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Thursday's Frosty Mug

Jarrod Washburn: 2010 Brewer?

More photos » Jae C. Hong - AP

Jarrod Washburn: 2010 Brewer?

Some things to read while testing the healing powers of bacon.

Jon Heyman is the latest to bring up the possibility that Jarrod Washburn could become a 2010 Brewer (as noted in Rumorville). Al says "he's been solid for far too many seasons to pretend he's not a good pitcher." With that said, he's also 35 years old and coming off surgery.

I'm having a hard time getting off the fence on this possibility. Obviously, Washburn's age and injury status would create the possibility that signing him could turn into a major mistake. With that said, his ERA in Seattle was never over 4.69, and when you adjust that for the NL he could very well be expected to post something in the 4.20-4.40 range next season. Giving him anything more than a two year deal would be a mistake, but to me he's worth considering in the short term.

Meanwhile, Jorge Says No! is still listing the Brewers as one of six teams that could trade for Gary Matthews Jr., but only if the Angels eat most of his salary. Every GM starts the offseason looking for players who are cheap and good: Trading for GMJ with the intent of playing him in center field would mean sacrificing the "good" part to get the "cheap."

Here's an unsubstantiated possibility I'll throw out there: The Mets are reportedly looking for a right-handed platoon partner for Daniel Murphy at first base next season. At first glance, Casey McGehee would make sense, as his versatility would allow him to fill in at other positions when he's not starting at first. Just a thought.

And while I'm out here on the rampant speculation train, View From Bernie's Chalet has a look at one potential Opening Day lineup for the 2011 Brewers. He presents a pretty encouraging possibility: A productive Brewer lineup with all eight position players under 30.

Earlier this week, the Milwaukee chapter of the BBWAA announced their postseason awards, but it's possible they didn't tell the whole story. Miller Park Drunk has the full list of awards presented.

By the way, to answer MPD's question: No, the Milwaukee BBWAA chapter isn't just the three writers from the Journal Sentinel. Six ballots were cast when voting on the awards: One of them was likely AP reporter Colin Fly, and I'm pretty sure the Madison Capital-Times and Racine Journal-Times also have active BBWAA members.

In the minors:
  • Bernie's Crew has short videos of the deliveries of three of the Brewers' top pitching prospects: Cody Scarpetta, Jake Odorizzi and Wily Peralta, if you haven't seen them before.
  • Baseball Intellect, at least partially spurred by this Battlekow interview, discusses Evan Anundsen's drop in velocity and the possibility that his high pitch counts in high school are to blame.
  • Baseball America has a report card for the Brewers' 2009 Draft. It's behind their pay wall, but Rattler Radio has several of the salient points.
Around baseball:

Astros: Outrighted catcher Chris Coste to AAA. Coste will be a minor league free agent.
Braves: Are expected to sign Tim Hudson to a three year contract extension worth $27 million.
Dodgers: Manny Ramirez exercised his $20 million player option to remain with the team next season.
Rays: Outrighted first baseman Chris Richard to AAA, making him a minor league free agent.
Rockies: Reliever Joel Peralta rejected an outright assignment to the minor leagues and will become a free agent.

Yesterday, Roguejim noted MLB Trade Rumors' Bad Contract Swap Meet. That's a good idea, but this one would be better TV: Dave Cameron of FanGraphs proposes the Bad Contract White Elephant. Clearly it's intended to be tongue in cheek, but I'd watch it.

Earlier this week, BCB endorsed the Phillies in the World Series, and we're off to a pretty good start. It appears not everyone got the memo, though: Ryan Grant is rooting for the Yankees.

I don't buy a lot of baseball books, but I gladly shell out the money for John Sickels' Baseball Prospect Book every year. It's easily my top resource for scouting reports on over a thousand prospects and it's great to have on hand when attending spring training or minor league games. I've probably consulted it 30-40 times in my work here during the 2009 season. Sickels is currently accepting pre-orders for the 2010 book, which help pay for its publication. If you're a minor league buff or just want to be one step closer to knowing what you're talking about when discussing prospects, I'd highly recommend picking up a copy.

Speaking of the minors, the Reds' decision to move spring training from Sarasota to Goodyear, Arizona has sent a ripple into the minor leagues: The Reds, who also own their Florida State League affiliate in Sarasota, are selling it to the Pirates, who intend to move it to their spring training facility in Bradenton. So, in one year's time the city of Sarasota may lose both their spring training presence and their FSL team.

On this day in 2002, Ned Yost was hired to manage the Brewers, and Ken Macha was named manager of the A's. We'll have more on Brewer managers later today.

Happy birthday to Dana Eveland, who pitched in 36 games as a Brewer in 2005 and 2006 and turns 26, knuckleballer and 2007 Nashville Sound R.A. Dickey,, who turns 35, and Narciso Elvira, who appeared in four games for the 1990 Brewers and turns 42.

Oh, and if you're feeling nostalgic, this description of Gabe Kapler's play should bring back some memories.

Drink up.

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Comments

Display:

The memo was rejected

I am rooting for the Yankees, and hard. I won’t bore you with the details, but I hate the whole city of Philadelphia. Even “IASIP”, which was the lone redeeming point, isn’t as good and consistent as it was.

by Capt Science on Oct 29, 2009 9:45 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

One of my most vivid memories

from growing up in Philadelphia was when Howard Stern started his blood feud with local “Morning Zoo” DJ Jon DeBella on WMMR. It was crazy, ending pretty much when DeBella’s wife committed suicide.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Oct 29, 2009 12:15 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here's a bigger challenge for View From Bernie's Chalet

What does the 2011 sarting rotation look like? That lineup looks good, but as we learned this year, good hitting can’t always save bad pitching.

Another thought- if Lawrie can stick at 2B, does anyone see him evolving into the next Chase Utley?

"A D+ Grade? That must have been a Wittardo grade"- @73_MC

by BrewHaHeather on Oct 29, 2009 10:04 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Hitting-wise I don't know.

But as evidenced by having to say “If” Lawrie can stick at 2B, the odds of him becoming the defensive stalwart that Utley is are pretty slim.

by NoahJ on Oct 29, 2009 10:32 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

important to remember:

2009 was Lawrie’s first season at second base. And, while he wasn’t always polished out there, he didn’t look overmatched by it, either.

I don’t think it’s outside the realm of possibility that he could stick at second and play in the big leagues there for a decade or more before eventually making the late-in-career move to left.

That's all I've got for you today, unless you're interested in some Chris Capuano/Tom Haudricourt Fan Fiction.

by KLSnow on Oct 29, 2009 10:36 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

Yes

But Utley is also one of, if not the, best second basemen defensively right now. I don’t doubt that Lawrie could stick at second, but to play at the defensive level of Utley? Combining that with the outstanding hitting of Utley, it is a tall task for Lawrie to try to match.

by NoahJ on Oct 29, 2009 10:55 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Couldn't agree with KL's comment on VFBC much more.

I don’t think Lawrie will be on the 2011 opening day roster. They’ll at least wait until May, like they did with Braun.

However, I don’t think Lawrie will move again. I’m guessing Weeks will be traded to make room for Lawrie. That was probably a big part of the plan all along while switching him to 2B.

Then again, it’s possible Lawrie gets turned over for pitching this year, if we’re setting our sights on a stud. (TWSS)

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Oct 29, 2009 10:57 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

White elephant

My first reaction was to wonder why (and how) someone would write an entire article about bad Philadelphia Athletics contracts.

Sign Corky Miller

by TheJay on Oct 29, 2009 10:41 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Washburn

Does anyone think his improvement in Seattle has anything to do with the “DEATH TO FLYING THINGS” outfield that they trotted out this year? Franklin Guitierrez, Ichiro, and the Balentin/Endy Chavez/Michael Saunders Metaplatoon had a lot to do with them dropping their RA from 811 in 2008 to 692 in 2009. Washburn gives up a lot of fly balls, and that contributed to his improvement. However, when he had Granderson, Magglio, and whatever LF they trotted out that day in Detroit, he suffered.

He’s highly reliant on his OF, and while defensively we are ok, we’re not Death To Flying Things

"That's not a weird stat. Rickie is a run-scorer," Yost said. "It doesn't matter. It doesn't matter," Yost told reporters. "See, you guys have no concept. He's a run-scorer. So there's nothing weird about it. That's what he does."

by Hyatt on Oct 29, 2009 11:01 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm sure his improvement in 2009 had something to do with that

But he posted a 4.19 ERA over four seasons in Seattle, so even before the improvement, he wasn’t that bad.

That's all I've got for you today, unless you're interested in some Chris Capuano/Tom Haudricourt Fan Fiction.

by KLSnow on Oct 29, 2009 11:16 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

regarding that

06- 4.67 ERA, 95 ERA+
07- 4.32 ERA, 100 ERA+
08- 4.69 ERA, 90 ERA+
09- 2.64 ERA. 164 ERA+

Leading up to the Death To Flying Things outfield, he was league average or just below. While average is an improvement, it’s not good enough for that #2 that we need.

"That's not a weird stat. Rickie is a run-scorer," Yost said. "It doesn't matter. It doesn't matter," Yost told reporters. "See, you guys have no concept. He's a run-scorer. So there's nothing weird about it. That's what he does."

by Hyatt on Oct 29, 2009 11:23 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right

But to repeat my point, if you average out the three seasons he had before the improvement, he’s at 4.56 Take him out of the AL and that drops to what…4.30 or so?

That's all I've got for you today, unless you're interested in some Chris Capuano/Tom Haudricourt Fan Fiction.

by KLSnow on Oct 29, 2009 11:47 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just curious

Is .25 what you can usually expect an ERA to drop from in the AL/NL transition? I know it varies, just curious what the expectation usually is.

I’d think that the move from Safeco/AL West to Miller Park would bump up the expected ERA a little bit too.

by Supertramp on Oct 29, 2009 1:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Miller Park is not a hitters park

It’s essentially league average.

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Oct 29, 2009 4:01 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I never said it was....

Safeco is a pitchers park, so Washburn would be moving to a better hiters park if he signs with the Brewers.

by Supertramp on Oct 29, 2009 4:13 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

ok fair enough

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Oct 29, 2009 4:55 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Umm, yes.

He is a flyball pitcher.
He is 35.
He was expensive and probably wants comparable money to last year ($10 mil).
I’m writing a post right now for my blog about how the Mariners improved by 24 games basically by upgrading their defense. Washburn gave up 39 ER in 133 IP for the Mariners, and gave up 35 ER in 43 IP in Detroit. That probably has a good bit to do with defense (Safeco and Comerica are both pitchers parks), some to do with age and wearing down, and some to do with luck. He’s not likely to produce numbers anywhere close to what he did last year if he goes to a team with an inferior outfield defense/non-pitcher’s park.

Were I Brewers fan, I would NOT WANT.

www.fivetoolfans.com

by mykalmorgan on Oct 29, 2009 4:01 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hahahah

Best OPS: Carlos Corporan

I had to look that up to check it, but that’s a good one.

.893 wOBA! I think we have our new starting catcher!

Brewers Baseball and other assorted nonsense (mostly the assorted nonsense) at my blog, What's a Tararrel?

by Lefti on Oct 29, 2009 11:29 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

didn't he do this before?

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Oct 29, 2009 4:55 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

yes

according to that article

by PagsBrewCrew on Oct 30, 2009 11:34 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I read the headline and got bored..

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Oct 30, 2009 2:04 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re BBWAA

The Biz of Baseball lists Cap Times and Wisconsin State Journal as both having BBWAA members.

by Cheeseandcorn on Oct 29, 2009 6:25 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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