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Thursday's Frosty Mug

Some things to read while getting a piggy-back ride.

So, in an effort to get straightened out, Carlos Villanueva is going to start on Sunday, bumping Jeff Suppan to a minor league game. (Also noted in FanShot) Carlos has been struggling with long at bats this spring, and I'm not sure why that will be any different in the first inning than it was in the sixth or seventh, but hopefully the placebo effect is enough to make a difference. Reporters following the Giants are still talking about the massive home run he gave up to Jesus Guzman on Tuesday.

While the Brewers were in Tucson yesterday, Bob McManaman of the Arizona Republic caught up with Prince Fielder for a profile that covers Prince's clubhouse leadership, interaction with kids at the ballpark and his relationship with his dad.

While McManaman was profiling Fielder, The Official Site was talking to Bill Hall about his offseason LASIK surgery, recovery from his torn calf and his 2009 role.

Back in Maryvale, Trevor Hoffman's recovery is going slower than expected, but everyone still seems relatively confident he'll be able to get enough spring training work in to be ready for Opening Day.

Driveline Mechanics has an in-depth look at NL Central rotations based on WAR gained from their PECOTA projections. They have the Brewers' rotation as the second best in the division. It's worth noting, though, that PECOTA projects Yovani Gallardo, Manny Parra and Braden Looper for 140, 145 and 160 innings, respectively. I think most of us will agree the 2009 Brewers are in trouble if that's all they get from these three guys.

Welcome to the latest chapter in the book someone could write debating the value of Rickie Weeks: Doug Melvin showed Anthony Witrado a comparison of Weeks, Brian Roberts and Orlando Hudson at similar points in their careers. Weeks gets on base more and scores more runs while striking out about twice as often.

Crawfish Boxes continues their position-by-position look at the NL Central with a look at center field, where Mike Cameron ranks second. The Brewers have now drawn even with the Cubs in the points standings.

Baseball Intellect has a look at the Brewers top five prospects, and names the same top five guys that appear in our list. The second installment, 6-15, should be released soon and I'm more interested in that one.

MLB Playoff Odds is conducting a study of simulation projections, and has two posts of note today: First, in the PECOTA simulation, the Brewers average 85.6 wins and a 31-33% chance at the playoffs. In the Hardball Times simulation, the Brewers check in at about 84.5 wins and a 31-33% chance again.

Tomorrow, they'll hire someone to squeeze blood from a stone: The Brewers are suing a suiteholder who has missed two payments for the use of a luxury suite in 2009. This season would be the third of a three-year deal for the suite, and if the Brewers consistently sell them that way I'm surprised this doesn't happen more often.

If you bottled hypocrisy, this is what it would smell like: Wasting Away in Wrigleyville, a Cubs blog, says the Brewers have baseball's most obnoxious fans.

In other camps:

Mets: May be getting ready to release Freddy Garcia.
Nationals: Released Shawn Hill and signed Joe Beimel.
Pirates: Optioned Tom Gorzelanny to AAA.
Red Sox: Released Josh Bard.
Royals: Released Jimmy Gobble.

Baseball Musings continues their team-by-team previews of offense in 2009 with a look at the Reds, who project for 4.20 runs per game, down from 4.35 in 2008.

Back in December I wrote this post about the arbitration clock and holding players in the minors to delay it. Now, the Nationals have a real life example, as they're reportedly considering holding prospect Jordan Zimmerman in AAA to prevent him from being a Super 2 down the road. Baseball Musings agrees with my assessment of the situation, saying, "Playing games with the arbitration clock is a lousy way to run a ball club." If the Nationals want to delay putting their best team on the field, they shouldn't get upset when their fans stay home until they do so.

That's all for today. Drink up.

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TWC MLB Network HD

Not sure if this was reported by anyone else. But last night I noticed MLB Network HD was finally listed on TWC channel 538. I quickly ordered it and bam.. delicious HD.

The image quality isn’t all that great compared to DTV (Seems very compressed on TWC, the rain made it look like poopy).

by SgtClueLs on Mar 19, 2009 9:27 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Wasting away in Wrigleyville...

Fitting name for a blog from Cub fans, and pure gold here:

Can you imagine if they ever actually won something?

I went to the Baseball Prospectus book Q&A last night which was really cool. I’d definitely recommend going if they come to your city.

I got in one question to Goldstein about where he thought Gamel could play in the major leagues. Said you could talk to 3 different people in the Brewer organization and get 3 different answers. His opinion was that he was limited to 1B or LF – nothing shocking, but that’s what you get when you ask a bland question I guess.

The highlight of the night was a old, possibly homeless guy yelling at Nate Silver that Ferguson Jenkins threw 34 complete games in one year.

by Supertramp on Mar 19, 2009 10:02 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I had to check the BP events calendar to see if this was in Minneapolis or not. Apparently Chicago must have That Guy too.

by morineko on Mar 19, 2009 11:06 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOLTardo

So anthony just discovered something that he could’ve done with 15 mins on baseball-reference? Good job kid.

I just sit back and root for the taser

by Hyatt on Mar 19, 2009 10:49 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

What bugs me isn't that Witrado published it, or treated it as new info

It’s this line:

But Melvin showed me a print out his stats people gave him and it compares Rickie Weeks’ numbers — he scored more runs than Jimmy Rollins in 81 fewer at-bats last season, Melvin pointed out — against those of Orlando Hudson and Brian Roberts.

Doug Melvin didn’t spend the five minutes on BR either…someone else did, and printed it out for him.

"The reports are that he is getting better. The definition of better is nebulous."

by KLSnow on Mar 19, 2009 11:07 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Runs!

Go stats people! I genuinely hope they just give the press stuff like that to make other teams think they’re idiots.

The artist formerly known as jihad.

by Jordan M on Mar 19, 2009 3:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Or, it's possible someone handed Melvin those stats on paper

And Melvin thought, “Hey, this is simple enough for the press to get it.”

"The reports are that he is getting better. The definition of better is nebulous."

by KLSnow on Mar 19, 2009 3:38 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

And it's still not clear

whether or not Witrado actually “got” it.

by Brew Angel on Mar 19, 2009 4:45 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

fangraphs

it’s a good point, weeks is still young, but the comparison is a stretch…

http://www.fangraphs.com/comparison.aspx?playerid=1849&playerid2=166&playerid3=1307&position=2B&page=0&type=full

Bring Back The Old Logo!

by jacob on Mar 19, 2009 12:52 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fan Rankings

Apparently having bandwagon fans is bad for the Rays and Yankees, but it’s good for the Red Sox and Cubs?

Also the Pirates come in at number eleven? What the fuck?

by nrudolph on Mar 19, 2009 11:29 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Witrado and Weeks

Part of the difficulty in talking about Rickie Weeks is his game is just…unusual, especially if you’re envisioning the prototypical leadoff hitter or second baseman. He takes a walk (yay!), but strikes out too often (boo!). His average is low, OBP is high, and has pretty good power for a non-corner infielder. (Actually, come to think of it, I feel like I’m talking about Mike Cameron. Maybe he SHOULD move to centerfield.) His defense is lousy, except when he makes exceptional plays; he has good range, but botches easy ones. Oh, and he seems to get hurt pretty easily.

I think if we had a more traditional leadoff hitter, and bat Rickie elsewhere in the lineup, he wouldn’t have so many detractors.

As for Witrado…I’ve given up on him, and am disappointed that the Journal-Sentinel doesn’t think Brewer fans deserve better coverage. I don’t even think it’s a money issue, as you could put someone competent in that position pretty cheaply. (Hah! I just thought, we should put BCB’s Dikembe there. That would be funny.)

Say, has anyone interviewed Jeff Suppan and asked him why he’s sucked so badly since coming to Milwaukee?

Oh, hey, I can log in again.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Mar 19, 2009 12:28 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

And welcome back!

I made bran muffins this morning.

"The reports are that he is getting better. The definition of better is nebulous."

by KLSnow on Mar 19, 2009 1:06 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Weeks

First, I would like to compliment you all on the blog, I enjoy coming here to read about the Brewers. I’m a Mets fan, but I like to keep up with the rest of the league through the Sportsnation blogs. The Brewers are a team I have enjoyed watching the past few seasons, and a friend of mine is actually a big Brewers fan, so here I am.

I applaud Melvin and Macha for sticking with Weeks despite the criticism. His high OBP and speed are an asset at the top of the lineup, and if he ever hit for a higher AVG he would be an all star. Hopefully Randolph can help Weeks’ fundamentals in the field the same way he helped Soriano and Cano, who both had their best seasons at 2B under Randolph.

by SQUAD on Mar 19, 2009 1:16 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think that's true

If Rickie was hitting .280 - even if his OBP remained the same - he probably would be an all-star. Rickie, time to start bunting!

I hadn’t realized that about Randolph, though. Thanks for posting that.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Mar 19, 2009 1:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The fixation on strikeouts is what gets me the most. Would people rather have low K’s but weak groundout after weak groundout after weak groundout…?

by warwick5s on Mar 19, 2009 1:51 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, probably not

But Weeks hits a lot of weak popouts on top of striking out, so really we have both.

The combination of factors that lead to Weeks’ stats always puzzle me. He draws a lot of walks, so obviously he has some ability to be selective. But he also swings and misses a lot, and when he does make contact he makes a lot of weak contact on slow rollers and popups. So, somehow, Weeks has a very good eye when it comes to picking out pitches in/out of the zone, but that skill doesn’t translate over to putting the bat on the ball consistently when he swings. There are probably other players out there like that, but I can’t think of one.

"The reports are that he is getting better. The definition of better is nebulous."

by KLSnow on Mar 19, 2009 2:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

So

he can tell when a ball is outside the strike zone, but is just guessing when it’s inside the strike zone? Reall,y shouldn’t the whole team have LASIK, at this point? It’d be a tax deduction…

I guess his minor league numbers are pretty indicative of his major league numbers so far. (I’d assume his .289 BA is somewhat buffed by his time in the PCL.) It’s interesting to see that the difference between BA and OBP is greater in the majors than it was in the minors.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Mar 19, 2009 2:15 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

To me, it implies good eyesight, but poor hand/eye coordination.

Which could explain some of his issues in the field as well.

"The reports are that he is getting better. The definition of better is nebulous."

by KLSnow on Mar 19, 2009 2:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

that is one of the reasons I am glad we have a new coaching staff (For the most part). They have already said they want to reduce some of Rickie’s pre pitch Gary Sheffield style waggle at the plate. I’m hoping they also tell Billy to close up his stance a little more. Both of them just look like they aren’t ready for the pitch half the time because of their stances.

by Trent Durrington on Mar 19, 2009 3:02 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Zimmerman in AAA

Kind of like Ryan Braun and Jay Bruce and what the Rays did with Evan Longoria (though that was to get another year before FA and not arbitration).

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Mar 19, 2009 3:46 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, it's almost exactly the same thing.

Hence my comparison to Braun.

"The reports are that he is getting better. The definition of better is nebulous."

by KLSnow on Mar 19, 2009 4:40 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

It’s just that for the situations when it’s lousy (2007 Brewers & Braun), there’s times that it doesn’t really matter (Reds and Bruce, Nationals now). Zimmerman on the Nationals in May instead of April isn’t going to change much this year other than some fans might get upset. Playing a highly touted guy because he excites fans is a lousy way to run a club, too.

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Mar 19, 2009 4:59 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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