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NLCS Game 3 Weather Update

Get the Diamond Dry ready: I think we're still going to play baseball tonight.

There still hasn't been any official announcement regarding tonight's game but since we're spending most of the day discussing it, I figured I might as well post an updated look at the forecast for tonight. Here's the hour-by-hour chance of rain, according to the Weather Channel:

Hour Chance of rain
7 pm 90%
8 pm 60%
9 pm 70%
10 pm 70%
11 pm Not displayed
12-7 am 40%

Obviously, those numbers aren't very encouraging. For a bright side, though, take a look at the radar. The storm that appears to be our primary concern tonight is currently dumping rain on northern Arkansas. It's moving to the northeast (which is toward St. Louis), but if it stays on its current trajectory most of the storm and the heaviest rain will pass well east of Busch Stadium.

I'm not a meteorologist, but if I had to take a guess I'd say the two teams and MLB will find a big enough window to get tonight's game in.

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I vividly remember listening to the outcome of this game on the radio outside of a CostCo while eating pizza.

FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.

by Jess'HittheBall on Oct 12, 2011 2:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

Chance of rain: 90%

Chance of talking heads to use the rain delay time to worship Pujols’ 4-hit game and discuss his eventual rise to sainthood: 100%.

by nullacct on Oct 12, 2011 2:46 PM CDT reply actions  

Kotsay starting in CF

Guessing it’s because in 12 ABs against Carp, Kotsay is .364 /.417/.455/.871

REWIND YOURSELF!

by drezdn on Oct 12, 2011 2:53 PM CDT reply actions  

Which is, of course

A small sample size.

REWIND YOURSELF!

by drezdn on Oct 12, 2011 2:54 PM CDT up reply actions  

7 of the PAs were in 1999 and 2000

So basically, it comes down to one start earlier this year where Kotsay went 3-for-4 with a walk against Carpenter.

by Cheeseandcorn on Oct 12, 2011 3:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

And completely ignoring defense

Don’t forget completely ignoring defense.

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."
2-time BCB Fantasy Baseball Champion

by GoGregGo on Oct 12, 2011 3:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

RRR'd

If RRR is starting Kotsay because Morgan could end up punching out Carpenter, than TLR has gotten into Ron’s mind.

REWIND YOURSELF!

by drezdn on Oct 12, 2011 3:27 PM CDT up reply actions  

If he's not playing Morgan anyways...why doesn't he let him punch Carpenter

He’ll get ejected and be out of the game. Either way Morgan’s not playing, but maybe he’ll mess-up Carpenter ;)

by Dexsting on Oct 12, 2011 3:28 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Or Pujols comes and decks Morgan

And also gets ejected.

REWIND YOURSELF!

by drezdn on Oct 12, 2011 3:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

You are joking, right?

This is the EXACT OPPOSITE of what should be done. No one is going to hit Carpenter. If no one will hit Carpenter, you play your best defender to prevent the opposing team from hitting Gallardo. He may as well start Green at 2nd, Morgan in RF, and find a way to call up Gamel to 3rd base. That way he can have 5 LHB in the line up. Heck, he should throw Narveson so he can have 6 LHB in the lineup. That’s obviously THE ONLY THING THAT MATTERS.

Can’t Braun or Fielder step up here and punch Roenicke in the face? Show some leadership skills to save the manager from himself? I can’t believe he’s pulling this crap in the playoffs after sitting McGehee for non-performance. This is worse than starting Marcum as far as i’m concerned.

For every ball that Kotsay doesn’t get to Mark A should fine Roenicke $100,000. That might get his attention.

by ecocd on Oct 12, 2011 4:26 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

nope no joke

Kotsay on the lineup card starting in center, batting second.

I’m completely at a loss for words.

by Tristram28 on Oct 12, 2011 4:57 PM CDT up reply actions  

I prefer to look at it this way.

83.666% of the time, it rains 83.666% of the time.

Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector

by -JP- on Oct 12, 2011 3:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

I don't get what you're trying to say here.

Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector

by -JP- on Oct 12, 2011 3:18 PM CDT up reply actions  

I do not know if it is the same storm that went through NW Arkansas this am

going to be a miserable night at the old ball park. It was so dark this am I joked with my son that he was going to “night school” :)

"It's a joke. It's all a joke.

by WSB Chris on Oct 12, 2011 3:10 PM CDT reply actions  

They should just play the game at the nearest domed stadium.

REWIND YOURSELF!

by drezdn on Oct 12, 2011 3:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

I should have said nearest MLB dome.

REWIND YOURSELF!

by drezdn on Oct 12, 2011 3:27 PM CDT up reply actions  

Like Houston’s “home” game a few years ago.

REWIND YOURSELF!

by drezdn on Oct 12, 2011 3:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

I follow the weather pretty closely...

And I think they will get the game in, there might be a few light showers from time to time, but all the heavy stuff has already moved east of the area. Play Ball.

by Bigdogg2002 on Oct 12, 2011 3:32 PM CDT reply actions  

And....

I really really hate starting Kotsay over Gomez. In what could turn out to be a pitchers duel, I would rather have a good defender out there, then the left handed bat. I think it is the worst move I have seen this year! I hope I am wrong,

by Bigdogg2002 on Oct 12, 2011 3:34 PM CDT reply actions  

I have no good way to explain this;

FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.

by Jess'HittheBall on Oct 12, 2011 3:42 PM CDT reply actions  

(but when the radar is moving, there is a meaningful time-window).

FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.

by Jess'HittheBall on Oct 12, 2011 3:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

and argggghhh

FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.

by Jess'HittheBall on Oct 12, 2011 3:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

The latest radar

Makes it look like the storm will miss St. Louis like Kotsay will miss every ball hit near him tonight.

Brewers:
2011 NL Central Champs!
National League #2 Seed
Franchise record for wins

by molitorfan on Oct 12, 2011 4:08 PM CDT reply actions  

Help from above

Gary Vanden Berg moved the rain.

by statsllc on Oct 12, 2011 4:16 PM CDT reply actions  

If the Brewers win tonight

I’ll buy a Kotsay Shirzee

REWIND YOURSELF!

by drezdn on Oct 12, 2011 4:21 PM CDT reply actions  

I can't wait for that fanpost with a picture and reciept

I just hope it won’t then lead to yet another shirsey burning post.

"...just throw that pill over the plate and I'll make it happen." - Tony Plush

by thefreewheelin76 on Oct 12, 2011 4:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

You may want to amend that to they win and kotsay has a positive WPA

They’ve won despite having Yuni and McGehee on the field at the same time. With Yuni and JHJ hot, Roenicke could throw anyone into CF and win.

This is, in fact, exactly what he’s done.

by ecocd on Oct 12, 2011 4:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

i would like to complain to the league

(a) i thought they wanted similar conditions between ballparks (hence closing the roof in the nlds). it was not raining in milwaukee for games 1 and 2;
(b) i think the cardinals are playing with the weather to the brewers’ detriment.

by Capt Science on Oct 12, 2011 4:22 PM CDT reply actions  

Thursday Friday

A lot of talk about tonight’s weather…but what’s the future games’ outlooks currently?

by Dexsting on Oct 12, 2011 4:30 PM CDT reply actions  

Which is more likely?

Kotsay hits a homerun in the rain and TLR complains that they should’ve not been pitching in the rain, or Kotsay slips in the outfield on wet grass?

by Dexsting on Oct 12, 2011 5:10 PM CDT reply actions  

I don't know. Las Vegas oddsmakers don't have anything posted for either of those.

Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".

by Yar Nivek on Oct 12, 2011 5:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

I sprain a leg

doing a rain dance.

Brewers:
2011 NL Central Champs!
National League #2 Seed
Franchise record for wins

by molitorfan on Oct 12, 2011 5:39 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

What's more...

Kotsay hits, or hits Yo gives up because Kotsay is in CF.

Get a ife broseph

by Supertramp on Oct 12, 2011 5:38 PM CDT reply actions  

Silver lining

I agree that Gomez should start and bunt for a hit 4 times.

The silver lining is that the Brewers went 31-19 (.620) when Kotsay started a game.

by Bertwerst on Oct 12, 2011 5:41 PM CDT reply actions  

Ron, is that you?

That’s dangerously close to “good things seem to happen when Kotsay starts”.

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."
2-time BCB Fantasy Baseball Champion

by GoGregGo on Oct 12, 2011 6:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah, that mpfische is quite the troll.

Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".

by Yar Nivek on Oct 12, 2011 6:53 PM CDT up reply actions  

We have already lost

Simply because Kotsay is starting and we are all experienced managers.

by Tiny Felder's Flip Shades on Oct 12, 2011 6:36 PM CDT reply actions  

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