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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

Tuesday's Frosty Mug

I'm not sure if you've heard, but the Brewers played yesterday. Unfortunately, it was more of the same.

Win Expectancy Graph
BR Box Score

Even Mike Cameron's return (1-for-4 with a K) and a Jason Kendall home run weren't enough to save the Brewers last night.

Sounds like the locker room after the game might have been a little lacking in realism, as well. Salomon Torres said the Brewers will still catch the Cubs, and Ned Yost said everything short of "math is still on our side." I'm officially starting to worry.

I'll just go ahead and lump all the bullpen stuff together in bullet points:
  • Buster Olney ranked the Brewer bullpen 11th out of the 14 remaining playoff contenders.
  • In-Between Hops crunched the numbers and suggests that the bullpen may actually be suffering from underuse.
  • The Official Site says David Riske might have a sore arm. Seriously, someone couldn't just walk up to him and ask?
  • Chuckie Hacks has made Gagne into a verb.
So, with an unreliable bullpen forcing him to go farther into games, is CC Sabathia wearing out? Dixieflatline says no, over at The Hardball Times.

I haven't talked much lately about defense. Would it surprise you to discover that the Brewers are the sixth best defensive team in baseball? Beyond the Box Score makes that case. Other notes from the same post: Jason Kendall is the top defensive C in baseball, Ray Durham is tied for the worst defensive 2B (and not with Rickie Weeks), and Prince Fielder's defense has cost the Brewers 17 runs this season.

The new Whisnant rankings have the Brewers 9th.

On injuries:

Giants SS Emmanuel Burriss could be done for the year with a strained oblique.
Rays C Shawn Riggans will be out 3-5 days with bursitis in his knee.
Rays RP Juan Salas had to be taken to the hospital after suffering an epileptic seizure at Fenway Park yesterday but should be fine today.
Marlins C Matt Treanor will likely be relegated to emergency-only duty for the remainder of the season after fouling a ball off his left knee.
Rays CF B.J. Upton has a strained quad and will miss a few days.
Billy Wagner is out for the rest of 2008 and could be the first pitcher out for all of 2009 with a torn MCL in his elbow.
Jack Wilson is finished for 2008 with a hairline fracture in his finger.

Yesterday I mentioned that A's OF Rajai Davis had entered the game as a pinch runner and hit a grand slam in the same inning. Recondite Baseball followed up on that. Today, another strange line: Tigers 1B Mike Hessman was hit by two pitches in the same inning last night. It was only the fifth time in baseball history that that's happened.

Via Baseball Musings, I found out that Chris Young shook off his catcher before throwing the pitch Gabe Kapler used to hit a home run and end his perfect game on Sunday. Oops.

This seems unlikely at best, but worth mentioning: Mark McGwire may consider a 2009 return.

Oh, and apparently the pizza is terrible in Cincinnati.

Drink up.

Comment 20 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I disagree

It has a good reputation, but having the cook come out every 5 minutes to make a toppings change gets old really fast.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 9, 2008 9:31 AM CDT up reply actions  

And I really think it's a shame that you can't...

…get peporoni if you eat with your left hand. Some peporoni is just as good for lefties as righties!

by cwyers on Sep 9, 2008 10:46 AM CDT up reply actions  

Pujols is talking about fixing his elbow again.

Coffee is for closers

by drezdn on Sep 9, 2008 12:35 PM CDT reply actions  

The definition of "Gagne" sounds suspicously similar to the definition of "Yost"

Sat: George 2 (37, missed catch, fielding) Fri: George (35, throw) Tues: George (34, throw)

by Jordan M on Sep 9, 2008 1:12 PM CDT reply actions  

The BCB banner - I'm Ned Yost? - is bad luck...

"If they don't want to see it, then beat us," said Yost.

by Jamie in LA on Sep 9, 2008 1:44 PM CDT reply actions  

They can't ALL be bad luck

BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"

by battlekow on Sep 9, 2008 2:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

no, and regardless

I’m quite proud of the new one.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on Sep 9, 2008 3:22 PM CDT up reply actions  

Just wait until Salome gets hit by a truck or something

(but it is a good one, I must agree)

Sat: George 2 (37, missed catch, fielding) Fri: George (35, throw) Tues: George (34, throw)

by Jordan M on Sep 9, 2008 3:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

fair enough.

when i was at miller park last week (a win!) a few dudes were selling shirts that said:

“McClung like a Clydesdale”

i didnt buy one. i thought to myself; if i wouldn’t buy one of these shirts; who would?

went and said hi to seth in the bullpen. he rules.

man o man do i hope we win tonight.

by Jamie in LA on Sep 9, 2008 3:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah, that's a limited market there

I wouldn’t have bought one either.

Aaaaand how did you manage to get that close to the bullpen? I was there on Saturday. I tried. Oh, did I try.

by morineko on Sep 9, 2008 11:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

OT: The new iPod Nanos

If you want to shuffle your songs on the new iPod nanos, you just shake the Nano itself.

That amuses me to no end.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 9, 2008 2:18 PM CDT reply actions  

Well that'll make secretly listening to your iPod in class a little more awkward

"Brett Favre looks like a man in a parking lot playing with boys." - John Madden
"Pujols just unloaded." - Bob Uecker

by kirbir on Sep 9, 2008 2:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

Quick! Pretend you're having a seizure!

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 9, 2008 2:42 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Is there any chance

Yost puts Gamel at 3B for a game to help jump start the offense? And just hope no balls are hit to third? Not sure if this is a good idea, but an idea it is.

by oconnobe on Sep 9, 2008 2:53 PM CDT reply actions  

BP's stat of the day

Top 5 2008 NL Rotations, by SNLVAR

Team, SNLVAR

Milwaukee Brewers, 22.3
Chicago Cubs, 22.2
St. Louis Cardinals, 20.7
New York Mets, 20.5
Los Angeles Dodgers, 20.4

BCB's "very own marginally deserving all-star!"

by battlekow on Sep 9, 2008 3:13 PM CDT reply actions  

For everyone's mental stability

Please take a moment to read this

I’ll summarize:

The Brewers have an 80.43% chance of making the playoffs, 69.4% of winning the wildcard. The Cardinals have 4, Phillies are at about 8, and Mets around 4.5%. Please take this into consideration before “We is clpsing oh noes”.

Also, Tom H wrote this today:

This is how September collapses happen, finding different ways to keep losing games. The offense still is sputtering but homers by Jason Kendall and J.J. Hardy off all-star pitcher Edinson Volquez would have been enough had Torres not blown the save in the ninth.

This is a team in trouble. Big trouble.

I just smile knowingly.

Sat: George 2 (37, missed catch, fielding) Fri: George (35, throw) Tues: George (34, throw)

by Jordan M on Sep 9, 2008 3:29 PM CDT reply actions  

Heh

More from Tom:

By going 2-6 on this home stand, the Brewers not only frittered away any chance they had of catching the Cubs, they have placed their wild-card lead in dire jeopardy.

So with six games left against the Cubs, there’s no chance to catch them? Okay…

What happens if the Brewers win tonight and the Phillies lose? Will the team still be in big trouble?

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Sep 9, 2008 3:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

Does this mean the entire team is about to go on a hot streak or does Tom H. have to suggest the team needs to be DFA’d first?

Coffee is for closers

by drezdn on Sep 9, 2008 3:44 PM CDT up reply actions  

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