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Earned and Unearned Runs in the Fifth Inning Last Night

The fifth inning of last night's game officially took 51 minutes. The Brewers' half included eleven batters and two pitching changes and lasted 25 minutes. The Marlins' half had only one pitching change and ten batters but lasted 26 minutes. Since there were errors, pitching changes, and runs galore in the Brewers' half, it's worth talking about.

One of the most confusing parts of scoring a baseball game is determining whether or not runs are earned. Just as confusing is determining which pitcher in a multiple-pitcher inning is responsible for each run. Since the top half of the fifth inning contained just about every possible weird situation relating to earned/unearned runs, let's work through it and figure out how the runs were assigned.

First, two basic rules: if a batter reaches base because of an error or stays on the bases because of an error and then scores a run, that run is unearned. Also, if runs score after error-free play would have resulted in three outs, those runs are unearned.

Now, the full play-by-play of the inning:

Brewers fifth.
West pitching.
McGehee grounded out, third baseman E.Bonifacio to first baseman Cantu.
R.Braun safe at first on fielding error by shortstop H.Ramirez.
Fielder singled to center, R.Braun to second.
Penn pitching.
M.Cameron walked, R.Braun to third, Fielder to second.
Hardy grounded into fielder's choice, third baseman E.Bonifacio to catcher J.Baker, Fielder to third, M.Cameron to second, Hardy to first, R.Braun out.
B.Hall walked, Fielder scored, M.Cameron to third, Hardy to second.
Kendall walked on a full count, M.Cameron scored, Hardy to third, B.Hall to second.
Looper walked, Hardy scored, B.Hall to third, Kendall to second.
Sanches pitching.
C.Hart safe at first on throwing error by third baseman E.Bonifacio, B.Hall scored, Kendall to third, Looper to second.
McGehee doubled to left, Kendall scored, Looper scored, C.Hart to third.
R.Braun struck out.

Whew, that's a screenful. Sean West entered the inning having given up three runs already in the game, all earned. His role in this inning is the easy one to analyze:

Brewers fifth.
West pitching.
McGehee grounded out, third baseman E.Bonifacio to first baseman Cantu.
R.Braun safe at first on fielding error by shortstop H.Ramirez.
Fielder singled to center, R.Braun to second.
Penn pitching.

McGehee's groundout is self-explanatory. Braun's at bat is trickier: he should have been the second out of the inning, but he reached base. Remember this for later. Fielder's single is also a simple ending for West's night. He departed the game having allowed two runners to reach base.

Now, when Penn entered the game, there should have been two outs. However, Rule 10.16(i) says

When pitchers are changed during an inning, the relief pitcher shall not have the benefit of previous chances for outs not accepted in determining earned runs.

So even if there should have been two outs, Penn does not get the benefit of the error for determining his earned and unearned runs. It's probably easiest to examine his outing play by play.

  • M.Cameron walked, R.Braun to third, Fielder to second.

    Braun and Fielder remain West's responsibility.
  • Hardy grounded into fielder's choice, third baseman E.Bonifacio to catcher J.Baker, Fielder to third, M.Cameron to second, Hardy to first, R.Braun out.

    This is a confusing play, especially if you see West was charged with two runs in the inning. Since he was responsible for only two batters and Braun was out at the plate, shouldn't he only be responsible for Fielder from this point forward? The answer is no. It's easiest to think of this situation as if Penn came in with no one on base. In that case, Hardy would have come up with Cameron on first. His fielder's choice would then have wiped out Cameron. It's not Penn's fault Braun was on third base to be put out on the fielder's choice. Ergo, Cameron takes Braun's place as West's responsibility. 

  • B.Hall walked, Fielder scored, M.Cameron to third, Hardy to second.

    The first of West's runners scores. It's tricky here, too, because of the two perspectives on how many outs there should be. From West's perspective, Hardy's fielder's choice should have ended the inning. Thus the run Fielder scores against him is unearned. From Penn's perspective, Hardy's FC was only the second out of the inning, so he's still on the hook for future earned runs.
  • Kendall walked on a full count, M.Cameron scored, Hardy to third, B.Hall to second.

    Since Cameron took over Braun's role as West's responsibility, this is the second of West's two runs to score. Again, the inning should be over from his perspective, so this run against him is unearned.
  • Looper walked, Hardy scored, B.Hall to third, Kendall to second.

    Hardy is the first of Penn's runners to come around and score. Since from his perspective there should only be two outs, this run is earned against him.

Penn was finally pulled after going to a 2-1 count on Corey Hart. If Hart had proceeded to walk, he would have counted against Penn (see Rule 10.16(h)). Mercifully, he didn't walk, keeping things a little simpler.

Brian Sanches entered the game with the bases loaded and all three runners Penn's responsibility. The same rule that applied to Penn applies to Sanches, namely that from his perspective there should only be two out. Let's break his outing down play by play as well.

  • Sanches pitching.
    C.Hart safe at first on throwing error by third baseman E.Bonifacio, B.Hall scored, Kendall to third, Looper to second.

    This error should have ended the inning from both Penn's point of view and Sanches' point of view. Thus Hall's run counts against Penn, but it is unearned. Hart is Sanches' responsibility.

  • McGehee doubled to left, Kendall scored, Looper scored, C.Hart to third.

    Both Kendall and Looper reached because of Penn, so their runs are charged to him. Since the inning should have ended after Hart's at bat, neither run is earned. Both runners are Sanches' now, so close the book on Penn.

  • R.Braun struck out.

    The inning finally ends.

The total damage? West is responsible for two runs, both unearned. Penn is responsible for four runs, only one of which is earned. Sanches gave up zero runs. In total, the team gave up six runs, only one of which is earned, right?

Wait! We're not finished yet. From the team's perspective, the inning should have ended with Hardy's fielder's choice, before any runs scored. So even though Penn got charged with an earned run in the inning, that run is marked down as something called a team unearned run. Marking it down as such avoids penalizing the team for putting in a relief pitcher. Remember how Penn entering the game "reset" the number of outs there should have been? If that was carried over to the team, it would effectively force the Marlins' pitching staff to record four would-be outs in the inning before runs became unearned. In short, team unearned runs undo for the team what Rule 10.16(i) does for a relief pitcher.

This can lead to some interesting "discrepancies" in team pitching totals. For example, examine Baseball-Reference's team pitching totals. Note that Cleveland has given up 284 earned runs this year. If you go to Cleveland's team page and sum up the earned runs for every pitcher, you get 284. Duh, right? Not quite. Take a journey over to MLB.com's team pitching totals. There you will note Cleveland as a team has given up 283 earned runs. The difference is one team unearned run on May 12. In that game Tony Sipp gave up an earned run, but it was a team unearned run. Since Baseball-Reference totals earned runs by summing up the earned runs of each pitcher, they end up off by one in this case, affecting the team's ERA. In this case MLB.com's total is correct and the Indians' team ERA is 0.02 lower than what Baseball-Reference shows. Baltimore is in the same situation.

Baseball's rules can be extremely complicated at times. I feel bad for anyone scoring the game last night.

3 recs  |  Comment 21 comments |

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Comments

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AWESOME

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, ""That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jun 4, 2009 1:12 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I have a question

If there is 1 out, nobody on, and 2 errors are committed, will all further runs be considered unearned? Say the same pitcher gives up 10 runs that inning before finally ending it. Are all of those runs unearned?

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, ""That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jun 4, 2009 1:15 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

If the two errors would have resulted in outs, yeah

(Not extra-base errors on a relay throw or something).

But as TheJay’s post explains, if a relief pitcher was brought it, he would not get credit for the two would-have-been outs.

"I didn't realize his velocity was that high," said Macha, noting that radar readings aren't flashed during exhibition games.

by battlekow on Jun 4, 2009 1:25 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

depends what kind of errors

If each of the next two errors are, say, easy groundballs that the shortstop should’ve turned into groundouts, yes.

But lots of errors aren’t “should-be outs.” For instance, let’s say Soriano bunts down the third base line. It’s a great bunt and Hall has no chance to get him, but Hall throws anyway, and he throws it over Fielder’s head. Soriano advances to second on the play. That’s a single + error, and the error isn’t a “should-be out” in the sense of the easy groundball. If that was one of the errors in the scenario you mention, there should be only two outs on the board, so they wouldn’t be unearned.

(One loophole, though, outside of the 10-run scenario you mention. Say Soriano does that. Then Fontenot singles, and Soriano scores. Then Lee strikes out to end the inning. In that case, the run would be unearned, because Soriano wouldn’t have been on second and thus able to score without the error.)

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on Jun 4, 2009 1:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good Stuff

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, ""That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jun 4, 2009 1:28 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

hmmm

what if someone reaches first on a wildpitch strikeout? Passed ball strikeout? Is there an error free, wildpitch, passed-ball free way to reach first on strikeout?

by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 4, 2009 2:04 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

being REALLY REALLY fast

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, ""That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jun 4, 2009 2:10 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nope

Any dropped/not caught third strike is a potential passed ball/wild pitch; the batter reaching first is what determines whether it is or isn’t (unless a runner from second or third advances on the pitch as well).

"I didn't realize his velocity was that high," said Macha, noting that radar readings aren't flashed during exhibition games.

by battlekow on Jun 4, 2009 2:19 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

and just to add...

a wild pitch is not a fielding issue and thus can’t lead to unearned runs. (That seemed to be part of Pags’ question.)

by Zeyes on Jun 4, 2009 2:32 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

same with PB?

so…all runs earned in those circumstances, despite an out being “earned” but not recorded by the pitcher?

by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 4, 2009 2:48 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

A passed ball is considered an error when determining earned or unearned runs.

by statsllc on Jun 4, 2009 4:07 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

okay.

so this is the one and only case (excepting of course the DP listed below) where a pitcher’s “error” actually counts against them. Because if a position misses their target, it’s a throwing error, whereas when a pitcher does so, it’s just called a wildpitch.

by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 4, 2009 4:09 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

A passed ball is the catcher's fault

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Jun 4, 2009 5:40 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bottom of the 5th

Unspoken in this article is the bottom of the 5th, where Braden Looper committed an error, allowing the pitcher to reach. You would then think that all those runs were unearned based on the fact that there was a double play immediately thereafter before any more runs scored, but this was not the case since the runner would not have been on first if the error did not occur. So, the double play was only one out in the eyes of the scorer and every run from that point out was indeed earned.

Is there any way this could be outlined better in a different post? I find this situation equally intriguing.

by Tick on Jun 4, 2009 3:10 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

They are all earned

If Looper hadnt committed the error a run would have scored and there would be baserunners at second and third with one out. The next batters GDP would have been a simple ground out with another run scoring. Since Sanches was erased on the double play everything is reset to “normal” had not Looper committed the error, two outs and runner on third. Coghlan actually loses an RBI becuase there was an error. You can’t get an RBI on a GDP, but you can get one on a ground out.

by statsllc on Jun 4, 2009 4:15 PM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

That's a great point about Coghlan's lost RBI

I hadn’t thought about that. Funny game.

"I didn't realize his velocity was that high," said Macha, noting that radar readings aren't flashed during exhibition games.

by battlekow on Jun 4, 2009 4:54 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

But...

If Soriano’s bunt is booted by Don Money, moving Ron Cey to second base and Leon Durham to third, when, pray-tell, is Harry Carry’s train going to get to Santa Fe?

by One-Flap Down on Jun 4, 2009 3:21 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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