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The Cratering of a Pitching Staff

It's certainly not a surprise to anyone following the team that our starting pitching over the past month has been "suspect," to put it politely, fueling the recent calls for trades.  But how suspect?  

  • Manny Parra: since whittling his ERA down to a Suppanian 4.57 on May 17, Parra had since given up an astounding 31 earned runs in his next 21 1/3 innings, raising his ERA almost 3 full runs in only 5 starts.  Wow.  Parra is currently on a sabbatical in Nashville.
  • Braden Looper: it's hard to imagine that Looper had a 2.45 ERA in April (THAT seems a long time ago), and a 4.24 ERA as late as May 29.  Since then?  18 earned runs in 20 1/3 innings, raising his ERA just about 1 full run.  (Oddly enough, his strikeout : walk ratio in that time period is a nifty 16:2 --- why take a walk when you can hit for extra bases, I guess.)
  • Dave Bush: on May 19th, his ERA was a fantastic 3.74.  Since then?  Well...29 earned runs in 28 innings, raising his ERA almost 2 full runs.  It's worth noting that he's attributed his recent slide to getting hit by a line drive in Florida on June 4th, even though by then his ERA was already on the way back up, having given up 9 earned runs in his previous 10 2/3 innings.
  • Jeff Suppan: remarkably, perhaps reveling in the misfortune of his staffmates, Suppan's ERA has been trickling downward: his current ERA, 4.48, is as low as its been all season, and he hasn't given up any home runs in June.  That's all fine, of course, when Suppan is your #4/5 guy.  When he's your best starter not named Gallardo...hoo boy.
  • Yovani Gallardo: Gallardo is still doing fine, of course, and his ERA is back under 3, something we haven't seen since April.  The only thing of concern to me is the innings pitched: in only 2 of his last 7 starts has YoGa gotten out of even the 6th inning.  He's still pitching well, but not offering our overtaxed bullpen a break.

To put it another way:

Brewer pitcherERA on May 20*ERA on June 20
Yovani Gallardo 3.83 2.93
Dave Bush 3.74 5.67
Braden Looper 4.26 5.21
Manny Parra 4.57 7.52
Jeff Suppan 4.63 4.48

Our relievers have been performing admirably all season, but that's not going to continue if we keep asking them to pitch 3+ innings every night.  Landing another starting pitcher would be helpful, if Billy Castro can get Looper and Bush turned around and if Gallardo and Suppan are able to keep us in games without killing our bullpen. However, when your 2, 3, and 4 starters all collapse at the same time, it's hard to see how someone like Doug Davis will get us into the playoffs.

*Since May 20, the Brewers have gone 12-17, and as of this writing have fallen into second place.

Poll
Deep down, you think this is Ned Yost's doing, don't you.
Yes
151 votes
I'd never admit to it
80 votes

231 votes | Poll has closed

1 recs  |  Comment 15 comments |

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Comments

Display:

Yost's Fault

One thing is certain: If Ned were still around he would be bearing the brunt of the blame for this. He was anything but a Teflon Manager.

by crichar3 on Jun 21, 2009 8:51 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

According to Ned:

The pitchers have been pitching well except for one or two pitches per game. If you take those away, they’ve been perfect. So, get off their backs and follow them to battle!

battlekow: Bill is having an oppo-gasm

by Michael M on Jun 21, 2009 9:18 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Overstating it a bit

I think saying Bush “attibute[s] his recent slide to getting hit by a line drive” is overstating it a bit.

In the jsonline article, pretty clearly someone asked him a question that raised being hit as a possibility for Bush’s problems, and he didn’t shoot it down. That’s a ways away from attribution. That article spends much more time talking about a mechanical-timing issue with his delivery than the line-drive.

by robertearle on Jun 21, 2009 10:19 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

In 18 June starts

The starting rotation is averaging exactly 5.0 IP per start.

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Jun 21, 2009 11:04 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

What' I'd like to see

I know there’s no compelling reason to think he’ll succeed, but I’d like to see Chase Wright get a few starts. He won’t be any worse than the way 60% of the rotation has been pitching lately.

by DukeMarkell on Jun 21, 2009 11:16 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

CC just went down

can we pin that on Neddy-Ballgame too?

"That's not a weird stat. Rickie is a run-scorer," Yost said. "It doesn't matter. It doesn't matter," Yost told reporters. "See, you guys have no concept. He's a run-scorer. So there's nothing weird about it. That's what he does."

by Hyatt on Jun 22, 2009 9:57 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

The big man

claims that he is making his start against the Mets on Friday.

"He had some firsts," said Brewers manager Ken Macha. "His first homer, his first Major League start, his first error and my first gray hair."

by molitorfan on Jun 22, 2009 8:58 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

In a related note...

The Mets, now with 100% more Dessens.

(And in case we weren’t entirely sure which Elmer Dessens they’re talking about, it’s “Elmer Dessens, the veteran”. As opposed to Elmer Dessens, the stud 17-year-old prospect, perhaps.)

by Zeyes on Jun 22, 2009 9:09 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Mets are an example of a team that is very bad at depth

They always wind up giving meaningful at-bats and innings to players who seem to be bad bets to even be replacement level. That’s one thing Doug Melvin always seems to excel at. There are at least 5 guys the Brewers would have easily called up before Dessens.

I last May, still no more than Nick Neugebauer not.

by Jordan M on Jun 22, 2009 9:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

A fortune cookie from New York

“Any team that relies on Elmer Dessens will soon become unglued.”

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Jun 22, 2009 9:32 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I had to explain to a Mess fan who Dessens is

I went with this:

He’s so good, the Brewers made up a fake injury to get him off the roster.

Rockies fan followed with this:

He’s so good, he couldn’t crack the Rockies’ staff.

Get over it.

by Dikembe Meiztombo on Jun 22, 2009 10:15 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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