Regarding the Oliver Perez rumor
by Hyatt on Jan 27, 2009 2:56 PM CST
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PrintIt's become pretty regular that anything regarding a Scott Boras client and other teams comes from a single source. Tom H dispelled the rumors today, but there's a pretty repeatable pattern to these rumors. Courtesy of Jamey Newberg.
- There’s a splashy rumor making the Internet (and now radio) waves today, involving the Brewers and a very high-profile free agent hitter.
- There’s a very high-profile agent about whose clients splashy rumors often pop up courtesy of a specific high-profile writer who works for a high-profile sports publication.
- A rumor that catches bloggy fire and talk show steam benefits the writer (scoop!) and (theoretically, if any interested teams buy the reports) the agent and his client.
- I’m not going to come out and explicitly say those three notes are related.
- Even if they are.
-
Here's Tom H conclusion about the rumors, which I find very appropriate.
“I think this is mostly a smokescreen provided by Perez’s agent, Scott Boras… Boras is probably trying to create a market that isn’t there for his client, which is an agent’s job.”
So next time you read something off of SI, remember where the rumors come from.
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Regarding some other pitching options
So fans are freaking out that our rotation is super thin. I think there are still a ton of free agent options out there, and despite Melvin’s assertion that there is no money left, I am confident melvin is just trying to get his man at his price. He’s not gonna get a front line starter but there are several other options.
I’m a fan of Livan Hernandez. He did really well the first 3 months for the twins. He was their opening day starter and won 10 games and lost 8, loosing the last 5 in a row I think before being released. I think if he is on his game he can still keep an potent offense in the game.
I also really want them to check out guys coming off an injury, Mark Mulder and/or Kris Benson. They could have huge upside on incentive laden deals. I also think that Oladis Perez, Pedro Martinez or even Chuck James could be acceptable one year $3M deals.
Ultimately, there is so much low level pitching still available I totally believe Melvin will pick someone up when the market starts moving. He doesn’t want to overpay for a 5th starter so he is taking his time. But dont stress it brewer fans, mustache is going to get someone from the bargain bin. Lets just hope that whoever it is can start 25-30 games and have a .500 winning percentage.
If we get someone who can start 25-30 games and have a .500 winning percentage...
… they won’t be our #5. They might be our #2. The phrase “start 25-30 games and have a .500 winning percentage” pretty much sums Bush (and once upon a time, Suppan) to a tee.
I have an unreasonable dislike of Bill Hall.
by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Jan 27, 2009 6:22 PM CST up reply actions
This is a picture of Livan Hernandez pitching:
by HRF on Jan 27, 2009 8:10 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Yeah, but look at the break on that sucker.
I mean, it falls right off the table.
I have an unreasonable dislike of Bill Hall.
by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Jan 27, 2009 10:21 PM CST up reply actions
You have no shame. :)
"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"
Odalis Perez is a pretty good idea
Livan Hernandez is simply a terrible, terrible pitcher. When we talk about replacement-level pitchers, Livan Hernandez is a replacement-level pitcher. CHONE projects like a 5.30 ERA. The dude strikes out like 3 per 9 and walks 2.5 per 9. I want no part of him.
Check out this post. I’ll just reproduce the game. Eric Seidman gives these two lines, averaged together from a few projection systems.
Pitcher A: 170 IP, 4.58 FIP, +1.7 WAR
Pitcher B: 150 IP, 4.65 FIP, +1.4 WAR
A is Oliver Perez. B is Odalis Perez. I really want Odalis Perez, if we can get him on a nice, cheap deal.
Scored three times and detonated an indisputable in four visits to the batting box.
Know who else struck out 3 per 9 and walked 2.5 per 9???
The Pride of Havana, 194-game winner Dolf Luque, the same guy who put up a 2.63 ERA at the age of 34, the same age fellow Cuban Livan Hernandez will be next year. I bet your fancy-pants stats don’t tell you that! :)
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
I totally realize your point
But just as a note of general baseball history, k rates have really gone up a lot lately. Look at pitchers like Bob Feller. There were definitely expections, like Sandy Koufax, but generally a good k rate was about 6 per 9.
But yeah, Hernandez, 257 hits in 180 innings. Of anyone, I should know that pitchers don’t really control the amount of hits too much, but— really? 257 hits?
Scored three times and detonated an indisputable in four visits to the batting box.
Allegedly the Mets are offering 3/30+
If that’s true and he’s holding out for a better offer…well that’s just dumb.
"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"
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| W | L | PCT | GB | STRK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago
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0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
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Cincinnati
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0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
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Houston
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0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
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Milwaukee
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0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
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Pittsburgh
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0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
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St. Louis
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0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | Lost 0 |
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