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Monday's Frosty Mug

Some things to read while getting the truth.

The Brewers took two of three from the Cubs over the weekend, but the main topic of conversation coming off the series is the second straight homestand where a pitcher has thrown near Ryan Braun's head. Ken Macha wants MLB to look into it. Baseball Musings likes the way Braun responded to it. Adam McCalvy noticed the difference between Braun's reactions to the Dempster pitch and the Jeff Karstens pitch from two weeks ago. The Brewers are tied for the major league lead with 17 HBP, and Braun, Prince Fielder and Jason Kendall have taken 14 of them.

Baseball Musings thinks the Brewers should have scored more runs yesterday. They went just 6-for-33 at the plate, but five of the six hits went for extra bases and the Brewers had six walks. Timing just didn't work out.

Some would argue that continuing to send Jason Kendall to the plate also doesn't help. Balking Traditionalism is working on a formula to determine when it makes sense to pinch hit for Kendall. We'll also have more on the topic later today.

The issue will probably come up more often once Mike Rivera is back. Rivera is in Omaha today to start a three-game rehab assignment with the Nashville Sounds, and if all goes well he's expected back in the lineup on Thursday when Dave Bush returns to the mound. The whole rehab assigment concept seems a little strange in this case: Certainly, Rivera is used to going 15 days between games, but it's been years since he's played in four straight, which is what he'll be doing on Thursday.

Speaking of Dave Bush: he picked up a no-decision on Friday, meaning he's still just 1-0 despite having pitched 40 innings this season, easily the most innings pitched by someone with just one decision.

Elsewhere in statistical anomalies: Saturday night's game featured a combined 40 strikeouts and walks, the sixth most since 1970.

Bill Hall is hitting .292/.364/.483 through 99 plate appearances, and while his numbers are significantly higher against lefties, he's not looking completely outmatched either, drawing ten walks to keep his line at .222/.329/.349. Ken Macha, though, is expected to start Craig Counsell at third when the Brewers open their series with the Marlins tomorrow. Take a moment to consider these numbers:

Counsell since Opening Day 2007: .233/.349/.322
Bill Hall against righties in 2009: .222/.329/.349

Hall has posted a .678 OPS against righties in 2009, so Macha is replacing him with Craig Counsell's .671 OPS? I'm confused.

The Marlins series will also mark the return of our old friend Wes Helms. Wes doesn't understand why he gets booed in Milwaukee:

"I don't know what they're going to do. They might throw rocks at me," said Helms, who is puzzled by the recent chilly receptions he has received. He played well in his three seasons as a Brewer (2003-05).

"I can understand Philly booing me because I struggled there, but Milwaukee? I had good years there," he said. "I never said anything in the paper. I never did anything, so I don't know. Part of the game, I guess."

Wait...what? Helms' best season as a Brewer was in 2003, when he was barely above average as a hitter.

One minor note today: Cole Gillespie continues to struggle in AAA after getting a late start due to injury, and At The Old Ball Game says he's not ready for AAA. Gillespie is the #10 prospect in our community rankings.

I expected people to notice the recent Brewer hot streak, but this might be a little much: Foul Balls has moved the Brewers up to second in the NL and third overall in their power rankings.

Here's one ranking that is deserved, though: Home Run Derby gave the Racing Sausages a #1 seed in their bracket to determine baseball's best mascot.

Around the league:

A's: Designated Ben Copeland, their 2009 Rule 5 pick, for assignment and acquired Adam Kennedy from the Rays for Joe Dillon (h/t FanShot).
Cubs: Placed Aramis Ramirez on the DL with a dislocated shoulder, DL'ed Chad Fox with elbow inflammation, and acquired Ryan Freel from the Orioles for Joey Gathright. (h/t FanShots)
Diamondbacks: Placed Yusmeiro Petit on the DL with a shoulder strain.
Mariners: Carlos Silva has been placed on the DL with stiffness and inflammation in his shoulder.
Nationals: Released Gary Glover.
Pirates: Signed catcher Adam Melhuse to a minor league deal.
Red Sox: Designated reliever Javier Lopez for assignment.
Royals: Placed Joakim Soria on the DL with shoulder soreness.
Yankees: Designated relievers Steven Jackson and Eric Hacker for assignment.

Chad Fox's most recent elbow injury will likely end his major league career. Fox, a former Brewer, has already had multiple Tommy John surgeries and has three screws in his elbow. He sounds like he's glad he gave it one last shot.

The Cub Reporter has done the math and expects Aramis Ramirez to miss around 50 games. The Cubs, however, only play the Cardinals and Brewers in five of those games.

Major League Baseball briefly slammed on the brakes on a cool promotion yesterday, stopping players from wearing black and pink cleats which would later be auctioned off to raise money for a cancer-related charity. MLB had not approved the charity, so they ordered players across baseball, including Prince Fielder, not to wear the cleats. A resolution was later reached to allow players to wear them, but I didn't see if Fielder had his on.

Do you like living in the country and want to own a piece of baseball history? Cy Young's birthplace is for sale, and Let's Go Tribe contacted the realtor to ask some questions about it.

Ryan Braun still has a long way to go to reach this record: Carlos Delgado was plunked by Ian Snell yesterday and now has been hit by pitchers from 36 states, a major league record.

Want to work in baseball? The Book Blog has links to three internships with the Yankees.

Oh, and if you're an opposing closer in Denver, you may witness an episode of Mascots Gone Wild.

Drink up.

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Comments

Display:

Kind of offtopic, but

Jagler and Miller gave the Hat Tip to BCB this morning on 620 regarding the Braun video and Bob Brenly.

by bklanecky on May 11, 2009 9:43 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Traffic perked up a little earlier than usual this morning.

Now I know why. :-) Thanks for the heads up.

"The reports are that he is getting better. The definition of better is nebulous."

by Kyle Lobner on May 11, 2009 10:30 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bill Hall vs Craig Counsell

I’m not sure why you used Counsell’s numbers from the last two years and compared them to Hall’s numbers from the last 32.

Counsell is hammering right handed pitching so far to the tune of .354/.446/481. Yeah, its only 48 at bats, but that’s a very healthy .967 OPS.

Hall, not only has that 222/.329/.349 line against right-handers in 63 at bats, he has struck out 19 times – that’s 30% of the time.

I would definitely platoon them, even if its just to go with the hot hand.

by grant76 on May 11, 2009 10:28 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm not so sure Tango would agree with going with the "hot hand" is a good thing, but I agree that...

Hall’s inability to get on-base against righties has something to do with Macha’s decision. Macha has been using Counsel in the 2 spot in the lineup and Counsell’s OBP numbers are a lot better than Hall’s over the past couple of seasons against righties, although Hall’s OPS numbers are better. But we all know that OPS wieghts SLG pct. a bit too much so I don’t disagree with this move by Macha at all.

by Safebet222 on May 11, 2009 10:50 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly. We tend to fixate on OPS as the stat, when it probably should not be applied to CC in the #2 spot.

We have a surplus of guys that can hit a 450 HR and then strikeout 3 times in a game. Counsell may be a better fit, because we don’t really have a guy that you can depend on to make contact and get on base ahead of the sluggers.

by grant76 on May 11, 2009 11:10 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Speaking of Counsell not being able to hit a 450 ft HR..

I read somewhere this morning, and I can’t remember where, a great quote from Kendall. He was basically saying that he was stoked about Counsell’s homer. He said that Counsell and he count how many homers they hit in BP, and it’s usually less than the other guys’ regular season numbers.

by tcyoung on May 11, 2009 11:21 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually, I'm glad you mentioned CC in the #2 spot

Because there’s an added problem there.

When Hall plays, he bats somewhere in the bottom of the order, so the Brewers keep their top 5 hitters in the top 5 spots in the lineup. When Counsell plays, Macha bats him #2 and puts a .650 or so OPS in a spot where a productive hitter should be.

"The reports are that he is getting better. The definition of better is nebulous."

by Kyle Lobner on May 11, 2009 1:01 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't like moving guys around either but....

If Counsell is starting then its a right hander pitching and Counsell might be more likely to get on base, though less likely to hit a home run.

This year against righties:
Hart: .260/.345/.438 (.783 OPS)
Counsell .354/.446/.521 (.967OPS)

Career:
Hart .266/.308/.469 (.776 OPS)
Counsell .258/.348/.352 (.700 OPS)

You could say that 2009 is a small sample and that Counsell will regress, which is probably true (unless the batting stance really does make a difference), but even at their career numbers you could argue that Counsell is more valuable at #2 because his OBP is higher which is important if you are hitting ahead of Braun and Fielder.

Anecdotaly, there may be a case that Counsell is more likely to move a guy from second to third or bring a guy home on a sacrifice because of his contact rate (CH 21% k rate against righties CC 13%) and grit factor

by grant76 on May 11, 2009 2:56 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think the sacrifice thing has some merit

In that he’ll be in position to move the leadoff guy (usually Weeks) over if the Brewers find themselves in a high-leverage situation where they need to play small-ball. Though given yesterday’s performance with runners on 3rd, 0 out, I’m not so confident in our ability to get that runner home even if CC executes a perfect bunt to get him into scoring position.

by Brew Angel on May 11, 2009 4:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Counsell fills the traditional number 2 hitter to a T

See Foli, Tim (other than the strikeout thing)

Tim was a complete asshole to his son (Tom?), but was actually quite enamored with my defense. Too bad he wasn’t my head coach that year. My existing coach benched me the whole season, despite my Riveraian .400-.500 avg (probably only 1.0-1.1 OPS or so:P) and my above-little-league-average defensive skills at second base.

by PagsBrewCrew on May 11, 2009 3:34 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

How much better would Bill Hall’s number be if he were batting in the #2 spot with Braun offering ‘protection’ vs. the #7 spot with Kendall batting behind him?

by Saberilliterate on May 12, 2009 6:54 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Seashells?

Mike Hunt today:

The further truth was that the Cubs had their bullpen set up the way they wanted, Mike Fontenot played some killer stand-in third base and the Brewers had one of those innings – the third, to be precise – that seems to reflect reality more than fireworks, seashells and balloons.

“So much for the seashells.”

"I didn't realize his velocity was that high," said Macha, noting that radar readings aren't flashed during exhibition games.

by battlekow on May 11, 2009 12:01 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Yet another example of Mike Hunt's descent into senility

"That's not a weird stat. Rickie is a run-scorer," Yost said. "It doesn't matter. It doesn't matter," Yost told reporters. "See, you guys have no concept. He's a run-scorer. So there's nothing weird about it. That's what he does."

by Hyatt on May 11, 2009 12:40 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

your significant other...

wouldn’t like you talking about her that way.

by PagsBrewCrew on May 11, 2009 1:04 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rec'd..

For the random Demolition Man reference.

by TheBurningRom on May 11, 2009 1:14 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Tony Gwynn hit a leadoff homer for Nashville. Lindsay Gulin was shitty again.

"I didn't realize his velocity was that high," said Macha, noting that radar readings aren't flashed during exhibition games.

by battlekow on May 11, 2009 1:47 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Can we call this the curse of Chris Narveson?

Second consecutive year a guy was lights out all spring, stayed with the big league team longer than anyone would have expected, then went to AAA and was awful.

"The reports are that he is getting better. The definition of better is nebulous."

by Kyle Lobner on May 11, 2009 2:15 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

it's even worse than that

Gulin was lights out most of last season. This is epically losing the plot.
(I really hope it doesn’t have anything to do with the former Nashville pitching coach getting promoted, but….)

by morineko on May 11, 2009 5:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey that Rivera guy drove in a run

Escobar has 16 steals already?

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on May 11, 2009 5:58 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Suppan didn't give up a lead off HR

A friend said there was a story on MLB.com that stated Sunday was the first start in four games at Miller Park in which he didn’t give up a lead off homerun to start the game. That’s a crazy stat. I didn’t believe it, but it’s true.

Last year in the NLDS, Suppan gave up a lead off homer to Jimmy Rollins. On April 12, he gave up a lead off HR to Soriano and April 30 Suppan gave up his only run of the game on a lead off HR to Felipe Lopez.

Yesterday, it took 11 pitches, but he got Soriano to ground out to start the game.

by ecocd on May 11, 2009 2:35 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Thanks, Cam

The Brewers have the second-best UZR in baseball.

"I didn't realize his velocity was that high," said Macha, noting that radar readings aren't flashed during exhibition games.

by battlekow on May 11, 2009 4:55 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Gary Glover

I can’t believe he was still pitching in AAA. He’s only 32?

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on May 11, 2009 5:51 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Wait...we hate Wes Helms?

Really? He’s a big enough significance that we anything him? I nothing Wes Helms.

"You have no honor!" - McClung to Fukudome

by zsxander567 on May 11, 2009 6:14 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Wes Helms practically put us in the playoffs last year

I’d hope knowledgeable fans give him a pass.

Scored three times and detonated an indisputable in four visits to the batting box.

by Jordan M on May 11, 2009 6:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

knowledgable fans should always give him a pass

For the reasons he stated: he wasn’t the most terrible player on some bad teams, didn’t say anything nasty in the papers, didn’t force his way out of town(we no longer wanted him!). It irks me that anyone would boo him. For the love of god boo Sheffield, boo Cordero, boo people it makes sense to boo. “He used to be a Brewer but no longer is” is not a reason to boo.

by magoo on May 11, 2009 8:10 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

If you boo, make it because of something substantial.

"If lovin’ Braun is wrong, I want to be a repeat offender!"

RIP Nick Adenhart: Stop Drunk Driving

by kirbir on May 11, 2009 8:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I liked Helms' quote a couple years ago

When he was with the Phillies he talked about how the booing gave a little more motivation for him to rap out a go-ahead hit.

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on May 12, 2009 5:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

People most directly responsible for the Brewers clinching the playoffs last year

1. CC Sabathia
2. Ryan Braun
3. Wes Helms

C. Magruder scored, R. Weeks to second on balk

by alkaseitzer on May 12, 2009 6:05 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

#4 is Chris Magruder

So take that how you may

C. Magruder scored, R. Weeks to second on balk

by alkaseitzer on May 12, 2009 6:05 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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