Tuesday's Frosty Mug
Apparently 14,000 people still had some exuberance left yesterday afternoon, and attended the Brewer pep rally at the Summerfest grounds. Click the link for video. Big League Stew has the Brewers' postseason bid acceptance speech.
So Yovani Gallardo gets the ball in the biggest start of his life tomorrow afternoon. I guess that means this shirt, which was only sent to me yesterday, is already obsolete. The Phillies have named their first three starters: Cole Hamels, Brett Myers and Jamie Moyer.
While the grounds crew paints fancy logos on the field at Citizens Bank Park, pundits around the web are making their predictions for the series:
- Baseball Musings gives the Phillies a 75% chance to win.
- Scott Miller predicts the Phillies win in 4.
- Tim Kurkijian predicts the Phillies will win in 5.
- The mayor of Milwaukee has bet some Usinger's brats on the Brewers.
It's time for your daily collection of links about CC Sabathia:
- Mike Greenberg still thinks Sabathia is the NL MVP.
- Beyond the Box Score says Sabathia's performance is one of the best by a pitcher since 1996.
- Al notes that Sabathia's 7 complete games for the Brewers were more than any other NL team had this season.
- Paul Hoynes of the Cleveland Plain Dealer says the Indians are close to picking the PTBNL.
The Southpaw says Doug Melvin should win Executive of the Year. Not bad for a guy an awful lot of us were ready to can a week ago.
The Junkball Blues takes a look at NL relievers and the leads they successfully converted. The things you probably know: Salomon Torres isn't exactly an elite closer, but Brian Shouse consistently converts leads. The thing you might not have realized: Carlos Villanueva was about as effective as anyone in the bullpen this year.
Via BBTF, I found this story about a musician who won't be invited back to play at Brewer games, but can't figure out why. After all, all he did was play "Go Cubs Go" after a Cub win at Miller Park. His quote:
So far, all 30 MLB teams appear to be keeping their managers, but the coaching carousel did spin a little more yesterday: the Padres need a new hitting coach and a bench coach, the Pirates are shopping for a first base coach and a pitching coach, and the Rangers are in the market for a bench coach and third base coach.
Also, we had the first "offseason" signing. A quick recap:
Kyle Lohse, 2006: 5-10 in 34 games (19 starts), 78 ERA+
Kyle Lohse, 2007: 9-12 in 34 games (32 starts), 100 ERA+
Kyle Lohse, 2008: 15-6 in 33 games (all starts), 113 ERA+
Kyle Lohse, yesterday: signed a 4 year, $41 million dollar deal with the Cardinals and laughed all the way to the same bank Carlos Silva probably uses.
One of the things about reading over 200 blogs daily is that I see a lot of opportunities to enter prediction contests, and sometimes I take them, even if it's something I don't know all that much about. For example, I recently missed by 2 in the contest to predict Kila Ka'aihue's 2008 plate appearances. Usually, I forget about them. So I was surprised to discover I almost won True Blue LA's Dodger prediction challenge. I'm also reminded that I never thought to look up the final results on our own BCB over-under contests. I'll add that to my list for today.
Oh, and by all accounts we've got a pretty cool owner, but this quote from Rays principal owner Stu Sternberg makes me feel like they've got a pretty interesting owner, too:
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77 comments
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The Cubs and Brewers
are doomed. Al Yellon has predicted both teams will play in the NLCS.
DOOOOOMMEEEDDD.
by ACB on
Sep 30, 2008 9:41 AM CDT
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Pinto
What’s the point of reading Pinto if he’s just going to scratch his ass like the rest of world, yawn, and then gack up “eh, call it 75% for the Phils”? I hoped that hyping “matchups” like Fielder vs. Howard were restricted to Sports Illustrated and ESPN.
jeff: but i shudder to think of the bullpen analogy to sending the runner
by battlekow on
Sep 30, 2008 9:42 AM CDT
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Fielder
and Howards will actually engage in combat Star Trek style to determine the NLDS winner
by ACB on
Sep 30, 2008 9:43 AM CDT
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Good
Fielder woke up hungry after a long hibernation.
jeff: but i shudder to think of the bullpen analogy to sending the runner
by battlekow on
Sep 30, 2008 9:45 AM CDT
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oddly
I just wrote in an email interview that Corey Hart was hibernating. We need more Howards!
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Sep 30, 2008 9:59 AM CDT
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I hate Jonathan Higgins
He always sicks the ‘Lads’ (dobermans) one me when I borrow Robin Masters’ Ferrari.
by Braunstalker on
Sep 30, 2008 9:46 AM CDT
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dammit
how dare you steal my thunder
Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ
by PagsBrewCrew on
Sep 30, 2008 11:33 AM CDT
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Of ESPN's 10 "experts," 9 (all but Kurkjian) pick the Phils in 4
Can you say, ‘groupthink’?
by Cheeseandcorn on
Sep 30, 2008 9:54 AM CDT
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i gotta
agree though- the Phils seem to be the better team
by ACB on
Sep 30, 2008 9:58 AM CDT
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That may or may not be true
But it’s abundantly clear that we lead in the only department that matters.
Sabathias:
Milwaukee 1
Philadelphia 0
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Sep 30, 2008 9:59 AM CDT
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And for the series, our Sabathia count is 2
That’s infinity billion times larger than theirs.
jeff: but i shudder to think of the bullpen analogy to sending the runner
by battlekow on
Sep 30, 2008 10:03 AM CDT
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these are very
good points- however Al Yellon said the Brews will win which means even Sabathia will give up 123 runs in the 1st inning alone
by ACB on
Sep 30, 2008 10:27 AM CDT
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Difficult as this may be to believe...
Baseball is an unpredictable sport. Even Al is going to be right sometimes.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Sep 30, 2008 10:48 AM CDT
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i've
been meaning to ask you what you think about bringing Gallardo back like this. First is he even healthy yet? Can he go after bunts field his position ect ect?
by ACB on
Sep 30, 2008 10:52 AM CDT
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completely healthy
has had “extensive practice” fielding his position
by ol Pete on
Sep 30, 2008 10:54 AM CDT
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i just
have a hard time believing a guy can come back from ACL surgery in 6 months and be ready to go. I understand the Brewers are basically all-in this year so you have to send the best you have but this seems like a real risk with a young talent like gallardo
by ACB on
Sep 30, 2008 10:58 AM CDT
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6 months
Is just general figure as to the average rehabilitation time. The process is very individualized for every patient according to their fitness, body, recovery time, etc and individual recovery times can range from 4-6 months. Gallardo seems to be a relatively quick healer, as demonstrated from his earlier than expected return this spring from meniscus surgery on his other knee. If I remember correctly, Gallardo’s rehab was about 5 months, so it is easily within reason that he would be at full strength.
Also, I don’t think the Brewers would throw caution to the wind with a guy like Gallardo. If he wasn’t a 100% it is highly unlikely they would risk the future of the franchise by pushing him beyond his abilities.
My only regret is that I have but one life to give to my blog
by MadJimiBrewha on
Sep 30, 2008 11:16 AM CDT
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ACL surgery recovery
When I had ACL surgery a couple years back, my orthopaedist told me that recovery could be as short as 4 months, with the proper rehab regimen, if things went well. He said he’d seen it with some athletes. So 6 months doesn’t seem a stretch to me.
It's called "playing the percentages."
by hilbelink on
Sep 30, 2008 11:18 AM CDT
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recovery
Obviously, recovery time is always a concern, but it’s not nearly as much of a concern for baseball players – especially – pitchers as it is, say, a running back or wide receiver. don’t get me wrong, there’s still plenty of reason for concern, but like hilbelink said, recover can be as short as 4 months. i doubt the brewers would risk too much with Gallardo. if they say he’s fine, i’m not too worried.
"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost
by SunglassesAtNight on
Sep 30, 2008 11:25 AM CDT
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maybe its
just my inner conspiracy theorist tendancies coming out but I can def. see the Brewers sending Gallardo out there without being 100%. This season is basically your best shot the window isnt exactly closed but losing Sheets and Sabathia leaves a much weaker rotation next year and some of your younger players are going to be hitting arbitration which will raise payroll (perhaps) past your owners thereshold. I think Mark A and Melvin know this which is why they fire Yost trying to get a spark and why they rode Sabathia so hard down the stretch.
Gallardo pitching at 80 % in the playoffs is probably more valuable to them then him pitching 100% next season when the odds of them reaching the post season will be longer.
Who knows- either way the kid is going to be tested pitching vs that lineup in Philly and I wouldnt be suprised to see Rollins or Victorino drop a bunt down to see how he responds.
by ACB on
Sep 30, 2008 11:30 AM CDT
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I was surprised
That Slappy ap Bunt didn’t test him in his last start. Of course, Slappy got hurt running to first anyway so it might not have mattered.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on
Sep 30, 2008 1:23 PM CDT
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it does
make me a little nervous to think he could very well be pitching on a wet field tomorrow afternoon.
"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost
by SunglassesAtNight on
Sep 30, 2008 11:35 AM CDT
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pete's just in denial
Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ
by PagsBrewCrew on
Sep 30, 2008 11:36 AM CDT
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lots and lots of denial… but not about that
by ol Pete on
Sep 30, 2008 11:52 AM CDT
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medical staff
says he is no more at risk of injury than any other player
by ol Pete on
Sep 30, 2008 11:51 AM CDT
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you might be right
but i come from a team where medical staff calls arm problems “internet elbow” and ive heard injured player (Mark Prior) is “ready to go” only to clearly not be ready to go
by ACB on
Sep 30, 2008 11:53 AM CDT
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he's been throwing for months
and pitching for a while – he’s pitched in Arizona – he’s pitched against the Pirates
by ol Pete on
Sep 30, 2008 11:56 AM CDT
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I'm a conspiracy theorist in this regard
I think the brewers are “all in”
Sveum convinced YG that if he wanted a WS ring this was the year and the Brewers would do everything possible for the guy if he aggravates his injury.
There’s no way he’s 100% at fielding his position, even given extensive rehab and his rapid healing.
That being said, I want him out on that mound as much as possible for selfish reasons. I just hope he’ll be able to grit his way through the pain and give us all he’s got. He certainly is a tough cookie, unlike Sheets.
Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ
by PagsBrewCrew on
Sep 30, 2008 12:24 PM CDT
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Like a broken watch or Jim Cramer
We've got uniforms and everything, it's really great!
by drezdn on
Sep 30, 2008 11:47 AM CDT
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Lohse
He didn’t get a four year deal last offseason, but if he had I wonder how it would have compared to what he really got this year. Either way, the Cardinals just had their “Suppan moment.”
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on
Sep 30, 2008 10:00 AM CDT
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yeah
before I signed Lohse to a four-year deal, I’d make damn sure I had Dave Duncan signed for that long.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Sep 30, 2008 10:09 AM CDT
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Did anyone realize that the Judgepuncher manager to throrw 80 innings for the Yankees this season?
No wonder they didn’t make the playoffs.
jeff: but i shudder to think of the bullpen analogy to sending the runner
by battlekow on
Sep 30, 2008 10:15 AM CDT
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“Posted from my broken iPhone”
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Sep 30, 2008 10:49 AM CDT
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Ahh
So that’s why winning 89 games is a miserable season.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on
Sep 30, 2008 10:52 AM CDT
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Anytime you can't find 5 better pitchers than Sidney Ponson, it's pretty miserable
jeff: but i shudder to think of the bullpen analogy to sending the runner
by battlekow on
Sep 30, 2008 10:55 AM CDT
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That's why the Rangers finished 79-83
Although Ponson was quite a bit better there, and I have no idea why—“Gerald Laird’s superior game-calling skills” is a really bad answer.
by morineko on
Sep 30, 2008 11:04 AM CDT
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So the market is being set
You can get a craptacular pitcher like Lohse for $10 mil/year, or you can have Ben Sheets for about $15-18 mil/year on a similar number of years. I know which option I would take.
by Getting Yosted on
Sep 30, 2008 10:44 AM CDT
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It will be interesting to see what Dempster gets
by ol Pete on
Sep 30, 2008 10:53 AM CDT
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im guessing
4 years at 12.5 or so a year
by ACB on
Sep 30, 2008 11:01 AM CDT
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Game 1
Is going to decide who wins the series in my opinion. I think momentum is huge for a team like the Brewers, and if they can steal the first one at Philly, with two CC starts coming and the way Bush has been pitching, that momentum could really be important, particularily for the offense. Getting game 1 would take a load of pressure off the the sluggers, who we all know tend to press a little.
My only regret is that I have but one life to give to my blog
by MadJimiBrewha on
Sep 30, 2008 10:45 AM CDT
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Weather
has anyone checke dout the weather forcast for tomorrow game?
http://www.weather.com/weather/wxdetail/USPA1276?dayNum=1
obviously, it would take a lot to suspend a playoff game, but with an off day Friday, I wouldn’t put it entirely out of the question. I know it’s a long shot, but just the possibility of playing game 1 Thursday and getting a CC/Hamels matchup to start the series gets me excited.
"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost
by SunglassesAtNight on
Sep 30, 2008 10:59 AM CDT
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I vote no
For one thing, I have tickets, and I don’t think I could stick around until Friday :).
For another, it makes it that much harder on the pitching staff. We still two starts out of CC, but it could mean fewer innings we could get out of Yo / Parra / Villa / McClung.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Sep 30, 2008 11:46 AM CDT
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it takes a
brave man to rock out in Brewer merchandise in Philly during the postseason- gl and keep your head down
by ACB on
Sep 30, 2008 11:49 AM CDT
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is it really that scary in philly?
I feel like these evil East Coast baseball fans view us as pretty harmless.
Tararreling our way to the finish line.
by MooseHaas on
Sep 30, 2008 11:52 AM CDT
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when I was in New York early in the season
I was treated quite well by Mets fans. I’m sure that would have changed had they known the end-of-season result. But you’re right, they treat us (the fans at least) like the ugly hick yokels that are unfortunately related to you at the family reunion. Like we’re backwards, but still plaster on a smile to our face and treat us well before talking behind our back about our alcoholism and wife-beating tendencies. They don’t see us as a threat.
Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ
by PagsBrewCrew on
Sep 30, 2008 12:29 PM CDT
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Wouldn't they just push the game back a few hours, to maybe 6 p.m.?
Seems like the weather will clear up by then. And the way these new stadiums drain, the outfield probably wouldn’t be a disaster.
One thing we cannot afford: Starting a pitcher and then having the game delayed for an hour or two. That would absolutely kill us.
Tararreling our way to the finish line.
by MooseHaas on
Sep 30, 2008 11:51 AM CDT
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Yeah
I’m sure they would push it back as much as necessary to get the game in.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Sep 30, 2008 11:56 AM CDT
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A friend who's gonna be in Philly
Told me that he thinks the rain is killing the ticket market for Game 1. He’s been looking for seats and said the prices have dropped a lot in the last 12 hours. I guess that’s a bonus.
Tararreling our way to the finish line.
by MooseHaas on
Sep 30, 2008 12:11 PM CDT
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has the ticket price dropped enough to pay for the flight to get out there?:P
Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ
by PagsBrewCrew on
Sep 30, 2008 12:30 PM CDT
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TBS would veto that:P
Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ
by PagsBrewCrew on
Sep 30, 2008 12:30 PM CDT
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oh, right.
f*ck.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Sep 30, 2008 12:31 PM CDT
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not so sure
they could easily just move the game to TNT. at least then I wouldn’t have to take the time off work to watch and could instead save it for the Brewers victory parade in a couple weeks.
ideally, they naively try squeezing in the game a little early, Sveum boldly inserts suppan as the starter, game gets delayed for 2 hours early in the game, game resumes with Hamels out and Gallardo in. Brewers win 12 – 2.
"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost
by SunglassesAtNight on
Sep 30, 2008 12:41 PM CDT
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so what's the consensus?
would they play at 6 p.m. or move it to Friday at 3?
Tararreling our way to the finish line.
by MooseHaas on
Sep 30, 2008 12:59 PM CDT
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i believe
the consensus is the brewers win 12-2. I have heard no arguement
"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost
by SunglassesAtNight on
Sep 30, 2008 1:00 PM CDT
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unless there's a MLB or TBS exec lurking
I don’t think we’ll get a consensus answer.
But while I realize TV guys have a say in it, I’d be really surprised if, at 3pm tomorrow, it looks like they can get the game in later that day, and they don’t try to play it.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Sep 30, 2008 1:13 PM CDT
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agreed.
messing up the travel day + milwaukee’s pitching situation would be more disastrous than messing up TBS’s afternoon. They didn’t expect to get great ratings on Game 1 anyway — that’s why they stashed it at 3 rather than in the Cubs or Red Sox slots.
Tararreling our way to the finish line.
by MooseHaas on
Sep 30, 2008 1:23 PM CDT
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Can’t we just have Ted Turner call god and have the weather fixed?
See this is why we built a stadium with a dome, because it snows some times in October.
by SgtClueLs on
Sep 30, 2008 1:56 PM CDT
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It snows sometimes in May
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on
Sep 30, 2008 2:00 PM CDT
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thing of the past
has Al Gore taught you nothing?
they seem to have been listening in minnesota
"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost
by SunglassesAtNight on
Sep 30, 2008 3:23 PM CDT
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Good luck from a battered Mets fan
After a little of the pain has subsided, I just wanted to wish you Brewcrew fans good luck in the playoffs. Your team played some great ball down the stretch and truly deserve this opportunity.
CC is a stud and your offense had clutch hits.
I hope you go far.
by losangelesmets on
Sep 30, 2008 11:30 AM CDT
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We had clutch hits?
Whoa.
jeff: but i shudder to think of the bullpen analogy to sending the runner
by battlekow on
Sep 30, 2008 6:30 PM CDT
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T shirt
it’s not outdated at all.
that’s the shirt for the world series, which we’ll only need 5 games to win, silly.
Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ
by PagsBrewCrew on
Sep 30, 2008 11:45 AM CDT
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I'm in a frosty mug?
It truly IS party time!
"Brett Favre looks like a man in a parking lot playing with boys." - John Madden
"Pujols just unloaded." - Bob Uecker
by kirbir on
Sep 30, 2008 12:00 PM CDT
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mmmm
kirbir in a frosty mug, dunk tank style
i like moist torso garb.
Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ
by PagsBrewCrew on
Sep 30, 2008 12:31 PM CDT
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"moist torso garb"
that sounds like an anagram.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Sep 30, 2008 12:32 PM CDT
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i dunno
can you re-arrange the letters to spell anything else?
I just didn’t want to be all white trashy and say “wet t-shirt competition”
oh, shit
Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ
by PagsBrewCrew on
Sep 30, 2008 12:33 PM CDT
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A Bottom's Rigors
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on
Sep 30, 2008 12:42 PM CDT
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ok...
that really sounds like an anagram.
and dirtier.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on
Sep 30, 2008 12:55 PM CDT
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much much dirtier
Situational Signature (8th/9th inning only): pleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendallpleasenotkendall
--NoahJ
by PagsBrewCrew on
Sep 30, 2008 1:12 PM CDT
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Oooo you tease!
You just have to share, don’t you?
"Brett Favre looks like a man in a parking lot playing with boys." - John Madden
"Pujols just unloaded." - Bob Uecker
by kirbir on
Sep 30, 2008 1:43 PM CDT
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A euphemism for sure!
"Brett Favre looks like a man in a parking lot playing with boys." - John Madden
"Pujols just unloaded." - Bob Uecker
by kirbir on
Sep 30, 2008 1:42 PM CDT
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In case anyone wanted to know how the rally went...
Here’s a nice story for ya… and no, I’m not just including it because I- err, fans chanted “MVP” for Brauny.
"Brett Favre looks like a man in a parking lot playing with boys." - John Madden
"Pujols just unloaded." - Bob Uecker
by kirbir on
Sep 30, 2008 2:12 PM CDT
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