyb1799 on
Jun 28, 2008 9:06 AM CDT
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Nelson is a throw-in kind of guy
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 28, 2008 9:14 AM CDT
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Shhh...
Seriously though – I guess that would make Nelson the Kevin Mench of such a trade. So who’d be the Francisco Cordero-equivalent we’d have to give up? Sabathia is great, but I think I’m feeling a little uncomfortable giving up 38 months of production by a potentially elite hitter like LaPorta or Gamel for just 2 months of Sabathia’s. Heck, I’m feeling uncomfortable giving up 20 months of Prince Fielder’s production for it…shame that LaPorta and Gamel aren’t a year further along the development path, or a Fielder/Sabathia switch would make a ton more sense.
by Zeyes on
Jun 28, 2008 11:41 AM CDT
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I know everyone knows already
but I wouldn’t mind giving any of that up for 15 months of Zack Greinke. :)
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 28, 2008 12:27 PM CDT
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I'm impressed
Here you are, convincing everyone you’re still in high school, but really, you are Zach Greinke’s agent.
Well done, sir.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Jun 28, 2008 12:43 PM CDT
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I agree
Those two extra years would change the picture dramatically for me, too. I know this is a Sabathia thread, but since we’re meandering already – I like your LaPorta/Salome/Gillespie package posted up-thread, but I really have no idea if that’s what KC might be looking for. Does anybody have a handle on what exactly their system needs are?
by Zeyes on
Jun 28, 2008 12:43 PM CDT
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well...
the very-long term solutions they have are Alex Gordon (3B) and Billy Butler (DH). The medium-term solutions they have are DeJesus (CF), Gathright (4th OF, really), Teahen (RF now, has been moved around), and John Buck©.
almost all of their prospect that matter are pitchers, the exception is Mike Moustakas, a high school pick from last year’s draft.
In other words, they could use at least one, maybe two more corner guys, and a middle infielder would be welcome as well. (They might still have faith in Pena Jr., but that would be insane; some are excited about Mike Aviles, but figuring him in long-term plans is almost as insane.)
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Jun 28, 2008 12:57 PM CDT
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Man
The Buck family is really, really protective of their name, huh?
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on
Jun 28, 2008 1:09 PM CDT
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John Buck (C) =
John Buck©... didn’t know he was copyrighted there :)
Also, someone posted this package on BF.net:
LaPorta
Escobar or Salome
Then 2 of any of these prospects:
Gillespie, Cain, Brantley, Gwynn, Irribarren, Nelson, Lucroy, Brewer, Braddock or the Lefties in AAA and AA
for
Greinke
and relief pitcher
Brantley is too valuable to be in that third line, but regardless, that’s a package the Royals would have a hard time turning down.
Also, I think all of my links are going to start leading here, and my signature on this site will be [subliminal] Trade for Zack Greinke [/subliminal]
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 28, 2008 1:12 PM CDT
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thanks guys
I’d hate to give up Escobar…I’m not as down on JJ Hardy as some others, but I’m optimistic that Escobar will be a better option going forward. I’d also prefer to keep a potential trade as being for Greinke only…paying extra just to get a random reliever thrown in strikes me as silly. There aren’t any bullpen issues which can’t be fixed simply by virtue of Greinke pushing either Bush of McClung back into the pen.
Oh, and agreed on Brantley.
by Zeyes on
Jun 28, 2008 1:24 PM CDT
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Also agree on Escobar
I think John Buck© isn’t their long term solution, so they’d probably take Salome.
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 28, 2008 1:30 PM CDT
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But...
What if the random reliever is this guy? We could have Ryan Z. Braun pitching after Ryan J. Braun hit a go-ahead home run!
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on
Jun 28, 2008 1:36 PM CDT
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You know
That’s only gonna make it confusing when you tell everyone about my obsession with Ryan J. Braun, goofus
"Brett Favre looks like a man in a parking lot playing with boys." - John Madden
"Pujols just unloaded." - Bob Uecker
by kirbir on
Jun 28, 2008 5:08 PM CDT
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we already know that you can handle more than one...
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Jun 28, 2008 5:20 PM CDT
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on a semi-related note
I never realized (until yesterday) that we actually had both Corey Harts playing in Nashville in the second half of 2005… That must have been confusing.
by Zeyes on
Jun 28, 2008 5:39 PM CDT
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sure they'd take that
heaven forbid they are offered anything like that though
by ol Pete on
Jun 28, 2008 2:45 PM CDT
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Haha, that would be a curious return for the most valuable rent-a-starter at the deadline, inasmuch as we’ve already got Brad Nelson, and his name is Ryan Garko. Though I commend your chutzpah.
by fleerdon on
Jun 28, 2008 2:11 PM CDT
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Actually
Garko is almost certainly better.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Jun 28, 2008 2:29 PM CDT
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Sabathia would be nice
and so would Greinke, but we already have an ace better than both of them.
If we’re talking about shopping some of out top prospects, I still think we need to at least consider relief options. I know none have been advertised, but a lot of teams would be willing to listen if the likes of LaPorta/Gamel/Escobar are involved. There is no way either Bush or McClung fixes our bullpen; Bush is at best a long reliever in that role, and we’ve all seen how McClung performs in a relief role.
Shopping for a luxury like Greinke or Sabathia should have second priority when there is already a huge hole in the team.
"My thing is that you guys eat meat all day and you can't hit a ball. That's my thing." - P. Fielder
by SRB on
Jun 28, 2008 4:07 PM CDT
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Sabathia is probably better than Sheets
by brewfan2 on
Jun 28, 2008 4:25 PM CDT
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And it doesn't matter.
There’s no “ace” role on a team. Sabathia would effectively be replacing Bush or McClung, which would represent a HUGE improvement. 1/3 of a season from Sabathia means we drastically improve 10-12 starts—say at least 60 innings, maybe as many as 80.
A top-notch reliever like Heath Bell would also represent a huge improvement over the worst member of the pen, but probably wouldn’t get more than 20-25 innings. They’d be highly leveraged (one hopes), but that also depends on Ned managing the bullpen well … if somebody like Bell showed up, do you really think Mota/Gagne/setup man du jour would stop getting important 8ths? Or that newguy would go in in the 7th or 8th of tie games?
By contrast, I don’t think Ned would screw up giving Sabathia the ball every fifth day and letting him pitch for several innings.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Jun 28, 2008 4:32 PM CDT
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Of course
Sabathia would be a huge improvement to the team, he would improve any team in the major leagues. My point is that we don’t need to pay the exorbitant price for Sabathia when we already have an (arguably) better “ace” and an above average rotation. A reliever would still be more cost effective to this team.
Using total innings as a comparison doesn’t make any sense, of course a starter is going to contribute more raw innings to the ballclub, that doesn’t mean Dave Bush is more valuable than K-Rod. And I’m not a huge fan of Yost either, but even he wouldn’t be putting Mota into hold situations if there were significantly better options available. We can’t give up on acquiring talented players because we think Yost would mismanage them.
An upgrade at the end of the game would be comparably valuable to this team as an upgrade over Dave Bush, but would come much, much cheaper than a Sabathia rental.
"My thing is that you guys eat meat all day and you can't hit a ball. That's my thing." - P. Fielder
by SRB on
Jun 28, 2008 5:11 PM CDT
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Of course total innings makes sense...
No additional lights-out reliever is going to help us one bit if Bush leaves the game after 5 innings with the Crew trailing 3-5. That’s where replacing him with Sabathia produces its value – in not putting the burden on the bullpen as much to begin with, at least one-fifth of the time.
Also, to expand on Jeff’s point…not only would Sabathia replace Bush or McClung, but also Bush/McClung would be replacing the worst member of the bullpen, so that already cuts a bit into the incremental value provided by Heath Bell or whomever. There’s simply no way that Bush in a relief role (especially if properly used, since you’re making that assumption for a Bell-type as well) can possibly give back enough to not make a Sabathia pickup the more worthwhile choice. We’re only talking about something like 5 runs here between Bush and Bell, post-trading deadline.
One can argue that 25 innings reliever innings may be had more cheaply on a per-inning basis than ~60 Sabathia innings, but if the premise is “this year we’re going for it” (otherwise, why think about even picking up that reliever?) that approach doesn’t make a lot of sense. Having the All-Cost-Efficiency Team doesn’t win you anything. Now, if one were to argue that two (or hell, three) Heath Bell types could realistically be acquired for a similar price as one Sabathia because they don’t come with that “overpay now, ‘cuz he’s the best thing available at the deadline!” tag…
by Zeyes on
Jun 28, 2008 6:06 PM CDT
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I would argue
our bullpen is more of a liability, to the point of costing us more games, than Bush and McClung starting (both of whom, by the way, have been pitching extremely well as of late). McClung for whatever reason is much worse as a reliever, and I can’t see Bush being solid in one inning stints. Sabathia is a lot less impressive when his 5-3 leads turn into losses after he leaves the game.
And for the record, I’m not advocating any big trade. A “win-now” mentality is stupid if it results in trading away our best prospects. A cost-efficient team doesn’t win anything? If you can get the same level of improvement from a mid-cost reliever (which is my premise, whether it be right or wrong) then why go the most expensive route possible?
"My thing is that you guys eat meat all day and you can't hit a ball. That's my thing." - P. Fielder
by SRB on
Jun 28, 2008 7:35 PM CDT
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In my opinion
Sheets is a much better pitcher aside from his “injury risk.” Wins are a useless statistic.
"My thing is that you guys eat meat all day and you can't hit a ball. That's my thing." - P. Fielder
by SRB on
Jun 28, 2008 5:14 PM CDT
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You must not have ever watched Sabathia pitch.
To claim that Sheets is much better than a Cy Young award winner in his prime seems a little ridiculous.
by brewfan2 on
Jun 28, 2008 5:51 PM CDT
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Have you seen Sheets pitch?
Sabathia won the Cy Young because he plays for a good team and gets a lot of wins. I don’t see a single statistic that Sheets isn’t better in this season, averaged over the last five seasons, or averaged over their careers.
"My thing is that you guys eat meat all day and you can't hit a ball. That's my thing." - P. Fielder
by SRB on
Jun 28, 2008 7:43 PM CDT
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Mass?
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 28, 2008 7:44 PM CDT
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Neck size to baby eating ratio?
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 28, 2008 8:49 PM CDT
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Sabathia and Sheets both have a 115 ERA+ after 8 years in the majors. You might consider that Sabathia is two years younger, has been on the D.L. for only a few short stints (none of them shoulder, arm, back, or hip injuries), and has been facing 9-man lineups. I’ve seen C.C. at his worst, so I’m trying to agree with you, but this is a toss-up at best.
The single stat in which C.C. is better this season, averaged over the last 5 years, and averaged over their careers? Innings pitched.
by fleerdon on
Jun 28, 2008 9:15 PM CDT
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Yes, their career ERA+ is the same
But since Sheets has a higher ERA+ over the past 5 years, a higher career best ERA+ (including Sabathia’s Cy Young season), and a better ERA+ this season, I would give the edge to Sheets.
As for injuries, Sheets gets an unfair rap for relatively “bad luck” injuries. He’s had trouble staying healthy, but going forward I would say Sabathia has an equal chance of getting hurt considering his frame. History favors Sabathia regarding IP, but I don’t think you can say he’s more of an athletic workhorse than Sheets is.
Factor in a superior career/5-year/seasonal unadjusted ERA, K/9, K/BB, and WHIP, and personally I like Sheets as a better pitcher. I realize I might be a little biased though.
"My thing is that you guys eat meat all day and you can't hit a ball. That's my thing." - P. Fielder
by SRB on
Jun 28, 2008 9:57 PM CDT
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I think we should
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 28, 2008 4:43 PM CDT
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what about....
putting together a package like LaPorta – Salome – Fredrickson?
would someone like a lorenzo cain need to be thrown in, or would that do the trick? fredrickson is a high-risk, high-reward player…but he could be dominate.
would the indians be interested in someone like Omar Aguilar (even though he’s struggled since getting called up to Huntsville) or Luis Pena to fill the closer’s role in the future?
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by jimmyb1799 on
Jun 28, 2008 5:31 PM CDT
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Draft picks can't be traded
until 12 months after the draft.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Jun 28, 2008 5:37 PM CDT
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PTBNL
Can’t they just package them as a Player to be Named Later and agree on principle?
by SgtClueLs on
Jun 29, 2008 9:25 AM CDT
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Yeah
But that’s generally for players who will clear the 12-month barrier soon.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 29, 2008 11:17 AM CDT
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I think the time limit is 6 months
for the PTBNL to be named, so that definitely rules out any fresh draft picks for a deadline deal.
by Zeyes on
Jun 29, 2008 1:20 PM CDT
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If you're going to give up LaPorta and Salome
why not target someone with more than a half year left on his contract? I’m drawing a blank on names right now. Maybe Matt Cain?
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 28, 2008 6:22 PM CDT
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that rule
should be changed.
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by jimmyb1799 on
Jun 28, 2008 6:02 PM CDT
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LaPorta vs. Gamel
I like both these guys and wish that one of them could stick at a position other than 1B, but that probably won’t happen, which means that if we acquire someone (either one, really) like Greinke or Sabathia in a trade to put us ‘over the top’ - either in 2008 or 2009/10 - it seems like we should deal one of them.
The question for me, then, is why people seem to prefer dealing LaPorta to Gamel, which, looking at the comments here, seems to be the vast majority. ‘Gamel is more athletic’ has been mentioned, and perhaps there is the idea that Gamel will be able to hit .300 in the big leagues, but the fact that LaPorta has (what I like to call) an ISOBP (OBP-AVG) of about .120 right now has me thinking that I’d rather have him than Gamel, whose defensive future is further from being resolved, if nothing else. LaPorta seems to have a clearer defensive path than Gamel, and more advanced ‘plate approach’ than anyone associated with the Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Club right now, and that includes Prince Fielder.
I’d definitely do a Gamel/Salome/??? package for Greinke, and maybe even Sabathia (because I think that Sabathia would be better for us this year, but Greinke better in the long run). I’d see if LaPorta can cut it in RF for 1-2 years while he is still young and then when Prince walks or gets traded after 2009 or 2010, move LaPorta to 1B. He might be a signficant defensive upgrade over Prince when that happens, and still hit .290/.390/.550 with 40+ HR.
Thoughts?
by baumann on
Jun 29, 2008 1:14 AM CDT
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Painting them with the same brush defensively is a mistake
Saying that Gamel is more athletic is a proxy for the fact that, should he have to move off third, he is not limited to first base. In essence, LaPorta is a first baseman stretched as a corner outfielder, while Gamel is a corner outfielder stretched as a third baseman. You are correct in that LaPorta has the more (and most) polished plate approach, but that’s not really the question. The question is, which of the two will have the bigger net contribution when offense and defense are accounted for? LaPorta is probably going to be a lefty ringer for Pat Burrell, including defensively, while Gamel could end up being Corey Hart with more walks.
Personally, I think they’re both fairly expendable. It would be nice to know what the team plans to do with center field next year, and whether one of Hart, Braun, or Gamel could handle it capably.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 29, 2008 2:21 AM CDT
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One thing I've been wondering lately...
exactly how bad was Corey Hart’s defense during his two years at third base? Corey is good enough to fake center field right now and would likely manage to become at least adequate to league-average if he was playing the position fulltime, but right now I’d have a hard time envisioning Gamel anywhere close to that quality of defense. But it’s quite possible I’m underestimating the defensive dropoff between 3B and CF, so I’d be interested how Gamel and Hart compare during their respective stints at 3B…
In any case, I kinda sympathize with the “at least with LaPorta we’re closer to knowing what his defensive capabilities will ultimately be” part of baumann’s argument.
by Zeyes on
Jun 29, 2008 4:01 AM CDT
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Shouldn't post at 2:30 AM
By “lefty ringer for Burrell”, I of course meant “righty ringer”, since Burrell is left-handed.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 29, 2008 4:48 PM CDT
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I'm confused
Isn’t Burrell a righty too.
by brewfan2 on
Jun 29, 2008 5:12 PM CDT
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Haha, yes he is
Just ignore me.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
Jun 29, 2008 5:28 PM CDT
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It really is close
I agree that LaPorta will probably be a more productive hitter in the big leagues. One factor that might seem kinda unimportant but could be big in the eyes of the Brewers is Gamel’s left-handedness. If LaPorta replaced Prince at some point, there isn’t a lefty bat in the lineup. Gamel and Brantley are the only lefty prospects in the AA lineup. If it’s that close, I think Melvin and the Brewers would rather keep a lefty stick.
LaPorta’s trade value might be higher as well for a team like Kansas City that has extremely little power in the lineup.
I don’t think you can go wrong with either of them, they’re both going to be exceptional big league hitters. While thinking about this, I’ve gone back and forth about five times on which one I’d rather keep.
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 29, 2008 8:53 AM CDT
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that's a good point about left-handedness.
i also like what BK said about Gamel being a corner OF stretched as a 3B. those two points alone kind of tip the scale for me—that and realizing that i fall in love with/get attached to (way too easily) anyone that has an ‘advanced plate approach’.
at the same time, if Gamel’s athleticism makes him a RF of the future and LaPorta a 1B of the future, it would be pretty sick to sandwich Gamel’s lefty bat with LaPorta and Braun. that could be like 120 HR in the middle of the lineup for several years on end.
it doesn’t seem like we can go wrong by keeping these guys, or by trading one of them for a Greinke/Sabathia type. we are in a pretty good situation right now, it seems.
by baumann on
Jun 29, 2008 4:10 PM CDT
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jonathan sanchez
has been gaining some real helium in the past month. he struggled in may, but has been very good in june. he’s not an ace or anything, but he’s a pitcher with a real upside. and it wouldn’t cost gamel or laporta.
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by jimmyb1799 on
Jun 29, 2008 9:14 PM CDT
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Giants fans don’t seem to agree that it wouldn’t cost LaPorta
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
by Jordan M on
Jun 29, 2008 9:23 PM CDT
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fans always have inflated opinions
of their own players. that is, unless his name is bill hall.
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by jimmyb1799 on
Jun 30, 2008 1:33 AM CDT
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Fielder, Parra and Gallardo
as well as Escobar and Gamel are names that I hear included in groups of prospects that fans talk about getting.
Inflated is an understatement.
by ol Pete on
Jun 30, 2008 10:55 AM CDT
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