3rd place magic number

When will we be able to easily figure out what the Brewers Magic Number will be for locking up 3rd place? Since we that is the best we could hope for this year I thought it would be fun to have a 3rd place magic number but being the most math challenged person here I was hoping one of you math guys could make it work :) Hey Pags is it ok to put this here?

almost 2 years ago WSB Chris 13 comments 0 recs |

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Thanks for the shout-out :P

In any case, yeah it’s fine. But, I thought based on the title you already did the calcs.

But in any case, it depends on what you mean by “locking up 3rd place.” Do you mean 3rd place or better? or guaranteed third place only?

by PagsBrewCrew on Aug 17, 2010 9:56 AM CDT reply actions

Is it going to make a difference?

By the time the Crew are guaranteed to be better than fourth, they’re almost certainly also guaranteed to be worse than second.

by Zeyes on Aug 19, 2010 3:38 AM CDT up reply actions

Ot

by ecocd on Aug 17, 2010 10:20 AM CDT reply actions

Nice

It’s still a little early for Magic Numbers. It would be something like 40 games right now. Just as relevant would be the Magic number for finishing above the Cubs.

Re: Pags, at 11.5 games under .500 the “or better” isn’t likely to play into this.

by ecocd on Aug 17, 2010 10:23 AM CDT up reply actions

the reds or the cards could limp from here to the finish line

which I think would have SOME influence on a magic number.

by PagsBrewCrew on Aug 17, 2010 10:25 AM CDT up reply actions

I think we should have a magic number for 5th place.

We could put it on Nullact’s “suck it Pittsburgh” pennant.

What begins in fear usually ends in folly.

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Aug 17, 2010 7:15 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs

I like this idea

"I've been banging a lot of bratwurst lately".
Uecker during the 8th inning of his first game back

by molitorfan on Aug 17, 2010 8:59 PM CDT up reply actions

It is 39

The best record the Astros could have is 95-67. The Brewers would need to win 39 out of the next 41 in order to be guaranteed 3rd place.

If they do this, they will probably win the division. This is why we don’t talk about magic numbers until they are around 5.

by BrewCrewBrian on Aug 19, 2010 7:54 AM CDT reply actions

magic numbers include astro losses, though.

so it’s 39 = Brewers Wins + Astro Losses

http://www.mlbsoup.com

by tcyoung on Aug 19, 2010 10:00 AM CDT up reply actions

True

But a “magic number” is the number of wins a team needs to guarantee their spot. It is the “control your own destiny”

In other words: the Brewers have to win 39 games to be absolutely guaranteed 3rd place.

by BrewCrewBrian on Aug 19, 2010 12:27 PM CDT up reply actions

I've always thought of it in terms of W/L

Magic Number has meant to me wins by my team vs. losses by the team chasing me. Mathematically it’s the same to say the number of wins necessary to guarantee I finish in front of that team. It’s more interesting to couch it in terms of W/L, in my opinion.

Go Reds! (This signature applies only through the 2010 regular season)

by ecocd on Aug 19, 2010 3:30 PM CDT up reply actions

Correct. This is the way I've always seen it in newspapers and such.

You could say it in a way that means if we win this many, we’re safe, but that’s just semantics. I look at it as # of wins + number of rival’s losses, and I think most people do.

http://www.mlbsoup.com

by tcyoung on Aug 19, 2010 3:42 PM CDT up reply actions

Thanks Brian so Brewers win 20 Astros lose 20 we lock up third

and can look down from our Apt in Mediocreville at the Cubs who will be homeless on Loser St ;)

"It's a joke. It's all a joke.

by WSB Chris on Aug 19, 2010 5:45 PM CDT reply actions

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NL Central Standings

	W	L	PCT	GB	STRK
Cincinnati Red Reporter	25	20	.555	0	Lost 1
St. Louis Viva El Birdos	25	21	.543	0.5	Lost 2
Houston The Crawfish Boxes	22	23	.488	3	Won 4
Pittsburgh Bucs Dugout	21	24	.466	4	Won 1
Milwaukee Brew Crew Ball	19	26	.422	6	Won 2
Chicago Bleed Cubbie Blue	15	30	.333	10	Lost 10