BCB Projections: Second Basemen, Closing the Catchers
by Jordan M on Jan 20, 2009 3:32 PM CST
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Print16 people helped to project the catchers, and the results are in.
Here's the average line for Jason Kendall:
BCB: .251/.330/.324
CHONE: .251/.329/.321
Marcel: .252/.323/.330
ZiPS: .262/.337/.328
We look pretty well in line here. It would make sense that there's little variation, Kendall has an extensive track record that limits the range we can expect out of him. I'm sure this thread will have a bit more variance in the projections for a certain second basemen.
Here's Mike Rivera:
BCB: .260/.315/.406
CHONE: .241/.298/.429
ZiPS: .234/.283/.388
I'm disregarding Marcel because it's just last year's performance regressed to the average. We're quite a bit more optisitic for Rivera, which is understandeable. Projections are looking at his terrible 2007 at AAA. I'm pretty proud that no one projected him to hit over .300, and I'll take our projection over either system.
I'll link to the spreadsheet later for Salome, Rottino, and the rest of the catchers, and we'll look closer at playing time later.
Today we move on to the second basemen. We all know about Rickie Weeks, BCB projected him for a .279/.379/.483 line last year, and that didn't quite turn out. Keep in mind his 2008 BABIP of .280 when projecting him.
There are a variety of potential backups. If you think Bill Hall will get time at second, you can wait to project him until we get to 3B, just give him a playing time percentage. For the backups, project what you think will happen, not what you want to happen. Also keep in mind that Iribarren is out of minor league options.
Thanks again for your participation. The 1st base projections will be open until tomorrow morning, we'll post third basemen projections and a wrap-up of the first basemen tomorrow afternoon.
The format, once again, make sure the plate appearances percentage totals 100:
.avg/.obp/.slg (PA) Weeks
.avg/.obp/.slg (PA) Backup
.300/.350/.400 (75) Starter last name
.270/.330/.400 (25) Backup last name
Even if you haven't projected the first two, go ahead and jump in now!
Rickie Weeks
Career: .245/.352/.406
2008: .234/.342/.398
| 30th | 0.243 | 0.348 | 0.396 |
| 40th | 0.251 | 0.360 | 0.416 |
| 50th | 0.257 | 0.368 | 0.431 |
| 60th | 0.266 | 0.380 | 0.453 |
| 70th | 0.273 | 0.389 | 0.474 |
Hernan Iribarren
Career minors: .300/.360/.388
2008 MLE: .244/.297/.293
Jason Bourgeois
Casey McGehee
Bill Hall
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Hoping this is finally the year.......again
.274/.383/.432 (84) Weeks
.265/.330/.344 (8) Iribarren
.263/.330/.360 (8) Bourgeois
.260/.380/.420 (85) Weeks
.262/.301/.340 (5) Iribarren
(10) Escobar
Playing Time is a fookin’ crapshoot on this one. I wanted to put Hall down for (5) instead of Iribarren but… eh. Weeks is the important one here.
If I could delete this, I would. I need to wait and see more on what they’re doing with Escobar… that ten for Al Es was too influenced by that report that came out saying the Brewers were going to work on Escobar at second, not necessarily to replace Weeks but just to get him more places he could play once he comes up.
.250/.355/.410 (60) Weeks
.260/.320/.380 (40) Backups
Hey, someone has to figure he’ll both bash up his wrist again and hit about what he’s done so far in his career. Is it okay if I cheat and not hazard a guess as to who exactly the backups will be?
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
Yeah, that's fine
Scored three times and detonated an indisputable in four visits to the batting box.
Assuming CC will be back.
.260/.350/.440 Weeks (80)
.230/.330/.330 Counsell (10)
.270/.320/.390 Bourgeois (10)
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NL Central Standings
| W | L | PCT | GB | STRK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
Cincinnati
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
Houston
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
Milwaukee
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
Pittsburgh
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
|
St. Louis
|
0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
(updated 2.16.2012 at 7:03 AM CST)
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