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Tonight's Matchup: Brewers (Wolf) at Cardinals (Lohse)

The Brewers have three chances this week to win a game in St. Louis and bring the NLCS back to Milwaukee. Last night's didn't go so well, but the second is tonight.

Tonight they'll get a shot at Kyle Lohse (3.39 ERA, 3.67 FIP in 2011, 8.44 ERA, 6.96 FIP postseason), making his first start in 12 days. Lohse hasn't pitched in a game since Game 1 of the NLDS on October 1. He was knocked around in that outing, allowing six runs (five earned) on seven hits over 5.1 innings, walking one and striking out four. He allowed two home runs in that game. Tonight's game will be Lohse's eighth career playoff appearance: His teams have gone 1-6 in the previous seven.

Before his rough start to open the postseason, Lohse had a pretty solid stretch run. He posted a 1.72 ERA over his final five starts, and didn't allow a home run in any of them. He allowed two in his first playoff start. He also struck out 26 while walking just seven over 31.1 innings in his last five starts of the season. He throws a ~90 mph fastball, a plus change and slider and the occasional curve.

Lohse has faced the Brewers three times this season, with mixed results:

Date IP H R ER BB K Result
May 7 8 6 1 1 2 3 Brewers win, 4-0
June 10 5 5 4 4 3 1 Brewers win, 8-0
September 6 6 4 0 0 3 6 Cardinals win, 4-2

Eleven Brewers have faced him ten times or more:

Player PA AVG OBP SLG OPS
Craig Counsell 34 .438 .471 .688 1.158
Prince Fielder 34 .231 .412 .269 .681
Ryan Braun 31 .310 .355 .621 .976
Rickie Weeks 29 .259 .310 .296 .607
Jerry Hairston Jr. 19 .133 .278 .200 .478
Casey McGehee 19 .278 .316 .444 .760
Corey Hart 17 .118 .118 .176 .294
Mark Kotsay 13 .077 .077 .077 .154
Yuniesky Betancourt 12 .083 .083 .250 .333
Nyjer Morgan 11 .333 .300 .333 .633
Jonathan Lucroy 10 .375 .500 .500 1.000

Meanwhile, the Brewers are also getting a second postseason start out of Randy Wolf (3.69 ERA, 4.29 FIP in 2011, 21.00 ERA, 13.36 FIP postseason). Wolf is pitching on eight days' rest: He last pitched on Game 4 against the Diamondbacks on October 5 and allowed seven runs on eight hits over three innings, walking three and striking out two.

Wolf's seven runs allowed in Game 4 tied a season high: He also allowed seven runs in a game against the Diamondbacks on July 5. Since then, though, he had posted a 3.65 ERA over 101 innings, striking out 54 and walking 29.

Wolf has faced the Cardinals five times this season and been all over the map:

Date IP H R ER BB K Result
May 6 5 7 6 6 1 2 Cardinals win, 6-0
August 3 6 9 5 5 2 2 Brewers win, 10-5
August 10 8 5 1 1 0 1 Brewers win, 5-1
August 31 5 7 6 6 0 3 Cardinals win, 8-3
September 5 8 4 1 1 2 5 Brewers win, 4-1

Eight Cardinals have faced him ten times or more:

Player PA AVG OBP SLG OPS
Rafael Furcal 54 .235 .241 .373 .613
Albert Pujols 52 .279 .327 .558 .885
Matt Holliday 46 .231 .348 .462 .809
Lance Berkman 39 .094 .256 .156 .413
Yadier Molina 37 .243 .243 .405 .649
Ryan Theriot 37 .229 .270 .257 .527
David Freese 18 .353 .389 .412 .801
Allen Craig 15 .067 .067 .067 .133

Here's tonight's lineup:

Nyjer Morgan CF
Mark Kotsay RF
Ryan Braun LF
Prince Fielder 1B
Rickie Weeks 2B
Jerry Hairston Jr 3B
Yuniesky Betancourt SS
George Kottaras C
Randy Wolf P

And in the bullpen:

LaTroy Hawkins pitched one inning (20 pitches) last night.
Chris Narveson pitched one inning (13 pitches) last night.
Takashi Saito pitched one inning (eight pitches) last night.
Marco Estrada and Kameron Loe last pitched on Monday.
John Axford and Francisco Rodriguez haven't pitched since Sunday.

Weather:

Rain should not be a factor tonight, as the game time temperature in St. Louis is expected to be around 65 and fall into the upper 50's overnight. The Weather Channel says there's a 10% chance of precipitation.

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Wolf’s two good starts against the Cardinals both came in St. Louis.

Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector

by -JP- on Oct 13, 2011 5:07 PM CDT reply actions  

So

Wolf should just pitch very very inside against Freese?

REWIND YOURSELF!

by drezdn on Oct 13, 2011 5:27 PM CDT reply actions  

Kotsay again

well at least he is in Right Field and yes Hart has been disappointing so far in the post season but I still have visions of the game winning hit falling in just out of the reach of Kotsay but than again Morgan could misplay a ball hit over his head too so why worry about it right

Wolf pitches a gem tonight and Brewer Bats get hot tying the series up Go Crew

"It's a joke. It's all a joke.

by WSB Chris on Oct 13, 2011 6:00 PM CDT reply actions  

call me crazy

but I’m feeling good about tonight. I also have a large pizza on the way, so that helps.

Ugh, Shortstop

by theBrouhaha on Oct 13, 2011 6:12 PM CDT reply actions  

You're crazy

Pujols is the Barack Obama of baseball.

by sjlee on Oct 13, 2011 6:57 PM CDT up reply actions  

I would appreciate a win tonight, fellas.

Just so I don’t have to avoid reading all the Cardinal puff pieces in the media for a couple of days…

fka "warwick5s"

by DEUCE SLUICE on Oct 13, 2011 6:21 PM CDT reply actions  

Where is Caveman ?

He’s always open. He catches a lot of balls. He’s un-guardable, no matter how old he is

by WarWolf on Oct 13, 2011 7:00 PM CDT reply actions  

Not feeling well

REWIND YOURSELF!

by drezdn on Oct 13, 2011 7:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

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