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Thursday's Frosty Mug

Somewhere last night, a whiny baseball purist with a stick up his butt sent the following text: Brewers 4, Pirates 2
Win Probability Graph
BR Box Score

Cubs 9, Mets 6
Win Probability Graph
BR Box Score

Braves 10, Phillies 4
Win Probability Graph
BR Box Score

Well, today we get to see what Yovani Gallardo's got. Should he be pitching today? Until tonight none of us will really know. But Bernie's Crew is against it. I don't anticipate Gallardo being left in to get shelled as he would have been under a certain previous manager. In fact, I only really expect him to go 3-4 innings before Mark DiFelice, Seth McClung, Carlos Villanueva or Jeff Suppan are summoned to eat the middle innings. But, if Gallardo can provide a quality start, it could become a shining moment in Brewer history.

So I'm assuming you all saw Prince Fielder's walk off home run Tuesday night, right? But did you know he hit it wearing Brewer underwear? Home Run Derby has the full scoop.

It appears that, if the game means something, CC Sabathia will come back around on short rest and pitch again Sunday. He needs to throw 6 more innings to reach 250, which no major leaguer has done since Livan Hernandez threw 255 in 2004. Tom H. is praising his efforts and determination, but Umpbump has a poll up asking if the Brewers are screwing Sabathia by pitching him this much.

So you may know that Ryan Braun has led the NL in total bases for most of the season. He's actually in second now, one base behind David Wright. But did you know Braun is also the only major league outfielder to have played in over 140 games with no errors? Not bad for a guy's first year in the outfield.

So Baseball Prospectus has a statistic they call "Secret Sauce," which predicts which teams will do well in the postseason. The Brewers do not fare well in this stat, so I don't buy into it.

The Brewers are, however, compelled by the power of grit. Craig Counsell is one of three players who could play in the World Series for their third different team this season. Only 24 players in history have done it.

On injuries:

Carl Crawford still hasn't received medical clearance to start hitting live pitching and will likely miss the ALDS with his injured hand.
Andy Pettitte has a sore shouder and is done for 2008.
Rockies OF Willy Taveras is done for the year with a stress fracture in his leg.

The Orioles have enough injury news to warrant their own heading. Follow that link to read about the second opinion on Daniel Cabrera's elbow, reliver Jim Miller's torn muscle in his side, Dennis Sarfate's fractured collarbone and Melvin Mora's hamstring.

Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia had to be evacuated yesterday due suspicious packages that turned out to be hot dogs. You can make all the jokes you want, but aren't all hot dogs pretty suspicious packages?

TV ratings confirmed what we all suspected: No one outside of New York cared about the final game at Yankee Stadium enough to choose it over the Packers/Cowboys game. Also under the heading of "no one cared," the Nationals are about ready to set a record for lowest attendance in the first season of a new ballpark.

The Mariners lost their 100th game last night. Somehow, they're even worse than the Giants, who played nine rookies in the seventh inning last night.

So Corey Patterson has collected over 360 plate appearances for the Reds this season despite hitting .206/.241/.341. This lead to rumors that he was only playing because he's dating Dusty Baker's daughter. It was a good theory, but turned out to be false. Now it's just inexplicable again.

Drink up.

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Friday's Frosty Mug

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Comments

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Just wanted to mention secret sauce

It apparently is big on good bullpens and high strikeout rates for pitchers. Nate claims this correlates to post season success but again there is so much randomness that my understanding is this correlation is still relatively weak but stronger than other variables.

Now that we are tied for the WC I would again like to send a plea out to the management to use Dave Bush on regular rest Sunday if we are tied or up by a game. This would leave CC for a tie break game Monday on regular rest or be ready for game 1 likely against the Phillies. Dave Bush has been the second best pitcher and he throws better at home. I’ll take him on Sunday at home on regular rest rather than one extra day rest on the road. Also, we need Sabathia for two games in that series if we get there.

Visit my baseball blog ...or else!

by dixieflatline on Sep 25, 2008 9:51 AM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

How in the world

can we lose out on a statistic called Secret Sauce?

Can you imagine if we’re one game behind the Mets in the WC with one to play? We’d have to start CC in that game, but who’d play in the tiebreaker?

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 25, 2008 11:59 AM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If the Cubs/Mets are PPD tonite

A tie-break game can’t be played until Tuesday. Unless you are assuming the Brewers end up tied with the Phils for the WC.

Which is why I’m betting MLB is pulling out all of the stops to get that game played tonite.

by Getting Yosted on Sep 25, 2008 1:22 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If this were China

They’d shoot silver into the sky.

We've got uniforms and everything, it's really great!

by drezdn on Sep 25, 2008 1:56 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I really want the Mets not to get rained out tonight

Their pen is shot and Pedro who is likely to go about 5 innings.

Visit my baseball blog ...or else!

by dixieflatline on Sep 25, 2008 2:03 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If the Mets are rained out

It is almost inconceivable that the game doesn’t need to be made-up. If the Brewers are able to keep pace with the Mets, then the tie-breaker game would be their sixth game in five days. The only scary thing is that they may keep Santana for Tuesday rather than throwing him on Monday against the Felix Pie Travelling All-Stars and Motor Kings the Cubs are likely to play.

by Getting Yosted on Sep 25, 2008 2:17 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I wouldn't mind them getting rained out Friday or Saturday

I just don’t want them rained out tonight. Harden vs. Pedro with the Mets pen completely used. That is the match up I want. If this game gets played on Monday you can bet it is Angel Guzman for the cubs with 8 bench players playing. I think it would be great if the Mets get rained out both Friday and Saturday but I will be rooting for the game to be played tonight.

If you want to root for rain tonight then root for about an hour rain delay after the 2nd inning but the game gets completed so the Cubs have to go deep into their pen again coming into our series.

Visit my baseball blog ...or else!

by dixieflatline on Sep 25, 2008 2:32 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I guess if I'm Sweet Lou

Rich Harden doesn’t leave the hotel with rain and temps in the low 60s as the forecast. If I want him to stay sharp for the playoffs, he throws a simulated game in the bullpen at Miller Park where it’s dry and toasty warm. Random AAA guy gets to pitch 7 innings tonite, if the game goes that long.

by Getting Yosted on Sep 25, 2008 2:59 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

NY media are different and special

The Daily News decided to publish a photo collection of last year’s Mets collapse.

by ol Pete on Sep 25, 2008 10:04 AM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Taveras

With the Rox potentially releasing or at least looking into trading Willy Taveras, would he be an option for the Brewers in CF next year?
His defense and potential cheapness is what I’m looking at here.

by KDean75 on Sep 25, 2008 10:11 AM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Ummm...

You mean the super-fast/no power centerfielder known for his great defense? The guy who would be an upper echelon fixture at the top of the lineup if he could figure out how to get on base?

We already signed him. Around these parts, though, he uses an alias.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 25, 2008 11:57 AM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

sometimes I’m a moron, and sometimes I just forget that guy’s even in the Brewer’s system.

by KDean75 on Sep 25, 2008 1:08 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

An easy mistake to make. :)

Plus TG doesn’t have 60-some stolen bases.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 25, 2008 1:43 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Who

just bought Toolshed undies? I now have a safe place to store my, er, tools.

by Magellan on Sep 25, 2008 10:18 AM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Just another reason why Prince rocks
That is way more Prince Fielder than I ever needed to see.

It might be briefs, it might be boxers, it might be a jockstrap, but whatever it is that’s holding Fielder’s junk in place … it’s got a Brewers logo on the elastic.

"Brett Favre looks like a man in a parking lot playing with boys." - John Madden
"Pujols just unloaded." - Bob Uecker

by kirbir on Sep 25, 2008 10:23 AM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I look forward to the end of Bizarro BCB

My fiance thought I had lost my mind when she saw me rooting for the cubs.

by Bernie's Mustache Wax on Sep 25, 2008 11:46 AM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

well...you have, haven't you?

Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ

by PagsBrewCrew on Sep 25, 2008 11:59 AM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

the problems with small-market media coverage

Do the Brewers do that thing where the players make the rookies dress in costume on road trips, or is their version of rookie humilation a lot less public?

(I found pictures of the Oakland rookies from Wednesday, and the pic of Dana Eveland in some skimpy vinyl-look outfit putting on a sexy pose is a combination of extremely amusing and total nightmare fuel.)

by morineko on Sep 25, 2008 11:56 AM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Maybe the Brewers have their own Kyle Denney.

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Sep 25, 2008 12:22 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

yes and they did it recently

all I can remember is Haudricourt talking about it on the radio. IIRC Escobar was in a pimp outfit and the others were in drag.

by ol Pete on Sep 25, 2008 3:08 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Huge game tonight

Probably the best remaining game on paper to take sole possession of the WC lead from the Mets. I just hope Gallardo is ready to rise to the occasion.

Ryan Braun: He loves it.

by SRB on Sep 25, 2008 12:14 PM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Math is on our side

Next up is Suppan who is 0-3 in three September starts with a 10.47 ERA. He is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in two starts against the Cubs but Sveum favored that matchup because Chicago is “a right-handed dominant team.” Never mind that right-handed batters have hit Suppan at a .311 clip this season while lefties have hit .280.

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080924&content_id=3541361&vkey=news_mil&fext=.jsp&c_id=mil

Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ

by PagsBrewCrew on Sep 25, 2008 4:13 PM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sense any repetition

here?

Cito Gaston got an extension.

Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ

by PagsBrewCrew on Sep 25, 2008 4:15 PM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Good for Gaston

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Sep 25, 2008 4:26 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

from that URL

6×9=42

cool. What base is that in?

Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ

by PagsBrewCrew on Sep 25, 2008 4:28 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

42!

How many roads must a man walk down?

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 25, 2008 4:38 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

13

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Sep 25, 2008 4:43 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

nope

32 in base 13;)

something like base 10-and-a-bit-less-than-a-quarter.

Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ

by PagsBrewCrew on Sep 25, 2008 4:54 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

okay...i'm dumb

6*9 is not 45 either

dumbass. base 13 it is

Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ

by PagsBrewCrew on Sep 25, 2008 4:58 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

What did you learn?

Not to mess with the math man? :-P

"Brett Favre looks like a man in a parking lot playing with boys." - John Madden
"Pujols just unloaded." - Bob Uecker

by kirbir on Sep 25, 2008 5:29 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Stop stealing my books!

"Brett Favre looks like a man in a parking lot playing with boys." - John Madden
"Pujols just unloaded." - Bob Uecker

by kirbir on Sep 25, 2008 4:54 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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