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Around SBN: Blogger Q&A - And The Valley Shook

Wednesday's Frosty Mug

Casey McGehee, seen here being congratulated by Felipe Lopez after hitting a home run in July, was the National League Rookie of the Month for September.

More photos » by Morry Gash - AP

Casey McGehee, seen here being congratulated by Felipe Lopez after hitting a home run in July, was the National League Rookie of the Month for September.

Some things to read while learning a new skill.

It's a light news day, so the biggest story is probably the unveiling of 2010 ticket prices, which I'm having a hard time getting developing an opinion about either way. Prices are going up slightly, but not enough to really get upset about. (FanShot)

That might have been the most lackluster opening paragraph in a Mug all year. Maybe I need to check into Casa de Machado's starting lineup from yesterday.

Casey McGehee was named NL Rookie of the Month for September, a pretty fitting cap on a surprising season for a guy who quickly became a great story (FanShot).

Speaking of rookies, Alcides Escobar will technically still count as a rookie next season, as he narrowly avoided the 130 AB cutoff. Mat Gamel, on the other hand, spent more than the maximum 45 days on a major league roster this season, so he's not eligible.

Speaking of Escobar, Chris Mehring of Rattler Radio received the latest copy of Baseball America and noted that Escobar was the first team shortstop on their all levels all star team this season. Brett Lawrie was also the second team second baseman, and Eric Farris and Evan Anundsen made the all Advanced-A team.

Speaking of shortstops, Adam Guttridge of The Hardball Times took a first look at attempts to project J.J. Hardy's performance for next season, and thinks the team that eventually acquires him from the Brewers is going to get a great deal.

With the regular season officially over, it's time for Plunk Everyone to look back at the season that was. Jason Kendall, Dave Bush, Ryan Braun, Prince Fielder and Felipe Lopez all make an appearance in their NL awards.

Fielder and Braun also show up on this somewhat more prestigious list: The top ten batters in the majors, ranked by OPS+. Fielder finished third, behind Albert Pujols and Joe Mauer, and Braun finished tied with Ben Zobrist for tenth place.

These probably don't go together, but I'm lumping them together anyway as "Power Rankings and whatnot:" There are three hot stove notes today that pertain to the Brewers in one way or another:
  • The Brewers can almost certainly be considered the early favorite to sign Doug Davis, especially considering he's not expected to return to the D-Backs.
  • The Padres may be looking to sign a center fielder this offseason, and Mike Cameron's name has come up.
  • The Astros exercised their half of a mutual option on pitcher Brian Moehler. If Moehler accepts (and it's pretty likely he will), he'll make $3.5 million next season. He'll be 38 before spring training and posted a 5.47 ERA in 154.2 innings this season. Don't be surprised if this is mentioned as justification for bringing back Braden Looper: If Moehler, who is older, posted a higher ERA and pitched fewer innings than Looper, is actually worth $3.5 million, then $6.5 million for Looper can be spun as a decent deal.
Elsewhere on the hot stove:

White Sox: Exercised 2010 options on pitchers Freddy Garcia and Matt Thornton.

There was only one major league game yesterday, but it was a classic. If you missed it, you can relive it through the FanGraphs Win Expectancy Graph. Coming into the weekend, I didn't really have a strong rooting interest in the Twins-Tigers race, aside from a slight inclination to see the Twins win so we'd keep getting baseball analysis from Aaron Gleeman's mom.

With that said, the Tigers (and Major League Baseball's) handling of the Miguel Cabrera situation made me a whole-hearted Twins fan for the day yesterday. After the game, Cabrera seemed to understand the gravity of the situation, but that doesn't change the fact that he shouldn't have been allowed to play. Furthermore, Jim Leyland's decision to brush off questions about a domestic assault investigation by calling it "gossip" is absolutely deplorable.

On a lighter note, yesterday's game did give us a preview of the upcoming TBS playoff coverage, and the early reviews aren't very good. I've probably seen a dozen or more complaints about Chip Caray this morning, but he was only the second worst part of yesterday's broadcast to me, behind the incessant airing of the same commercial for George Lopez's new show. By the end of the divisional round, even Frank Caliendo is going to be sick of it.

It's a rough week for anyone who works in the front office of a baseball team, as firing season has clearly opened. Paul DePodesta, the Padres' Assistant GM who's been fired as a GM once himself, has an inside view of what it's like to work in a business where friends can come and go so quickly.

Need a mental warmup today? Try naming the career home run leaders by last initial. (Hint: There are two former Brewers.) I got 13, but also got frustrated and gave up with over four minutes left.

Once your brain is warmed up, turn it on to this task: The Eastern League team formerly known as the Connecticut Defenders is moving to Richmond, and they need a new name. Their existing options universally suck, so CNBC's Darren Rovell is asking for your help to generate some new ones.

Happy birthday today to Tim Unroe, who appeared in 48 games as a Brewer between 1995 and 1997 and turns 39 today, and to West Bend native Ryan Rohlinger, who turns 26.

Drink up.

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Doug Davis

Ugh.

If he signs with the Brewers this offseason, I dont think there is a lot of promise for 2010.

And double Ugh, watching the guy pitch is worse than watching the grass grow.

by backtocali on Oct 7, 2009 10:31 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I know

ugh, again

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Oct 7, 2009 11:29 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Still

That’s like saying “Stalin was a worse dictator than Hitler”.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 1:45 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

No way

Hitler was much worse than Stalin. Hitler killed jewish people because of self loathing, Stalin killed people who wouldnt fall in line with his beliefs.

by backtocali on Oct 7, 2009 3:46 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

But from estimates I have seen

Stalin killed ~20 million people and Hitler killed ~11 Million people. At that point, I really don’t care about reasons unless it is proven that all those people are from satans army.

by NoahJ on Oct 7, 2009 3:49 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

a little bit

of sarcasm there…

since this is a message board and “not agreeing” sometimes is a killing type of offense…ie people here might be able to identify a little better with Stalin.

by backtocali on Oct 7, 2009 3:53 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ah....

Godwin’s Law comes true once again!

by sjlee on Oct 7, 2009 3:52 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rookie of the year

I know it’s kind of a lame thing, subjective, popularity etc.. but it kind of makes me mad that Gamel rotted on the bench so long he won’t get a shot at ROTY on whatever club he’s on next year.

by SgtClueLs on Oct 7, 2009 11:43 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

And I hope its the Brewers, if he isnt starting 3B by June next year, more evidence that things arent looking too good for 2010.

by backtocali on Oct 7, 2009 11:47 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

What if McGehee doesn't regress

and earns the everyday 3B job? That would look pretty good for 2010.

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Oct 7, 2009 11:49 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Big If

History is not on the side of 26 year olds making their debut, going on to successful careers. Exceptions are Negro League Players like Elston Howard, or Josh Hamilton and Alexie Ramirez (Cuban defector) or Miller Huggins (but this is only good if he goes on to become a manager).

The biggest star, in history, of a guy with that type of history is Dan Uggla.

There is a reason guys are 26 year old rookies.

by backtocali on Oct 7, 2009 12:00 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

A couple thoughts...
  1. Even if McGehee regresses, he will most likely still be better than what we have had at 3B the past few years (and excepting Ryan Braun).
  2. I don’t think Ken Macha will allow Mat Gamel to hit against lefties, every. Clearly the kid needs consistent ABs, but Macha is not the manager to give them to him. At best, I think Macha will platoon them if there’s an issue. Which may bode well for Gamel considering the bevy of RHP in the Majors.
  3. I totally agree with the 26 year old rookie statement. And I have a feeling McGehee will regress a pretty decent amount. Its unfortunate that no one will buy high on him, since he’s never done anything like this.
  4. I’d prefer not to part ways with Gamel, but if McGehee is going to be the guy, no matter what, then the team may as well try to throw some bandaids on the pitching gunshot wound.
  5. I want Gamel to be the everyday 3B and McGehee to fill a utility IF role. I know that won’t happen. Just sayin’.
  6. What about maxing out on Fielder now and just stashing Gamel at 1B? Sure you lose a ton of offensive production, but hopefully with consistent ABs Gamel will produce around a .300 AVG and drive in 70 with 25HR. I know this has been tossed around before. Just thinking out loud. Eh or writing. Whatever.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 1:54 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with everything

except point 6. Gamel’s future is probably 1B, but I’d prefer to hold off on that for at least another year.

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Oct 7, 2009 3:16 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Has he done anything to suggest he can't play 3B in the majors?

Watching Gamel and McGehee this year, and comparing numbers, I’d say Gamel might even be the better defender. I realize McGehee was slowed by the injury, but he played to a -12 UZR/150. His defensive sample is maybe the equivalent to 150 PAs, but still.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 3:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think Gamel can play a decent 3B in the majors

But will he get the chance? The FO seems to be pretty high on McGehee. He will have to perform his way out of the starting 3B job next year before Gamel gets a chance.

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Oct 7, 2009 3:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's the point, I'm afraid

I want Gamel to be the starting 3B. But that’s not going to happen, I think.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 3:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's not what I said

And you know it. I think The Mustache should learn from his poor analysis of his 2009 SP group. 2009 is a big ol’ statistical outlier for McGehee. Assuming equivalent output for 2010 is lunacy.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 4:06 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, but at the same time, there's no good reason to hand Gamel the job.

I’m all for letting them fight it out for the position.

by Mykenk on Oct 7, 2009 4:10 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right, me too

I never wanted to hand anyone a spot. Baseball is all about ‘the more you can do things well for longer, the more we believe in you’. So…McGehee will have a leg up, because there’s this caveat that ‘minor league numbers aren’t very comparable to MLB numbers’. So, unless you admit you’re out of it early (The Brewers did not) and get some young guys a large amount of ABs, then you are either going to do what you always did, or bite your nails when you ‘gamble’. The Mustache is not a gambler. And the team’s hand was forced with injuries this season, and so McGehee was pressed into 2B duty. When it was evident he could hit MLB pitching, and Hall (for some reason all of his years since 2006 didn’t count against him) proved he couldn’t, he was conveniently slotted in. Sort of the Tiki Barber syndrome.

In any case, if it was Gamel that had made the club out of ST as a bench guy, perhaps things would be different.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 4:21 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

He'll get the chance...

it just may not be with the Brewers.

by sjlee on Oct 7, 2009 3:53 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sure.

Not saying it’s going to happen next season.

But the Brewers will eventually need to do something with Gamel… they can’t leave him down in the minors forever.

by sjlee on Oct 7, 2009 3:55 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gamel's splits are pretty much equal

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 3:32 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not like I would expect Macha to check MLS

Though there is no excuse for not knowing things like that

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 3:32 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

"There is a reason guys are 26 year old rookies."

Josh Willingham
Ryan Church
Matt Diaz
Travis Hafner
Marco Scutaro
Jamey Carroll
Scott Podsednik
David Eckstein
Pedro Feliz
Brady Clark
Casey Blake
Melvin Mora
Corey Koskie
Kevin Millar
Jason Varitek
Joe Randa
Scott Hatteberg
Marty Cordova

…since 1995. Granted, not much star power, but some pretty darn successful careers in there. I think this will prove to be McGehee’s career year, but him being a 26-year-old rookie doesn’t mean his career won’t be successful.

You know me Al.

by TheJay on Oct 7, 2009 7:09 PM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

TBS

I kind of liked that Dag Hammarskjold was mentioned during a baseball broadcast.

You know me Al.

by TheJay on Oct 7, 2009 11:56 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Sign Jason Marquis

He comes with a guaranteed spot in the playoffs.

You know me Al.

by TheJay on Oct 7, 2009 11:57 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Bernie as 5th best mascot?

I don’t see it. As far as mascots go, a big white guy with a moustache is pretty lame. (Though as GMs, they’re not so bad, arguably.)

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Oct 7, 2009 12:03 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Few years back

ESPN made reference to a white guy in lederhosen standing above the K’s (there were 3 strikeouts at the time)….

It wasnt a very positive image…after that they moved the “K’s” to the scoreboard on the other side of the field.

by backtocali on Oct 7, 2009 12:10 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I miss the "tradional K" display.

I don’t like the light up lights. It may even appease the Cardinals.

by SgtClueLs on Oct 7, 2009 12:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

But the Brewers (presented by Potawatomi Bingo and Casino)

need more sponsors! We need someone to sponsor every strikeout!

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Oct 7, 2009 12:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

haha!

that’s kinda funny.

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Oct 7, 2009 12:44 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

awesome

but I prefer the traditional K display

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Oct 7, 2009 12:56 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why, exactly, shouldn't Miguel Cabrera have been allowed to play yesterday?

The incident with his wife is under investigation. Why should he have to sit out while that investigation takes place?

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 12:14 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Because IIRC, on Friday he got into trouble at a bar he was under strict orders never to return to, because he started trouble the previous time. He supposedly told a large gentleman that he needed to work out more, then started picking a fight with another guy.

by Yar Nivek on Oct 7, 2009 12:42 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Miguel Cabrera telling someone they need to work out more?

Hmmmm…..

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 3:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agree with Rubie

It is under investigation and no charges filed, I’m not sure what you expected to have happen.

by Supertramp on Oct 7, 2009 1:16 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Meh

We don’t know specifically what he was guilty of, but we know he was arrested in the middle of the night with a .26 BAC after a 911 call from his wife, alleging assault.

I know he hasn’t been convicted of anything (yet), but he’s certainly done enough that it should have drawn someone’s notice.

This also isn’t a minor allegation we’re talking about.

That's all I've got for you today, unless you're interested in some Chris Capuano/Tom Haudricourt Fan Fiction.

by KLSnow on Oct 7, 2009 5:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It hasn't drawn notice already?

Or are you talking in terms of a call from the Commish’s office?

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 5:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was referring to the Commisioner, yes.

That's all I've got for you today, unless you're interested in some Chris Capuano/Tom Haudricourt Fan Fiction.

by KLSnow on Oct 7, 2009 5:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

OK, got it.

I think the standard operating procedure, though, is to wait for the justice system to run its course. Here, that process is just starting — and, who knows, the thing might not ever get off the ground.

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 5:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That may be how it's always been done in baseball

But it’s not how it’s done in the NFL, which I think is a valid comparison.

I’m not saying he should have been banned for life or suspended until it was resolved (which is what would have happened to many of us if something similar had happened in the real world), but I didn’t think it was right for him to continue to play as if nothing were wrong.

That's all I've got for you today, unless you're interested in some Chris Capuano/Tom Haudricourt Fan Fiction.

by KLSnow on Oct 7, 2009 5:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The most recent example I can think of in the NFL is Stallworth.

And Stallworth wasn’t suspended by the League until after his criminal case resolved.

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 5:43 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

But that was during the offseason, so there was no rush.

That's all I've got for you today, unless you're interested in some Chris Capuano/Tom Haudricourt Fan Fiction.

by KLSnow on Oct 7, 2009 5:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The better example might turn about to be Braylon Edwards...

…. who’s being investigated for beating a man in Cleveland about a week ago. No charges yet, but the league is already rattling its saber about a poor conduct suspension, though nothing has happened yet, and Edwards was just traded to the Jets yesterday.
The thing about Cabrera’s incident is that it sounds like a domestic incident, and they are notoriously difficult to prove when the victims change their mind and become uncooperative. I don’t know if that will happen here, but it’s not uncommon.

Incidentally, did you see the pictures of Cabrera’s face? There was a large, long scratch running from his temple down to his mouth. When asked what happened by a reporter he said his dog did it. The reporter apparently thought Cabrera might have gotten into it with a teammate for showing up to work hung over (or worse) during a pennant race. A day or so later the reports of his arrest broke.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Oct 8, 2009 6:43 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've always wondered what they mean when they say:

“The NFL is investigating the incident.”

I have a hard time believing that the NFL is going to send out a P.I. (or a retired cop or somebody from NFL security) to take witness statements, speak to the player, etc. I can’t image the real police would be very happy if the League was collecting evidence while the law enforcement investigation is ongoing.

by Rubie Q on Oct 8, 2009 8:58 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually the NFL (and some of the teams)...

… has long had a practice of hiring ex-FBI agents, but my guess is when they say the NFL is investigating they probably just mean they’re trying to obtain copies of the police reports and talking to team security about what they might have seen or heard.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Oct 8, 2009 11:41 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

If it's a red phone

then you could be the Batman!

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Oct 8, 2009 12:24 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

What?!?!?!?!?!

We’ve got no time to find out what happened! We’ve got torches and pitchforks to ready. Who cares that there were injuries to the face of both man and woman, clearly the man must go to jail and be shunned while the poor wife is allowed to be a victim and her role in the violence is never to be questioned. Are you new to this?

by Getting Yosted on Oct 7, 2009 2:16 PM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

I think its worth noting here (maybe i'll put up a fanshot, too)

Jim Breen has an excellent post up over at Bernie’s Crew about overpaying for closers. I happen to agree completely with his analysis.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 1:15 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Hmm.

That seems to imply that, in terms of salary:

every day players > Starting Pitchers > Middle Relievers > 1 Inning Relievers.

I’m pretty sure the first inequality isn’t true, and I know the last one isn’t. I’m not sure if it’s the save stat necessarily, but it probably did have something to do with it.

Is there a study out there that does salary by some leverage ratio/WPA statistic? I’d think the results would be somewhat intuitive, but I think the fact that closers are routinely in higher leverage situations than middle relievers justifies a slightly higher contract. To what degree, I’m not sure.

by Mykenk on Oct 7, 2009 1:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

WPA/LI

Clutch is also a good indicator, in my opinion.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 1:58 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Doubt it

That would depend too much on a manager’s tendencies, I would think.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 2:02 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

But you have to keep in mind

A closer is almost ALWAYS guaranteed to have a higher average leverage index than any other reliever, since they only put them in at the end of the game. If you run someone with a better clutch rating out in the same situation, they will (theoretically) perform better.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 2:00 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

His heroics on monday night?

by drezdn on Oct 7, 2009 2:42 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Didn't he score the winning run

In Game 5 of the WS last year? I know he was involved somehow, at some point

Brewers Baseball and other assorted nonsense (mostly the assorted nonsense) at my blog, What's a Tararrel?

by Lefti on Oct 8, 2009 11:01 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Phillies and Rockies

Go Rockies!

Brewers presser at 2pm on 1250. May have to stop listening to the playoffs at that time.

by SgtClueLs on Oct 7, 2009 1:41 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

BA is sooooo much better than Chip Caray

And whomever the color guy was last night. I wanted to scratch my eyes out with a rock. Not Rock. A rock.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 2:09 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Ohhh Doug...

You are wise and giving me content for FDM.com

by SgtClueLs on Oct 7, 2009 2:17 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

This?

Per TH:

On trading either Ryan Braun or Prince Fielder:

“I don’t see that happening.”

by Supertramp on Oct 7, 2009 2:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nothing..

I’m following along on TH’s blog, and that was the only thing remotely intersting on it.

by Supertramp on Oct 7, 2009 2:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lots of stuff

One thing he said.. and we can now begin to speculate.

Goal is two starting pitchers from FA/Trades. Looks to maybe sac offense for better pitching. Pitching coach will have some say.. but most improtantly they players they are looking at are not in the playoffs right now.

by SgtClueLs on Oct 7, 2009 2:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks for the update

A lot better than TH (shocking, I know)

by Supertramp on Oct 7, 2009 2:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Need to win more ballgames,

Losing CC and Sheets “a huge task”, 48 starts. A lot of things had to go “right”.

Evaluation of starting PC didn’t go well, takes some responsiblity.

Macha Was asked to keep staff members.

not alot of players to give fulltime play too in September. (Seriously?)

Pitching needs to improve. Duh. Unmeasured things need to be improved.

Quotes patience. See JDLR. Says he’s now pitching in the playoffs. He’s hurt now sorry doug unless they make it to the next round..

Ash: Didn’t give up games at the end.

McGehee good waiver claim. Hoof was done to atract FA SP. Points to knowing back end is locked up. Interviewing someone on asuper

secret pitching trip.

Has no idea on FA dates.
Claims to be ontop of things more this year.

Says sacraficing offense for pitching.
 Pure focus on Pitching…

People like playing here.

Ben Sheets: No longer in team care, but desireable. Been once in awhile conversation with agent nothing of substance.

Balance budget and playing. (CODE FOR SMALL MARKET)

Compeition for next season. Industry problem with pitching.

2 starting pitchers. No one in the playoffs we are talking too.

Weeks is the 2nd basemen.

Knee why kc sucked at d.

Commited to giving up some position players for pitching.

Narvason maybe BP not a starter.

Points to strength in pitching lower levels. Needs to go outside org for big league level players next year.

by SgtClueLs on Oct 7, 2009 2:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nothing too earth-shattering

I just wish he would have explicilty said that Suppan in the rotation next year is not a guarantee

It is what it is.

by coolig on Oct 7, 2009 2:46 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Didn't commit to that

But indicated more competition for starter spot.

Lots of small market QQing in this thing…

by SgtClueLs on Oct 7, 2009 2:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

In regards to quick-fix FA signings,

yeah being a small market team hurts. But not when it comes to being able to draft and develop pitching.

It is what it is.

by coolig on Oct 7, 2009 2:51 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just talked about KC

Said that his Defensive woes are caused by his knee. I’m going to call this.. Gamel is gone.

by SgtClueLs on Oct 7, 2009 2:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gamel is also young

But rotting on the bench isn’t going to develop you at all.

by SgtClueLs on Oct 7, 2009 2:43 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Really?

Playing baseball doesn’t help young guys develop?

by Supertramp on Oct 7, 2009 3:06 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not once or twice a week. It's been said, the guy needs regular at bats. 8-10 a week isn't regular.

I said they shouldn’t have bothered calling him up in september, it was clear there wasn’t playing time for him in the philosophy that the coaches had subscribed to (that I agreed with). If they wanted to develop him, they should have played him 4-5 days a week, similar use as Escobar. unfortunately for Gamel, there wasn’t available playing time, so he got nothing.

Would have been totally okay with him not getting called up.

by Mykenk on Oct 7, 2009 3:11 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Even if he wouldn't have "developed"

a few starts here and there could have prevented the feeling that the orginization had little to no confidence in him

It is what it is.

by coolig on Oct 7, 2009 3:28 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't

but along with Macha’s comments, I would be a little surprised if he didn’t feel that way

It is what it is.

by coolig on Oct 7, 2009 3:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

When did he have defensive woes?

Range matters.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 3:40 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

People tend to think that range and reliability cancel each other out

They do not. Range is a lot more important. If McGehee gets to 90 balls and throws out 89, that’s worse than Gamel getting 100 and throwing out 90.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 3:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, so by "throws out" ...

you meant “throws the runner out,” not “throws the ball out of the field of play.” I’m with you now. :-)

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 3:43 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't really know what that's supposed to mean...

but the point is the point. It’s just an example.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 3:52 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I see your point...

You’re saying that Gamel has better range than McGehee, which means that he’ll get to more balls.

What if your example was 90/89 for McGehee and 100/80 for Gamel… which is worse? That’s what I was trying to say.

by sjlee on Oct 7, 2009 3:58 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Then McGehee is better, yes

I don’t know actual numbers. I do know that UZRs from this year, Gamel is about +8 per 150 and McGehee was about 12 per 150. Neither played enough to conclude much. But this is just like the Durham vs. Weeks defense argument- range and surehandedness do not always balance each other out. Range is more important than accuracy, within reason of course.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 4:00 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

They still haven't fixed the strikethrough thing, wow

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 4:01 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, it was a bit hard to read.

Anyway, I wasn’t trying to prove your point wrong. I didn’t think my example was ridiculously unreasonable.

Looking at Gamel’s fielding stats in the minors seems to indicate that even though he might have better range than even a healthy McGehee, his fielding might be along the lines of Braun at 3B… or worse.

by sjlee on Oct 7, 2009 4:04 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

His totalzone numbers-- pretty much a measure of his range-- were fine.

He did have a lot of errors. But I’m not convinced that range was ever really the problem.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 4:13 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Totalzone

Gamel was about average in TZ at Hunstville in ‘08, and about 5 in his time in Nashville this year. TZ does not include the penalty for throwing a ball away- it’s either out or safe, if that makes sense. So you could lower Gamel’s numbers a bit. McGehee’s are pretty close to average, too.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 5:07 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think Hart is gone

and Gamel is in RF next year

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Oct 7, 2009 3:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Question:

Which outfield would be worse, defensively — a Cubs outfield of Soriano – Fukudome – Bradley, or a Brewers outfield of Braun – Gerut – Gamel?

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 3:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

the latter

but Gamel is cheaper than Hart, and we need money for pitching. Besides, Corey Hart isn’t that good in RF anyway.

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Oct 7, 2009 3:43 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just out of curiosity

What do you think Hart will net in a trade? Two or three bats?

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 3:48 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Let me preface this by saying I hate Corey Hart

Not just because he cries and talks trash about the home fans, or because he refused to change his approach last season.

But mostly because, at this point, he’s had 1.5 good seasons and 1.5+ bad seasons in the majors. He is a below average defender in RF, who doesn’t utilize speed in the OF or on the base paths.

And he’ll be making…what? $4M+ this season? So…if he gets traded, I’ll view it more as a salary relief move.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 3:53 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe because he's so fast it doesn't seem like he's utilizing his speed in the OF ;)

And no one is allowed to utilize their speed on the basepaths under Macha.

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Oct 7, 2009 4:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed w/Macha comment

But I remember a game when McCalvy tweeted something about Hart looking slow in the OF, which was unusual because he’s a good defender or something like that. I responded that he always does, but seems hesitant to go after balls (it was the game where Lopez kicked him in the neck). Then I got to thinking…most games I remember watching him in the OF, he looks like he’s half running after he blows a cutoff.

And then I hate him more.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 4:10 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Where does he need to get to quickly after blowing a cutoff?

;)

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Oct 7, 2009 9:54 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hart/Hardy/McGehee package pleasssseeee

Heck they could go Braves and get a pitching prospect and OF, such as Schaefer perhaps…

by backtocali on Oct 7, 2009 3:51 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know that

At all.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 3:54 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't like it either

but I’d bet anyone $5 that if anyone gets traded between McGehee and Gamel it’s Gamel that goes.

by warwick5s on Oct 7, 2009 3:55 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not going to dispute that

But I do not think a package involving 2 MLB players and 1 prospect who is probably MLB ready is going to be put together for anyone.

That’s outrageous.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 3:56 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

And that's not even taking into consideration

That J.J. Hardy’s 2009 campaign is likely to be looked at as the anomaly in his career, with ‘07 and ’08 more likely the norm years. One GM said something along the lines of only needing to fix Hardy’s hands and how far they are away from his body (think I saw on MLBTR, can’t recall exactly).

Additionally, while I don’t drink Hart Koolaid, he was an All-Star in 2008.

And Mat Gamel is the team’s #1 prospect (don’t count Esky, he’s an MLB’er now).

What do you want for all of that? Roy Halladay? Teams have proven that if they’re trading away an ace level talent, they want young pitching back. So who do you throw in then? Eric Arnett? Rob Wooten? Amaury Rivas? Smokey Jeffress?

So its not just a problem of giving away a HUGE amount, its also that…well…its not really what teams have proven to be looking for in trading a #1 pitcher. And, to me, anything less than a #1 for even just those 3 would be a bad trade.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 4:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just dont see it

I have never been a big fan of Hardy, have felt that he has overperformed in those 07 and 08 years. But dont think he is as bad as this year.

I think he nets out at about 8 million in surplus value, add another 8 for Hart, plus the $10 or so you could get for Gamel (in your situation) you can get a pretty nice pitcher. This still leaves a hole in RF though and probably dont get a mlb ready OF in the deal if a big name pitcher comes over.

Too early to guage what kind of value an Arnet has, and I dont think any of those pitchers you mention have a ton of value in a trade apart from throw ins or add ons.

by backtocali on Oct 7, 2009 4:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The biggest problem with using any kind of WAR values for players when evaluating possible trades

Is that it isn’t necessarily done like that in MLB. Teams have shown they generally want good young pitching for top level MLB ready SPs. The Sabathia trade was something of an exception, although the Brewers only got 3.5 months out of him for their best prospect, another top 10 guy, and two pitchers.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 4:24 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

RE: Hardy

Hardy is a top 5 defensive SS in all of MLB at a premium defensive position. Between 07 and 08 only one other SS hit more HR. And Ramirez is a bad defender.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 4:32 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Arnett is not going to be traded

Melvin drafted him for a reason. The reason being he doesn’t have any big pitching prospects, and hasn’t for the last few years. He knows how tough it is to bring in pitching via free agency, and is trying to develop his own via the farm.

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Oct 7, 2009 9:56 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Also, he would have to be a PTBNL.

Since (I think) players can’t be traded until a year after they are drafted.

by NoahJ on Oct 7, 2009 10:08 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, sorry.

I didn’t necessarily mean that I thought all three would be part of one package, just that all three would be traded.

by warwick5s on Oct 7, 2009 4:17 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ah gotcha

I was freaking out, man.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 4:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fukudome

Is a pretty dang good RF though

by backtocali on Oct 7, 2009 3:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right.

But he’s playing CF. And he’s not good there.

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 3:55 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

2 new SP leads me to believe that Looper's option will not be picked up

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Oct 7, 2009 9:25 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

This Rockies - Phillies game seems familiar ...

Visitors are getting handcuffed by a Phillies southpaw, Phils scratching out a few runs … all it needs is a narrowly-averted Lidge meltdown to be a replica of Brewers – Phillies from last year.

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 3:08 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Ding!

The mild rhetorical poke at those who felt that TGjr was a starting-caliber CF.

by grant76 on Oct 7, 2009 3:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe we can trade for TGJ Back

How about Scarpetta and Gerut for TGJ.

by SgtClueLs on Oct 7, 2009 3:56 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hope this is one of those joke things.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 3:59 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

haha

I actually laughed, I didn’t just type an onomatopoeia.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 4:12 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

whether you actually laughed or not

you still typed an onomatopoeia

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Oct 7, 2009 9:58 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

heh

about a month ago, I decided to buy microwave popcorn for the first time in about 10 years, so I looked at the directions. It was like 4 minutes, stop if pops are separated by 2 seconds or longer. Well..the problem was I incorrectly evaluated what that meant. As it would go 3-4 seconds between BURSTS of pops, and the math side of my brain took over and said “well..that’s only 1-2 seconds per kernel, so I’m still good” and left it in. By the time the full 4 minutes was up, I had a smoking blackened bag. My microwave still smells of burnt popcorn and has a orangish varnish on the interior that I can’t get rid of just by scrubbing (and I’m hesitant to dump something like comet in the microwave). The embarrassing thing is, I did just about the same thing 2 days later with bag #2. I stopped that one after about 2.5 minutes, but it was still burnt.

by PagsBrewCrew on Oct 9, 2009 2:32 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

6 wins with one stdev

Seems like not a tight fit.

by PagsBrewCrew on Oct 9, 2009 2:59 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is fun: Rambling Al doesn't understand WAR... or math!
I’m not sure bragging that a stat is “only” 6 wins or 83% accurate is a very good way of proving its worth. OXS predicts runs scored at a 97% clip, and it’s just simple math.

Why bother with something so complex as that when OXS and OXSA is oodles better and simpler? Remember “win shares” a few years ago? What a piece of crap, and I’d say WAR is closer to that than a keeper.

r=.83 is not the same thing as 83% accurate. WAR is not trying to predict runs. It is not more complicated than OXS—- you have to compare OXS to wOBA.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 3:59 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

The decimal screwed him up

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 4:04 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah that thing that looks like someone accidentally dropped their fine tip pen straight down on the paper, clearly not purposely done.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Oct 7, 2009 4:13 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah!

What Jordan said! Yeah!

/ Googles “correlation”

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 5:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Math 2 wasn't just 2 years ago for everybody... :)

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 6:32 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Some of us aren't so good at the Maths, regardless of when we graduated from high school.

I take my cues from you Maths people about which stats I should look at. That’s the best I can do.

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 6:48 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hate math, to be honest.

Liberal Arts. I get my precalc and I’m taking as few math classes as possible next year.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 6:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You might hate it, but at least you know what you're talking about.

Some — cough AL cough — don’t appear to understand it, but will talk about it anyway. I, m’self, fall into a third camp, based on the old: “Better to remain quiet and be thought a fool than to open one’s mouth and remove all doubt” maxim.

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 7:07 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sounds familiar.

I hated Math too. I took enough of it that I could test out of the math requirement for my BA, then avoided it like the plague in college.

I would advise against letting the skills you’ve acquired atrophy, however. Because if you do, about 20 years from now a bunch of smart guys will invent new statistics that do a better job of analyzing player performance than the stats you used to memorize when you were a kid, and you’ll feel like a complete dumbass.

Or so I’ve heard. :)

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Oct 7, 2009 8:55 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good advice

Maybe baseball statistics will advance a lot more. And I don’t plan on stopping following player evaluation. At this point, everything I have learned about baseball is actually pretty basic math once you get your head around what is happening and why. And baseball analysis isn’t really about numbers. It’s easy to find the numbers, you just have to know what they mean.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 9:36 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're right.

I should have used the word quantifying rather than analyzing.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Oct 7, 2009 9:52 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

As a new College freshman:

Take Calc as a senior if you can! I satisfied my requirement (pre-calc) to graduate from HS junior year and took a year off from math my senior year. I then tested into a low-level math class in college and regret not having taken math as a senior because I did let my math “skills” atrophy. Problem is, is so many majors require at least calculus. Or, at the least, the higher the math you go, the better it will look/help.

by NoahJ on Oct 7, 2009 10:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not Communications!

Is phony major!

(Note: that’s a line from The Simpsons. Some of my best friends were comm majors.)

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 10:20 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

I took Calc as a Junior.

I took a year off my senior year, so when I got to college, my advisors told me to retake Calc I. because so many people let their skills atrophy and fail Calc II.

SOoooooo glad I didn’t. I probably saved myself a semester of college.

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Oct 7, 2009 10:31 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Too late on calc senior year

I am currently in precalc. So at least I will have had a math class senior year instead of taking a year off.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 8, 2009 11:00 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

And where are you going again?

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 8, 2009 11:02 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Math 2?

Talk about a generic name. BTW, are you going to be getting your minor in stats?

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Oct 7, 2009 10:01 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

ahem

should have read more of the replies

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Oct 7, 2009 10:02 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

In other news

I just read this little bit in McCalvy’s latest article, which contains both good and bad news (depending on who you are)

Melvin hinted that the focus on pitching could make it difficult for the team to re-sign its key free agents, including center fielder Mike Cameron and catcher Jason Kendall.

I’d like to keep Cameron (depending on the price), but I would love to see Kendall go.

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Oct 7, 2009 7:01 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I hate how those two are always lumped together

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Oct 7, 2009 7:06 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

If we don't have the money to sign Kendall,

then that talk of signing Molina (or someone similar) is out the window. Mike Rivera, come on down.

by Rubie Q on Oct 7, 2009 7:09 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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