Brewer Marcel Projections for 2010

Tom Tango has released his Marcel projections for 2010. Follow the link for an in-depth explanation of what they are (and aren't). If you're not into following links, here's a paragraph that sums it up nicely:

Actually, it is the most basic forecasting system you can have, that uses as little intelligence as possible. So, that's the allusion to the monkey. It uses 3 years of MLB data, with the most recent data weighted heavier. It regresses towards the mean. And it has an age factor.

Without further adieu, here's a look at 15 position players who could play a significant role for the 2010 Brewers, sorted by wOBA:

Player PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB K wOBA AVG OBP SLG
Prince Fielder 629 88 153 30 2 37 106 3 2 85 118 .399 .290 .397 .564
Ryan Braun 620 95 171 34 6 32 100 16 5 46 117 .389 .304 .365 .557
Casey McGehee 400 54 103 20 1 14 60 2 2 34 70 .351 .287 .352 .465
Rickie Weeks 337 53 71 13 4 11 32 11 3 40 72 .346 .247 .353 .436
Mat Gamel 274 29 64 13 2 8 35 4 1 29 66 .341 .267 .351 .438
Corey Hart 502 65 123 29 5 16 63 16 6 35 91 .340 .272 .332 .464
Angel Salome 200 25 48 10 1 6 24 3 1 18 34 .340 .270 .343 .438
Alcides Escobar 267 37 70 11 1 5 24 6 2 19 42 .339 .290 .350 .427
Hernan Iribarren 208 25 49 11 1 5 24 3 1 19 38 .331 .265 .340 .416
George Kottaras 254 33 58 17 1 6 28 3 1 24 49 .329 .259 .336 .424
Trent Oeltjen 236 31 56 12 2 7 24 5 2 17 41 .327 .263 .323 .437
Jody Gerut 385 49 91 17 2 13 45 7 3 29 60 .323 .259 .318 .430
Gregg Zaun 377 41 80 19 1 9 40 2 2 42 61 .321 .244 .335 .390
Craig Counsell 460 52 98 20 4 5 36 5 3 49 67 .309 .246 .336 .353
Luis Cruz 246 26 56 10 1 4 21 3 1 20 32 .305 .256 .326 .365
Carlos Gomez
436 58 101 18 5 6 42 20 7 27 91 .300 .254 .309 .369

 

Follow the jump for the pitchers!

Here are the pitchers, sorted by projected innings:

Pitcher IP W L S H ER ERA HR K BB
Randy Wolf 186 11 9 0 174 79 3.85 21 147 63
Jeff Suppan 159 8 10 0 185 86 5.15 22 89 66
Yovani Gallardo 154 10 9 0 131 62 3.65 16 157 67
Manny Parra 144 9 9 0 161 80 5.09 17 122 68
Dave Bush 134 7 8 0 136 73 4.67 19 96 41
Carlos Villanueva 88 4 6 1 87 43 4.35 12 76 32
Mike Burns 69 4 5 0 74 37 4.83 10 53 26
Todd Coffey 69 3 3 1 69 29 3.98 8 53 23
LaTroy Hawkins 63 2 3 4 61 25 3.79 6 46 22
Chris Waters 61 3 4 0 63 32 4.72 9 40 25
Trevor Hoffman 57 3 4 26 50 22 3.39 5 47 18
Claudio Vargas 56 3 2 0 52 25 3.94 6 42 22
Chris Narveson 55 3 2 0 54 25 4.25 7 47 21
Chris Smith 50 2 2 0 48 25 4.50 8 39 20
Mitch Stetter 50 4 2 0 44 22 4.05 5 45 25
Mark Mulder 45 2 3 0 47 23 4.60 5 34 19
Kameron Loe 42 2 2 0 46 21 4.61 5 30 16
David Riske 30 1 2 1 30 14 4.20 3 22 13
John Axford 29 1 1 1 27 13 4.03 3 24 12
Tim Dillard 29 1 2 0 29 14 4.34 3 21 12
Josh Butler 27 1 1 0 27 13 4.50 3 22 12

And, while I'm here, here are a few guys that we're talking about a fair amount lately:

Player IP W L S H ER ERA HR K BB
Jon Garland 182 10 10 0 198 86 4.38 20 102 58
Doug Davis 176 9 11 0 183 83 4.53 20 131 85
Jarrod Washburn 163 8 11 0 167 78 4.36 22 98 54

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