The Friday Mug
I like starting out the daily mug with yesterday's Link Report and short game summaries.
Casey McGehee has come in handy. Again, don't expect him to be more than even an average hitter going forward, but he has been a nice depth pickup.
Manny Parra is on Matthew Carruth's list of the most unlucky pitchers in baseball at Fangraphs. He still hasn't pitched well, but...
His FIP stands at 5.14 in the National League. Still, that is a far cry from his 7.52 ERA and for that you put the bulk of the blame on his .368 BABIP. He has pitched a bit worse this year than last, but I would agree with ZiPS and say that if given a chance, a 4.30 FIP going forward sounds about right.
Yahoo guest blogger Curtis Granderson wrote about Bryce Harper's decision to enroll in Junior College and the general issue in baseball of weighing a college education versus taking advantage of an opportunity to play professional baseball directly after high school. It's a tough decision for a young person to make.
This is an interesting look at an extreme and somewhat random split: Brian Bannister seems to pitch very well during the day and not well at night. I agree with Pinto that you shouldn't just look at wins to measure something like skill, but there certainly could be some difference in skill. Usually splits like this are just the result of random variance, though.
Harold Reynolds wrote a very... interesting take on OPS and statistics. Joe Posnaski broke it down for you, not FJM-Style, but summary-style. Take a guess as to which one I agree with.
In other bad baseball analyst news, Joe Morgan makes up stories. Too bad, it would have been a good one.
Beyond the Boxscore has Power Rankings, and the Brewers hold steady at 16. They check in at 8 in the Whatifsports power rankings.
The Padres have called up one of their top prospects, Kyle Blanks. This is interesting because he's listed at 285 pounds-- similar to Prince Fielder, though Blanks is 6'6". He'll play some left field because he's blocked by Adrian Gonzalez at first base.
The Nationals forgot to fire Manny Acta, after rumors for almost two weeks that he was gone. I'm rooting for him to stay on board because he's been one of the most progressive managers as far as statistical analysis goes.
The Baseball Analysts looks at a strike zone plot using hit f/x by batted ball type. Pretty cool stuff, and I hope to get some Brewers hit f/x stuff up soon. This data is the next frontier for analysis, especially when we'll be able to piece it together to get a more accurate picture of defense.
Interesting column from Bill Simmons, and one I almost totally agree with. Anyone with visions of the nostalgic purity of baseball-- it was just never there, and it never will be there. Baseball is what it is. There's a good addition to the Simmons column here.
Statistics-oriented posts from the two best analysis sites: Joe Mauer is a great baseball player, more Hit f/x, and Babe Ruth vs. Barry Bonds.
A random note: Marco Scutaro walked last night, and immediately stole second base without stopping. That had to be awesome.
Do pitchers pitch differently to opposing pitchers? Some interesting conclusions in that Hardball Times article.
Happy birthday Claudio Vargas!
The Brewers actually do play today, not yesterday as I had previously written. Looper pitches tonight against the Tigers. Gametime is 6:05 central.
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39 comments
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Comments
OPS statistic
I can see the point about people using OPS as the statistic. If Craig Counsell is leading off, I really don’t care about his slugging – his OBP is much more important, but if you are going to pick one stat that best defines a hitter or team hitting, then OPS is the best we have.
The Scutaro thing is hilarious.
by grant76 on Jun 19, 2009 11:46 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I rarely use OPS, you'll see wOBA much more often in my stuff
Still, that argument… is really bad. He’s almost saying that OBP is bad because power hitters, it’s like he confuses the two.
I last May, still no more than Nick Neugebauer not.
by Jordan M on Jun 19, 2009 11:56 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Video of the Scutaro thing
Is here.
by Cheeseandcorn on Jun 19, 2009 11:53 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
http://toronto.bluejays.mlb.com/media/video.jsp?content_id=5111035&c_id=tor
There is the link to the Scutaro steal – very little league like. But very cool
by Saberilliterate on Jun 19, 2009 11:59 AM CDT reply actions 1 recs
I remember when Braun did that
After the game someone asked the opposing team if they thought it was offensive or just a heads up play and they said it was just a heads up play and they were caught off guard.
::Another 95% plus FanGraphs win goes right down the fucking tubes:: Indians fan after Prince's Grand Salami
by Wizzyconsin on Jun 19, 2009 12:00 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
When did that happen?
I remember it but can’t find it.
It was a great selection of awesome.
by battlekow on Jun 19, 2009 1:18 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
hell if i know
i believe it was pretty quickly after he was called up. the announcers didnt really know what to say about him at the time.
im also pretty sure you only get one shot at this in a career.
::Another 95% plus FanGraphs win goes right down the fucking tubes:: Indians fan after Prince's Grand Salami
by Wizzyconsin on Jun 19, 2009 2:32 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Versus KC in June 2007
"Shabbat shalom, motherfuckers" - Ryan Braun
by The Prospector on Jun 19, 2009 3:11 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Deadspin
After reading about Joe Morgan, I meandered over to an article about Rick Reilley before he was Rick Reilley.
I still like Reilly, but some of those older longer stories sound classic.
by grant76 on Jun 19, 2009 12:15 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I think his suckiness is a recent development
I used to love his back page columns in SI. At some point, he just resorted to taking a basic point and using ridiculously stupid comparisons to try to make it interesting.
I last May, still no more than Nick Neugebauer not.
by Jordan M on Jun 19, 2009 1:21 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I love his older stuff.
I got a copy of his “The Life of Reilly” anthology back around 2000, and most of it was wonderful. His stories on Marge Schott and Bryant Gumbel are two of my favorite sports profiles ever.
Now, Reilly post-2002 or so, that’s quite a different story.
by Cheeseandcorn on Jun 19, 2009 3:25 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I remember a Kendall "delayed steal" that was similar
Infielders just sort of glared at him. The booth analysis included “crow steps.”
by ol Pete on Jun 19, 2009 12:43 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Rain in Detroit
Odds of the game getting in tonight are very, very bad. Thunderstorms throughout the area. Tomorrow looks somewhat more promising.
by Et tu Brewte on Jun 19, 2009 3:11 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
though the lineup is posted
and Kendall is back in the 9 slot where he belongs. McGahee batting 2nd as the DH…
from McCalvy’s twitter page:
Counsell 4, McGehee DH, Braun 7, Fielder 3, Hart 9, Cameron 8, Hardy 6, Gamel 5, Kendall 2
"That's not a weird stat. Rickie is a run-scorer," Yost said. "It doesn't matter. It doesn't matter," Yost told reporters. "See, you guys have no concept. He's a run-scorer. So there's nothing weird about it. That's what he does."
by Hyatt on Jun 19, 2009 3:22 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Gamel instead of Hall
so I guess 3 popups DO override a homer?
by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 19, 2009 3:25 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Gotta give Gamel a good look while you can
And besides insert comment here about lightning striking twice
by pharom on Jun 19, 2009 3:28 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Gamel's in the game and someone else is at DH?
McGehee must really not feel 100%.
by Cheeseandcorn on Jun 19, 2009 3:26 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It would suck if Counsell went 1 for 6
Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.
by TheJay on Jun 19, 2009 5:21 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
yet another excuse
to go to the Detroit Cobras show in Madison. Make sure to wear your Brewers hats and make them swear allegiance for all time to the Brewers.
by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 19, 2009 3:23 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Difelice as a ROOGY (or rather RiMOGy)
Could his split stats be partly because in situations when he’s facing a leftie, it’s because he’s already gotten one or two righties out and typically has the bases clear? He doesn’t mind if he allows a baserunner when he’s probably going to face another rightie next.
In other words, are his stats partially dependent on the particular situation he’s in other than righty/leftie?
by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 19, 2009 4:36 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
P.S.
yes, I know i’m a day late. I just think slowly.
by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 19, 2009 4:37 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think he would be plenty effective against lefties
he has been in the minors. He’s like opposite Stetter, I guess.
I last May, still no more than Nick Neugebauer not.
by Jordan M on Jun 19, 2009 5:56 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Anyone
watching the Cubs game?
"He had some firsts," said Brewers manager Ken Macha. "His first homer, his first Major League start, his first error and my first gray hair."
by molitorfan on Jun 19, 2009 5:03 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
hopefully
the Cubs don’t have another 8th inning rally in them
"He had some firsts," said Brewers manager Ken Macha. "His first homer, his first Major League start, his first error and my first gray hair."
by molitorfan on Jun 19, 2009 5:08 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
now
it’s a save situation
"He had some firsts," said Brewers manager Ken Macha. "His first homer, his first Major League start, his first error and my first gray hair."
by molitorfan on Jun 19, 2009 5:12 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
lol
Perez, the guy who gave up the grannie to Prince is coming in. “Little Babe Ruth” Fontenot is up.
by ol Pete on Jun 19, 2009 5:16 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
jeez
Indians playing soccer in the field
"He had some firsts," said Brewers manager Ken Macha. "His first homer, his first Major League start, his first error and my first gray hair."
by molitorfan on Jun 19, 2009 5:18 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Soriano up
I sure hope this is the intentional/unintentional walk
by ol Pete on Jun 19, 2009 5:21 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
wow
Indians fans have to be hitting the bottle right now.
"He had some firsts," said Brewers manager Ken Macha. "His first homer, his first Major League start, his first error and my first gray hair."
by molitorfan on Jun 19, 2009 5:24 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm following on gameday
so with 2 men on, I see a pitch up and in and the “in play, runs” and it sits like that for 15 seconds. I thought for sure it was a HR.
by ol Pete on Jun 19, 2009 5:26 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
escaped
Wood will get the save opportunity in the 9th
"He had some firsts," said Brewers manager Ken Macha. "His first homer, his first Major League start, his first error and my first gray hair."
by molitorfan on Jun 19, 2009 5:27 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Turnbow Marmol in now – I have to spring for Extra Innings next year.
by ol Pete on Jun 19, 2009 5:28 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
it is expensive
but I am out of the Brewers’ market so I really have no choice.
"He had some firsts," said Brewers manager Ken Macha. "His first homer, his first Major League start, his first error and my first gray hair."
by molitorfan on Jun 19, 2009 5:32 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
HRs
are pretty quick to clear thorough on gameday.
by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 19, 2009 5:32 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm curious (and late to this thread)...
… but what’s the point of Simmons article? Or pointing out the lack of historical purity in the game? Is it merely to disillusion (but in a good way, perhaps)? Or is it to suggest that the reaction to the steroid era is an over reaction and we should just accept it and stop talking about it? I’m ok with the former, but if the intent is that latter, or if the argument is coopted by others to support the latter, I think that’s a crock of shit.
i have a reasonable dislike of Bill Hall.
by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Jun 19, 2009 5:24 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I think the Simmons article was valuable...
but no one who should read it will. I think it’s a reaction to the argument (most recently heard on “Rome is Burning”) that baseball is all about “pure” statistics, and that’s why everyone gets on baseball for PEDs. From reading Simmons’s other stuff, he’s genuinely distressed by the effect of PEDs on the game (just check out his reaction to Manny testing positive), he just thinks we shouldn’t forget that baseball has never really been pure and that PEDs is just another in a long line of struggles the game faces and must overcome.
"I think this decision could go either way," Baseball Tonight legal analyst John Kruk said.
by ZTK Always on Vacation on Jun 19, 2009 5:57 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

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