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Tuesday's Frosty Mug

Some days witty opening lines just don't write themselves. The Brewers were off yesterday, but there were 10 other MLB games, and you can see their Win Expectancy Graphs here.

The Brewers start a quick 2-game series with the Cardinals tonight, the two teams' last scheduled meeting in 2008. So what are our expectations? Tom H. says a split is good enough. Screw that. The Brewers can't bury the Cardinals this week, but going into Thursday's off day 5.5 games up would feel a lot better than 3.5.

MLB Fanhouse notes that the Cardinals still play several contending teams down the stretch, while the Brewers have 2 series each against the Reds and Pirates.

Adam McCalvy over at The Official Site has a mailbag up, and the first question is about Jason Kendall wearing down. Yes, it is a slow news day.

So the Brewers have sold out 21 straight games, and will likely (if they haven't already) sell out both games in the Cardinals series (or at least they would have, if the series was in Milwaukee. Oops). So what exactly is a sellout? Don Walker says the Brewers call a game a sellout if only individual tickets are available. I'm not sure where I got the impression that "sold out" meant no more tickets are available. Why would the Brewers want to advertise that all of their games are sold out if there are individual tickets left?

Today's Sabathia rumor comes from Jon Heyman, who heard from an unnamed source that Sabathia would prefer to play for the Giants. El Lefty Malo sees it as unlikely. Is playing close to home so important to CC that he'd spend the next 2-3 years playing on terrible rebuilding teams? Even with Sabathia and Lincecum, does anyone think the Giants would contend anytime before 2011?

Jayson Stark dropped the ball. Even with CC Sabathia, Ben Sheets and a choice between Parra, Bush or Suppan, he doesn't think the Brewers rank within the top five postseason rotations.

Maybe starting pitching is overrated. Recondite Baseball discovered that two former Brewers are among the pitchers with the worst game score ever to record a win.

The latest WhatIfSports Power Rankings have the Brewers 3rd, behind the Cubs and Rays. The Whisnant Rankings have them 9th.

I'm not usually one to self-promote, but again, slow news day: I'm enjoying the debate in this FanPost about how to select an MVP and Ryan Braun's qualifications.

Only two injuries to report:

Johnny Cueto is only expected to miss one start with his recent elbow trouble.
Carlos Guillen left last night's game with lower back spasms and is day to day.

I'm sure the Pirates thought only scoring 3 runs on 16 hits Sunday was bad, but the Dodgers now have a feat to compare: Last night they became just the 13th team ever to collect 13 hits without scoring any runs. So now the 2008 Dodgers have won a game where they didn't pick up a single hit, and been shut out on 13 hits.

In the meantime, their manager is blogging about carrying around tiny dogs.

Drink up.

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Maybe I'm reading it wrong but...

The Brewers are in St. Louis tonight and tomorrow so the sellout streak will not be effected.

by brewfan2 on Aug 26, 2008 9:34 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Fixed

Hence my decision to call it "screwing around" as opposed to "in-depth study."

by KLSnow on Aug 26, 2008 9:50 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I read the Haudricourt thing

but then I looked at the standings and the Mets and Phils are basically in the same spot as the Cards. Brewers have a bunch of games left against the Cubs, Mets and Phils.

by ol Pete on Aug 26, 2008 9:46 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Braun doing a Pujols and...

you guessed it, untuckage, make the St. Louis Post Dispatch.

That difference in the standings is mostly Milwaukee’s four-game sweep here in late July, a series that saw the Brewers take three in late innings and tap-dance as they did it. Whether it was Ryan Braun’s strut after his game-winning home run in the series finale or the Brewers’ celebratory untucking of their jerseys after each win, that series added heat to a percolating rivalry.

“We’re not fans of those guys,” one Cardinal said.

Which Card Mr. Post Dispatch writer?

by ol Pete on Aug 26, 2008 9:53 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Yay tap-dancing

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Aug 26, 2008 10:56 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

The only person that can come close to Snoopy's "Snoopy Dance"

is Xander.

"Brett Favre looks like a man in a parking lot playing with boys." - John Madden
"Pujols just unloaded." - Bob Uecker

by kirbir on Aug 26, 2008 5:17 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cardinals poster at the bottom of the article with a logical interpretation of the untucking

I think this says it all,

dave cobler August 26, 2008 6:34AM CST
The untucking of their shirts after a win does not do well to give the brewers a polished professional appearance, but it does send out a drum roll to the “beat” that vibrates “attitude”. That “drum beat” is a war cry message to the Cards and Cubs that says “I want a piece of the action” and to get it we’re going to do it by “beating” you. When they win a game, the shirt is untucked sending another drum roll that says we beat you today and you better be ready for battle tomorrow. For the opponent it may appear to be a bit rude, but it is a message and gives the Brewers an identity that puts me in mind of a “gas house gang”.

by juggernaut400 on Aug 26, 2008 3:51 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Probably that flippin' Ankiel.

"Get up, get up, get outta' here, GONE!!!"

by BrewerLover on Aug 26, 2008 8:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Non-baseball Question:

I got a grey and white kitty yesterday that is about five months old (grey on top, white stomach with a white stripe across its back).

Any good names?

Wait, what?

by NoahJ on Aug 26, 2008 10:04 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

If I had a cat, I'd name it Winkelsas

3 E (33, throwing, throwing, throwing)

by Jordan M on Aug 26, 2008 10:08 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Seconded

Hence my decision to call it "screwing around" as opposed to "in-depth study."

by KLSnow on Aug 26, 2008 10:40 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kendall

since it is gray and white.

by molitorfan on Aug 26, 2008 6:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cut off one of its legs and name it Tripod

BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"

by battlekow on Aug 26, 2008 6:58 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I used to have a gray cat

who lost his leg (gunshot wound, leg needed to be amputated). We named him Tripod.

by Oakland Brewer Fan on Aug 26, 2008 11:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jayson Stark

I can understand the 3 he ranked ahead of the Brewers, but to put the Red Sox in there is absolutely ridiculous. He argues that when Josh Beckett and Wakefield are healthy, blah, blah, blah… then dismisses the Brewers because Sheets is 1-5 in his last whatever.

Also, he says that the Cubs are the only team with 3 pitchers in the top 27 in OPS against. A commenter tells him he’s cherry picking his stats there because Derek Lowe would be the third Dodger pitcher, and he’s 28th in OPS against. Here’s what the guy said:

The Cubs are the only team with 3 pitchers in the top 27 in opponents OPS. But Zambrano is 27th and Lowe, the third Dodger, is 28th so is that really a distinction? Or is it something you threw together to make the stats justify your selection?

Stark responds:

First, I’m not “cherry-picking.” I’m making my case. That’s what we do when we argue about sports, right? I make my case.

3 E (33, throwing, throwing, throwing)

by Jordan M on Aug 26, 2008 10:07 AM CDT reply actions   1 recs

I love when the actual sportswriters get flustered when a commenter is smarter than they are.

Wait, what?

by NoahJ on Aug 26, 2008 10:24 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

totally...

cherry-picking? weak.

"I wore 37 in Tampa... my brother Marcus wore 37... my brother Sam wore 73... my nieces and nephews wear 37... It's a family thing." McClung

by Jamie in LA on Aug 26, 2008 11:29 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

didn't read the comments, but...

“They’re the only rotation that has three starters in the top 20 in strikeout ratio (a group that doesn’t include Zambrano, by the way)”

then why bother posting it? doesn’t he say that they lean on the top 3 pitchers, so that means you include big Z, and not the other-guy-that-made-top-20.

by PagsBrewCrew on Aug 26, 2008 11:42 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Awesome Erik Komatsu Interview

In yesterday’s link report

They talk about how his home runs are “Komalished”. That term needs to be given some glory, I think. Also, Erik Komatsu is a rapper.

3 E (33, throwing, throwing, throwing)

by Jordan M on Aug 26, 2008 10:28 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I really like this guy

At the end, the radio guy asked him when he was going to be in the majors… 2011? When?

Komatsu says, “Yeah, I’m planning on getting called up in September…” :)

3 E (33, throwing, throwing, throwing)

by Jordan M on Aug 26, 2008 10:29 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

He is indeed a rapper

My favorite is “Delmon Young #1”.

BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"

by battlekow on Aug 26, 2008 11:15 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Brewers sOPS+ rankings by position

Here’s where the Brewers have gotten the most production, relative to the rest of the league:

SS 125
LF 123
CF 121
1B 116
RF 106
2B 96
3B 88
C 87

I think that shows the value of Hardy and Cameron.

3 E (33, throwing, throwing, throwing)

by Jordan M on Aug 26, 2008 10:49 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

But it also shows the ineffectiveness of our 3B situation. I’m happy with Kendall performing at that level due to everything else he has apparently contributed and I guess I’ll take the almost average production out of 2B.

"He's been very, very impressive," Yost said. "I mean really impressive. I mean really, really impressive."

by MadJimiBrewha on Aug 26, 2008 11:17 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Options at 3rd Base, by OPS

Branyan: .928
Hall: .695
Counsell: .622
Gamel MLE: .769

I don’t think I need to clarify my stance on the issue.

Tues: George (34, throw) Mon: George 3 E (33, throwing, throwing, throwing)

by Jordan M on Aug 26, 2008 1:31 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Counsell?

:)

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Aug 26, 2008 4:59 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

As a SS, he's at 131 (Counsell drags the team shortstop sOPS+ down)

At third base, Hardy’s .820 OPS would be between Edwin Encarnacion (.810 OPS at 3B, 108 sOPS+) and Melvin Mora (.831, 113).

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Aug 26, 2008 5:31 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was just typing up an answer to that

You actually found the data, so I’ll just defer.

Tues: George (34, throw) Mon: George 3 E (33, throwing, throwing, throwing)

by Jordan M on Aug 26, 2008 5:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

St. Louis series

I also would prefer a two-game sweep, but I wouldn’t be too disappointed if they split.

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Aug 26, 2008 11:00 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Pictures of Gamel in his Sounds gear

Via Right Minded Online:

BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"

by battlekow on Aug 26, 2008 11:21 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Eesh

It looks like the crappy AAA team this year has really hurt Nashville’s attendance.

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Aug 26, 2008 11:24 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not to mention the guy in the 4th row far right is yawning, and the kid in the 2nd row on the aisle is sleeping. Look alive — that’s Mat Gamel, damnit!

by John Brew on Aug 26, 2008 11:53 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

attendance

What has hurt the attendance is the totally crappy stadium which is falling apart and is in the bad section of town. They are in dire need of new digs. They were lucky to have matched with the Brewers a few years ago but I would be shocked if the crew ended up back in Nashville next year.

Visit my baseball blog ...or else!

by dixieflatline on Aug 26, 2008 12:57 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Pretty funny

Its a week old but still got a good chuckle out of these comments:

The Brewers are a better defensive team than they were at this time last year, when Ryan Braun threw a ball over Prince Fielder’s head three times a week. But they’re still not very good. … Rickie Weeks is to left-thumb injuries what Amy Winehouse is to viral infections. … The Brewers are baseball’s best team in one-run games, which means either that they “know how to win” or are inordinately lucky. Take a guess where this numbers-inclined fellow stands on that issue. … Today’s incomprehensible Ned Yost batting-order machination, brought to you by Zoloft: continuing to jackhammer Weeks (.331 OBP) into the leadoff spot. Somebody pull Ned aside and let him know that having runners on base when the big boppers hit usually leads to more runs.

Link

The Bambi's Bombers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!

by 80badger on Aug 26, 2008 11:36 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

I wonder what that guy thinks Yost is supposed to do – put Cameron or Hardy atop the lineup? Start Durham everyday? Today’s diarrhea of the mouth, brought to you by Metamucil: Larry Dobrow’s “incomprehensible Ned Yost batting-order machinations.”

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Aug 26, 2008 1:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Let's ask David Pinto's lineup optimizer

It thinks Weeks should lead off against both RHP and LHP (I used 2005-07 splits, except for Braun, for whom I just used his 2008 splits, because last year’s are insane).

BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"

by battlekow on Aug 26, 2008 4:52 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is pretty funny

Nashville’s baseball beat writer on why players slap each other’s asses.

BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"

by battlekow on Aug 26, 2008 12:17 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Nice one, Erasmo

“But I think Erasmo Ramirez said it best when he pondered the question and then came back at me with this response: ‘I can’t think of a single reason why we do that,’ Ramirez said.”

I wonder if he’ll think about it more the next time he slaps.

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Aug 26, 2008 1:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sabbathia for the CY Young?!!

Link

Makes some interesting arguments. I like the idea!!

The Bambi's Bombers won because they played the game like kids! Let's do that again!!!

by 80badger on Aug 26, 2008 1:17 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

just read that myself

an author that makes the argument, in big bold letters, “why not”, might be stretching a bit though.

by PagsBrewCrew on Aug 26, 2008 1:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Projected Elias FA rankings

Sounds like this guy has pretty well figured out Elias’ formula. He has up the rankings for catchers and 1B/OF/DH; Mike Cameron qualifies as a Type B. Jason Kendall also would have been a Type B.

BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"

by battlekow on Aug 26, 2008 1:43 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Cameron is Type B?

Not what I would have expected.

Weird, but not weird.

Also, cheese.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Aug 26, 2008 5:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You have no concept.

(Of course, neither does Elias, many would say…)

by Zeyes on Aug 26, 2008 5:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's why it's kinda dumb to lump elite defensive center fielders in with 1B and corner outfielders

Tues: George (34, throw) Mon: George 3 E (33, throwing, throwing, throwing)

by Jordan M on Aug 26, 2008 5:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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