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Cubs 6, Brewers 5

W: Heilman, 1-0
L: Villanueva, 1-1

HR: Fielder, 1

MVP: Fielder, .253 WPA
LVP: Villanueva, -.622 WPA

The win probablility graph below tells all that needs to be said about tonight's game. Things went back and forth in the middle innings, and in the ninth, they went back and did not come forth again for the Brewers.

The scoring began tonight when Fielder's 2-run homer in the third scored Hart. Kosuke Fukudome led off the fourth with homer for the Cubs, and the Brewers got a run back on a Rickie Weeks single in the bottom half of the inning. The Cubs scored again in the sixth against Dave Bush, and then loaded the bases against him in the seventh with no outs. 

Bush struck out Micah Hoffpauir, and then was pulled by Macha for Mark DiFelice. DiFelice induced a ground ball from Alfonso Soriano, and Hardy and Weeks appeared to turn a double play to get out of the inning-- but the call at first was safe; replay confirms that the ball beat the runner by a very small margin. DiFelice struck out Fukudome to keep the game tied at 3.

Then the game really got exciting. Hardy singled in two runs in the seventh to put the Brewers back up, 5-3. Aramis Ramirez hit a two-out solo homer in the eighth against DiFelice, and Villanueva blew his second chance at a save by giving up a two-run homer to Alfonso Soriano. The top of the order could not get a run against Carlos Marmol in the bottom of the ninth; Marmol struck out Braun and Fielder on sliders to finish off the game after Hart singled.

I will just point out that Carlos Villanueva is still a really good relief pitcher; every pitcher is going to give up runs once in a while, it just sucks when it is in a big, intense game as this one was. Overall, I am encouraged by this bullpen so far and even though the hitters have not gotten going yet, they have been patient when they have not gotten hits-- something they struggled with last year. And Corey Hart turned in another nice game. And maybe J.J. Hardy is getting hot (I do not deny that he has hot and cold streaks, I just deny that we can predict when they will start and end).  

Tomorrow night this series wraps up, and the game is actually on TV-- ESPN is televising the action from Miller Park. Brewers ace Jeff Suppan will face prime statistical regression candidate Ryan Dempster. I think it goes without saying that tomorrow will be a must-win game. 

0 recs  |  Comment 20 comments |

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Comments

Display:

In looking up Suppan's stats to trash him earlier

I found out that we did end up winning a lot of the games he started last season. Go Ace go!

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Apr 11, 2009 10:20 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Suppan vs Dempster?

It’s enough to make me glad I’ll miss the first half of the game to watch the World Men’s Curling Championships.

by ecocd on Apr 11, 2009 10:24 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

sweet

good to see that Yahoo knows where to come for the good stuff!

"At least we still have math on our side" - Ned Yost

by Prentice on Apr 11, 2009 10:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

They should

just link to our gamethreads instead.

by theBrouhaha on Apr 11, 2009 11:51 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Georgia State

that Panther is pretty bad

Do not patronize this bar.
http://www.soupsgrill.com/

by molitorfan on Apr 12, 2009 8:21 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Crazy game like that

You almost expect something to go horribly wrong.

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Apr 12, 2009 8:27 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah, that was ridiculous

It almost made me want to revise my estimate of the quality of play in Division 2. But K-State is pretty bad by any measure.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on Apr 12, 2009 12:08 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Mock me if you must

but, I think what the Cubs and Brewers have is amazing. We dont like one another, for the most part, and we are consistently putting together headline type games. We battle, we fight, and it is a lot of fun. You guys got one from us on Fri, we got one tonight. No. Soriano was not safe at first, but that is baseball. I am certain that you guys will get a call your way against us this season, if you already havent. I live and go to school in Milwaukee, work in Chicago, and love the Cubs. Most of my friends here in Milw are Brewers fans. And the fact that our division is made relevant by these two teams is amazing to me. The Cubs who havent won it in 101 years, and if you didnt know that I am certain Joe Morgan will inform you about 130 time tomorrow night. The Brewers, who went to the post season for the first time in 25 years (sorry if I am off by a year or two), are going to be pushing for the post season again this season. It is amazing to me. I love it when the Cubs win and I love it when the Brewers lose, but for these two teams to be the first full week of baseball’s headline game of the week on Easter Sunday makes this Cub fan and Brewer hater happy.

PS I am enjoying it while I can. You will have the better team for many more years than I will. We may be a little better now, but we are old and it is beginning to show.

"How's your mother?"
"She's on her way out."
"We all are. Act accordingly."

by louslovechild on Apr 12, 2009 12:25 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

April games are not must win

There are more than 150 games in the season left. This game means nothing to the Cubs and the Brewers. Must win games are in August and September.

by Slyhigh on Apr 12, 2009 1:21 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

That's the new rule this year, right?

They’re only counting the 100 “best” games?

by andrew_p on Apr 12, 2009 1:22 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Or take a hint from competitive water diving and such...

Strike the top and bottom performances and only count the middle 100 games. :)

by Zeyes on Apr 12, 2009 10:52 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You are forgetting about Spring Training

Because we struggled against the Cubs head-to-head in February/March, these games take on an added significance.

by Azor on Apr 12, 2009 6:13 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Someone's

sarcasm detector is broken

Do not patronize this bar.
http://www.soupsgrill.com/

by molitorfan on Apr 12, 2009 8:22 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Your sarcasm-dar is malfunctioning

The artist formerly known as jihad.

by Jordan M on Apr 12, 2009 8:54 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I forgot. Games in August and September count for two games, and games in April count for only half a game. Games in May, June and July count for the standard one game. I can’t believe I forgot this.

by HRF on Apr 12, 2009 2:53 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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