Tuesday's Frosty Mug
Some things to read while the 8-year-olds let you have it.
The Brewers had what might be the quietest possible postseason off day yesterday, as they prepared for their first opportunity to secure an NLCS berth tonight.
Josh Collmenter will take the mound for Arizona tonight (bumped up a day in place of Joe Saunders), and he's pitched 14 scoreless innings against the Brewers this season. Jack Moore of Disciples of Uecker, however, notes that hitters tend to figure him out in their third game against him. David Golebiewski of Baseball Analytics noted some similiarites between Collmenter and his opponent tonight, Shaun Marcum.
After yesterday's workout the Diamondbacks held a closed-door team meeting to discuss what they need to do to right the ship. AZ Snake Pit has a look at the Diamondbacks' chances of digging out of this deficit, and notes that roughly two thirds of teams that fall behind 0-2 in a Division Series end up getting swept. Mark Townsend of Big League Stew has a look at what the Diamondbacks would need to do to force a Game 5 on Friday. Since MLB went to the current playoff format, teams that take a 2-0 lead in the NLDS have won the series in all 19 occasions.
While we've gotten used to seeing a certain level of excitement surrounding the Brewers over the last couple of months, that enthusiasm doesn't appear to have been mirrored in Arizona. Tonight's game is still unlikely to sell out and Trenni Kusnierek reports that at least one talk radio show in Phoenix is intentionally avoiding discussing this series.
Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com has a story today on Prince Fielder and Ryan Braun, who have combined for nine hits in the first two games of this series. Yesterday Braun was also announced as the Brewers' nominee for the Hank Aaron Award, presented annually to the most outstanding hitter in each league. As you might expect, all three contributors at View From Bernie's Chalet are picking Braun to win NL MVP.
Fielder, meanwhile, may be booed at Chase Field again tonight for failing to pick Diamondbacks slugger Justin Upton for the Home Run Derby. He told Adam McCalvy he's not worried about it.
I thought this was somewhat curious: Sunday in Milwaukee was a beautiful fall day with temps in the 60's, but the Miller Park roof was closed. Yesterday was a 100 degree day in Phoenix (it's a dry heat but still, 100 is 100), and the roof was open for the teams' workout at Chase Field. Jordan Bastian of MLB.com snapped a picture.
It's probably not a coincidence that the Brewers have had two solid offensive performances in the postseason and have given no important at bats to Casey McGehee. Miller Park Drunk, however, says fans were in the wrong when they booed McGehee during a pinch hit appearance Sunday. Meanwhile, Nick Prill of The Brewers Bar states the somewhat obvious: Ron Roenicke has been making the right move by playing Jerry Hairston Jr in McGehee's place.
Miller Park Drunk, by the way, is giving away some cool stuff as part of a caption contest. Go check it out.
By the way, this Flip Flop Fly Ball graphic at Grantland is incredible, and includes this note: There are only four players who made postseason rosters this season on a team that claimed them off waivers. Three of them are Brewers, including McGehee.
Corey Hart has two hits this postseason and has scored a pair of runs: Lori Nickel of the JS talked to him about changes in his game over the years and his workout strategy.
Hey look, more stuff on Tony Plush! Colin Fly and Jordan Bastian profiled him yesterday, and he'll be on Jim Rome's radio show today at noon.
Looking back at the last couple of games:
- Jack Moore of FanGraphs points to Zack Greinke's pickoff of Ryan Roberts as an underappreciated play from Sunday.
- Takashi Saito is only the third Japanese pitcher in major league history to win a playoff game, and the first reliever.
- Dave Brown of Yahoo says Yovani Gallardo had the postseason's most impressive pitching performance to date.
- Brewers in 11 went frame-by-frame to recap Brad Zieglar's bad day on Sunday.
- Baseball America listed Tyler Thornburg (#14) as the lone Brewer on their list of the top 20 prospects in the Florida State League.
- Marc Hulet of FanGraphs discussed Mark Rogers as part of a post on disappointing NL Central prospects.
This is disappointing but hardly unexpected: TV ratings show that over twice as many fans watched Sunday's blowout Packer game instead of a Brewer playoff game. Jason Brannon of Baseball Nation wants to know what's wrong with Wisconsin. With that said, about four times as many people watched the game in Wisconsin as compared to Arizona.
There's no Packer game tonight, so there's no excuse for missing what could be a historic moment for the Brewers. If you're looking for a place to watch the game with fellow BCB'ers, this thread is a good place to start. Meanwhile, the Wisconsin Timber Rattlers are hosting a Bang for Your Buck postseason watch party.
It's never too late for the season's final power ranking: FanGraphs has the Brewers holding steady at five.
If you haven't yet, please take a moment today to vote in this week's BCB Tracking Poll. Voting will remain open through the day today and results will be posted tomorrow. Also, don't forget to get your Prognostikeggers predictions in before tonight's game.
There's a full slate of playoff games on the schedule for tonight, including three possible elimination contests. For a recap of yesterday's action and a preview of tonight's, check out this morning's edition of Around the MLB Playoffs.
Joe West will be behind home plate for Game 3 tonight, but that might not be as bad as we'd previously thought: The Common Man of The Platoon Advantage notes that West's behavior has been dramatically improved since he and Angel Hernandez were moved onto separate crews earlier this season. Craig Calcaterra of Hardball Talk says West got the message.
As always, I just can't help myself...I had to go see today's Playoff Pun Update at Lookout Landing.
Also, it's good to know that I wasn't the only one who immediately thought of Right Said Fred when the announcers discussed the catwalks at Tropicana Field last night.
This morning's edition of Today In Brewer History remembers the final game of the 1891 American Assocation Milwaukee Brewers. Chris Jaffe of The Hardball Times also notes that it's been 1000 days since the Brewers signed Trevor Hoffman and marks the anniversaries of the final major league games of Darrell Porter (1987) and Mark Loretta (2009).
Now, if you'll excuse me, I need to mark my page.
Drink up.
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I don't think the playoff TV numbers are disappointing.
An event that gets a 20.3% share on cable seems huge, to me.
We pull our pants up and do our jobs here.
by Rubie Q on Oct 4, 2011 11:17 AM CDT reply actions 1 recs
Yeah, plus the Packers are the inevitable draw
There are people who would watch that 12:00 game if they knew the world was going to end at 4.
by kotsaythebuzzkill on Oct 4, 2011 11:27 AM CDT up reply actions
Up from Game 4 in 2008 too
Which went against the Packers (118K in 2008 vs 184K in 2011).
They drew more for Game 4 than Game 3, so I’d guess the Packers didn’t actually affect the Brewers all that much. I think it was a pretty easy decision for both fan-bases.
Get a ife broseph
how does it record those who kept flipping between the two?
"When I was playing shortstop we were in first place," Theriot told St. Louis Today. "I know that."
Magic
Here’s the JS article which has a lot more details:
http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/sports/130998603.html
So if someone in a Nielsen home toggled between the Packers and Brewers games Sunday afternoon, and watched at least five minutes of each during a quarter hour, then both shows would be counted by Nielsen for that quarter hour
Get a ife broseph
Yeah not at all
I mean, I don’t have cable, so I was watching the Packers, but had the Brewers on the radio. Probably some people in that boat.
"If the world were perfect, it wouldn't be." - Yogi Berra
by mnbrewer on Oct 4, 2011 12:43 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Just wanted to pop in to say go Crew, let's get the sweep today, and set up our rotation for Philly!!
"When I was playing shortstop we were in first place," Theriot told St. Louis Today. "I know that."
I was disappointed to hear that the Brewers didn't have a closed door meeting.
Now I’m concerned that Saito won’t be motivated if he has to pitch tonight.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
by Yar Nivek on Oct 4, 2011 11:29 AM CDT reply actions 2 recs
Collmenter over Saunders
Anyone know what the rules are for announcing starters? What would be the repercussions if the D-backs let everyone keep thinking it would be Saunders tonight, but then sent out Collmenter? What motivation do they have to give the correct information?
Collmenter is the scheduled starter for tonight.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
As for repricussions for using Saunders over Collmenter
I don’t know if there are any. Collmenter couldn’t be used in that game if he was in the actual lineup and switched last minute, but that would be it.
Teams can change scheduled starters all the time. I don’t think there’s a real penalty for it.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
does it matter?
they could just pull Collmenter after one batter…
"When I was playing shortstop we were in first place," Theriot told St. Louis Today. "I know that."
Not sure what the point would be to that....
But anyways, if the D’Backs manipulated MLB rules about naming starters and lineups, I’m sure MLB wouldn’t be happy and would fine them, even if they weren’t technically wrong.
I’d also think its an unwritten rule type understanding between clubs. Can’t see any baseball manager wanting to purposely do it, not really a pissing match worth getting into.
Get a ife broseph
I remember a DBacks game back in the day when Schilling was the scheduled starter against the Padres. The Padres loaded their lineup with lefties and then there was a rain delay after the lineups were submitted but before the first pitch iirc. After the delay, they sent out the Big Unit to pitch the game and he was near perfect.
"I agree but dont agree"
by juggernaut400 on Oct 4, 2011 12:20 PM CDT up reply actions
Yeah, this is exactly the kind of thing I was thinking about
Plush will probably start tonight, but if they had held back the info that they had changed starters, Gomez would have likely been in the starting lineup. So if this is truly an unwritten rule, I would think managers absolutely would consider purposely violating it.
Also, Saunders is no Big Unit.
"I agree but dont agree"
by juggernaut400 on Oct 4, 2011 1:22 PM CDT up reply actions
Had to do the game simulation for tonight's game without lineups (since I won't be home in time to do it before the game).
Here’s the results:
Game I played:
Brewers won 5-2. Brewers were up 1-0 after two batters with a Hart 3B and Morgan sac fly. Big hit in the game came from a 2-run HR by Jerry Hairston, Jr. in the 4th inning (I’m liking him in the game, I can hit HRs with him without using power swings). That put the Brewers up 3-0. Marcum went 7 IP and gave up 1 run and 4 hits. I had Axford warming up for the 9th as the Brewers were up 4-1, but when it became 5-1, I had Loe warm up and put him in instead. Not a good move as Loe only worked to two batters, allowing a run and two hits. Axford was still ready so he came in, struck out his first batter and got a tag out-force out double play to end it. (Quite honestly, it was a weird play to end the game, the runner at second ran on the hit, ball went to Hairston at third, and the runner pretty much ran into him as he was throwing it to first.)
In five simulated games, Brewers won two of the five games:
Brewers wins: 5-3, 5-4
Diamondbacks wins: 19-4, 3-2, 3-0
(No, that’s not a typo on that one Diamondback win. They really won 19-4.)
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Don't we need a tie-breaker?
3 wins by Milwaukee and 3 by Arizona. Now I have no idea what to expect!
Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."
How about this.
I should get home around 7:30 p.m. tonight. I’ll run five more simulations with the actual lineups before the game starts.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Nah, I'm just messing around
Clearly from your results if the Brewers score at least 5 runs, they win. The X-box has not yet been wrong.
Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."
2-time BCB Fantasy Baseball Champion
Actually you can't make that statement based on the sample.
If the Brewers score exactly 5 runs, they will win.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
I think I can
Scored 5+ runs: 3-0
Scored 0-4 runs: 0-3.
Technically an accurate statement.
Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."
2-time BCB Fantasy Baseball Champion
Predicting out of sample
Is very dangerous :)
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Good point
Score exactly 5 Brewers!
Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."
2-time BCB Fantasy Baseball Champion
That's what larger samples are for.
But I kid, I’m just excited that there is a great chance for the Brewers to advance to the next round.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Backtocali.
We need your predictions for this matchup. Feel free to use WAR, tarot cards, a coin, or your gut instincts.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
What about
WAR Adjusted for luck (Subtract 5 runs from the Brewers)
"If the world were perfect, it wouldn't be." - Yogi Berra
They would be fortunate to only have a 5 run adjustment
When there is a scuffle in Ireland, there’s no need to specifically mention in the news story that alcohol was involved
by Getting Yosted on Oct 4, 2011 1:03 PM CDT up reply actions
Just happened to listen to some more Eric Clapton this morning, and as he would say
No one gets lucky til luck comes along.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Could go either way
I picked the Brewers to win the series, and I’m confident that will still happen.
If it goes to a game 4 it will end there.
So what you're saying is that I'm going to have to find a new way to rack up the recs tonight.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
by Yar Nivek on Oct 4, 2011 1:27 PM CDT up reply actions 6 recs
Well anything that includes "backtocali" and some sort of slam
seems to be a recipe for success. Ask for advice from tssc and youre golden.
by backtocali on Oct 4, 2011 1:45 PM CDT up reply actions 3 recs
I'll give credit where credit is due.
So tonight you get a half a point for saying the Brewers could win.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
I saw "backtocali" and "slam" in the same sentence
so I had to rec
I hate Yuni.
by BrewCrewBrian on Oct 4, 2011 2:07 PM CDT up reply actions
I know I rail on you pretty hard
But I am trying to get better.
I am sure that you are a very smart person and your algorithms are fairly accurate, but it would be easier for me to take you seriously if i didnt see Butters every time you posted.
I hate Yuni.
by BrewCrewBrian on Oct 4, 2011 2:43 PM CDT up reply actions
Don't be sorry
He might be smart, I don’t know him personally, but his algorithms aren’t fairly accurate and any shit he takes here he totally brings on himself by coming here and being deliberately against the purpose of this site.
"If the world were perfect, it wouldn't be." - Yogi Berra
by mnbrewer on Oct 4, 2011 2:46 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Algorithims?
Correct me if I’m wrong, but he pretty much goes to fangrahs.com, looks a player’s WAR and divides, multiplies, predicts regression or improvement to fit his pre-existing view point.
Am I missing something?
Get a ife broseph
by Supertramp on Oct 4, 2011 2:50 PM CDT up reply actions 2 recs
And I should have replied to him, my bad
I did a search for “algorithm” and “backtocali” and found nothing. I think he’d admit he’s not a math guy and bases 99% of his “research” on things that already do the math for him, be it PECOTA or WAR.
Not that there’s anything wrong with that (I’m not a math guy either), I think the main complaint/annoyance would be in how he presents his information.
Get a ife broseph
And I was giving the benefit of the doubt
I dont know exactly how he calculates anything. It might be complicated it might not.
I hate Yuni.
by BrewCrewBrian on Oct 4, 2011 3:09 PM CDT up reply actions
It's mostly
“Oh, PECOTA has the Brewers winning the division? Let’s adjust it so that they come in third.”
"If the world were perfect, it wouldn't be." - Yogi Berra
by mnbrewer on Oct 4, 2011 3:22 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
"your algorithms are fairly accurate"
I will give you that he typically applies his formulas and calculates correctly based on those algorithms.
The algorithms and formulas are mathematically and statistically flawed, however.
I like that you have your own opinion and methods and that you stick to them, BtC. I just seriously question your motivations.
Loo loo loo, I've got some predictions
Loo loo loo, you’ve got some too…
Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."
2-time BCB Fantasy Baseball Champion
backtocali just Bartman'd that Prince Fielder grand slam!!!
"We’re here to win, man. All that fighting stuff, that’s for the birds." - Prince Fielder
by SRB on Oct 4, 2011 3:28 PM CDT up reply actions
Liar
You picked the Brewers to finish in 3rd place behind the Reds.
by nullacct on Oct 4, 2011 2:16 PM CDT up reply actions 7 recs
He also hates the Brewers so much
He predicted the Mariners to finish above us…
Less than proud owner of Marmol Says Knock McLouth (BCB League III)
The NBA stole my wife
Don't we have to divide WAR by 309,093 or something like that to get a real prediction?
Get a ife broseph
by Supertramp on Oct 4, 2011 2:19 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Just a note for the future.
You should probably also include plunkings in your simulation results. Inquiring minds….
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Joe
Marcum with Joe West behind the plate:
2-0, 2.57,14 IP, 7H, 3BB, 16K, 3HR.
cLOLmenter:
0-1, 3.86, 7 IP, 5H, 1BB, 5K, 2HR.
I’m not a paying baseball-reference subscriber, so I do not know who these starts are against. I did notice that Marcum has one win in 10 starts with an ERA of more than 6.00 vs the Yankees in his life, so the 8-year-olds were probably right.
I wonder how that guy I met in the grocery store is feeling about his Yankees' chances tonight?
He really seemed to think Burnett was going to be a key to the ALDS. I just don’t think it’s going to happen in the way he was hoping it would happen.
If would be nice if after tonite there were no AL East teams left
And if the Cards pull a miracle the Tigers would be the new media darling, as they are closest to the center of the universe.
When there is a scuffle in Ireland, there’s no need to specifically mention in the news story that alcohol was involved
by Getting Yosted on Oct 4, 2011 12:40 PM CDT up reply actions
You seem to be under the mistaken impression
that there will be any media at all. NFL and NBA negotiations 24 hours a day, baby. Maybe they’ll occasionally remind people there’s a World Series going on and lump it in with preseason NHL coverage. MLB/NHL Tonight with Barry Melrose and John Kruk.
by ecocd on Oct 4, 2011 12:50 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
He must have seen AJ Burnett's 7.17 ERA at Comerica Park.
and misunderstood it.
by plunkeveryone on Oct 4, 2011 12:49 PM CDT up reply actions
Burnett is going to throw a no-hitter or something tonight. Just seems like it will happen.
"We’re here to win, man. All that fighting stuff, that’s for the birds." - Prince Fielder
by SRB on Oct 4, 2011 3:23 PM CDT up reply actions
The complete history of NLDS game 3 plunks
Nobody has gotten hit by a pitch in game 3 of the NLDS since October 4, 2008 when the Brewers’ own Mike Cameron got plunked by Clay Condrey, and the Brewers went on to win.
20 batters have been plunked in the history of NLDS game 3, and the team that gets hit the more often has won 7 and lost 7. Teams that get hit by a pitch with a lead go on to win 83% of NLDS game 3s, but teams that get plunked while trailing only win 20% of the time. Plunks in tie games result in the plunked team winning only 3 times out of 9 plunks in NLDS game 3s.
No player has ever had an RBI plunk in NLDS game 3, and Cameron’s was the only plunk on a 3 ball count in an NLDS game 3.
Here’s the complete list of NLDS game 3 plunks:
10/6/1995 – John Smoltz (Braves) hit Larry Walker (Rockies) – 3rd inning, 2 outs, 0-0 count
10/6/1995 – David Wells (Red) hit Raul Mondesi (Dodgers) – 2nd inning, 2 outs, 2-2 count
10/3/1998 – Kevin Brown (Padres) hit Jeff Bagwell (Astros) – 2nd inning, 0 outs, 0-0 count
10/3/1998 – Kevin Brown (Padres) hit Ricky Gutierrez (Astros) – 7th inning, 1 outs, 1-1 count
10/3/1998 – Scott Elarton (Astros) hit Carlos Hernandez (Padres) – 7th inning, 2 outs, 1-2 count
10/8/1999 – Tom Glavine (Braves) hit Jeff Bagwell (Astros) – 1st inning, 1 outs, 0-0 count (scored)
10/7/2000 – Doug Henry (Giants) hit Mike Bordick (Mets) – 8th inning, 0 outs, 0-2 count
10/5/2002 – Miguel Batista (Diamondbacks) hit Miguel Cairo (Cardinals) – 4th inning, 1 outs, 0-1 count (scored)
10/5/2002 – Greg Maddux (Braves) hit Jeff Kent (Giants) – 3rd inning, 2 outs, 0-1 count
10/3/2003 – Carl Pavano (Marlins) hit Jeffrey Hammonds (Giants) – 10th inning, 2 outs, 0-2 count
10/3/2003 – Mark Prior (Cubs) hit Gary Sheffield (Braves) – 6th inning, 1 outs, 2-2 count
10/9/2004 – Brandon Backe (Astros) hit Charles Thomas (Braves) – 2nd inning, 2 outs, 0-1 count
10/9/2004 – Matt Morris (Cardinals) hit Alex Cora (Dodgers) – 3rd inning, 0 outs, 1-2 count (scored)
10/8/2005 – Jorge Sosa (Braves) hit Lance Berkman (Astros) – 1st inning, 1 outs, 0-0 count (scored)
10/8/2005 – Roy Oswalt (Astros) hit Jeff Francoeur (Braves) – 6th inning, 2 outs, 2-2 count
10/8/2005 – Woody Williams (Padres) hit Larry Walker (Cardinals) – 2nd inning, 2 outs, 0-2 count
10/7/2006 – Greg Maddux (Dodgers) hit Paul Lo Duca (Mets) – 2nd inning, 2 outs, 1-2 count
10/6/2007 – Rich Hill (Cubs) hit Augie Ojeda (Diamondbacks) – 1st inning, 2 outs, 1-1 count
10/6/2007 – Livan Hernandez (Diamondbacks) hit Cliff Floyd (Cubs) – 1st inning, 2 outs, 0-1 count
10/4/2008 – Clay Condrey (Phillies) hit Mike Cameron (Brewers) – 5th inning, 0 outs, 3-2 count (scored)
6 of the 20 NLDS game 3 plunks have hit Right Fielders, and 6 of the 20 have been recorded by the number 7 batter in the lineup. (But only one right fielder was hit while batting 7th in the lineup). No batter has even been plunked in NLDS game three while batting 5th in the order, but three 2nd basemen have been hit.
by plunkeveryone on Oct 4, 2011 12:41 PM CDT reply actions 7 recs
thanks 4 this
"When I was playing shortstop we were in first place," Theriot told St. Louis Today. "I know that."
I seriously hope you have mastered SQL and have a massive database at your disposal.
Otherwise, I have no idea how you do all this, but I admire the dedication.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Plunk Everyone
You are truly a treasure.
Would you be opposed to Craig Biggio coming back Mr. 3000 style to break the HBP record?
REWIND YOURSELF!
Opposed?
I’ve been sending him letters demanding it for 4 years. But he would probably only play for the Astros, and why would anyone bother plunking that team at this point?
by plunkeveryone on Oct 4, 2011 1:11 PM CDT up reply actions 3 recs
Because pitchers have to set plunk records too.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Collmenter versus the Brewers
Collmenter was really good against the Brewers, but Braun did not play in either game (Kotsay 1-6, Kottaras 1-3, Counsell 0-3, McGehee 0-3 and Gamel 0-1 ) got starts in one or both of those games and went a combined 2-16 off of him.
Since the second game against the Brewers, he has been a pedestrian 5-5 with a 4.28 ERA
From here on out, the Brewers can have a 9-8 record and be World Series Champions.
by Noah Jarosh on Oct 4, 2011 1:22 PM CDT reply actions 3 recs
Home-Road
If the Phillies win their series…Brewers can go 1-7 on the road if they win every home game.
If the Cardinals win their series, Brewers can go 0-8 on the road.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Oh Whacking Day, oh Whacking Day!

Fighter of the Nightman. Champion of the sun. Master of karate & friendship for everyone.
by The Dayman on Oct 4, 2011 2:20 PM CDT reply actions 4 recs
Alright everyone, time to drive up to Phoenix.
Have a good time on the board! Bring in the Rally Lobster if the situation calls for it!
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Re: Roof
The Miller Park roof is typically open on all off days, simply to leave the grass open to the elements. I would assume the same for Zona.
A D'Backs beat writer tweeted yesterday that they plan on having it open for the game
I’d suspect there is an advantage in there somewhere for the D’Backs, but not sure what it would be
Get a ife broseph
Maybe they intend to try to exhaust Milwaukee by exposing them to the heat?
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Maybe
Marcum wears down around 90-100 pitches as it is, maybe trying to exploit that a little bit?
Get a ife broseph
If that's the case
Prepare for visions of sweaty Chris Carpenter to dance through your head.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Ok, I couldn't find a visual aid to help with this from that one game.
So I just will post this picture from that same game.

Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
by -JP- on Oct 4, 2011 3:18 PM CDT up reply actions 4 recs
Sure will
The playoffs over-magnify the significance of a lot of things. If it’s a June series, the players look up and go “oh, the roof’s open.” and then go back to checking out the blonde in the 2nd row.
I just found the stat of their winning percentage so I wanted to share. We’ll see if they shut it for game time. It’s up to the ballpark, but MLB watches over it like a hawk. I thought I remember in 2008, that MLB wanted it consistent through the series, so if it’s closed for Game 1, it would stay closed for Game 2, etc. I could be totally wrong on that though.
Beltre just hit his 3rd homer of the game for Texas
by kotsaythebuzzkill on Oct 4, 2011 3:05 PM CDT reply actions
Texas is only up 4-2 despite hitting four HRs
I feel like I can relate to the frustration of that. Not sure why…
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Poor man's Casey McGehee.
"We’re here to win, man. All that fighting stuff, that’s for the birds." - Prince Fielder
by SRB on Oct 4, 2011 3:25 PM CDT up reply actions
Since when is a guy making $14 million a poor man's anything?
Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."
2-time BCB Fantasy Baseball Champion
Dude, you've got to join the BCBCU
They’ll take care of you.
Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."
2-time BCB Fantasy Baseball Champion
Does that cover marketing and uses of my likeness? Because as the Barry Bonds of BCB commenters, I'm going to have to say no thank you.
"We’re here to win, man. All that fighting stuff, that’s for the birds." - Prince Fielder
by SRB on Oct 4, 2011 5:43 PM CDT up reply actions
'Backs against wall, Brewers can sweep
I grudgingly approve of this MLB.com headline pun.
"We’re here to win, man. All that fighting stuff, that’s for the birds." - Prince Fielder
Tonight's lineup
Go with what has been working…
Hart
Morgan
Braun
Fielder
Weeks
Hairston
Betancourt
Lucroy
Marcum
Pujols is the Barack Obama of baseball.
Little surprised
If there was a game to mix it up a little, it’s tonight’s game.
Side note: While I will obviously want to see the Brewers win this game and just guarantee their spot in the NLCS, does anyone wonder if it would be a little better for them to lose this one? I’m just a little worried that the four days off between tonight’s game and Game 1 of the NLCS (assuming the Brewers win tonight) might cause a problem for the team.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Looks like the Brewers aren't the only ones clinching (or clenching) today
Texas wins over Rays. Bummer.
by kotsaythebuzzkill on Oct 4, 2011 4:13 PM CDT reply actions
Pujols hit a double. And the angels rejoiced.
by kotsaythebuzzkill on Oct 4, 2011 4:18 PM CDT reply actions
Why would the Los Angeles Angels be happy about Pujols hitting a double?
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
That Pujols/Berkman double steal
has to be one of the heaviest successful double steals in the history of baseball.
I am torn I want the Cards to fail
But the thought of having home field in the next round is pretty awesome
"It's a joke. It's all a joke.
Not torn.
Want to the Cards to fail and exit the playoffs at the hands of the Brewers.
I guess I'm just a play-it-safe kind of person.
But beating the Phillies would be almost as awesome as beating the Cardinals in the NLCS, but losing to the Cardinals would be orders of magnitude worse than losing to the Phillies in the NLCS, so I think I’d rather play the Phillies.
fka "warwick5s"
I'd rather play it safe
and have homefield and face a team with one Chris Carpenter instead of four of them. :-)
by Bertwerst on Oct 4, 2011 4:41 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Losing in the NLCS would suck either way. I'm hoping of the easier team.
Plus, poetic justice to beat the team that beat us in ’82.
"We’re here to win, man. All that fighting stuff, that’s for the birds." - Prince Fielder
by SRB on Oct 4, 2011 5:47 PM CDT up reply actions
hoping for*!
"We’re here to win, man. All that fighting stuff, that’s for the birds." - Prince Fielder
by SRB on Oct 4, 2011 5:48 PM CDT up reply actions
From Mr. Haudricourt
Roof closed at Chase Field. High winds and dust outside. Perfect conditions for a haboob.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Here you go.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Cawk suckers changed the brewers to TNT on the Postseason.TV schedule
and now all are shit outta luck who have to rely on that.. I’m kinna missing Bob anyways but still what a depressing discovery right now.
Phillies-Cardinals still tied at 0.
Middle of the 6th inning.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
I believe Kyle had a post on that very subject the night of the win, if you want to scroll back a couple pages.
"We’re here to win, man. All that fighting stuff, that’s for the birds." - Prince Fielder
by SRB on Oct 4, 2011 6:02 PM CDT up reply actions
Ok, let's play "What Would You Do" for a minute here.
Here’s the situation:
- Cardinals are up to bat
- 2 out, runners on 1st and 2nd
- Jaime Garcia scheduled to bat, at 74 pitches
- Cole Hamels is over 110 pitches
- Game is tied at 0
La Russa let Garcia bat, and he struck out to end the inning.
What would you do in that situation?
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Let him bat. Have you seen the Cardinals bullpen?
"We’re here to win, man. All that fighting stuff, that’s for the birds." - Prince Fielder
by SRB on Oct 4, 2011 6:12 PM CDT up reply actions
IBB to Carlos Ruiz was pretty stupid though...
"We’re here to win, man. All that fighting stuff, that’s for the birds." - Prince Fielder
by SRB on Oct 4, 2011 6:13 PM CDT up reply actions
Maybe...
Jayson Stark of ESPN.com just mentioned the following stats:
Shock in Busch Stadium. And they don’t even realize here that Francisco hadn’t homered since May 25!
The Phillies scored as many earned runs on that one swing of Francisco’s bat as they’d scored off Garcia in his 34 previous innings vs them!
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Would have kept him in.
I do not have the game on, so I just had splits to look at. But I did not get to look at line-up/bench, and I’m guessing your question may have been leaning toward choosing between a pinch-hitter % of success over run prevention?
By all means, keep Jaime in!
FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.
by Jess'HittheBall on Oct 4, 2011 6:23 PM CDT up reply actions
Maybe I ought to find a place to watch this.
FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.
by Jess'HittheBall on Oct 4, 2011 6:24 PM CDT up reply actions
Cardinals are down 3-0 now.
That’s a blowout considering where it was.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Was there really a Rally Squirrel on the field?
They must not have taken advantage of this.
There is no way I can imagine playing at Citizen’s Bank Park and making it out of the nlcs.
FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.
by Jess'HittheBall on Oct 4, 2011 6:27 PM CDT up reply actions
They're not at Citizens' Bank Park right now...unless you're referring to a potential Game 5.
Cardinals just scored, it’s 3-1. Freese RBI single.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Wouldn't we have to start games 1 and 2 of the NLCS at Citizens' Bank
if/when we face Philadelphia? I always thought the regular season record carried into the LCS competitions, as well.
I do not know many things
FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.
by Jess'HittheBall on Oct 4, 2011 6:35 PM CDT up reply actions
Yes, the Brewers would have to play Games 1 and 2 in Philadelphia.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
This is what I do not want.
I’d like to have opponents come to Miller, first. It’s as loud as Philly, and we’ve got some great natural light displays . . .
should there be any day games.
The fans at CBP are sort of like college football fans.
FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.
by Jess'HittheBall on Oct 4, 2011 6:39 PM CDT up reply actions








































