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Keith Law: It's time to trade Prince

Well, I guess the title says it all.  Keith argues that given the paucity of stars on the team (i.e., three), the holes in both the rotation and lineup, and the dearth of talent in the upper levels of the minor leagues, it makes more sense to trade Prince this offseason and rebuild for a season or two, rather than try to prop up the current team and pray for a lot of rain on non-Gallardo starts in 2010.

More on the jump.

Star-divide

The holes in the lineup are 3rd (where a previous Keith Law post says Gamel is a poor fit), catcher, right field, and center, not to mention everyone in the rotation not named Gallardo.  (He calls Suppan "one step above a batting-practice pitcher," Bush a back-end starter, and recommends declining the option on Looper and turning Parra into a reliever.) Propping up a team like this is going to be prohibitively expensive, upwards of $100 million in total salary.  (In it is also a reminder that everyone's favorite ROY candidate in Milwaukee is overachieving.)  Moreover, we don't have the upper level prospects to trade our way out of our problems. Thus, Law recommends dealing Prince and looking to make a run in 2011.

The most interesting piece of the analysis is this:

Of course, Melvin also could do nothing and just run more or less the same roster out there in April, re-signing Mike Cameron (who turns 37 this winter) to play center and hoping his range doesn't continue to fall, hoping that Parra takes a step forward after a lost 2009 season, hoping that a bullpen full of soft-tossers won't keep the team from contention, and so on. It's the worst option of the three, an indecisive move that will leave the franchise worse off in the long run.

This is interesting because this is exactly what Melvin would typically do, IMHO.  I'm dying to see what happens.

Note: the article is subscription-only, though it's been stolen and posted here.

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Dealing Prince would put the Brewers into rebuilding for another 26 years

Best bet for contention in the next couple of years would be to:

1. Offer Fielder a 4 year contract for 50-60 mil plus incentives. He has held consistent through out the year, so my guess is that next year or the few to follow wont be wasted money.

2. Let the big contract free agents go. By losing Cameron, Kendall, and Looper, the Brewers free up 20 mil. There is no reason that an ace can’t be signed for that dollar amount or less.

3. Deal Hardy for middle rotation starter.

4. Hernan Iribarren!!!

5. Gamel to outfield. Most people like to think that would be disastrous. Most people also thought the same about Braun. No reason to think he couldn’t make an average outfielder.

Also, I don’t think that McGehee is “overachieving”. It takes some players a little bit longer than others to become MLB ready, and I feel that was the case for Casey. Obviously, the BA earlier this year was over what is realistic, but I don’t feel that he isn’t capable of maintaining around a .290 avg.

by Mr. McGehee on Sep 12, 2009 2:24 PM CDT reply actions  

I think it might be close, actually

Prince is getting “only” $10.5 next season, and one year of arbitration in 2011 (I think someone pegged that at $16.5 million). Two $20 million seasons of free agency would give a 4-year deal at about $67 million.

I don’t know that it’d be wise (or unwise) to offer such a deal, and maybe Prince as a FA gets more than $20 million. Just the same, although it’s unlikely he’d sign any deal that buys out free agency, $60 million is in the neighborhood.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 12, 2009 2:49 PM CDT up reply actions  

So what's your point?

:)

j/k. I mean, he might pass just because of the FA buyout, or to join a team that contends more regularly.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 12, 2009 2:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm not sure

Like I’ve said before, it really seems like he likes Milwaukee. I wouldn’t be surprised if he stuck around for a while.

CounsellWSMVP10!

by kirbir on Sep 12, 2009 3:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

He likes money more.

And Scott Boras clients never, ever accept a dime less than their best offer to stay in a city they like.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 12, 2009 3:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

Overused

That whole argument about athletes being obsessed with money is getting really tired. Is it that hard to imagine that maybe – just maybe – Prince likes it in Milwaukee and values being on a team with players that he can get along with well and providing his family with stability more than money?

Call me an idealist, but I think not.

You can say I'm a dreamer - but I'm not the only one.
CounsellWSMVP10!

by kirbir on Sep 12, 2009 4:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

Except I didn't say athletes were obsessed with money.

I said that money is important to Prince. That’s not a judgment against him. It’s a reflection of the fact that his father left he and his mother in relatively difficult financial circumstances, particularly compared to what they were probably used to when Cecil was playing. You can be dismissive of that if you want to be, but I think it’s safe to conclude at this point that players who hire Scott Boras are looking to maximize their income in the 1-3 chances they get to negotiate a deal on the open market before they’re forced to retire.

Does Prince like Milwaukee and the players on this team? I hope so. I’ve got no reason to think otherwise, but based on his comments a couple of years ago when his contract was renewed for $600k and his decision thus far to decline offers that delay his eventual entry into free agency, I don’t think it’s “overused” to conclude that he’s not going to be looking for ways to stay in Milwaukee unless they match every penny of the offers he gets from other teams. Particularly since winning is important to him and the Brewers showed this year that stringing winning seasons together with their resources is difficult.

Call me a cynic, but I think not.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 12, 2009 4:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

plus, it isn't just about prince

He’ll have pressure to take the richest offer available from two angles:
a) Boras
b) the player’s union

Lots of players talk the talk about loving the hometown, loving the teammates, wanting to play their whole career in one uniform, etc. But when you’ve got an agent telling you you can make 25% more, and you’ve got your team’s union rep telling you that it’ll be better for everybody if you take the most money, it’s hard to do that. Especially, as TSSC notes, there’s evidence he’s not exactly Chipper Jones already.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on Sep 12, 2009 4:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

It maks a little more sense

I’m just getting annoyed with the broken record that seems to be playing whenever we mention a player staying in or leaving Milwaukee.

I feel like no one thinks we should keep any of the good players we have in hopes that we can get guys who may or may not suck in 2-5 years.

You can say I'm a dreamer - but I'm not the only one.
CounsellWSMVP10!

by kirbir on Sep 12, 2009 6:37 PM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

Speaking as a jaded fan

How long have you been watching the Brewers? That is how they operate. Heck, that’s how at least, what, 20 teams in the league run their team?

$90 million is a far, far cray from the joke of a roster they’d trot onto the field a decade ago for $40 million, but we’re a “broken record,” because that’s how small and mid-market teams work. Maybe keep 1 or 2 guys around long-term as the face of the franchise (Braun, in the Brewers case) and trade away everything of value around him that’s not nailed down.

With a lot of luck, a bunch of good players drafted 3-4 years ago will develop at the same time and your team will make a run at the postseason.

by ecocd on Sep 12, 2009 11:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

i'm sorry, but i agree

it’s naive and irrational, i understand that, so don’t rip on me for it. but it would just be nice to have a franchise guy like prince. i’m not buying the idea of rebuilding for the next two years.

nothing but respect to Jeff and his point about the pressure of the union rep with prince. but i have to read that and laugh my ass off. so all MLB players have to sign with the Yankees basically? i know that’s not what you are saying. but that is where the most money always comes from. it all goes back to my love of prince and my irrationalities of keeping him around. something about a chubby little boy hitting home runs that just barely fall short of the moon makes me smile. not to mention the fact that a fan base loves him and would think nothing of coming out on a regular basis to support him

that’s just my irrational/fan self speaking out

"This one means 'Kill Kirk!!!!'... And also, 'hallelujah'... Depending on the context."

by trippingandy on Sep 13, 2009 12:52 AM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

I'm not necessarily advocating trading Prince.

I just don’t think the vague hope that he’ll eventually sign a deal with us is a reason to keep him.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 13, 2009 7:30 AM CDT up reply actions  

So we should try to trade away one of our best players because he might not stick around?

Sorry, but that seems more irrational than thinking he’d stay in Milwaukee for reasons other than just money.

In the end, I think that trading him is just going to make the team look stupid. I feel like we’re constantly trading away players in order to get worse players and minor leaguers who aren’t going to really pan out. There’s no hope of rebuilding a team in the future if we don’t have the materials to do so.

You can say I'm a dreamer - but I'm not the only one.
CounsellWSMVP10!

by kirbir on Sep 13, 2009 10:46 AM CDT up reply actions  

Did you miss the part where I said I'm not necessarily advocating trading Prince?

I said elsewhere in this thread and others that unless they get blown away by an offer keeping him until he leaves in free agence (if he leaves) seems to me to be the smarter move.

That said, I don’t see how it’s irrational to at least consider dealing a guy if you think he’s going to leave anyway IF you’re offered more than you’d get in compensatory picks after his departure in free agency. I don’t think it was irrational for the Indians to deal Sabathia last year, for instance, and I’m sure they’d rather have LaPorta and Brantley than the guys they would have gotten with the sandwich pick and the Yankees 2nd rounder.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 13, 2009 12:02 PM CDT up reply actions  

Agreed

I dont think its time to trade him yet, but if they start next year looking like its going to be another 2009, its in the best interest of the team to move him.

As mentioned elsewhere in the thread, the big problem for both the Brewers, and any team wanting to trade for him is going to be the money. $27 million over the next couple of years is a tough load to carry in this economic environment.

It will probably be a lot like the situation the Twnis had with Johan Santana a few years ago. There wont be a “blow away” deal, but the Brewers will have to take the best they can get when they throw him out on the trade market.

Holding onto Fielder for sentimental value, or the illogical thought that he might re-sign once his FA come about is complete folly, especially if they are not winning. The draft picks they would get if/when he leaves in FA are not worth what they can get for him in a trade.

And he wont stay here. Boras wont allow it, the franchis cannot afford to pay him his fair value, and in the end, even if he likes his teammates, or the city he plays in, he is going to care more about winning. Without a strong pitchign pipeline and a continual flow of up and coming young players, the Brewers just can offer that to him. The window for this group of players will probably close in 2010, so thats about 3 or 4 years at a chance of winning. A big market club like the Angels, Red Sox, Yankees, Mets, etc. can offer him a chance at winning every year because those teams can rebuild year after year with money paid out to FA talent.

by backtocali on Sep 14, 2009 8:58 AM CDT up reply actions  

Just in a devil's advocate tone..

There was a lot of rumor/talk of sending J.J. Hardy packing last off-season. I highly doubt that whatever offers melvin had for him last year will be on the table this off-season.

I know its not exactly apples to apples, and I don’t think Fielder’s offensive production will drop like Hardy’s did, but I think its fair enough to consider. Then again, maybe not.

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Sep 14, 2009 3:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

As mentioned previously...

didn’t he already turn down a multi-year contract last year? If he was fine with staying in Milwaukee for less money, why wouldn’t he have taken it?

by sjlee on Sep 12, 2009 9:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

Andruw Jones

Andruw Jones circumvented his agent to sign a long term deal with the Braves. And this past offseason, A-Rod circumvented Boras’ advice and signed with the Yanks (albeit, he was already a FA). What I mean is that it Prince wants to be a Brewer, he will be a Brewer. I genuinely hope we do sign him long term, as well. Give him a 5yr-$85M deal and let him hit his prime in the Brew Crew Blue.

This is NO TIME to trade Prince. He is a better all-around hitter than the guy he protects.

by ILuvDaBush on Sep 12, 2009 5:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

I had forgotten about A-Rod's deal.

Speaking in absolutes is dumb. So “never, ever” probably isn’t accurate, but I think we can agree that it’s incredibly rare for a Boras client to take less than the most money available.

And in the end, I just don’t Prince is that guy. Plus, unlike A-Rod, he hadn’t already had the benefit of what was then the richest contract in MLB history.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 12, 2009 5:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

A-Rod took the most money available

The Yankees offered by far the biggest contract to to him. He was angry with Boras because Boras told him there’d be more money on the market, and he ended up hurting his image for no gain.

by cwolf20 on Sep 13, 2009 3:35 AM CDT up reply actions  

that's the hope I'm living on

Hoping he’ll sign here because he seems to be really tight with McGehee and Braun

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Sep 12, 2009 3:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

Agree on 3-5 & McGehee

Offer to Fielder sounds great. But I also think he wouldn’t accept it.

Somehow I’d like Cameron to stay. Looper also offered better pitching than Parra and Suppan this year.

I also think Iribarren could play a role at big league level. He never got the chance …

Totally agree on Gamel and McGehee.

Trading Hardy, Hart and a reliever could land two middle of the rotation guys. RF could be filled by Gerut/Bourgeois/appear out of the nothing guy like Kapler).
Or Weeks could be moved if Cameron goes, and Lopez (Iribarren!) stays.

If the Brewers want to compete next season, creative solutions are needed. But what if you deal Fielder and the “ace” gets injured in spring is out for the season?
I don’t think fans would fill Miller Park the same way as now without Fielder …

http://www.flickr.com/photos/loeffle/

by loeffleitroms on Sep 12, 2009 2:59 PM CDT up reply actions  

“5. Gamel to outfield. Most people like to think that would be disastrous. Most people also thought the same about Braun. No reason to think he couldn’t make an average outfielder.”

Again, just because it worked for Braun doesn’t mean that it will work for everyone. Some people are inept in the field or really ARE playing their best defensive position (even if they are below average). Should they try to have him shag flies: sure. But if he looks inept, keep him in the infield.

I would argue that “no reason to think he could make an average outfielder”. Honestly. Average professional outfielder is actually pretty good. Why would he make it up to that level? He might be above replacement level if you’re lucky.

by PagsBrewCrew on Sep 12, 2009 6:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

He is convenielntly overlooking

the fact that Braun is a below average left fielder. It didn’t exactly “work.” It lessened his negative impact in the field but didn’t make him a positive defender.

Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.

by cooper82 on Sep 12, 2009 8:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

Right -- Braun is not a good LF.

He has some ways to go, before he gets above average. I think he can get there, but he ain’t there yet.

Taking Shallowness to New Depths...

by Fatter than Joey on Sep 13, 2009 8:37 AM CDT up reply actions  

Ok,

but why isn’t lessening his negative impact enough? Clearly it is for Braun, who’s so far above replacement level with his bat that he doesn’t need to be average defensively to be one of the best players in the division.

That said, it’s not like we have a hole to fill in RF either. I like to think that Gamel would be better offensively (given an actual opportunity) than Hart but there’s an argument to be made that he would put up similar numbers offensively while (I’m assuming) being significantly worse defensively. So barring a trade of Hart, or (gulp) a move of Hart to CF, looking to flop Gamel into the OF doesn’t really appear to be a viable way to get him on the field.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 13, 2009 10:05 AM CDT up reply actions  

I’ll trade our left fielder for yours, straight up :)

Soriano for Braun, sounds good to me.

Change is inevitable; progress is optional.

by Devin B on Sep 14, 2009 10:57 AM CDT up reply actions  

Only trade Prince is you're blown away by an offer

and that would take lots of young pitching- which no one wants to give up.

"my goodness"

by BrewHaHeather on Sep 12, 2009 2:27 PM CDT reply actions   2 recs

Agreed

And, this isn’t going to happen.

by Zorakathura on Sep 12, 2009 3:01 PM CDT up reply actions  

Trading Prince may be a good idea.

We really only have Parra and Gallardo through the 2013 season right now. Next year does not look promising, nor does 2011. Trading Fielder for something that will help us in 2012 may be our best bet at competing in the future.

I really expect Melvin to try and make another run in 2010 because unless we do, he is likely gone by 2012 anyway. A GM guaranteed his job for 4+ years may take a longer view of the team. For Melvin, it is now or never and no, I am not advocating Melvin be fired.

Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.

by cooper82 on Sep 12, 2009 2:43 PM CDT reply actions  

"a losing cause on both sides"

I stopped watching the Brewers for over a decade because of exactly that. Nothing in the system worth developing, nobody to trade for, nobody who wants to come, a decade-plus commitment to losing and collecting revenue sharing money. It’s hard to support that sort of team; it’s the ultimate form of rooting for laundry, and the laundry is dingy and has holes in it.

Pitching is the Brewers’ problem and if they can’t get pitching in a trade it’s not worth making.

by morineko on Sep 12, 2009 4:36 PM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

Agreed.

I want to see them win and if deal pops up that makes it easier for them to win even while giving up one of the premier hitters in the game, then so be it. But I somehow doubt that such an offer will come along.

And, as Prince has already demonstrated over the last few weeks, he’s still a compelling player to watch even while he’s playing on a losing team. I’d rather watch a winning team with or without Prince, but if we’re going to struggle to win either way, I’d rather do it with the big man at 1st.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 12, 2009 5:14 PM CDT up reply actions  

rec'd

"This one means 'Kill Kirk!!!!'... And also, 'hallelujah'... Depending on the context."

by trippingandy on Sep 13, 2009 12:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

does Keith Law have something against Milwaukee?

This is the same guy that says that Hank Aaron isn’t a a lawyer and shouldn’t give opinions on topics where he “doesn’t know what he’s talking about”. The topic? Releasing “The List”- you know, because Hank wouldn’t have ANY reason to have a vested interest in players who use steroids! Nope- better leave it to the lawyers, and brilliant sports writers who know better!

As for this topic, I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again- I wonder if the Yankees had another off-year, if he’d be advocating trading Jeter to “rebuild”. After all, Jeter’s a full 10 years older than Prince Fielder, so it would make much more sense from a “practical” standpoint, wouldn’t it? I think we all know the answer to that. In Law’s world, “small market” teams like the Brewers only exist to SERVE teams that ESPN cares about.

by sarcastro9 on Sep 12, 2009 5:29 PM CDT reply actions   2 recs

The Brewers can't just spend money to get better like the Yankees.

The Brewers only avenue to get dramatically better is to make a trade. The comparison makes no sense.

Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.

by cooper82 on Sep 12, 2009 5:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

if the Brewers can't afford two franchise players

they shouldn’t be in the business. Personally, I think a lot of this “big market”, “small market” stuff is exagerrated by a bunch of owners looking to squeeze out as much money as possible, at the expense of the their teams’ performance. Obviously, the Yankees have more money than the Brewers, but as Bronson Arroyo pointed out, Steinbrenner is the only owner who would rather have a championship than make money. That’s why year after year, he overpays for talent, with only mixed results- something that people have forgotten during the Jeter-era, and particularly this year.

Quite honestly, I don’t even think the Yankees are MAKING much money, with the still-empty seats and the sky high salaries. But so long as the Steinbrenner family wants to win, it won’t matter how much money they lose. There’s a lot about them I don’t like, but that’s something I really admire, and I wish fans of other teams were more demanding of their owners to keep marquis players, and not accept this nonsense about “needing” to trade away the heart of their team.

by sarcastro9 on Sep 13, 2009 5:20 AM CDT up reply actions  

It's not a question of whether they can afford two franchise players.

It’s a question of how little money would be left to spend on the other 23 players on the roster once they do so, and whether, in the end, sinking that much of your annual payroll into two players is a smart move.

The notion that other teams in the league could be more like the Yankees if they really wanted to win as badly as the Steinbrenners is assinine.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 13, 2009 7:38 AM CDT up reply actions  

Incidentally,

the Yankees may be operating at a loss. It’s happened before (2006) when their payroll and luxury tax payments put the team in the red.

But the Steinbrenners are not losing money on the Yankees. The YES network, which the Steinbrenners own at least 1/3 of, had revenues of 250 million in 2007 with a 150 million profit that year, and approaching 360 million in 2008 according to Advertising Age, with profits approaching 200 million. If the Steinbrenners ownership is 1/3 of that, which is what most reports I’ve read indicate, then their profit from the network alone was about 66 million in 2008. The network is that profitable because it has a sweetheart deal with the Yankees. So while the Yankees themselves may or may not make money in 2009 (and I bet they do because the new stadium at 87% capacity, the average this year, likely generates more revenue than the old one did at 100% capacity), the Steinbrenners are still parlaying the Yankees into a positive cash flow even before you consider all the other ways the big Y can be used to generate cash that isn’t included on the ballclub’s bottom line.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 13, 2009 11:19 AM CDT up reply actions  

Obviously, the Yankees have more money than the Brewers, but as Bronson Arroyo pointed out, Steinbrenner is the only owner who would rather have a championship than make money.

Not true at all. I believe Mark Attanasio would break the budget if he thought adding a player would push us over the top. The difference is that instead of spending wads of cash every year, Mark A. will only overspend if he thinks it will put us over the top. Picking up CC last year is proof of that.

Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.

by cooper82 on Sep 13, 2009 11:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

Whether or not Prince *should* be traded

I have a hard time seeing Moustache actually trade him.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 12, 2009 6:06 PM CDT reply actions  

In all this talk about giving Fielder a contract.

I have a question. I’m sure there is a simple answer, but it’s something I’ve never heard explained. How come, when Milwaukee is actually bigger in population than Boston, Seattle, Atlanta, and St Louis, why are the Brewers designated as a small-medium market team when those four cities can afford to spend ~$40M, ~$20M, ~$15-20M, and ~$10M more than the Brewers, respectively.

by NoahJ on Sep 13, 2009 11:18 AM CDT reply actions  

Milwaukee might be bigger than just those cities alone

But what about the surrounding metropolitan areas?

You know me Al.

by TheJay on Sep 13, 2009 11:33 AM CDT up reply actions  

The Jay nails it

All numbers from Wikipedia

Milwaukee- 604,477
Boston- 609,023 (bigger than MKE, actually, but it was smaller until recently)
Seattle- 598,541
Atlanta- 537,958
St. Louis- 354,361

Greater Milwaukee Area- 1,549,308 (39th largest metro area in the country; smallest in the majors; smaller than the Providence Metro area, which the Red Sox have to themselves in addition to the rest of New England)
Greater Boston- 4,522,858 (larger than the Phoenix metro area, even though Phoenix is the 5th largest city in the country)
Seattle Metro- 3,344,813
Atlanta Metro- 5,376,285 (8th largest in the country)
St. Louis Metro- 2,816,710

Brewers Baseball and other assorted nonsense (mostly the assorted nonsense) at my blog, What's a Tararrel?

by Lefti on Sep 13, 2009 11:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

That's a good question.

I’ve always thought that the market size descriptors, which are informal, were tied more to the size of the media markets than the actual population of the city. Boston basically has the run of the entirety of New England and its various TV/Radio markets, and Massachusettes alone, which is indisputedly Red Sox territory, has nearly a million more people than Wisconsin does. Throw in VT, NH and ME, and they’ve got almost sole access to TV/Radio markets for another 5 million people.

Georgia has about 4 million more people than Wisconsin does and the Braves have little competition for MLB baseball fans in the southeastern United States unless you count Tampa and the Marlins, or perhaps the Nationals or Orioles.

St. Louis is a little harder to explain. If I’m not mistaken, this is a relatively high payroll for the Cardinals this year, and they certainly don’t spend with the Red Sox, Yankees, and more recently, the Cubs. Regionally, their competition for TV/Radio markets are the Cubs and Royals, but I don’t doubt that they generate more revenue from their media deals than Milwaukee does. I do think they have behaved similarly to most mid-market teams over the last 20 years or so.

Seattle and Washington are similarly populated to Milwaukee and Wisconsin, but again the Mariners have access to markets outside the immediate area, as there is no team in Oregon and the Portland area, which is roughly the same size as both Seattle and Milwaukee.

It’s an interesting question, but I have to say that I’m inclined to believe Attanasio when he says that roughly 90 million is about the amount of payroll the market can support if you tie expenses to revenue. I do think that Milwaukee is hemmed in a bit by Chicago to the south and the Twin Cities to the northwest in that it prevents the Brewers from being able to draw cash from TV markets outside of the state of Wisconsin, and it seems obvious to me that the secondary markets of Green Bay and Madison, while helpful, don’t provide the kind of income that the other teams have access to.

Keep in mind the above is virtually all speculation.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 13, 2009 11:46 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I guess that I figured that for Boston.

Seattle was the one that I really didn’t understand, but I forgot about Portland I suppose.
Thanks for the explanation, though, it makes a lot more sense now.

by NoahJ on Sep 13, 2009 11:51 AM CDT up reply actions  

This isn't a big payroll for the Cardinals.

They have typically been one of the top teams in payroll. Not in the stratosphere of the Yankees or such, but typically in the top 10, frequently in the top 5-6.

    * 2009: $ 88,528,409
    * 2008: $ 99,624,449
    * 2007: $ 90,286,823
    * 2006: $ 88,891,371
    * 2005: $ 92,106,833
    * 2004: $ 83,228,333
    * 2003: $ 83,786,666
    * 2002: $ 74,660,875
    * 2001: $ 78,538,333
    * 2000: $ 63,900,000

Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.

by cooper82 on Sep 13, 2009 6:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

Sorry.

I thought it was higher because I didn’t prorate Holliday and DeRosa’s salaries in my head.

FWIW, COTS has their 2009 payroll at 94 million counting dead money (click the 2009-2013 link) and between DeRosa and Holliday, they added a few million more to that even prorated. That does leave them at or below their 2008 salary, though ahead of every other year in the past decade.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 13, 2009 7:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

I got those from Cot's

They are the Opening Day salaries. While searching I found the Cardinals over $100M a year or two. It may not be exactly right, but it does give a good idea the general amount they have paid. The point being that the Cardinals have spent money.

For comparison sake the Brewer’s payroll.
    * Opening Day payrolls for 25-man roster
      (salaries plus pro-rated signing bonuses):
          o 2009: $ 80,182,502
          o 2008: $ 80,937,499
          o 2007: $ 70,986,500
          o 2006: $ 57,568,333
          o 2005: $ 39,934,833
          o 2004: $ 27,528,500
          o 2003: $ 40,627,000
          o 2002: $ 50,287,833
          o 2001: $ 43,886,883
          o 2000: $ 35,800,000

Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.

by cooper82 on Sep 13, 2009 11:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

27.5 in 2004?

damn. guess we didn’t really care then. Was that a Prieb year?

by PagsBrewCrew on Sep 14, 2009 6:57 AM CDT up reply actions  

By comparison

A-Rod was making $21 million in 2004. The next season, his salary jumped to $25 million.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 14, 2009 7:59 AM CDT up reply actions  

Also

Local big business plays a part.

All these new stadiums are built in part for the increased luxury box revenue. Seattle has the tech industry, Atlanta has a lot of big communications companies.

Also, cheese.

by Jeff Sackmann on Sep 13, 2009 2:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

We have a lot of Subway restaurants.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 13, 2009 5:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

Don't forget Quick Trip is based in Wisconsin.

Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.

by cooper82 on Sep 13, 2009 11:59 PM CDT up reply actions  

Do you mean Kwik Trip?

You can say I'm a dreamer - but I'm not the only one.
CounsellWSMVP10!

by kirbir on Sep 14, 2009 7:58 AM CDT up reply actions  

*sigh*

Yeah.

Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.

by cooper82 on Sep 14, 2009 1:01 PM CDT up reply actions  

I think roguejim

was pulling our leg with this entire thread.

The give-away was his assertion that “a hole” exists at third base.

L-O-L !!

"At times I'm emotional," --Ryan Braun, 7/7/09

by heybatterbatter on Sep 13, 2009 12:33 PM CDT reply actions  

I think everyone is mistaken in this thread

It’s clear to me that rj was referring to trading Josh Prince since nowhere in his original post does it say “Fielder” and everyone knows you only refer to players by their last name because otherwise it can get rather confusing.

It is what it is.

by coolig on Sep 13, 2009 12:44 PM CDT up reply actions  

whythe hell would you trade the only player on club worth watching. the man is a future hall of famer

If you dont like me please ignore me and my posts

The Pirates,Reds,Royals, and Padres are not major league teams

by angryandy on Sep 14, 2009 10:57 AM CDT reply actions  

Because

as mentioned above by many posters, its not about seeing guys have great years, its about winning. He is having a great year, in the conversation for MVP, but the team isnt winning.

A trade involving Prince Fielder can bring in pieces (theorhetically) to build a winner. He could possibly bring in 3 young pitchers, who in 3 years out put forth major contributions to the teams winning percentage.

Not only that, but his contract demands are going to be bigger than the Brewers will ever be able to afford.

If you dont trade him before his FA years, you miss out on the boatload of talent that could come, for maybe 2 draft picks. The risk/reward favors trading him.

by backtocali on Sep 14, 2009 11:17 AM CDT up reply actions  

brewers need tha tpower man in lineup every day

If you dont like me please ignore me and my posts

The Pirates,Reds,Royals, and Padres are not major league teams

by angryandy on Sep 17, 2009 9:29 AM CDT reply actions  

Now that the league is waking up to

the McGeehee Factor, Prince should be seeing more fast balls…. ;-)

Fielder ain’t going anywhere. The PR fallout would be huge. Sort of like a trade of FARVE in 2005. Maybe conceivable on paper, but the real world would reject it out of hand.

"At times I'm emotional," --Ryan Braun, 7/7/09

by heybatterbatter on Sep 19, 2009 10:59 AM CDT reply actions  

Just out of curiosity, what would the PR fallout be, in your eyes?

I don’t have a category for "washed-up guys who may or may not be dominant big-league closers sometime soon."

~Jeff Sackmann

by Charlie Marlow on Sep 21, 2009 2:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

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