I was browsing through the Hardball Times archives the other day, and ran across a few of my old columns. There are lots of mainstream pundits who are constantly making predictions (Cincinnati Reds -- NL Central sleeper pick since 2005!) but never go back and see how they turned out.
I would like to think I'm not like that. My favorite "Foresight is not Jeff's forte" example is:
My answer: Yes. Correct answer: Ha! I do think my argument was reasonable, and looking at the second-base market that offseason, the cupboard was pretty bare.
Next up, from about a year ago: Who should sign Barry Bonds?
My answers can't be proven or disproven, though none of the teams I singled out were within Barry striking distance of the playoffs. The highlight, though, is this sentence. Remember, it's March 2008 as I write this:
(I'm defining "contenders" broadly, as you can see; I only excluded the obvious ne'er-do-wells, like Tampa, and teams in rebuilding mode, like Minnesota and Oakland.)
That's 97-win Tampa and 88-win Minnesota, by the way.
You can read the full archive of possibly wrong things I have published at THT here...I'm afraid of what would happen if someone retroactively fact-checked some of the things I've posted on BCB. Yow.