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Wednesday's Frosty Mug

Some things to read while correcting bad information.

What does the future hold for Prince Fielder? It's tough to tell at this point, but HotStove.com asked that question of myself, JD from View From Bernie's Chalet and Jared of Right Field Bleachers, and received these responses. Meanwhile, David Gassko of The Hardball Times has a look at career projections, and has Fielder finishing his career with 513 home runs, and a 21.8% chance of reaching 764. Ryan Braun, by the way, projects for 372 home runs and a 3.5% chance.

Speaking of Braun and Fielder, they both told Adam McCalvy that Hanley Ramirez is their favorite player, but also mentioned each other as part of their lists (FanShot).

Corey Hart's arbitration future is somewhat uncertain, but In-Between Hops has a look at some comparable players and their salaries, and thinks Hart and his agent stand a good chance of winning their case.

Howie Magner of Milwaukee Magazine was at Brewers On Deck this weekend, and cited the large attendance numbers and patience of fans waiting in line as a sign that "the disappointing 2009 season hasn’t stopped their fans from caring."

In the minors, we got some relatively surprising news yesterday, as 2008 14th round pick Corey Kemp told The Interrogation Room that he's decided to retire instead of being the starting first baseman at Brevard County this spring (FanShot). Kemp is just 23 years old, and led the Rattlers in batting average (.282), OBP (.376) and doubles (31) last season, while splitting time between catcher and first base, earning a brief promotion to Huntsville to close out the season.

We also learned that Timber Rattler Pitching Coach Chris Hook is on Twitter.

At the Caribbean World Series:

  • Martin Maldonado went 1-for-2 yesterday with a bloop single before being pinch hit for in the seventh inning of Puerto Rico's 2-1 loss to the Dominican Republic. Former Brewer Kevin Barker hit the game-winning home run.
  • In the other game, Mexico defeated Venezuela 7-2 behind a walk, double and home run from 42-year-old Vinny Castilla, who scored three runs.

File these under "Miscellaneous:"

Around baseball:

Blue Jays: Signed Kevin Gregg to a one year, $2.75 million deal with team options for 2011 and 2012.
Dodgers: Signed Jeff Weaver, Ramon Ortiz and Alfredo Amezaga to minor league deals.
Giants: Signed Guillermo Mota to a minor league deal.
Nationals: Signed Kevin Mench to a minor league deal (FanShot).
Padres: Avoided arbitration with Scott Hairston, who will earn $2.45 million in 2010.

The toughest part of this time of year for Bill Hall is finding a new excuse for previous struggles. Last year it was eyesight, and he had Lasik surgery. The year before that it was the move to the outfield, and he was moving back to the infield. This year, he told John Tomase of The Boston Herald that a 2007 high ankle sprain messed up his mechanics. Fortunately, this year it's not the Brewers' problem.

If you're in the mood for some statistical analysis today, Harry Pavlidis of The Hardball Times has a look at batted ball types, and how they change at various levels of the minors.

A strange thing happened yesterday: I ventured outside of my normal realm with a poem about Seth McClung, and for once no one stopped by to remind me that I suck or accuse me of ruining this site. With that said, it could be worse: I could be writing poetry about Casey Blake's beard.

Happy birthday today for former Seattle Pilot Wayne Comer, who turns 66.

And finally, I know I've mentioned it before, but I wanted to take a moment one more time to say thank you to friend of the site Dan Walsh, whose final post at the Daily Drink ran this morning.

Drink up.

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Comments

Display:

Damn, missed out on bringing Mota and Mench back.

Bettman's Nightmare: A Blog Where Hockey Aficionados Dismantle That Mighty Empire, One Balsillie at a Time

http://bettmansnightmare.blogspot.com/

by Bettman's Nightmare on Feb 3, 2010 9:15 AM CST reply actions  

Best Statue

I liked this statue in Toronto.

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Feb 3, 2010 9:19 AM CST reply actions  

I find it quite funny that Fielder used a Yost-ism.

“Brauny might be my No. 2 (favorite)”

Applying Simpsons and Star Wars quotes to Brewers discussions since 2009.

by Yar Nivek on Feb 3, 2010 10:15 AM CST reply actions  

I don't think Yost and Fielder are the only ones guilty of saying "Brauny"

I say Brauny all the time and a lot of people on here do too. Yost just took it to a new level of frequency.

"A D+ Grade? That must have been a Wittardo grade"- @73_MC

by BrewHaHeather on Feb 3, 2010 11:30 AM CST up reply actions  

Chris Smith Accepts Assignment to AAA Nashville

via McCalvy

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Feb 3, 2010 10:16 AM CST reply actions  

KL u suck

this cite was way bettor b4 u started running it. i hope u get hit by a bus and ur dog p***** on ur grave. lol! cubbies 4 life!!!!11

by ecocd on Feb 3, 2010 10:26 AM CST reply actions  

Anthony Witrado is that you?

That's all I've got for you today, unless you're interested in some Chris Capuano/Tom Haudricourt Fan Fiction.

by Kyle Lobner on Feb 3, 2010 11:04 AM CST up reply actions  

do you honestly think he knows the difference?

He just wants to Bleed some kind of Blue.

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Feb 3, 2010 11:25 AM CST up reply actions  

bill hall

Will be providing entertainment for years to come, won’t he? He’s from the Yostian school of excuses.

by Nicole Haase on Feb 3, 2010 10:43 AM CST via mobile reply actions  

so great

that he is not our problem anymore. Have fun Boston!

"I like Suppan"
- Noah J. on 12/22/09

by molitorfan on Feb 3, 2010 6:52 PM CST up reply actions  

I can think of about 7.15 million reasons that he's still our problem.

Cards Announcers On Gamel's First Career HR, "That’s all they need is another home run hitter".

by tcyoung on Feb 4, 2010 12:38 AM CST up reply actions  

Hart comparisons

I don’t really agree with Segrin’s conclusion at In-Between Hops, but he’s right that it’s remarkably close from a layman’s view. As far as defensive skills (caveats on the stat aside) here are the UZR/150 for his comparisons:

UZR/150
Player 2007 / 2008 / 2009
Corey Hart: 6.7 / -5.3 / -9.1
J Willingham: -15.1 / 2.1 / -9.1
Jason Kubel: -12.2 / -26.1 / -15.5
G Sizemore: 2.8 / 0.9 / -4.0
JJ Hardy: 16.7 / 8.5 / 8.5

(Kubel is a DH about 2/3 of the season)

Josh Willigham is about the same liability in the outfield as Hart so that’s probably a wash, but his offense is a notch above Hart’s especially for consistency. Given Hart’s downward trend in hitting, I’d think that the difference in their offensive performance is worth more $125K between his contract and the magic $4.475M arbitration midpoint.

Kubel is clearly a DH for a reason and from a defensive standpoint makes him less valuable than Hart by a wide margin and when he’s in he’s in the field he’s quite poor compared to Hart. Kubel’s offense makes him substantially more valuable than Hart. How do you weight the defense and offense? I can’t really judge the $375K difference between his current salary and the arbitration midpoint.

Sizemore has more value at CF and is reflected in his defense. Their offensive numbers seem to be trending in the same direction so the offense is probably a wash. Is CF worth $1.125M more than a RF with slightly worse defense? I’d love to see the salaries by position to determine the median salaries of CF and RF. I guess this is a wash, too.

I think Hardy is a real stretch regardless since I can’t think of anyone trying to compare the value of a shortstop to a right fielder at arbitration, anyway.

Segrin was right when he said it’s pretty close.

by ecocd on Feb 3, 2010 11:06 AM CST reply actions  

looper and sheets scouting reports

So, McCalvy tweeted about arbitration and a story about the process on the biz of baseball site. While reading through that it mentioned ariball.com. That has a link to some reports it filed on then FA SPs, which I thought was interesting.

While some was obvious, I thought the comments on Ben’s release points in Sept ‘08 were interesting. That’s probably when he started dealing with his injury.

by Capt Science on Feb 3, 2010 1:09 PM CST reply actions  

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