Tuesday's Frosty Mug
Some things to read while lining up in a scrimmage kick formation.
The Brewers had a short day in camp yesterday to get the players some rest before an intrasquad game today and the official Cactus League opener tomorrow. As noted in this FanShot, Braden Looper, Mark DiFelice, Sam Narron, Omar Aguilar, Chase Wright, Tim Dillard, Chris Narveson and R.J. Swindle are scheduled to pitch in the intrasquad game today, which is expected to go around five innings.
Now here's an intrasquad game I could get excited for: Sully Baseball compares the All-Time Home Grown and Acquired teams for the Brewers, and picks the Home Grown team, led by Robin Yount and Paul Molitor, to win the series.
Meanwhile, Jeff Suppan will start on Wednesday as part of a spring rotation that will go Suppan-Gallardo-Parra-Looper-Bush. This may or may not be the regular season alignment, and of course injuries could change it dramatically. If this is the rotation, though, Miller Park Drunk says the Brewers might as well forfeit Opening Day's Jeff Suppan-Tim Lincecum matchup.
Macha also let us in on his strategy regarding bullpen usage. He plans to remove pitchers while they're ahead, and let them try to battle their way back in from behind. There are worse philosophies, I suppose.
I would guess the tough part about being a spring training reporter is that you have to write everyday, even on days when nothing's going on. With that said, Adam McCalvy has a profile of Omar Aguilar, who he says has been impressive in camp. Aguilar worked out this offseason with Brian Fuentes, and reportedly told Fuentes not to come to Milwaukee, so Aguilar wouldn't have to steal his job.
Among more likely candidates for closer in 2009, Carlos Villanueva is one of FakeTeams' NL Sleepers for Saves.
Finally, speaking of closers: Trevor Hoffman took out a full page ad in the San Diego Union-Tribune to thank Padres fans for their support.
Elsewhere in camp, Cory Provus arrived yesterday to begin a crash-course on the team before his first broadcast Wednesday. The game will be broadcast on WTMJ and Brewers.com.
While Provus will be ready to go Wednesday, Bill Hall, Mat Gamel and Tony Gwynn will not. Gamel and Gwynn are still hampered by shoulder impingements, and of course Hall is still rehabbing his partially torn calf.
Corey Hart is the latest Brewer profiled in the JS spring training preview. Hart blames fatigue for his dramatic September collapse. That's fine, and I hope that really did motivate Hart to come to camp in great shape this season. With that said, the words "patience" and "discipline" don't show up a single time in the profile, which leads me to believe Corey still may not get it.
Is J.J. Hardy one of baseball's most underrated players? You could make a case for it. Beyond the Box Score has a graph comparing Hardy's value to that of 2008 AL MVP candidate Carlos Quentin. (h/t FanShots)
Down on the farm, Right Field Bleachers has an interview with 2008 draft pick Blake Billings, who is hoping to pitch for Wisconsin this season at just 19 years old. (also noted in FanPost)
Elsewhere on the farm, here are some of the former Brewers noted in Baseball America's Minor League Transactions:
- Tony Graffanino signed a minor league deal with the Indians.
- Scott Podsednik and Glendon Rusch both re-signed with the Rockies.
- Ben Hendrickson signed with the Twins.
Some notes from other camps:
Cardinals: Todd Wellemeyer will not miss any spring training time despite being clipped by a crab on his throwing hand.
Nationals: Released Odalis Perez, who had not reported to spring training.
Orioles: Felix Pie is having visa issues and is still not in camp. He may get to Miami today.
Pirates: Signed Ruben Gotay to a minor league deal.
Over the last few months we've had a lot of new visitors to the site, and if you're one of them, welcome. If you're wanting to get involved and wondering how to use some of the tools we have here at BCB, click over to South Side Sox for more info. I've also added that link to the reference box in the sidebar on your left.
Oh, and if you're here, odds are you like Wisconsin sports, so you may be interested in Bucky's 5th Quarter, SBNation's new Badgers blog. I've added them to my reading list.
Finally, if you see Tim Kurkijian on TV today, odds are he's not wearing pants.
Drink up.
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45 comments
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Comments
Tim Kirkjan=Reporter Wolf?
"You are only a success at the moment that you do a successful act"
-Tex Winter
by stork02 on Feb 24, 2009 10:36 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Beating a dead horse
I still can’t believe this guy writes for a living.
http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/sports/40223422.html
The entire blog entry should be introduced to Composition 101 classes as a cautionary tale, and this snip is as good a representation as any:
But Counsell obviously figured it was time for some new leather, but he didn’t want to break in his. So while he worked on solving that problem, he solved the problem of actually having a new glove to play with now.
Incidentally, that’s an entire paragraph.
by Marty McSuperFly on Feb 24, 2009 10:52 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Its a new promotion at the JS
Buy a year subscription(Sunday included) and you get the Witrado-to-English dictionary.
by Getting Yosted on Feb 24, 2009 11:43 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Wait
What does that mean?
I’ve read it three times. Is English not his first language?
"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"
by roguejim on Feb 24, 2009 6:10 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Best part
First commenter says, “I keep waiting for the funny part to come.”
Scored three times and detonated an indisputable in four visits to the batting box.
by Jordan M on Feb 24, 2009 6:12 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I liked the one
That said it never claimed to be funny, just fit to print.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on Feb 24, 2009 6:27 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Now I have to determine his intent
This isn’t really English, but:
There are always some funny stories going on in the clubhouse out here, but not all of them are fit for print.
Funny stories is in there.
Scored three times and detonated an indisputable in four visits to the batting box.
by Jordan M on Feb 24, 2009 7:07 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Ah well
I still think the comment was better than the post.
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on Feb 24, 2009 7:56 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Hundreds of capable, talented journalists are being laid off by newspapers each week, and this guy still has a prime beat at a major metro?
How is this happening? Don’t tell me they were impressed by the way he dressed.
by Cheeseandcorn on Feb 24, 2009 7:11 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
This is exactly why Witrado bothers me.
As a journalism grad, I could name any of dozens of people who are out of work and would do his job better than he does.
He’s not the worst pitcher ever, just the worst good pitcher.
by KLSnow on Feb 24, 2009 7:17 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Count me among those underemployed J grads
http://nohuddleoffense.blogspot.com
by No Huddle Offense on Feb 25, 2009 8:42 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Love the comments box
Great story. Both compelling and rich.
http://nohuddleoffense.blogspot.com
by No Huddle Offense on Feb 25, 2009 8:41 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Tags are on the bottom again, whoo.
There have been some excellent posting guides at Lookout Landing as well, especially about enforcing some structure and coherency in comments+ not just posting LOL or +1.
BCB || Scored three times and detonated an indisputable in four visits to the batting box.
by Jordan M on Feb 24, 2009 11:37 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
I can't believe I just spent 10 minutes of my life doing this...
but I whipped out the Project-o-tron to get a read on opening day.
Obviously I had to make some pretty big assumptions, since the project-o-tron needs to know the full starting lineups as well as the SPs and members of the bullpen. Coming up with the opening day lineup for the Giants was quite an exercise.
Anyway, without getting into the gritty details, the Giants have a 62% chance of winning that game. That’s pretty high—if Vegas set their lines based on that, it’d be around +165 on the Giants, -165 on the Brewers. I wouldn’t be surprised if that’s the most extreme of all opening day matchups, except for maybe the Nats game.
But hey, it’s only 62%! That’s why they play the games…
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on Feb 24, 2009 12:18 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Just imagine if they signed Manny
Probably bumps it up to 80%
by Marty McSuperFly on Feb 24, 2009 12:20 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
thanks
I meant to check that, but forgot.
If you replace fred lewis with manny, Giants % goes up to about 64.2%.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on Feb 24, 2009 12:24 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You and your damned "science"
I knew you were going to plug it in and debunk my pretty number.
by Marty McSuperFly on Feb 24, 2009 12:27 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't understand
I need this in graph form for the world to make sense…
by SgtClueLs on Feb 24, 2009 12:33 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
damnit I knew I would do it wrong
thanks.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on Feb 24, 2009 12:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not enough of a gambler.
So I don’t understand what those numbers mean anyway.
He’s not the worst pitcher ever, just the worst good pitcher.
by KLSnow on Feb 24, 2009 12:39 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm new to sports gambling, so I might not have this completely correct.
I like to bet free money on centsports.com. They start you with a dime, and if you turn that into 20+ dollars, you can cash out, free of charge.
divide by 100, and they are odds.
+165 means 1:1.65 odds..
If you bet $100 on the Brewers, you would win $165
If you bet $100 on the Giants, you would win $60.61
Interestingly enough, the Brewers are +4000 to win the World Series. That’s 40:1 odds.
The Yankees are favorites at +250 (2.5:1)
by tcyoung on Feb 24, 2009 12:56 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
throw in the vig, too
You won’t see a +165/-165 line on a game, because the sportsbook wouldn’t be getting their cut, and it always comes out of the + number. The actual betting line on that game would be something line +160/-140 or something.
by Marty McSuperFly on Feb 24, 2009 1:10 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
the actual betting line
would have two numbers on either side of the 165. So it would be 160 / – 170, or maybe a little wider. Most baseball betting lines I’ve seen have a ten-point gap on the games that are close to 50/50 (/- 100), and it widens to 20 or more as it gets closer to +200.
So you’d bet $100 on the Brewers to win $160. You’d have to bet $170 on the Giants to win $100. Two bets like that, and the bookie pays out $260 against $270.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on Feb 24, 2009 1:26 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
oh yeah
My sports book would be quickly out of business with my line.
by Marty McSuperFly on Feb 24, 2009 1:28 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Speaking of sports odds...
The Australian market has the Brewers less fancied to win the World Series than a number of godawful teams.
Astros, Cardinals, White Sox, Marlins?
by Braun Holio on Feb 24, 2009 8:07 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
yeah
I was going to ask you where I could get those lines and bet heavily throughout April :).
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on Feb 24, 2009 9:25 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
In my own defense
I did say that the cut comes out of the + number, I just implemented it poorly :)
by Marty McSuperFly on Feb 24, 2009 10:02 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Home Grown v. Acquired
Starting Greg Vaughn over Ryan Braun in left is a joke. Was the home grown team Yosted?
"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost
by SunglassesAtNight on Feb 24, 2009 2:58 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Well, the acquired team had Jeff Suppan but was missing Don Sutton
So there’s probably some fault on both sides.
He’s not the worst pitcher ever, just the worst good pitcher.
by KLSnow on Feb 24, 2009 3:53 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
actually
Actually I corrected that
Forgive me, I’m churning out 30 of these and I make corrections often after I posted them
(Man, Angels fans can be nasty, did you know that?)
Thanks for reading it.
Maybe I’ll switch Braun and Vaughn
Either way, it’s not like I left one off of the list
All the best
Sully
by SullyBaseball on Feb 25, 2009 12:39 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
you may want to consider plugging Geoff into right as well. he manned right while carlos was in town and, well, let’s just say the feelings are mixed on corey right now. he also showed a lot more class on his way out of town than his look-a-like Favre.
"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost
by SunglassesAtNight on Feb 25, 2009 12:46 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'll take a look at it
I might move some names around
Either way, I’m wrapping up the Royals piece and will then write the White Sox one.
I’ll take a look at it tomorrow morning
by SullyBaseball on Feb 25, 2009 2:05 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with the move
Vaughn’s at bat music was “Nutin’ But a G Thang” so that puts him over the top, especially when you factor in Braun’s clothing line.
September 15: Not a bad little Monday
by molitorfan on Feb 24, 2009 6:41 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Braun did briefly have Lupe Fiasco’s Superstar. Pretty amazing at bat song.
"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost
by SunglassesAtNight on Feb 25, 2009 12:42 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Odds
The odds I quoted above were from sportsbook.com a few weeks ago. They changed them since.
The Brewers are now at +5000, putting them at the 19th most likely team to win the World Series, behind the Yankees, Red Sox, Mets, Cubs, Angels, Indians, Phillies, Diamondbacks, Braves, Dodgers, Rays, Tigers, Twins, Giants, Cardinals, A’s, White Sox, and Reds.
The 11 teams we’re ahead of? Marlins, Rangers, Rockies, Astros, Blue Jays, Mariners, Orioles, Royals, Pirates, Padres, and the Nationals.
by tcyoung on Feb 24, 2009 9:48 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
little surprised at the Giants, a lot surprised at the Reds
but really, I don’t think I could make a solid case that the Brewers have a better shot than any of the other teams listed above them. I’d imagine one or more of the Twins/Tigers/White Sox/Indians will clearly be pretty bad by June, but it’s tough to know now who that would be. Especially since the Indians have Zach Jackson now.
Also, cheese.
by Jeff Sackmann on Feb 24, 2009 10:24 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
They're casual fans
"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"
by roguejim on Feb 25, 2009 6:08 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
White Sox will be down this year
September 15: Not a bad little Monday
by molitorfan on Feb 25, 2009 6:45 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I was about to say
the White Sox are in the middle of a rebuilding type thing right now. Not full on, but they are standing pat right now when they have some issues that need to be addressed.
"....si si Peeeeedro"
by trippingandy on Feb 25, 2009 7:13 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
The thing about the White Sox
Is that we seem to be projecting them for a down year about this time every year.
He’s not the worst pitcher ever, just the worst good pitcher.
by KLSnow on Feb 25, 2009 9:29 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Well,
The Giants probably have a better shot at winning the West than we do of winning the Central.
The Reds on the other hand… I don’t even know. Maybe a lot of people were putting money on them, thinking they were a dark horse, so they raised the odds.
by tcyoung on Feb 25, 2009 10:39 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs


























