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UPDATE 9/8: Things that are more likely to happen than the Brewers making the playoffs

After getting shut out by Chris Carpenter and the Cards on Labor Day, and losing 2 of 3 from the Giants, I decided to take another look and find 10 things more likely to happen than the Brewers making the playoffs. First, though, I wanted to address a comment made earlier.

I think you should change the Academy Award one to Emmy Award...

 

Readers need to understand that I am using a scientific calculator, and an odds list I found on the internet, it should be clear that my calculations are rigid, and do not allow "changes" for either comedic or cosmetic effect. With apologies to Worldwide Pants --

Ten things more likely to happen than the Brewers making the playoffs (9/8 edition).

10.) That we find out that Ed Sedar speaks Cherokee
9.) That Dale Sveum joins our military and wins a Medal of Honor
8.) That Ryan Braun finds a four leaf clover on his first try
7.) That Mitch Stetter injures himself shooting off fireworks in the bullpen.
6.) That the Astros make the playoffs
5.) That Jason Kendall, Marcus Hanel and Mike Rivera all develop hemorrhoids simultaneously
4.) That Yo Gallardo is fatally injured in a non-Prince Fielder related collision.
3.) That Craig Counsell or Chris Bosio strike it rich on Antiques Roadshow.
2.) That Corey Hart and Mike Cameron take separate planes to their next road trip and both pilots are drunk.
1.) That both Ken Macha and Ned Yost are audited by the IRS

 

********************************************************************************
Here are some things that are more likely to happen than the Brewers making the playoffs, based on probabilities I found on the internet (going into today's game).

It is more likely.....

That if Gord Ash and Doug Melvin decided to mow Miller Park one of them would get injured.

That JJ Hardy will fatally slip in the shower

That one of the boys on your son's little league lineup card will become a professional athlete.

That if Ed Sedar and Dale Sveum went lumberjacking, one of them would get injured using a chainsaw.

That if you took Jeff Suppan, Braden Looper, Manny Parra and Dave Bush bowling, one of your party would have a perfect game.

That one of Bill Schroeder, Brian Anderson or Bob Uecker will be considered to be possessed by Satan.

That if Todd Coffey, Mitch Stetter, and Carlos Villanueva were shaving together, one of them would get injured.

That one of tonight's starting infielders will win an Academy Award.

That either Seth McClung or Jason Kendall will pen a NY Times best Seller.

5 recs  |  Comment 18 comments

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To provide a better perception of our chances of making the playoffs.

When odds get small, especially under 1, I have found that people have a hard time making that number tangible. I found some event probabilities that were similar to the Brewers playoff chances — and crunched them on the super-processor that is the calculator in my accessories folder — I did use the “scientific” calculator opposed to the “standard” default one — so I would appreciate you giving these results the respect that they deserve.

Taking Shallowness to New Depths...

by Fatter than Joey on Sep 4, 2009 11:56 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Shrug.

If it rounds to zero, it’s zero.

Close enough for government work.

by Mykenk on Sep 4, 2009 11:59 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great odds!

Based on the chances of Uecker being considered possessed by the devil, we have a legit shot the post season! The man was caught communicating with animals,that’s not natural!

by SgtClueLs on Sep 4, 2009 12:25 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

That one of the boys on your son’s little league lineup card will become a professional athlete.

I guarantee you that the Brewers have a much more likely chance of making the playoffs than any of my sons current teammates making the ML.

by NoahJ on Sep 4, 2009 12:51 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

A dream

Someday he may become a professional writer.

by statsllc on Sep 4, 2009 1:41 PM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

A-dub had an effing HOSE!

PensBurgh penalty - Lavender - 2 Minutes for Excessive Stanley Cup Raising.

by Lavender on Sep 4, 2009 11:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hmm

If you paid them to lose play games, that would make them professional, no?

Obscure baseball records and more at my blog, Recondite Baseball.

by TheJay on Sep 4, 2009 1:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

But you see, I have no son! I'm too young!

Hahaha.

/Knocks on wood that I didn’t knock someone up recently.

by NoahJ on Sep 4, 2009 3:48 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well done.

I liked it!

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, ""That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Sep 4, 2009 1:23 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

hell

the Baja men won a grammy for Who Let the Dogs Out, it’s just that easy.

"That's not a weird stat. Rickie is a run-scorer," Yost said. "It doesn't matter. It doesn't matter," Yost told reporters. "See, you guys have no concept. He's a run-scorer. So there's nothing weird about it. That's what he does."

by Hyatt on Sep 6, 2009 7:27 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Blame the media

The media goes nuts for a song that asks a question but doesn’t answer it. It’s like a riddle.

"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"

by roguejim on Sep 10, 2009 6:58 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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