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Around SBN: Devils Beat Rangers, Head To Stanley Cup Finals

Today's Matchup: Brewers (Gallardo) vs Diamondbacks (Kennedy)

And here we are again, back where we started.

The Brewers' playoff lives are in the hands of their hottest starting pitcher, and that's not a bad place for them to be. Yovani Gallardo (3.52 ERA, 3.59 FIP in 2011, 1.13 ERA, 2.78 FIP playoffs) returns to the mound at Miller Park for the first time since powering the Crew to a Game 1 victory on Saturday. He pitched eight innings in that game and allowed a run on four hits, walking one and striking out nine. The earned run was the first he's allowed in 15 career postseason innings.

If Saturday's start was any indication, expect to see a lot of sliders from Gallardo today. 29 of his 107 pitches in Game 1 (27%) were sliders, and he threw his four seam fastball just 47% of the time. His fastball has been his best pitch this season at +0.60 runs per 100.

Gallardo held the Diamondbacks to just four hits on Saturday, but Willie Bloomquist had two of them. One of the others was Ryan Roberts' solo home run. Four current Diamondbacks have seen Gallardo ten times or more:

Player PA AVG OBP SLG OPS
Chris Young 16 .125 .125 .125 .250
Geoff Blum 15 .214 .200 .429 .629
Justin Upton 12 .333 .333 .333 .667
Miguel Montero 11 .100 .091 .200 .291

Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks also likely feel like they have their best pitcher on the mound: Ian Kennedy (2.88 ERA, 3.22 FIP in 2011, 5.40 ERA, 5.43 FIP playoffs) pitched 6.2 innings in his playoff debut on Saturday and allowed four runs on eight hits, walking one, hitting two batters and striking out three. He threw 111 pitches in the start.

Kennedy is in uncharted territory with 228.2 innings in 2011, but his velocity showed just a slight dip on Saturday: His average fastball clocked in at 89.6 mph, down from 90.3 for the regular season. He threw it a lot, though: 85 of his 111 pitches were either two or four seamers.

The Brewers had eight hits against Kennedy on Saturday, but five of them came from Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder, and three of them went for extra bases. Fielder's seventh inning homer blew the game open and chased Kennedy from the mound. Four Brewers have faced him ten times or more:

Player PA AVG OBP SLG OPS
Prince Fielder 13 .333 .385 .917 1.301
Rickie Weeks 13 .182 .308 .273 .580
Ryan Braun 10 .500 .500 .700 1.200
Corey Hart 10 .111 .200 .333 .533

The Game 1 lineup is back in full force today:

Corey Hart RF
Nyjer Morgan CF
Ryan Braun LF
Prince Fielder 1B
Rickie Weeks 2B
Jerry Hairston Jr 3B
Yuniesky Betancourt SS
Jonathan Lucroy C
Yovani Gallardo P

And in the bullpen:

Chris Narveson pitched 1.1 innings (31 pitches) Wednesday.
Marco Estrada pitched two innings (28 pitches) Wednesday.
Takashi Saito pitched one inning (21 pitches) Wednesday.
Kameron Loe pitched .2 innings (five pitches) Wednesday.
John Axford, LaTroy Hawkins and Francisco Rodriguez all pitched on Sunday.

The roof will be closed today, presumably to keep Milwaukee's beautiful day from interfering with the game.

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Need everyone to bring their A game today. Bottom of the line-up has really got to start hitting. Relying on Braun, Fielder and Hart to carry the load isn’t going to get them far.

by slamtheking on Oct 7, 2011 2:31 PM CDT reply actions  

Except

getting them to this point…which it has. But I agree – they are much better when the popup clinic isn’t in full force.

by Bertwerst on Oct 7, 2011 3:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

O whacking day, o whacking day

Our hallowed snake-skull cracking day.
 We’ll break their backs,
Gouge out their eyes,
Their evil hearts,
We’ll pulverize.
O whacking day, o whacking day,
May God bestow His grace on thee.

by youngmanblues on Oct 7, 2011 2:35 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Roof Closed

If the Brewers lose today, the full blame will be on MLB for ordering the roof be closed. The baseball gods won’t smile down on this sin against nature.

"My fellow nerds and I will retire to the nerdery with our calculators."

by craigholl on Oct 7, 2011 2:36 PM CDT reply actions  

Don't worry

that sin against nature is more than matched by the sins against nature that are Ryan Roberts’ tattoos…

Less than proud owner of Marmol Says Knock McLouth (BCB League III)
The NBA stole my wife

by MrLeam on Oct 7, 2011 2:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

This thread is scary.

I’ll try and make a contribution… Rawwwwrrrr!!!

FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.

by Jess'HittheBall on Oct 7, 2011 2:37 PM CDT reply actions  

rrrrRRRRRawwwwwww( WAR WPA)aaaarrrrggggghhhhh...

FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.

by Jess'HittheBall on Oct 7, 2011 2:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

I just made my Prognostikeggers picks...

…and my nervousness level doubled.

1:16 to go

Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector

by -JP- on Oct 7, 2011 2:51 PM CDT reply actions  

thanks for the reminder!

im also super nervous, i predict ill have to walk away from the tv a few times

by MKEtotheATX on Oct 7, 2011 2:57 PM CDT up reply actions  

During the Super Bowl for the Packers, I barely used my seat during the fourth quarter.

I don’t know what I’m going to do if I need to walk away from my desk.

Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector

by -JP- on Oct 7, 2011 2:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

Busy at 4.

My work gets super busy between 4 and 5…and I can’t leave work until 5:30…going to Fanatics as its the closest bar I know to my work that’s decent. Don’t know how I’ll manage just listening to Uecker until I get there.

by Dexsting on Oct 7, 2011 3:01 PM CDT up reply actions  

You & me both.

Work til 6, half hour drive home. A fan’s gotta do what a fan’s gotta do.

by Bertwerst on Oct 7, 2011 3:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

We're right at 1 hour to first pitch.

I may be sick…the nerves are high…

Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector

by -JP- on Oct 7, 2011 3:07 PM CDT reply actions  

sick

Wish I could’ve called in sick to work…gettin’ the shakes!

by Dexsting on Oct 7, 2011 3:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

Why did you have to say that?

Now I can’t stop myself from shaking.

Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector

by -JP- on Oct 7, 2011 3:10 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm cool as a cucumber

Literally. Why is it so cold in the office today?

Prince: "Brewers will win the World Series and I'll sign a 10-year deal in Milwaukee"
Braun: "Well, I guess there's just one thing to do then..."

by SAE on Oct 7, 2011 3:11 PM CDT up reply actions  

Early Game

As much as I’m hating the game starting at 4:00, so I’ll only be listening until I get off work at 5:30…at least we don’t have to wait until 7:30 for first pitch! Those 3 and a half extra hours would be pretty crazy…

by Dexsting on Oct 7, 2011 3:13 PM CDT reply actions  

I don't get done with work 7:30 p.m.

The game will probably end around the time I’m done for the day.

Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector

by -JP- on Oct 7, 2011 3:14 PM CDT up reply actions  

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