Wednesday's Frosty Mug
Some things to read while fending off the penguin army.
Dave Bush is 30 and posted a 6.38 ERA last season, the second time in three years his ERA has been over 5. Is he done? Dave Pinto of Baseball Musings posted a note on Bush as part of his Players A to Z series, and called his down year "an extreme outlier in a decline phase of his career." He set career highs in both BB/9 and HR/9 last season.
Thankfully, his new pitching coach appears ready to emphasize the importance of throwing strikes. Rick Peterson offered some analysis on Twitter yesterday regarding the value of 0-2 and 1-2 counts, and including three exclamation points for extra emphasis. Meanwhile, Yovani Gallardo could really use some work in that area: just 59.2% of his pitches in 2009 were thrown for strikes, the second lowest among 78 qualified pitchers.
When we discuss the Gregg Zaun signing, it's freqently noted that he can't be much worse offensively than his predecessor. However, Zaun has done one thing Jason Kendall has never done: Go 0-for-7 twice. He's one of just 42 players in major league history with multiple games recording seven plate appearances without reaching base. Kendall missed the list for obvious reasons: Given seven opportunities, he'd get hit by a pitch at least once.
MLB Trade Rumors has a roundup of offseason moves in the NL Central, if you're falling behind. The quality of the Brewer acquisitions has yet to be determined, but they're certainly building up some volume, having acquired, signed or re-signed 18 players since the end of the season.
After a few months of waiting, the market may finally be heating up for Felipe Lopez. With Mark DeRosa and Kelly Johnson off the market, the Cardinals are reportedly expressing interest, but may want Lopez to play third, not second. Orlando Hudson is also still unsigned.
Somehow, Lopez missed the cut for Miller Park Drunk's list of ten Brewers to get drunk with.
In the minors, Jim Breen of Bernie's Crew has an interesting post comparing the top two center field prospects in the Brewer organization, fast-rising Logan Schafer and Lorenzo Cain, who saw his development stalled a bit by injuries in 2009. Both could feasibly start the 2010 season in Huntsville.
Voting is coming down to the wire in the race for the fourth spot in the rotation on our BCB All Decade Team. As of this writing, Doug Davis leads Chris Capuano by ten votes. You have until 4 pm to cast a vote, if you haven't yet. Meanwhile, Todd Coffey is building a commanding lead in the race for the latest bullpen spot.
Around baseball:
Diamondbacks: Signed Kelly Johnson to a one year deal worth $2 million.
Mets: Signed Jason Bay to a four year, $66 million albatross contract with a vesting option for a fifth year, and signed Bengie Molina to a two year deal.
I'll be the first to admit, I'm guilty of this: I take a camera to places (including Brewer games) but rarely take good pictures. In fact, sometimes I never take the camera out of the case. If you'd like some pointers on being a better baseball photographer, freelance photographer Brad Mangin has some pointers for you. (h/t 6-4-2)
Screw winning in October: If you want America to see you succeed on the grandest stage, win the Home Run Derby. Fielder's victory was the most-watched MLB program on cable for the 2009 season.
Speaking of MLB programming, I'll second what Adam Foster of Project Prospect said: I'd watch a show introducing somewhat advanced statistical and scouting metrics like Pitch F/x and BABIP to the masses.
The offseason has big news days and slow ones, but talking Brewers always beats spending the day developing bad husband power rankings.
Happy birthday today to Grant Balfour. The Australian native appeared in three games for the 2007 Brewers before being traded for Seth McClung. He turns 32 today.
That's all I have today, unless of course you want to help name Hyatt's baby (FanShot).
Drink up.
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I say we name Hyatt's baby Kyle
Just to get Kyle in trouble with Laura.
"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"
Throwing strikes
I hope Peterson can help out the pitching staff. Way too many walks last season from the rotation… which led to starters not making it very far into games.
With YoGa
it was way too many 1-2 counts going to 3-2 and racking up 15 pitches before finishing the guy off.
When there is a scuffle in Ireland, there’s no need to specifically mention in the news story that alcohol was involved
by Getting Yosted on Dec 30, 2009 10:51 AM CST up reply actions
Indeed.
I was at a BBQ with a bunch of old timers who were baseball nuts like myself during a YoGa Sunday matinee. All you heard was:
Grumble grumble JUST THROW STRIKES mumble grobble…
I may be one of the few, but that was pretty much the only reason I dreaded a YoGa start. A lot of pitches for a short days work (5 innings usually).
Looking to buy: General Manager Deputy Badge
by Bush League All Star on Dec 30, 2009 12:16 PM CST up reply actions
Thus
the ‘not an ace’ comments.
"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."
~Doug Melvin
by Charlie Marlow on Dec 30, 2009 4:25 PM CST up reply actions
This one may have slipped through the cracks
but there’s at least one possible sign to be more hopeful about pitching next year: zero Brewers appeared on the list of lucky pitchers in this fangraphs article, while both Manny Parra and Dave Bush’s ERAs far exceeded their xFIP numbers. Their E-xFIP numbers were 1.72 and 1.47 respectively, good for 4th and 5th overall on the list of the least fortunate pitchers in 2010.
Hopefully they’re due for some positive correction in 2010.
"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."
~Doug Melvin
by Charlie Marlow on Dec 30, 2009 10:59 AM CST reply actions
2010 Brewer Randy Wolf was on the lucky list, though.
by Cheeseandcorn on Dec 30, 2009 12:55 PM CST up reply actions
Yeah
Wolf’s 2010 regression I thought was a certainty amongst people, though. Much like McGehee’s 2010 regression, and Hoffman’s 2010 regression.
"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."
~Doug Melvin
by Charlie Marlow on Dec 30, 2009 3:56 PM CST up reply actions
Regression, sure
“How much” is the important question.
That's all I've got for you today, unless you're interested in some Chris Capuano/Tom Haudricourt Fan Fiction.
Basically for the pitchers
I’d think probably to career average, for McGehee, to around MLE.
"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."
~Doug Melvin
by Charlie Marlow on Dec 30, 2009 6:36 PM CST up reply actions
Bush's WHIP
For a pitcher that is as bad as Dave Bush is, the man’s career WHIP (Walks + Hits per Inning Pitched) is rediculously low. If anything, he pounds the strike zone too much (I am talking about before his control left him completely)- thus the high HR/9 number. Bush wil have 3 1-2-3 innings and then give up 4 runs in an inning off of 2 hits and 2 HRs. The WHIP will be around 1.1 and he will have an ERA on the wrong side of 5.
Thanks!
I was trying to see if maybe Jeff Suppan has been historically good or bad in spring training to determine his odds of being in the rotation next year (if the Brewers are being truthful saying he needs to earn it). The results are pretty inconclusive, though. I am rooting for another 2008 ST for Soup!
Can O Soup
He only gets a rotation spot if he can throw his nasty egg-carton knuckler for strikes.
by Mr. McGehee on Dec 30, 2009 1:25 PM CST via mobile reply actions
Peterson
I wonder how many years his comment reflects. Last year, the relevant splits are at least 40 points below .220. Filtering pitchers out wouldn’t make that much of a difference.
That has me slightly worried
I love a guy that utilizes stats in his coaching. I don’t love a guy that may not have the right stats. :-\ A little knowledge is a dangerous thing.
It could be a number of things. Perhaps it's just stats for his pitchers. Ever since he's been a coach.
Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".
the hey man tweeteth
SI_JonHeyman #cards offered holliday at least 6 years and $100-million-plus at some point. but he didnt accept and is still talking to multiple teams
given how much I make in the teaching community, I would sooooo jump at that
"This one means 'Kill Kirk!!!!'... And also, 'hallelujah'... Depending on the context."
































