Wednesday's Frosty Mug
by Kyle Lobner on Jul 16, 2008 8:11 AM CDT
Email
PrintAll-Star Game Win Probability
BR doesn't appear to have a box score.
Aside from, of course, the ridiculously covered All-Star game, the biggest Brewer news is probably the new infield the team will be playing on when they return home from the break. It can't hurt.
Bodog Sports has the Brewers at 7:2 odds to win the NL (second best, behind the Cubs) and 12:1 to win the World Series, tied for fifth with the White Sox.
Riding the Pine gives the Brewers a B- for their first half. They should've done more extra credit to see if they could sneak up to a B.
No injuries today (thankfully), so let's go straight to the other news: Even though the game went 15 innings and both teams ran out of players, Tim Lincecum couldn't pitch last night and had to check into the hospital due to flulike symptoms. That's a tough break. Does anyone remember a few years ago when Greg Vaughn was the only position player who didn't play in the game because he got food poisoning at the All-Star Gala?
In the other dugout, AL manager Terry Francona said he thought Scott Kazmir, who wasn't supposed to pitch at all, still had an inning or two left, but if the game continued past that he was ready to turn to J.D. Drew.
Which is more valuable: 3 solid bullpen arms or one dominant closer? Skyking162 is on the case.
Yesterday was TheJay's birthday. He spent it writing a post about team LOB percentages for Recondite Baseball. Could someone please help him learn how to appropriately spend a birthday?
Roy Halladay is upset with the Jays annual return to mediocrity. He's taken less money to stay, eaten a ton of innings and pitched Cy Young caliber baseball for years on middle of the road teams so I understand why he's upset, but pitching in Toronto does have one added perk: topless women in the outfield.
That doesn't happen at Yankee Stadium, I'd guess, although there is a NASA Gigapan you can check out if you want to make sure.
Alyssa Milano is done dating baseball players. Thankfully, if players are forced to date someone with less baseball savvy, the Mets are offering a seminar to teach women about baseball.
Got Facebook? Good. Go become a fan of Brew Crew Ball. You can add your photos, videos and other stuff and it won't get washed away like the Fanshots and Fanposts do.
Drink up.
34 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
happy belated birthday jay!
"If there is a more reactionary blog with idiotic commentary out there I'd be surprised." -On Bleed Cubbie Blue
He won't see it until Sunday night
As he is cavorting around D.C. with his aunt.
But I agree, he needs to learn how to appropriately spend a birthday… or time with me… or both…
"Brett Favre looks like a man in a parking lot playing with boys." - John Madden
"Pujols just unloaded." - Bob Uecker
The A’s partnered with a local hospital group to teach a baseball seminar for women a while back. While that’s all well and good, I guess going about it the old fashioned way by oh I don’t know, reading books and watching games and observing the sport is passe. It’s how I learned, and somehow by the grace of god I kept all my feminine attributes at the same time!
"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jul 16, 2008 10:21 AM CDT reply actions
Brewers do it too..
They have that event sponsored by UWM Brewers Basic Baseball for Women
I know a few ladies who went last year. Said it was rad. They need to have a dudes baseball thing, so I can be a sausage again, and warm up in the bullpen.
I’m a Baron like Baron Davis is a Baron.
And yes I am female.
"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jul 16, 2008 1:21 PM CDT up reply actions
I learned about baseball the same way. I can’t argue about the utility of these seminars if they prevent at least one incident of being stuck at a game next to some guy trying to explain baseball to his completely baseball-ignorant SO.
by morineko on Jul 16, 2008 11:43 AM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Hear here.
Rec’d.
Derek Jeter is day to day after being hit by a pitch and being gorilla press slammed by a Bizarro Ray.
by Kyle Lobner on Jul 16, 2008 11:55 AM CDT up reply actions
That’s a good point. Part of my brain dies when I overhear the guys who think they know what they’re talking about to their SOs but just end up saying a bunch of incorrect stuff. Ignorance isn’t a sin, but giving incorrect info is pretty bad, to me.
"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jul 16, 2008 1:25 PM CDT up reply actions
Lets have an I-Spy game with the NASA Gigapan!
Who can be the first to find:
1 guy picking his nose
5 good-looking women
10 people looking like they don’t know how they got there (People holding beers excluded)
Others?
I'm excited about the new infield
I think it’ll make a significant difference and its good news especially for Suppan and Bush.
Southern League All-Star game-worn jersey are being auctioned off to benefit the Miracle League
The jerseys of Alcides Escobar, Angel Salome, Michael Brantley, Cole Gillespie, David Welch, and Patrick Ryan are all available. Most are $110, but Escobar’s is already at $260.
BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"
Southern League Jerseys
From the same place you can also get the game worn Ben Oglivie jersey for $95. I didn’t even realize he was a hitting coach in the minors.
by Infield Fly Rule on Jul 16, 2008 12:29 PM CDT up reply actions
Pink Bat Brewers Classic on FSN right now
5/14/06 game
"He's been very, very impressive," Yost said. "I mean really impressive. I mean really, really impressive."
Jorge de la Rosa!
Is it abnormal to remember random, obscure details about that game? Without looking it up, I instantly recall the winner and loser of that one (Chad Bradford).
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
Frosty Mug bonus link challenge! (non-baseball edition)
Try to read this headline without laughing.
(disclaimer: I do not read that or any other site involving “celebrity gossip”, ever. That was pointed out to me.)
Also, interesting in-depth breakdown of the bullpen at “Junkball Blues”. I like some of the ideas.
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
Nice article on Caleb Gindl (h/t Mass Haas at Brewerfan)
If some professional baseball scouts had it their way, Caleb Gindl would be pitching to minor league hitters rather than hitting against minor league pitchers.linkA left-hander whose fastball can reach 95 mph, Gindl was a hot commodity and top prospect at Pace High School in Florida.
The Milwaukee Brewers selected Gindl as an outfielder in the fifth round of the 2007 Major League Baseball Draft. The Boston Red Sox and other teams had other ideas for him, however.
“I could have gone as a pitcher,” said Gindl, who was the 161st overall pick and received a $144,900 signing bonus from Milwaukee.
“Boston called me in the fifth round and wanted me to go as a pitcher, but I told them, ‘No chance would I do that.’
“I love to hit and I love to play, and that’s what I want to do. One day, if I don’t make it as a hitter, I might try to go back and make it as a pitcher. As of right now, I just want to hit and play.”
BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"
I'm in the process of uploading Brewers highlights from the last couple of years
Working on first ML home runs now. Already did Prince’s inside-the-parker. Have to do Hart’s too. Any other suggestions?
BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"
Bill Hall pink bat
Russel Branyan’s park record
That’s about all I can think of off-hand
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
I already tried to find the Branyan video
But I think all video pre-2005 is deleted from mlb’s site, though the article still exists:
BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"
You guys can all upload movies and pics too
Just so you know.
BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"
Wow, I somehow already forgot about the second one
Good call.
BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"
Ace closer + "two schmucks" vs 3 3.75s
the analysis didn’t include the relative innings by them. Closer pitches 1 inning per leading game – lets just say 4 innings per week, the schmucks probably go to the minors or don’t get a lot of work, thus you rely on others in your bullpen to get the job done (who are probably below average as you’re spending all the cash on the elite arm). Plus, calling the “schmucks” league average is probably a stretch. If they’re throw-ins on a trade deal, chances are they’re going to be below replacement. So, you’re comparing 4 elite innings per week to about 10 solid innings.
the shmucks
I assumed the same number of innings pitched by all bullpen slot (or at least the top three spots). Whether the innings thrown by the replacement-level shmucks are all by the same two guys or a revolving door of guys doesn’t matter.
I’m confused by your third- and second-to-last sentences. The shmucks are not league-average. They are replacement level, which is about a 4.75 ERA for relievers. No team should have any relievers in its bullpen with a true-talent ERA worse than 4.75. (There will be many with actual ERAs above that level since reliever ERAs are so flukey.)
The main point was how valuable one ace reliever truly is. He’s worth 20 runs more than a 3.75 ERA ace and 36 runs more than replacement, while the 3.75 ERA reliever in the highest leverage role is only worth 16 runs better than replacement. The two setups guys are worth 12 and 10 runs more than replacement. Bullpen depth is a bit overrated. A stud is huge. (A true stud, that is.)
Thanks for the link, by the way, guys. Much appreciated.
fair enough
good defense;)
For some reason I was equating “replacement level” with “league average”
by PagsBrewCrew on Jul 16, 2008 1:43 PM CDT up reply actions
Seth Lintz debuted today for BRROK
Against the AZL Cubs- and the Brewers scored on a bunt inside the park homer after two errors. Awesome.
Get Odorizzi and Lintz up to Helena soon please, I don’t want them permanently damaged by the Arizona League.
And neck size to baby eating ratio.
Attanasio profile from SI (h/t Wisconsin Sports Bar).
BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"
Comments For This Post Are Closed
Secondary Sidebar
User Tools
FanPosts
Community blog posts and discussion.
Recent FanPosts
NL Central Standings
| W | L | PCT | GB | STRK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
Cincinnati
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
Houston
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
Milwaukee
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
Pittsburgh
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
St. Louis
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
(updated 2.15.2012 at 1:03 PM CST)
Certain photos copyright © 2012 by Associated Press or Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Associated Press and Getty Images is strictly prohibited.
