A Short Look at Today's Brewer Pitchers
I will not pretend to have procured all of this data by myself, but to feed the opening day baseball fever frenzy I wanted to check out a few things on today's Pitch f/x data. Now that Josh Kalk's tool is offline because of his new employer, the best (and maybe only) Pitch f/x tool available is over at Brooks Baseball. A bunch of interesting pitchers got in the game today (one benefit of a Jeff Suppan start), and though I watched the game closely, I wanted to see some overall trends on velocities and pitch selection, and see if any of the pitchers that threw today have made any changes in their pitch selection in the offseason. Take everything with a disclaimer, it doesn't look like the algorithm picked up all of the pitches thrown, so just look at this as a general trend.
Jeff Suppan
He was not good today. The variations of his fastball averaged about 87 miles per hour, that is in line with his averages in the past few seasons, so it does not look like he has experienced a dropoff this year. Something I just noticed now is that Suppan threw far fewer fastballs last year than any other year in his career-- only about 50% v. about 60% in most other years. I will be interested to see if that trend continues. Almost exactly half of the 47 pitches in the Brooks Baseball registry were fastballs, sticking with the trend from last year.
Seth McClung
He was not throwing as hard as usual today, and he did not have any control. Again, the Pitch f/x did not get all of his pitches, but of the ones picked up, 28/37 pitches were fastballs. The fastball averaged 92 miles per hour, with a max of 94.6. Hopefully he is just getting warmed up for the season. He has never averaged below 93 in a season and averaged 96 in his stint with the Brewers in 2007. He threw the curve at about his usual rate of 18%. I think he should investigate throwing it a bit more. His release point did look pretty good, though, and you might remember Josh's story last summer about McClung's release point tightening up when he became a starter.
Jorge Julio
He is on the team because he is a hard thrower, and things were pretty good today for him. The algorithm got all of his pitches. He averaged 93.2 with a high of 95. The results were not great, but at least we do not have a washed up guy with no velocity clogging up the roster. He was around 93-94 in two major league stints last year, after averaging about 95 earlier in his career. He only mixed in 4 breaking balls in today's outing. I expect him to throw more off-speed pitches in the future, in those effective major league stints last year he only threw about 50% fastballs.
Dave Bush
We have most of his pitches as well. The velocity was encouraging, he averaged close to 90 miles per hour and topped out at 90.2. That is better than he was in either of the past two years, though he might have had more in the tank in a short outing from the bullpen today. The curve was right at its usual break and velocity. He looks good to go in his first start this weekend.
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Did the weather play a role?
None of the pitchers seemed to do that well and it was wet and blustery. Those are never fun days to pitch.
Sounds like the Soup was downright awful, McClung was definitively below average, Julio was a bit below average, and Bush was okay, but he left one hanging up in the zone that got belted out?
Am I right? (didn’t get to see the game)
Crimson and Cream Machine
Baseball season = Go Brew Crew!
by dishingoutdimes on Apr 7, 2009 9:36 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Pretty much
I’d guess the weather and the fact that it’s early in the year suppresses velocity. I was just interested in how these guys threw today, and you pretty much summarized their results.
The artist formerly known as jihad.
by Jordan M on Apr 7, 2009 9:43 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
i liked the summary
I am just trying to figure out who choked the worst without having watched the game lol
I was worried about Soup and Julio coming into the season. McClung I thought would be solid. Bush I thought would be the most surprising pitcher this year. Hopefully besides the one homer Bush looked solid. I know we won’t be able to count on Soup much this year, so Bush is a guy that needs to step up.
Crimson and Cream Machine
Baseball season = Go Brew Crew!
by dishingoutdimes on Apr 7, 2009 9:46 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's worth noting
That nearly all of McCluing’s struggles were in his first inning of work.
In the second inning, he fell behind the first batter 3-0, but then seemed to work it out and produced a 1-2-3 inning.
"The reports are that he is getting better. The definition of better is nebulous."
by KLSnow on Apr 7, 2009 10:21 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
i expect nothing from soup
but i’m not worried about the other three yet after yesterday. nothing they did couldn’t be explained away by it being early in the year, to me. i would say though, didn’t seem too blustery later in the game, don’t know if thats a good excuse.
by goirish2107 on Apr 8, 2009 8:44 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

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