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Friday's Frosty Mug

Some things to read while condemning yourself to eternal torment.

Last night's Brewer win was filled with memorable moments, not the least of which was Braden Looper's three hit night, the first one by a Brewer pitcher since Brad Woodall did it in 1998. Tom H. didn't remember the guy at all, and I'm embarassed to admit I didn't either. 1998 was Woodall's only season as a Brewer.

Looper also gave up a home run to Joey Votto, putting him in sole possession of first place in the National League with 23 home runs allowed. Looper set a career high with 25 home runs allowed last season, 1.1 per nine innings pitched. This season he's giving up 1.9 home runs over the same span, putting him on pace to allow 35 this season. That would be the second highest total in team history, behind Wayne Franklin's 36 in 2003.

But Votto's home run wasn't just any home run, it was the 12th longest shot in Great American Ball Park history.

After taking a moment to reflect on winning the Home Run Derby, Prince Fielder stepped back into the box and picked right back up where he left off. After picking up his 23rd home run and two walks last night, Fielder has reached base safely in 20 consecutive games and is hitting .373/.511/.731 over that stretch. He's moved up to second in the NL in OBP, third in slugging and second in OPS.

Seth McClung was a rare dark shadow on the Brewers' bright and sunny day last night, walking the first two batters he faced and allowing a three run home run to the third. View From Bernie's Chalet says McClung and Villanueva give the Brewers two bullpen arms you don't want to see in a close game right now.

Sheffield's House was upset by Craig Counsell's performance in the #2 spot last night, and wonders why he wasn't asked to bunt in two early at bats. Maybe Counsell should have been asked to bunt, but I think there's a more pressing question: If Craig Counsell is so inept with the bat that you'd like to take it out of his hands in important situations, why is he hitting second in the lineup while Casey McGehee and Mike Cameron, among others, are batting fifth or lower?

Dave Bush suffered what is being called "a minor setback" in his rehab and will not be available to pitch on Monday as planned. Even if the setback is minor, Bush had only thrown 91 pitches over two rehab appearances (and just 40 in his last one), so he'll probably need at least one more start to get stretched out. Mike Burns will start Monday instead.

Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch has video of interviews with Trevor Hoffman and Prince Fielder from the All Star Game. Hoffman says it's time for the Brewers to "kick it in gear." I couldn't agree more.

How far did the Brewers drop during their cold spell before the break? Beyond the Box Score gives them a 22% shot at winning the Central, and Jeff Lubbers of Baseball Digest Daily, who picked the Crew to represent the NL in the World Series before the season, is now picking the Dodgers instead.

Jason Kendall is hitting .237/.327/.279 in 2009, but continues to play consistently, and his defense and game-calling abilities are typically cited as the reason why. Obviously, "game calling ability" is hard to quantify, but Viva El Birdos ranked Kendall around the middle of the pack defensively through the first half of 2009.

I recently participated in the SB Nation NL Central Roundtable, moderated by Sky Kalkman of Beyond the Box Score. Follow the first link to head over to Crawfish Boxes and check out part 1 of the roundtable, where we discuss potential moves at the trading deadline.

In the minors:

  • Rob Neyer was at the AAA All Star Game Wednesday, and was wowed by R.J. Swindle's curveball. Because I was living in the TV Dark Ages (Iowa) during Swindle's brief run with the Crew, Wednesday's game was my first opportunity to see it too, and it's amusing to watch, to be sure.
  • The Brewers have added a catcher to their list of undrafted free agent signings: former CSU-Pueblo catcher Tony Pechek. Pechek was a 2005 draftee of the Tigers, and has bounced around between four colleges since then.

Are you watching more Brewer games this season? Someone must be, because the Brewers have moved all the way up to third in Nielsen's list of most-watched baseball broadcasts, taken by percentage of households.

The Brewers dropped from 11th to 16th in MLB FanHouse's Power Rankings.

Around the majors:

Cubs: Signed B.J. Ryan to a minor league deal.
Rangers: Will allow Orlando Hernandez to become a free agent on Monday so he can throw the banana for other teams.
Rockies: Signed Matt Herges to a minor league deal and designated Matt Belisle for assignment.
Royals: Designated Tony Pena Jr. for assignment.

Ever wonder what the Home Run Derby would be like in a park where no one can hit home runs? Citi Field is rumored to be hosting the 2013 All Star Game, so I guess you'll find out. (h/t C. Trent Rosecrans)

Inside the Majors is a site run by former Blue Jays Assistant GM Bart Given, and he frequently tackles reader questions about things only someone who's been inside a front office would know. In this post, for example, he answers questions about reasons to or not to put an injured minor leaguer on the 60-day DL, scouting of umpires and travel arrangements. Interesting stuff.

I think some of the misconceptions on the relationship between the mainstream media and internet-based writers are summed up nicely in the results of this Penn State survey of bloggers. Of the 210 bloggers surveyed (including me), 85% said they view their work as sports journalism, but 75% said they don't see themselves as rivals of professional journalists. That seems about right. (h/t FakeTeams)

If you're having a hard time making bullpen decisions in your day to day life, or just need someone else around to stubbornly insist on nodding in all situations, perhaps you should buy this Ned Yost Bobblehead off Craigslist. It drinks a lot less coffee than the real Ned Yost.

Happy birthday today to former Brewer Pete Ladd, who posted a 4.32 ERA and 33 saves over four seasons as a Brewer from 1982-1985, and turns 53 today.

Finally, thanks to everyone who stopped by yesterday's Mug, emailed, Facebooked or otherwise contacted me to offer your condolences yesterday. As hard as the last 36 hours have been, it's nice to know I have the support of many of you behind me.

Drink up.

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Let's hope Burns is

Exxxxxxcelent

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, ""That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jul 17, 2009 10:11 AM CDT reply actions  

small sample size blog entries

McClung had an epically bad night yesterday, to be sure, but he hadn’t given up a run in his previous five relief outings. (and he’s going to walk people, unfortunately, that’s just what he does) When Trevor Hoffman gives up baserunners and magically pitches his way out of a jam, he’s a hero, but when anyone else in the ‘pen does it…anyway.
However, and IIRC it was Joe Magrane who brought this up during the MLBN broadcast last night (and Magrane saw plenty of McClung appearances in TB) he’s nibbling more this year and that could be contributing to both his high BB/9 and WHIP and performances that look a lot less accomplished than his 2008 outings.

I wouldn’t worry about Counsell either for those reasons; he just didn’t draw a walk last night, which is not usual for him, and if you’re going by OBP he still doesn’t belong anywhere near the bottom of the lineup.

I’m worried about Counsell because he just looks tired out there, which isn’t usual for him either, and with McGehee also having knee problems there really isn’t any way to get him any rest…or get JJ any rest for that matter with Counsell having to play 2B almost every night.

by morineko on Jul 17, 2009 10:37 AM CDT reply actions  

Counsell's not pulling his weight against lefties this year

And he’s not very heavy. Perhaps the old stance allowed him to see the ball better out of a lefty’s hand.

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, ""That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jul 17, 2009 10:43 AM CDT up reply actions  

I’m worried about Counsell because he just looks tired out there, which isn’t usual for him either, and with McGehee also having knee problems there really isn’t any way to get him any rest…or get JJ any rest for that matter with Counsell having to play 2B almost every night.

It’s too bad that McGehee has to play every day against righties like Bailey, that’s for sure. If only there were a way to play McGehee at second. If we just had a decent lefty third basemen or something, you know?

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Jul 17, 2009 10:55 AM CDT up reply actions  

Well this is not true in any case
I’m worried about Counsell because he just looks tired out there, which isn’t usual for him either, and with McGehee also having knee problems there really isn’t any way to get him any rest…

If McGehee can play third he can play second. There is a way to get Counsell rest. For some reason they don’t see it as an option.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Jul 17, 2009 12:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

I wouldn't say they don't think its an option. It's not like he hasn't started at all.

I’m with you on Gamel at third McGehee at second. I’ve been saying that for a while. I’m actually in favor of just having McGehee as the starting second basemen period, and having Counsel go back to giving guys days off in the infield. From what I’ve seen Gamel is just as good as McGehee at third anyway. But if Gamel is the future, you need to be careful with how much you play him and in what situations.

by Metagen on Jul 17, 2009 1:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

Can you clarify this?

But if Gamel is the future, you need to be careful with how much you play him and in what situations.

Do you mean that there’s a point of playing him too much, or not enough? I think if he’s the future he needs to play every day. There’s no reason for him to not get any better sitting on the bench.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Jul 17, 2009 2:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

Well

I think playing all the time can give you confidence and experience, but it can also take a lot of confidence away. His numbers are ok so far, but they aren’t as good as Counsel or McGehee’s. He looks pretty lost sometimes against good pitching. Do you think it gives us a better chance to win if he’s playing? I’d rather be careful with young talent if thats what they think he needs.

by Metagen on Jul 17, 2009 2:49 PM CDT up reply actions  

I agree wholeheartedly

McGehee should play second every day, Gamel at third, and Counsell giving each a day off a week.

I just wish Macha would give Gamel more of a shot.

by warwick5s on Jul 17, 2009 3:01 PM CDT up reply actions  

Keith Law on Davis

Apologies if this has been mentioned elsewhere, but Keith Law took a Kentrail Davis question in his chat yesterday:

I think there’s at least a 50% chance that they sign him – they’re just off to a slow start. He’s a Boras guy, though, and Boras guys who go top 50 or so rarely sign before the deadline. My question is whether they should really give him first-round money when he’s not a first-round talent.

by Supertramp on Jul 17, 2009 10:43 AM CDT reply actions  

Julio Lugo was DFA'd

I’m not sure if the Brewers are interested, but if they were, who gets sent down to the minors?

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, ""That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jul 17, 2009 11:41 AM CDT reply actions  

200 homers

Yesterday, Ryan Howard became the fastest to reach 200 home runs, after hitting one in his 658th game. That’s one every 3.3 games.

For context, Prince has 137 home runs in 602 games. That’s one every 4.4 games (or 4.2 if you ignore 2005). At this rate, it’ll take Prince more than 270 more games to reach the same milestone. Even if Prince hits one out in each of the next 56 games, he still wouldn’t get to 200. In other words: holy cow, Ryan Howard did that ridiculously quick.

by Capt Science on Jul 17, 2009 12:14 PM CDT reply actions  

When I heard that

I was curious – what’s Braun’s pace?

Brewers fan lost in South Carolina.

by SCBrewer on Jul 17, 2009 12:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

4.0

87 HR in 351 games, so just over 1 every 4 games. So roughly 806 games to reach 200.

by Capt Science on Jul 17, 2009 12:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

He also turns 30 in November

And Prince is 25. I like his chances of getting 63 over the next 5 seasons. If Jim Thome had played for the Brewers and the Brewers had been idiots and left him in the minors till he was 26, I bet Prince would have hit them at a better pace.

Maybe I’m just angered by the fact that everyone nationally thinks that Fielder and Howard are very similar players. It’s not even close, this year anyway. Prince gets on base 44% of the time and Howard gets on base 33% of the time. One is ridiculously awesome and the other is barely league average.

Also random note— Pujols’ BABIP this year is .290. Holy crap. He’s hitting .330 something.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Jul 17, 2009 12:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

agreed

the big story here is not the “quickest to 200” accomplishment, but “kept a great power hitter in the minors till age 26” screw up.

by keephopealive on Jul 17, 2009 12:45 PM CDT up reply actions  

don't disagree

i also think it was silly for howard to be in the minors so long, especially when he was being blocked by an aging jim thome.

but that home run rate is pretty impressive. the analysis is very simplistic, because it looks at games played and not at bats… if you walk with some regularity, your chance to hit home runs every X games is fairly limited. also, it ignores lineup, etc… but still.

as for your other point, i think nationally, prince is viewed as potentially inferior to howard. i don’t get it. prince walks, and he doesn’t have ridiculous platoon splits (he’s consistently good).

by Capt Science on Jul 17, 2009 1:00 PM CDT up reply actions  

What I'm pointing out is

Prince’s is diluted a bit by “games played” in his first two years. If you start measuring from 2007, you get about 3.7 games.

E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).

by Jordan M on Jul 17, 2009 2:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

Pujols is hitting a ridiculous ammount of flyballs this year

And thus a lot less liners. He’s not getting unlucky, he’s just trying to elevate the ball more. I’d say it’s working :). (BTW, I am shocked by how well Fielder is doing this year. I didn’t expect his plate discipline to improve so rapidly).

Derosa.

by vivaelpujols on Jul 18, 2009 1:03 AM CDT up reply actions  

Catcher?

Also, wtf? Baseball Prospectus went through its second half “needs” analysis for each team. It said the Brewers could use another starter and…

The lineup and defense are both sound, but a minor deal to add a useful complementary catcher to afford Jason Kendall a few offdays—think switch-hitters Josh Bard or Gregg Zaun—would help a team that has no depth behind the plate.

Huh? Really? I like Rivera better than Kendall to begin with.

by Capt Science on Jul 17, 2009 12:32 PM CDT reply actions  

Their slash stats this year

Bard-266/345/374
Zaun-240/345/367
Rivera-245/296/327
Kendall-237/327/279

Rivera’s #s are from about 2/3 fewer ABs than Bard & Zaun.

by Getting Yosted on Jul 17, 2009 1:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

I agree with BP

Both Bard or Zaun would be a great 2nd option with a couple starts a week at catcher.

Rivera has only had 2 starts in the last month (since his awful game @CLE). I know Bush has been out too but if Macha really wanted to get Rivera in the lineup he would have.

If there is a better option that Macha will actually play, by all means I think they should make a move.

by Supertramp on Jul 17, 2009 5:10 PM CDT up reply actions  

Is the "z" scrolling button

not working all the time for anyone else? I’m wondering if it is a SB thing, or just my computer.

by oconnobe on Jul 17, 2009 1:33 PM CDT reply actions  

go back to safari 3;)

i think I’ll be doing that today. Safari 4 suxxors.

by PagsBrewCrew on Jul 17, 2009 2:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

yep.

when i make a post, it shoots me to the top of the page too.

also, trying to use middle-click to open a link in a tab only works if the page that I’m clicking on is NOT in a frame. PitA

by PagsBrewCrew on Jul 17, 2009 4:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

wait...

it works now
wtf?

sbnation just bug fix today?

(the mid-click thing is still broken though:P)

by PagsBrewCrew on Jul 17, 2009 4:54 PM CDT up reply actions  

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