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Wednesday's Frosty Mug

Some things to read while searching for a can of black paint.

Since the news broke that Ben Sheets will have surgery and miss most of 2009, there's been some speculation that the Brewers may try to offer him a two-year deal at a bargain price while hoping he bounces back. Adam McCalvy ended that speculation yesterday. Barring a sudden and dramatic turn, Sheets' Brewer career is over.

Braden Looper's deal is worth $4.75 million and has a mutual option for 2010, although I haven't seen the price tag on it yet. Brew City Sports has Seth McClung's reaction, but Gareth is even less impressed.

With Braden Looper in the fold, Baseball Prospectus predicts the Brewers will win 85 games, which would leave them ten games behind the Cubs and 3 games back of the Braves and Phillies, who would tie for the NL Wild Card. Looper adds two wins to the projection.

I have two bobble head notes today. First, The Brew Town Beat is one of several blogs questioning the curious choice of Jeff Suppan for a bobble head. Meanwhile, in the comments of this post on the promotional schedule, Trent Durrington raises an interesting point: with the exception of the brat, all the 2009 bobble heads are white, despite the Brewers being one of the more diverse teams in baseball.

MLB FanHouse's Better Know a Prospect series covered the Brewer system yesterday, with Mat Gamel, Alcides Escobar and Angel Salome profiled. The more I look at the Brewer roster heading into camp, the more I'm certain all three guys will spend at least a large portion of 2009 in AAA. I've got a post on that scheduled for later today. Meanwhile, Sean (Chone) Smith has a post at The Hardball Times discussing minor league defense, and Alcides Escobar draws a mention.

On the hot stove:

Angels: Are reportedly clearing roster space to make room for Bobby Abreu.
Blue Jays: Acquired former #1 overall pick Matt Bush from the Padres for a PTBNL.
Dodgers: Signed Eric Milton to a minor league deal.
Giants: Signed Ramon Ortiz to a minor league deal.
Mets: Re-signed Jose Valentin to a minor league deal.
Rays: Won their arbitration case with Dioner Navarro, who will make $2.1 million this season.
Rockies: Signed Randy Flores to a minor league deal.
Royals: Signed Jamey Wright to a minor league deal.
White Sox: Signed Ben Broussard to a minor league deal.

Baseball America noticed that, with the deal listed above, the Blue Jays will enter camp with 27 pitchers and just 13 position players on their 40 man roster. The Brewers, for comparison purposes, will have 22 if they drop a position player to add Braden Looper.

Earlier this week, I mentioned that Ray Durham was complaining about not receiving any offers this offseason. The Nationals offered Durham a shot to be their starting second baseman, and he turned it down. Durham is 37 years old and has made $7 million or more each of the last five seasons despite being a part-time player (fewer than 500 at bats) in all of them. If he's looking for similar money in this market, which can't even find money like that for Adam Dunn, then perhaps it is time for him to retire.

An increased emphasis on defense, where Durham is substandard, probably isn't helping his case either. FanGraphs wonders how far down this road baseball can reasonably go.

It's a little early in the day (still pre-coffee) for me to be trying to understand new statistical research, but Tangotiger's notes on the impact of events, sorted by position in the lineup, are interesting enough that I may come back to it once my brain is fully functional.

First, though, I may need to call and cancel my XM subscription: the AP is reporting Sirius-XM is preparing to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, which likely means they won't make their scheduled payment to Major League Baseball, which will in turn likely be the end of live game broadcasts on the service.

If you missed it yesterday, be sure to stop by this post to sign up to win one of ten WhatIfSports gift certificates as part of the Brewer Advent Calendar. I've got another giveaway today, so check back around noon to sign up for that one too.

Oh, and it sounds like the Brewers got out of High Desert and the California League at the right time.

Drink up.

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Starting second baseman?

It looks like Durham would at best be competing for a backup spot with a sartorially challenged former Brewer infielder.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Feb 11, 2009 9:17 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Right now, the two options are Ronnie Belliard and Anderson Hernandez.

At the very least, the link above would imply he was expected to compete with/beat out those guys.

He’s not the worst pitcher ever, just the worst good pitcher.

by KLSnow on Feb 11, 2009 9:30 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

in fairness to Durham

he said, about a week ago, he didn’t expect the same kind of money he’d been making, but he didn’t want to sign a minor league contract for a minimum. Maybe a guaranteed deal for $1.5 or $2MM would do it, though that’s me talking, not him. He’s almost certainly worth that to some team, even in this economy, and I more than understand that a veteran like him would have little interest in competing for a job.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on Feb 11, 2009 10:12 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I’m a little confused as to why any team would offer 5 bucks for Sheets, if it means they have to give up a 1st round draft pick? Would we even take Sheets back for free if it meant that we had to give up a 1st round draft pick?

It looks to me like Milwaukee is his only choice. Maybe I’m just missing something.

I started out with an XM radio in my house to listen to Brewer games. Now its in my minivan where my wife listens to music, and my kids listen to Kids Place Live.

I would cancel if XM loses MLB, but I might get vetoed.

by grant76 on Feb 11, 2009 9:21 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

The Brewers wouldn't give up a first round pick to sign him.

He’s their own free agent, so they won’t have to pay a compensation pick if they sign him.

He’s not the worst pitcher ever, just the worst good pitcher.

by KLSnow on Feb 11, 2009 9:32 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I think I worded that badly.

What I meant to say was, if Sheets were not our free agent and we had to give up a first round pick to get him, would we even offer him the league minimum knowing that he might not even pitch this year and that we would be giving away a first round pick?

I may have answered my own question. According to McCalvy, Sheets could sign anywhere after June 9th and the Brewers would get no compensation.

If Sheets does not sign with another team by June 9 — Day 1 of the 2009 First-Year Player Draft — the Brewers will not receive Draft-pick compensation for him.

“There are still some months left until the time that we actually lose those picks, so you never know,” Seid said. “Some team may decide that they really want [Sheets] and they pick him up between now and then. In the meantime we feel we’re just going to move forward with what we do have.”

by grant76 on Feb 11, 2009 9:58 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I might cancel too.

The New York Times said today that programming should be unaffected, other than that a few high-priced talents like Stern and Martha Stewart might get dropped. I sure hope MLB is not in that “high-priced talent” category, but I fear it will be.

by Cheeseandcorn on Feb 11, 2009 12:33 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

bummer

a friend of mine produces a show on the Martha Stewart network.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on Feb 11, 2009 1:38 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

all the 2009 bobble heads are white....

……And yet, at home on my shelf I have bobbleheads of Prince Fielder (Two different ones), Rickie Weeks, Bill Hall, Cecil Cooper, Carlos Lee, and I think I have a mini Ben Oglivie in there too. I agree though, I too am outraged that the Oglivie is a mini. It should be full size.

Other than that, what’s the point? Doug Melvin, Braun, Suppan, and Trevor Hoffman all happen to be white in real life.

I miss the slide, the balloons, and the giant beer mug. :(

by Adam P on Feb 11, 2009 9:21 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

I think "Why the hell does Suppan have a bobble" is the real meat of this conversation

Also, isn’t it a little desperate to have a Hoffman bobble? I mean I understand marketing has to milk the (get ready for lame, over-used baseball cliche that everyone uses) All Time Saves Leader™ while they’ve got him, but really? I personally could give two rat pellets about getting a guys’ bobble who isn’t going to be wearing a Brewers uni after this season.

I will say I’m interested to see what the Melvin bobble’s dirt squirrel looks like.

by Charlie Marlow on Feb 11, 2009 1:25 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I kinda feel like we need that guy from Tiger Thoughts

who reverse-engineered the Elias rankings. Maybe he can come up with a formula that explains the bobble choices.

20*(Salary (in millions)) + 0.75*(career games) + 5*(career postseason appearances) + 3.5*(age) + 1,000 points if you are Jewish or Canadian.

I think that does it, except it doesn’t explain why there’s no bobble for Adam Stern.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on Feb 11, 2009 1:43 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

You may be on to something

And in re-reading my own post, it appears I should work in the Department of Redundancy Department re: “get ready for lame, over-used baseball cliche that everyone uses.”

Maybe Adam McCalvy can give me some tips…

by Charlie Marlow on Feb 11, 2009 9:21 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

So let me understand what Toronto did here

A) They traded for a guy who’s never been in the big leagues, who was a #1 draft pick, but is in all sorts of legal trouble;
B) and to get this guy on the 40-man, they release a guy who’s best known for his humorous newspaper columns, who actually does have big league experience albeit the sucky kind?

Apparently Jim Bouton is still right 40 years later….

by morineko on Feb 11, 2009 9:49 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Are we one of the most diverse?

I realize that with Prince, Rickie, Billy, Cameron and Gwynn (if we can even still count him) we have the most African American players of any team and that we also have a few hispanic players in Manny, Yo and Villy, but I’m not sure if that makes us one of the most diverse. Unless I’m forgetting anybody, we don’t have a single Asian or Domincan player on our team. I would say we’re probably pretty consistent with the rest of the league in terms of diversity.

"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost

by SunglassesAtNight on Feb 11, 2009 10:21 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I should've worded that better.

I’m relatively sure we have the most black players in baseball. That’s different from “diverse,” although we do have McClung, from West Virginia.

He’s not the worst pitcher ever, just the worst good pitcher.

by KLSnow on Feb 11, 2009 10:52 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Closest we've got to a Dominican on the big-league roster

is Salome.

Lots of Venezuelans—Julio, Escobar, Iribarren … and Morlan is Cuban.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on Feb 11, 2009 11:13 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

2 questions

does anyone know when MLB The Show is coming out?
is Braden Looper going to be on the brewers on said game? idk when they finish drawing up the team rosters..

by BrewerBlue87 on Feb 11, 2009 11:29 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

If you have a way to connect to the internet with your preferred video game console you can usually download the roster updates every so often throughout the season. So even if Looper isn’t on the team right away he would be eventually.

by Trent Durrington on Feb 12, 2009 10:41 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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