BCB Projections: Second Basemen, Closing the Catchers

Introduction, CA | 1B

16 people helped to project the catchers, and the results are in.

Here's the average line for Jason Kendall:

BCB: .251/.330/.324

CHONE: .251/.329/.321

Marcel: .252/.323/.330

ZiPS: .262/.337/.328

We look pretty well in line here. It would make sense that there's little variation, Kendall has an extensive track record that limits the range we can expect out of him. I'm sure this thread will have a bit more variance in the projections for a certain second basemen.

Here's Mike Rivera:

BCB: .260/.315/.406

CHONE: .241/.298/.429

ZiPS: .234/.283/.388

I'm disregarding Marcel because it's just last year's performance regressed to the average. We're quite a bit more optisitic for Rivera, which is understandeable. Projections are looking at his terrible 2007 at AAA. I'm pretty proud that no one projected him to hit over .300, and I'll take our projection over either system.

I'll link to the spreadsheet later for Salome, Rottino, and the rest of the catchers, and we'll look closer at playing time later.

Today we move on to the second basemen. We all know about Rickie Weeks, BCB projected him for a .279/.379/.483 line last year, and that didn't quite turn out. Keep in mind his 2008 BABIP of .280 when projecting him.

There are a variety of potential backups. If you think Bill Hall will get time at second, you can wait to project him until we get to 3B, just give him a playing time percentage. For the backups, project what you think will happen, not what you want to happen. Also keep in mind that Iribarren is out of minor league options.

Thanks again for your participation. The 1st base projections will be open until tomorrow morning, we'll post third basemen projections and a wrap-up of the first basemen tomorrow afternoon.

The format, once again, make sure the plate appearances percentage totals 100:

.avg/.obp/.slg (PA)  Weeks
.avg/.obp/.slg (PA)  Backup

.300/.350/.400 (75)  Starter last name
.270/.330/.400 (25)  Backup last name

Even if you haven't projected the first two, go ahead and jump in now!


Rickie Weeks

Career: .245/.352/.406

2008: .234/.342/.398

30th 0.243 0.348 0.396
40th 0.251 0.360 0.416
50th 0.257 0.368 0.431
60th 0.266 0.380 0.453
70th 0.273 0.389 0.474






Hernan Iribarren

Career minors: .300/.360/.388

2008 MLE: .244/.297/.293

Jason Bourgeois

Casey McGehee

Bill Hall

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