Brew Crew Ball: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Cal RB Jahvid Best Seriously Injured, Carted Off Field

Blown Saves around the NL

Last night's debacle got me wondering: how are we doing protecting late-inning leads?  On the one hand, I know we've won a lot of close games, though I think we've blown a lot of games as well.  Here's what I found.

The Bad

Stats.com breaks down the top 23 in blown saves.  (Why 23?  Perhaps they're Jim Carrey fans.)  In a perfect world, each team would have one on such a list, and some would have two.  We have three: Torres and Gagne each have 7, and Riske has 5. (Ironically, so do the Cardinals.)  No one else in the NL Central has more than one.  We're third in Blown Saves as a team, behind only the Cardinals (30) and Nationals (26).

The Good

Despite the Blown Saves a-Plenty, save percentage is probably the best way to evaluate how we're doing --- and we're not doing so badly!  The Brewers are 6th in the NL in save percentage, saving 63% of our opportunities (tied with the Rats).  Suspiciously, the Phillies, Dodgers, and Cubs are all ahead of us, and the Mets and D-Backs are 1 and 2 percentage points behind.  (Be sure to thank your favorite deity that the Cardinals and Marlins suck at save percentage, 57% each, or the wildcard race could look a lot different.)  Keep in mind that we have 10 more save opportunities than the Cubs, which makes me think the Cubs are blowing out teams more often.

The Odd

It's something of a running joke 'round these parts that we seem to like to put our suckiest pitcher at the time in the 8th inning to watch him fail.  The stats bear that out: Brian Shouse leads our team in holds, with 15.  The Mets have 5 pitchers with at least that many.  (Of course, you can't read THAT much into this, as our starters have been pitching pretty deep into games, and a lot of holds could simply mean a lot of shorter starts.  Then again, it also means that your bullpen is doing the job, something that you don't see a lot in Milwaukee.)  Bring back Turnbow, Master of the Eighth Inning!

In looking at the numbers, we can see this much easily enough:

* Starting pitching is still king: 7 of the top 8 NL teams in Quality Starts are playoff contenders (Brewers are second, with 79).

* We've capitalized on those quality starts: we have made it to the end of the game with the lead an awful lot of the time. The Brewers are again second in the NL in save opportunities, behind only the closer-challenged Cardinals.

* When it comes time to close it out, we do...OK: the median and mean for save percentage in the NL is 62-63%, and we're at 63%.  When you're toward the top in the league for save opportunities and league average in closing them out, that's not a bad recipe to get you to the playoffs.  The again: although having the lead late sounds good in the playoffs, too, mediocre closing makes for some disconcerting 9th innings against the best of the NL.  As we herky-jerky our way toward the playoffs, going easy on CC's arm might be a good idea, as we might want to rely on it heavily in the post-season.

1 recs  |  Comment 0 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Around SB Nation

Coming Up: Milwaukee Brewers

May 2008 from Bucs Dugout - 16 comments

Comments

Display:

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Brew Crew Ball is dedicated to providing a friendly atmosphere for intelligent Brewer conversation. Click here to view our Posting Guide and Community Guidelines.
Start posting about the Brewers »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Braun_fielder_small
Vazquez/Bradley
Barrelman_small
Just for Fun: Comparing Gomez and Gutierrez
Box_small
Low OBP + Young Player = What Kind of Career?
Barrelman_small
Updated 2010 Brewers Roster/Salary Predictions
U8xcikxxuei8lvi_small
2009 Offseason Free Agency Dates
U8xcikxxuei8lvi_small
Speculationville: Glen Perkins
U8xcikxxuei8lvi_small
Somebody Get Me My Cardboard: Bob Wolfley Breaks It Down
Small
Brewers Minor League Leaders thru the 00's - Strikeouts
U8xcikxxuei8lvi_small
JJ Hardy's Trade Value
U8xcikxxuei8lvi_small
Tangentially related Brewers news

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Featured Poll

Poll
Who won the J.J. Hardy/Carlos Gomez trade?

  156 votes | Results

79 - 82

11

Won 3

1

NL Central Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
St. Louis 91 71 .561 0 Lost 6
Chicago 83 78 .515 7.5 Lost 1
Milwaukee 80 82 .493 11 Won 3
Cincinnati 78 84 .481 13 Won 2
Houston 74 88 .456 17 Lost 3
Pittsburgh 62 99 .385 28.5 Lost 2

(updated 11.9.2009 at 4:19 AM CST)

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recent FanShots

Baseball, I wish I could quit you.
Reminder
The Pilots/Brewers First Home Game
You think you know the Brewers Farm System? You've got nothing on this guy.
Red Sox offered Bowden for Hardy?
Melvin: "We are going to consider [Lucroy] as a candidate
Hot Stove: Garland's option declined, will be a FA
Post on Minor League Ball asking for top 5 Brewers prospects
Alcides Escobar "abandoned his daughter before she was born"
Cain, Lucroy, Green in the lineup in the AFL tonight.

+ New FanShot All FanShots >


Moderators

U8xcikxxuei8lvi_small roguejim

Mordecai_brown_small Jeff Sackmann

Newavatar_small KLSnow

Box_small TheJay

Communist_party_small Jordan M

Contributors

Dsci0355_small kirbir

Picture_069_small tristarscoop

Dsc01174_small BrewHaHeather

Rubie_edited-1_small Rubie Q

Hikaru_50_small morineko

X1pxoywqu4sjf73f7drxq2lmqys7mzsyx7pa9necepiffk_ewcuwmuazb-o17ukmbriclcdkn4lk-4xposaawiq4j8hzdsccpjwatqpz2o2p-i0nnqjlyt7pmytaycsaknszvaktpshtcu9sjle1qchlw_1__small NoahJ

Hulk_buddy-icon_small Fatter than Joey