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Monday's Frosty Mug

Now I know why they call them the Dog Days of Summer. Yesterday: 95 degrees, heat index over 110. Today's forecast: 96, heat index over 110. If it stays like this I might die, but Gorman can't wait to go outside and lay in the driveway. (UPDATE: New pics of Gorman are up.)

Oh yeah, and the Brewers took 2 of 3 on the road.

Friday's Win Expectancy Graph
Friday's BR Box Score

Saturday's Win Expectancy Graph
Saturday's BR Box Score

Sunday's Win Expectancy Graph
Sunday's BR Box Score

Well, the road winning streak is over, stopped at 9 games, but Jim Powell notes that if not for the 9th inning collapse in Arizona a month ago, it would've been a franchise record 12 games coming into yesterday. You can also click that link for his thoughts on Rickie Weeks, Brett Favre and...Roger Federer? Really?

The Junkball Blues takes a look at Prince Fielder, and his climb back from disappointing to stellar in 2008.

Seamheads puts the Brewers at 20-1 odds to win the NL Central. BP Postseason Odds have the Brewers at 13.3%, which is slightly less than 3-in-20, so I guess that's close to fair. Spitting Seeds predicts the three NL division leaders will win their divisions and the Wild Card leader will win the Wild Card. Gutsy.

Phil Rogers ranks the Brewers 9th in his most recent power rankings, but that's actually 8th if you only count MLB teams. The Whisnant rankings at Dugout Central have been revamped and now list the Brewers 10th.

Dayn Perry says the Wild Card is hurting, not helping, baseball in 2008. One could say the same thing about Dayn Perry.

Jon Heyman lists the Brewers among the trade deadline winners. They must have won pretty big, because before the Sabathia trade Heyman hardly noticed their existence.

On injuries:

Mets OF Marlon Anderson has been placed on the DL with a hamstring strain.
A's RP Andrew Brown has been placed on the DL with biceps tendinitis.
Cards OF Chris Duncan will miss the rest of the season following surgery to replace a disc in his neck.
Nomar Garciaparra has been placed on the DL with a strained roster spot.
Ken Griffey, Jr. left Saturday's game with "heat-related cramping."
Royals 2B Mark Grudzielanek left Friday's game after colliding with 1B Russ Gload.
Reds IF/OF Jerry Hairston, Jr. will miss a couple of days at the very least with a sore hamstring.
Orlando Hernandez still needs a special shoe to throw the banana.
Mets SP John Maine won't be able to pitch through a strained rotator cuff after all. He's on the DL.
Phillies RP Rudy Seanez has been placed on the DL with shoulder and back soreness.
Braves RP Rafael Soriano has been placed on the DL for the third time in 2008 with elbow inflammation.

The first trade deadline has come and passed, of course, but trades are still available for those willing to wander through the obscure and byzantine procedures of post-deadline waiver trading. MLB Trade Rumors has a nice roundup of posts explaining the rules.

I'm a little disappointed in myself today. I just realized that Khalil Greene injured himself punching a storage chest and I completely failed to mention that he'd been attacked by THE SPAZZOSAURUS!

Drink up. Drink two, in fact. It's hot out there.

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The John Heyman link doesn't work for me

And I like the Junkball blues article, but the writer sure seems to think you can’t use the same word twice in the same article. He says “Prince”, “the slugger”, “the lefty first basemen”, etc.

And neck size to baby eating ratio.

by jihad on Aug 4, 2008 9:46 AM CDT reply reply   0 recs

Fixed

The difference between an h and a j is pretty big sometimes.

Hence my decision to call it "screwing around" as opposed to "in-depth study."

by KLSnow on Aug 4, 2008 9:57 AM CDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

In reference to Heyman's description's of Prince

The difference between an h and an l is pretty big sometimes too.

by Brendanukkah on Aug 4, 2008 10:07 AM CDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Skip Caray died :(

So sad

"Brett Favre looks like a man in a parking lot playing with boys." - John Madden
"Pujols just unloaded." - Bob Uecker

by kirbir on Aug 4, 2008 11:17 AM CDT reply reply   0 recs

have to say; jim powell's blog consistantly rules...

"I wore 37 in Tampa... my brother Marcus wore 37... my brother Sam wore 73... my nieces and nephews wear 37... It's a family thing." McClung

by Jamie in LA on Aug 4, 2008 12:21 PM CDT reply reply   0 recs

Rickie Weeks will ultimately be an All-Star second baseman in his career.

- Jim Powell

How long will it take is what I would ask.

by ol Pete on Aug 4, 2008 12:53 PM CDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

yeah; that is a stretch to be sure...

"I wore 37 in Tampa... my brother Marcus wore 37... my brother Sam wore 73... my nieces and nephews wear 37... It's a family thing." McClung

by Jamie in LA on Aug 4, 2008 1:09 PM CDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

brett favre question...

am i wrong, or has all the breaking news been from the national media; and not by the local media; that you would think would have a good relationship with brett…

"I wore 37 in Tampa... my brother Marcus wore 37... my brother Sam wore 73... my nieces and nephews wear 37... It's a family thing." McClung

by Jamie in LA on Aug 4, 2008 12:52 PM CDT reply reply   0 recs

i haven’t followed the story closely, but I get the impression that most of it comes through guys like Jay Glazer who is the Packers primary leak target. Mortenson has a relationship with Favre so he gets leaks from him.

Most of the local media hates Favre. Look at Jim Powell’s blog. That’s nasty stuff. The way I read it, he thinks it would be worth it to lose games rather than play Favre. Jeff doesn’t want me to use the words I prefer to describe him.

by ol Pete on Aug 4, 2008 12:57 PM CDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

NL central odds

so…cubs at 1/2
brewers at 1/20
cards at 1/115

so…each of the other 3 teams has a 14% chance of winning (1/7 each). So, brewers < astros? :P
unless it’s saying that we have a 1/20 chance of winning the NL crown. That being said, no one exceeds 1/5 other than the cubs…so…. AAA team?

by PagsBrewCrew on Aug 4, 2008 1:42 PM CDT reply reply   0 recs

Yup those people don’t get math- a lot like this story.

And neck size to baby eating ratio.

by jihad on Aug 4, 2008 2:37 PM CDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

I'd love to gamble at their casino

If they give me $20 for every $1 I bet on the brewers and $2 for every dollar I bet on the Cubs, I can safely put in $1 on each, come out even if the cubs win, and come out $18 richer if the Brewers win. Hell, I’ll put down $1000. Sure, I’m a big fat loser if the cards win, but maybe I can put down like 8 cents on them too and lose at most 8 cents on the dollar if the cubs take all. And in today’s economy, that’s probably safer than money in my bank!

by PagsBrewCrew on Aug 4, 2008 4:32 PM CDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

RE: Rickie Weeks

Powell makes a fair enough point on Weeks’ offensive struggles in pointing out the lack of minor league experience and playing at a small school.

Weeks is just a lightning rod when this team struggles because this team has seen so many guys come up through the minors and they’ve all been pretty good to great. Weeks was always the brass ring of the orginization and the highest draft pick of all of them, so they expect more than just average production. Myself included…..

With that said, I just don’t see how playing at a small school affects his ability to throw the ball from 2nd to 1st accurately on a DP. Also, he was drafted #2 overall. Aren’t most guys taken that high kind of rushed to majors a little bit? How long should they have kept him in the minors? I’m very, very afraid that Weeks is going to be 32 years old and everyone will still be raving about his “potential” and how he’s got “all of the tools” and he’s “still only 32” and stuff like that. At some point he just is what he is, no?

It is dangerous for an athlete to believe his own publicity, good or bad - Bob Uecker, 1982.

by Adam P on Aug 4, 2008 2:29 PM CDT reply reply   0 recs

The "small school, rushed to the big leagues"

theory works when you’re talking about his plate discipline, to a point. He didn’t see as many quality pitchers in the minors on the way up, so he frequently looks foolish/lost at the plate. You can call that part of his learning curve if you want, and as long as he shows improvement I’m willing to do it too. He’s not always showing improvement, though.

The fielding is a little more questionable, because ground balls hit to him in college and at low A should look somewhat similar to ground balls hit to him in the big leagues.

But the bigger question is this: If this team is “going for it” and putting all of their eggs in the 2008 basket to make a WS run, then why is a .220 hitting middle infielder who doesn’t defend his position very well playing every day and batting leadoff?

Hence my decision to call it "screwing around" as opposed to "in-depth study."

by KLSnow on Aug 4, 2008 2:42 PM CDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

You know the answer

Or, you would, if you had any concept.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Aug 4, 2008 4:20 PM CDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

I agree with your analysis,

but the number in question shouldn’t be the .220 average, it should be the .331 OBP. If you suggest Corey Hart as a leadoff guy, his OBP is .318.

And neck size to baby eating ratio.

by jihad on Aug 4, 2008 5:48 PM CDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

This just in

the Baseball Prospectus Postseason odds say that the Nats are officially out of the playoff race, and the Mariners have a .00005 percent (ie, divide by 100 kiddies) chance to make the playoffs by winning their division.

Won’t they be eating their words numbers when the Nats win the NL East and the Mariners eek out a wildcard slot!

by PagsBrewCrew on Aug 4, 2008 4:27 PM CDT reply reply   0 recs


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