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Around SBN: Which Players Will Join The 3,000-Hit Club?

Tuesday's Frosty Mug

Some things to read while checking to see if you made the paper.

The Brewers are down to six unsigned, arbitration eligible players, as Jody Gerut agreed to a one year, $2 million deal yesterday (FanShot). It's a small raise from the $1.775 million he took home last season. If that's the midpoint between the team's likely offer and Gerut's asking price, then it's possible the team was planning to offer Gerut less than he made last season.

Meanwhile, the Brewers still have open arbitration cases with Dave Bush, Todd Coffey, Corey Hart, Carlos Gomez, Carlos Villanueva, and Rickie Weeks. Those six players will exchange figures with the team today, and likely settle somewhere near the midpoint in the coming weeks. If they can't reach a deal, arbitration hearings will begin on February 1.

Odds are the Gerut deal didn't factor into these considerations, but Jon Heyman says the Brewers have had the eighth best offseason, while also acknowledging they still need to add a pitcher.

In the minors:

  • In a FanPost over at Minor League Ball, a reader combined John Sickels' recent prospect rankings and Victor Wang's work to establish expected value for those players, and used the result to assign dollar values to all 30 MLB farm systems. The Brewers are in 8th place, with $118.08 million in surplus value on the farm (FanShot).
  • Meanwhile, Chris Mehring gives us a look inside the effort to combine and update a record book for Appleton baseball, which stretches back through several teams and leagues.
  • You have until 4 pm today to cast a vote for the #13 spot in our BCB Community Prospect Rankings. As of this writing, Cody Scarpetta leads Mark Rogers by 19 votes.

Here's yet another reminder of how far the Brewers have come over the last few seasons: The Baseball Reference Blog has Maximum Likelihood Estimations designed to rank teams based on their performance in the 2000s, and the Brewers come out in 27th place, ahead of just the Expos/Nationals, Royals and Pirates.

Looking for something to do with your school group this winter? Caitlyn Moyer has a look at the offseason plans for Miller Park Tours, and the pricing plans for offseason groups.

If you're looking for an excuse to shed a tear this morning, be sure to click over to the Journal Sentinel, where Jim Stingl covers the plight of the poor, downtrodden ticket scalper, facing a life that may become more pitiful than ever now that the Wisconsin legislature is working on a law designed to keep them from harassing fans. Stingl's sob-inducer focuses on one poor soul, scalper John Slavick, who says he was banned from Miller Park for "doing nothing more than directing a couple to the ticket resale zone." If he was there to resell tickets, what was he doing outside the ticket resale zone in the first place?

Around baseball:

Blue Jays: Avoided arbitration with reliever Shaun Marcum, who will earn $850,000 in 2010.
Diamondbacks: Avoided arbitration with pitchers Chad Qualls ($4.185 million) and Aaron Heilman ($2.15 million).
Indians: Acquired infielder Brian Bixler from the Pirates for a minor leaguer.
Mariners: Have reportedly signed Felix Hernandez to a five year deal.
Marlins: Avoided arbitration with pitchers Renyel Pinto ($1.075 million), Anibal Sanchez ($1.25 million) and Dan Uggla ($7.8 million).
Padres: Signed Jerry Hairston to a one year, $2.12 million deal.
Rangers: Avoided arbitration with reliever C.J. Wilson, who will earn $3.1 million in 2010.
Reds: Avoided arbitration with reliever Jared Burton, who will earn $810,000 in 2010.
Rockies: Avoided arbitration with outfielder Ryan Spillborghs, who signed a two year deal worth $3.25 million.
White Sox: Avoided arbitration with reliever Tony Pena, who will earn $1.2 million in 2010.
Yankees: Avoided arbitration with Chad Gaudin ($2.95 million) and Boone Logan ($590,000).

Ben Sheets is scheduled to throw for scouts in Monroe, Louisiana today in an effort to prove he's ready to pitch in the majors in 2010. At least one more team won't be there: Brian McTaggart says the Astros aren't interested. Trenni Kusnierek will be there, though, so you can expect a full report on MLB Network later today.

Major League Baseball recently ratified a new five year contract with the umpires, and Rob Neyer has a look at some of the implications. Perhaps most interesting is this one: Baseball may now be able to negotiate deals to buy out aging, ineffective umpires.

Happy birthday today to:

Drink up.

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Oh, what it would be to root for the Mariners this offseason...

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jan 19, 2010 9:30 AM CST reply actions  

yeah

$78M for Hernandez for 5 years, is quite a good deal. I think that buys out 3 years of FA. That’s a big puzzle piece in place for the M’s.

Taking shallowness to new depths -- FtJ's blog

by Fatter than Joey on Jan 19, 2010 11:12 AM CST up reply actions  

honestly, i’ve been to forty games the last two years and I don’t remember ever being hassled…but I suppose there are people that show up in flower shirts and take pictures of the Park with their wife and children that have a different experience…

Bettman's Nightmare: A Blog Where Hockey Aficionados Dismantle That Mighty Empire, One Balsillie at a Time

http://bettmansnightmare.blogspot.com/

by Bettman's Nightmare on Jan 19, 2010 9:34 AM CST reply actions  

It's annoying

I also don’t have a huge problem with it but understand that other people/families would. I have zero sympathy for scalpers who have to stay within a certain area.

On a related note, I wonder if they’ll do something to address the number charity/fundraising people that patrol the parking lots. I don’t have a problem with most of them but have run into few scams. The people trying to get me to sign up for a free cruise get a little old after a while.

Get a ife broseph

by Supertramp on Jan 19, 2010 9:44 AM CST up reply actions  

Yes, those cruise people are infinitely more annoying than scalpers.

Then there’s the cigar people, which only happened once, but was really confusing.

Follow: @mykenk. Read thoughts: http://mhenk.blogspot.com.

by Mykenk on Jan 19, 2010 9:51 AM CST up reply actions  

Ah yes

Forgot about the cigar guys. There is also a face painting lady that has confused our group on multiple occasions.

Get a ife broseph

by Supertramp on Jan 19, 2010 9:56 AM CST up reply actions  

who are these people? I didn’t run into those either; what, are they there on bobblehead days? B/c my ticket pack never gets me to those games…

Bettman's Nightmare: A Blog Where Hockey Aficionados Dismantle That Mighty Empire, One Balsillie at a Time

http://bettmansnightmare.blogspot.com/

by Bettman's Nightmare on Jan 19, 2010 9:51 AM CST up reply actions  

Where do you park and how early do you get there?

Follow: @mykenk. Read thoughts: http://mhenk.blogspot.com.

by Mykenk on Jan 19, 2010 9:54 AM CST up reply actions  

Giants and Dodgers lot, usually, but tailgate hour and a half beforehand with buddies in Pirates.

Bettman's Nightmare: A Blog Where Hockey Aficionados Dismantle That Mighty Empire, One Balsillie at a Time

http://bettmansnightmare.blogspot.com/

by Bettman's Nightmare on Jan 19, 2010 10:08 AM CST up reply actions  

Those lot names mean NOTHING to me now!

Follow: @mykenk. Read thoughts: http://mhenk.blogspot.com.

by Mykenk on Jan 19, 2010 10:09 AM CST up reply actions  

GIants is on the other side of 94, Dodgers is out by the Gantner Gardens area…Pirates is not far from Helfaer Field

Bettman's Nightmare: A Blog Where Hockey Aficionados Dismantle That Mighty Empire, One Balsillie at a Time

http://bettmansnightmare.blogspot.com/

by Bettman's Nightmare on Jan 19, 2010 10:11 AM CST up reply actions  

Ah, you mean the Molitor, Yount, and Money lots!

Follow: @mykenk. Read thoughts: http://mhenk.blogspot.com.

by Mykenk on Jan 19, 2010 10:12 AM CST up reply actions   1 recs

Yes

Bettman's Nightmare: A Blog Where Hockey Aficionados Dismantle That Mighty Empire, One Balsillie at a Time

http://bettmansnightmare.blogspot.com/

by Bettman's Nightmare on Jan 19, 2010 10:14 AM CST up reply actions  

Haha, nice one, Mykenk

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jan 19, 2010 11:15 AM CST up reply actions  

GIants is on the other side of 94, Dodgers is out by the Gantner Gardens area…Pirates is not far from Helfaer Field

Bettman's Nightmare: A Blog Where Hockey Aficionados Dismantle That Mighty Empire, One Balsillie at a Time

http://bettmansnightmare.blogspot.com/

by Bettman's Nightmare on Jan 19, 2010 10:10 AM CST reply actions  

oops, meant as reply

Bettman's Nightmare: A Blog Where Hockey Aficionados Dismantle That Mighty Empire, One Balsillie at a Time

http://bettmansnightmare.blogspot.com/

by Bettman's Nightmare on Jan 19, 2010 10:11 AM CST up reply actions  

Dodgers lot

is usually where I run into this stuff. Last year it was the little black kid that spoke so fast no one could understand him and wanted money for his “basketball” team. I ran into the hat guy there as well, but he was from a charity. The next time a cruise person comes up to me, they are getting stabbed. As strange as it is, i’ve never run into a scalper.

by Mr. McGehee on Jan 19, 2010 10:38 AM CST via mobile reply actions  

Fast talker

We have run into that same kid two years in a row. The first time it was so funny we had to donate. Second time not so funny

by Junked on Jan 19, 2010 12:13 PM CST up reply actions  

He doesn't make eye contact, either

He just looks like he’s staring at his next attempted victim.

I’m always 5 or 6 beers in at that point, so its super easy to be like “nah, little dude, I don’t have any cash. Sorry!”

Even though I’m not sorry.

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on Jan 19, 2010 12:15 PM CST up reply actions  

He freaked out on my brother who casually said “hey, you came to our tailgate yesterday.” It was great.

Get a ife broseph

by Supertramp on Jan 19, 2010 12:27 PM CST up reply actions  

Awesome

I always want to be like “whoever started your basketball team needs to take both an economics AND a marketing class!”

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on Jan 19, 2010 12:38 PM CST up reply actions  

Pretty sure my buddy said he saw that kid looking into cars after a game once

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jan 19, 2010 12:39 PM CST up reply actions  

That's shocking!

almost as shocking as my grammatically incorrect usage of “whoever” in the above post. Let’s all pretend it says “whomever”.

Actually, now that you mention it, I think my brother-in-law and I saw him doing the same thing after a game.

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on Jan 19, 2010 12:46 PM CST up reply actions  

now that you mention it, I saw him too. I didn’t hear him the first time he said it, so he had to say it all again. Then I told him I was a hockey fan.

Bettman's Nightmare: A Blog Where Hockey Aficionados Dismantle That Mighty Empire, One Balsillie at a Time

http://bettmansnightmare.blogspot.com/

by Bettman's Nightmare on Jan 19, 2010 5:53 PM CST up reply actions  

Huh.

They don’t really bother me. If you tell them to have a nice fresh cup of get the f out of here, they usually leave you alone. I’ve had more bothersome calls from telemarketers, though it’s a bit harder to pretend to be a pizza hut restaraunt when they can see you drinking a Fat Tire in a Gamel t-shirt.

What begins in fear usually ends in folly.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Jan 19, 2010 5:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Per McCalvy

Gomez and Weeks agree to deals — no details on the financials

Get a ife broseph

by Supertramp on Jan 19, 2010 10:58 AM CST reply actions  

I am going to guess

Gomez — 750K
Weeks — 2.75M

Taking shallowness to new depths -- FtJ's blog

by Fatter than Joey on Jan 19, 2010 11:14 AM CST up reply actions  

You think Weeks goes down?

I’ve got $1MM for Gomez and $3.5MM for Weeks

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jan 19, 2010 11:17 AM CST up reply actions  

Thought Weeks was at 2.45 this past year?

Follow: @mykenk. Read thoughts: http://mhenk.blogspot.com.

by Mykenk on Jan 19, 2010 11:18 AM CST up reply actions  

He was.

I’ve got Weeks 3 GoGo 1.

by SgtClueLs on Jan 19, 2010 11:22 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah

Weeks probably goes over 3M

Taking shallowness to new depths -- FtJ's blog

by Fatter than Joey on Jan 19, 2010 11:26 AM CST up reply actions  

From the THWITTER

Weeks to 2.75 M

"That's not a weird stat. Rickie is a run-scorer," Yost said. "It doesn't matter. It doesn't matter," Yost told reporters. "See, you guys have no concept. He's a run-scorer. So there's nothing weird about it. That's what he does."

by Hyatt on Jan 19, 2010 11:33 AM CST up reply actions  

sweet, that puts my estimate under $80MM

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jan 19, 2010 11:39 AM CST up reply actions  

Mine's been under

but I had Weeks at $2.85M. I also have Gomez at $1.5M. I’m starting to think it will actually be half of that.

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on Jan 19, 2010 12:04 PM CST up reply actions  

Weeks was 2.45

I think he gets a slight bump.

Taking shallowness to new depths -- FtJ's blog

by Fatter than Joey on Jan 19, 2010 11:22 AM CST up reply actions  

Guess you are right

You are an oracle.

Who wins MA?

by SgtClueLs on Jan 19, 2010 11:46 AM CST up reply actions  

I think Coakley will win.

by 3-4 pts.

Taking shallowness to new depths -- FtJ's blog

by Fatter than Joey on Jan 19, 2010 11:50 AM CST up reply actions  

Five Thirty Eight has Brown a 3:1 favorite

LINK

"That's not a weird stat. Rickie is a run-scorer," Yost said. "It doesn't matter. It doesn't matter," Yost told reporters. "See, you guys have no concept. He's a run-scorer. So there's nothing weird about it. That's what he does."

by Hyatt on Jan 19, 2010 11:55 AM CST up reply actions  

that didn't work...

LINK

"That's not a weird stat. Rickie is a run-scorer," Yost said. "It doesn't matter. It doesn't matter," Yost told reporters. "See, you guys have no concept. He's a run-scorer. So there's nothing weird about it. That's what he does."

by Hyatt on Jan 19, 2010 11:58 AM CST up reply actions  

Yikes --

It will be interesting to watch for sure

Taking shallowness to new depths -- FtJ's blog

by Fatter than Joey on Jan 19, 2010 12:00 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah

But turn out appears to be much higher then expected. IMO, Republicans needed to have a demotivated Democratic electorate. If turn out is way high, it means Coakley has a chance.

by SgtClueLs on Jan 19, 2010 12:11 PM CST up reply actions  

Plus I don't know that a special election

follows the same pattern as 2008.

This sort of reminds me of the NH primary. We shall see though….

Taking shallowness to new depths -- FtJ's blog

by Fatter than Joey on Jan 19, 2010 12:13 PM CST up reply actions  

I hope one of the two of them wins

that way we can go back to talking about the Brewers!

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on Jan 19, 2010 12:16 PM CST up reply actions  

Gotta talk about something

While waiting for Arby #s to be released.

by SgtClueLs on Jan 19, 2010 12:20 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, but politics?

Is there anything more polarizing and inflammatory? I suppose we could talk about religion.

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on Jan 19, 2010 12:39 PM CST up reply actions  

so far, that's not politics, that's stat nerdery

It’s just stats and projections that happen to involve people voting for stuff.

by morineko on Jan 19, 2010 12:55 PM CST up reply actions  

We could talk about Pizza Man burning down.

Somebody living upstairs accidentally left a burner on, or an owner wanted some insurance money?

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jan 19, 2010 12:54 PM CST up reply actions  

You'd think the second is less likely

Even my 7 year old knows that insurance fraud NEVER works.

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on Jan 19, 2010 1:06 PM CST up reply actions  

That's impressive.

“Insurance fraud never works” is usually one of those learn-by-doing lessons.

by Rubie Q on Jan 19, 2010 1:08 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, he faked his death at 5

I had to take his bike away.

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on Jan 19, 2010 1:12 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

Hmm --

Sounds like if he eliminates you, he could get a chunk o’ cash and his bike back

Taking shallowness to new depths -- FtJ's blog

by Fatter than Joey on Jan 19, 2010 1:35 PM CST up reply actions  

Not the bike

He had that back long ago. He’s 7 now, after all. I’m not THAT mean.

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on Jan 19, 2010 2:21 PM CST up reply actions  

god you're telling me

i’ve been visiting a friend in massachusetts for a little over a week and the constant barrage of brown/coakley commercials are driving me insane

by goirish2107 on Jan 19, 2010 3:05 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, you're right.

I’m high on the weeks salary, I think I was basing it off of what others got in similar arb years, but i neglected teh fact that his injury should hurt his cause.

I still think 3.25 is more likely.

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jan 19, 2010 11:30 AM CST up reply actions  

nice work

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jan 19, 2010 11:36 AM CST up reply actions  

Trenni's tweeting from Sheet's session:

“About 20 scouts and coaches at UL-Monroe to watch Ben Sheets. Talked w him a bit. Looked really strong during long toss. Just took the mound”

“Right now Sheets hitting 88-90 on the gun. Hitting most of his spots but erratic on a few.”

“First round on mound for Sheets all fast balls. Topped out at 91MPH. One scout I’ve talked with says he looks good and 91 is good for Ben.”

“Sheets taking a quick break. Told he will throw breaking balls second next time out. Scouts eager to see his curve.”

Follow: @mykenk. Read thoughts: http://mhenk.blogspot.com.

by Mykenk on Jan 19, 2010 1:11 PM CST reply actions  

91 is good?

His average fastball velocity in 2007 was 92.9, in 2008 it was 92.8, with spikes as high as 97 in both years.

So…91 is good because they expect him to throw at 88 at the highest?

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on Jan 19, 2010 1:15 PM CST up reply actions  

I had the same question.

I mean, I understand he’s not going to crank it to 11, but: (1) he’s been working on getting his arm in shape for more than a year; and (2) he’s presumably been working up to this point — where he’s throwing in front of scouts — for the last month or so. And he barely cracks 90?

I’m reading too much into this, I’m sure.

by Rubie Q on Jan 19, 2010 1:21 PM CST up reply actions  

See, he still needs to be in the "pre-spring training" shape right now.

maybe slightly better because he’s looking for a team, but he definitely doesn’t want to be at full strength yet, otherwise he’ll burn out mid year, which is made more likely by the fact that he didn’t pitch at all last year.

Follow: @mykenk. Read thoughts: http://mhenk.blogspot.com.

by Mykenk on Jan 19, 2010 1:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Pre-spring training shape?

So, for Ben Sheets, that’s 30 lbs overweight?

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on Jan 19, 2010 1:24 PM CST up reply actions  

Sounds about right.

Follow: @mykenk. Read thoughts: http://mhenk.blogspot.com.

by Mykenk on Jan 19, 2010 1:30 PM CST up reply actions  

Now I really want Mike Marseco to make the majors

Just so we can have a conversation about how many Marsecos it takes to make a Quevedo.

That's all I've got for you today, unless you're interested in some Chris Capuano/Tom Haudricourt Fan Fiction.

by Kyle Lobner on Jan 19, 2010 1:42 PM CST up reply actions  

Thanks for the update

I still don’t know why scouts are excited about his fastball. His curve was/will always be his out pitch, right? Without his curve he’d be decent, but not great which is really what you’re hoping for by signing him this year.

by ecocd on Jan 19, 2010 2:13 PM CST up reply actions  

With a 91 MPH

he never gets to throw the curve with 2 strikes.

When there is a scuffle in Ireland, there’s no need to specifically mention in the news story that alcohol was involved

by Getting Yosted on Jan 19, 2010 2:23 PM CST up reply actions  

He had a good fastball, but it's used to set up the curve.

So if he’s maintained his velocity on his fastball, it will make his curveball that much more effective. Also, his fastball speed is a good indication of how far along he is in his rehab work.

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Jan 19, 2010 2:26 PM CST up reply actions  

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