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Around SBN: Which Players Will Join The 3,000-Hit Club?

Melvin, Macha and Peterson Hold Steady in BCB Tracking Poll

243 readers responded to this week's poll. Here are the notable results:

  • There were no notable changes in Doug Melvin, Ken Macha and Rick Peterson's approval ratings. The three were at 44%, 12% and 10% last week and received 43, 15 and 10% approval this week, respectively.
  • 67% of voters think the Brewers are making the right decision by starting Chris Capuano tomorrow.
  • 47% of voters think the Brewers should trade Corey Hart.

Follow the jump for the full results!

Star-divide

Chris Capuano will start Thursday's game for the Brewers, replacing Manny Parra in the rotation. Is this the right move?

Response Votes %
Yes 168 67%
No, he should have replaced Randy Wolf 2 1%
No, he should have replaced Dave Bush 16 6%
No, he should have replaced Chris Narveson 36 14%
No, he should have been left in the bullpen 16 6%
No, he should have been left in AAA 5 2%

 

The Brewers intend to pair Jonathan Lucroy with Randy Wolf and possibly one other starter. Is this the right amount of playing time for Lucroy?

Response Votes %
No, it's too much 8 3%
Yes, it's just right. 185 74%
No, it's not enough 50 20%

 

Corey Hart is eligible for arbitration one more time in 2011 before becoming a free agent. What should the Brewers do with him?

Response Votes %
Attempt to sign him to a long term deal. 29 12%
Keep him for now, but don't offer a long term deal. 97 39%
Attempt to trade him. 117 47%

 

Yovani Gallardo became the third major league pitcher to throw at least 120 pitches in three games this season with his outing on Friday. Are you worried about his workload?

Response Votes %
Yes 96 38%
No 119 48%
Undecided 28 11%

 

Do you approve of the job Doug Melvin is doing as General Manager of the Brewers?

Response Votes % Prev Diff
Yes 107 43% 44% -1%
No 75 30% 30% n/c
Undecided 61 24% 26% -2%

 

Do you approve of the job Ken Macha is doing as Manager of the Brewers?

Response Votes % Prev Diff
Yes 38 15% 12% +3%
No 165 66% 70% -4%
Undecided 61 16% 18% -2%

 

Do you approve of the job Rick Peterson is doing as Pitching Coach of the Brewers?

Response Votes % Prev Diff
Yes 25 10% 10% n/c
No 132 53% 57% -4%
Undecided 86 34% 34% n/c

 

Do you approve of the decision to sign Randy Wolf to a three year deal?

Response Votes % Prev* Diff
Yes 186 74% 80% -6%
No 32 13% 12% +1%
Undecided 25 10% 8% +2%

 

Do you approve of the decision to sign Doug Davis to a one year deal?

Response Votes % Prev* Diff
Yes 146 58% 58% n/c
No 75 30% 30% n/c
Undecided 22 9% 12% -3%

* - The questions about Wolf and Davis were not asked last week, so "Prev" in this case refers to the results from the poll two weeks ago.

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Hart

only 12% want to sign him long-term. I was not one of those people, but I still thought that the number would be higher.

Get well soon Ueck

by molitorfan on Jun 3, 2010 6:15 AM CDT reply actions  

What's Corey worth?

When you go to baseball-reference and look at the bottom of Corey Hart’s page for suggestions of similar players at the same age it lists Kirk Gibson, George Foster, and Felipe Alou.

Player            From  To  Yrs   G    AB    R    H   2B  3B  HR  RBI  BB   SO    BA   OBP   SLG   SB  CS
Corey Hart        2004-2009   6  521  1831  267  500 117  21  67  260  129  370  .273  .326  .470  64  28
Kirk Gibson       1979-1984   6  492  1701  253  465  67  25  69  237  170  352  .273  .342  .464  76  34
Felipe Alou       1958-1962   5  562  1727  262  496  88  10  65  243  111  221  .287  .331  .463  40  18
George Foster     1969-1976   8  618  1982  262  546  94  19  79  324  162  391  .275  .333  .462  31  15

by nullacct on Jun 3, 2010 8:24 AM CDT up reply actions  

I could be wrong, but I believe that just looks at raw numbers to compare players

Today’s game has more offense than when those guys played, so that’s something to keep in mind when comparing Hart to them.

Failure is just success rounded down.

by TheJay on Jun 3, 2010 8:33 AM CDT up reply actions  

So he's not going to hit 52 homers next year

Hit a walk-off HR in the world series and retire to manage the Giants? How dare they lie to me

by nullacct on Jun 3, 2010 8:39 AM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

That is a convincing arguement

I voted for a long term deal. I think that there is a group of people that thinks we are going to pull the wool over the eyes of another GM and get a nice prospect. Other GMs have the same doubts about Hart that we do, and I don’t think we have a better option waiting in the wings. His poor 2009 season might make a long term deal more affordable.

by grant76 on Jun 3, 2010 9:05 AM CDT up reply actions  

No I don't

But I am willing to be enlightened.

by grant76 on Jun 3, 2010 9:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

Hopefully doing more than he did last year

I like Cain as much as the next guy (ok maybe not), but last year he had a craptastic .213/.287/.317 line – in AA. I know he had the injury, but still.

And this year he is batting .363 thanks to a .442 babip with a 10.3 LD%. Adjusted for luck that might be closer to .265/.355/.371. He is walking more and the OBP is ok I guess, but he isn’t going to have the power to hit in a corner spot.

He’s a 24 year old at AA that is probably locked in at CF. I’m not convinced he’ll be better than the 24 year old MLB guy that is currently locked in at CF.

by grant76 on Jun 3, 2010 9:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

"...he isn’t going to have the power to hit in a corner spot."

Statements like that always confuse me. If the team has guys with better than average power at other positions (2B, C), then isn’t it easier to get away without a power threat in the outfield? Or is the concept that guys with power are always available to play RF so they shouldn’t waste time putting a guy without much power there?

Personally, I think they should trade him if/when there’s a decent offer available. If not, let him walk as a free agent. $5M/year on a so-so RF is a lot.

Failure is just success rounded down.

by TheJay on Jun 3, 2010 10:05 AM CDT up reply actions  

I think the argument is that

In the corner spots you don’t need a quality defender – quality defenders only save you a marginal number of runs. So, you reserve that spot for someone with a greater potential to generate offense. If you see SLG, OPS or ISO as ways to measure that, you don’t slot in a moderate or even high AVG player there.

But yeah, truly, they should evaluate his WAR in terms of what defense he could see at that position – for instance, you’re not going to get as many opportunities for a defensive play in right field as you do in center – so their current defensive contribution to WAR has to be position adjusted by the ratio of the balls hit to each position (and the types of balls? ie grounders matter less than liners and deep flies). I guess you should give him partial bonus points for his ability to slot in at center when the center fielder needs an offday or is injured. If his MLE WAR at right field is better than anyone else in the system, I think you have to give him the job, even if someone else has higher power numbers.

by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 3, 2010 10:16 AM CDT up reply actions  

Another terribly irrelevant Corey Hart statistic

The only every-day players at least Corey’s height with a higher career WAR/g: Adam Dunn, Frank Howard, Darryl Strawberry, and Dave Winfield.

by nullacct on Jun 3, 2010 10:21 AM CDT up reply actions  

Personally...I would rank as

Trade
Sign for long term
Wait out contract
Dump

but yeah, that depends on the value we can get in the trade as well as the contract he’s interested in.

by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 3, 2010 9:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

I voted for the "Keep him for now" option.

I really don’t think we would get much in return, so why not keep him? See what he does next year and then think about a contract.

Damn you Bill Hall! You make me doubt everyone!

My goodness.

by BrewHaHeather on Jun 3, 2010 9:42 AM CDT up reply actions  

3% undecideds?

All of the percentages add up to 97.

Failure is just success rounded down.

by TheJay on Jun 3, 2010 7:45 AM CDT reply actions  

even with rounding error...

I would think the most you would get would be just under 1.5% off.

by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 3, 2010 9:35 AM CDT up reply actions  

were all numbers divided by 243

and not the number of respondents for that question?

by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 3, 2010 10:20 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah, there's a math error in there.

I forgot to close the poll at noon yesterday as I was supposed to, so I went into the spreadsheet and deleted out seven responses that came in after the deadline.

Now I realize that those seven “blank” answers are still being counted in the percentage. They account for the missing 3%.

Now that's great tasting chicken!

by Kyle Lobner on Jun 3, 2010 10:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

eh

i guess next time just leave those responses in. they were valid opinions of people, unless you thought they were double-dips.

by PagsBrewCrew on Jun 3, 2010 10:42 AM CDT up reply actions  

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