The Miami Meltdown
I am of the opinion that things generally happen for a reason. The bigger the thing, the more likely the reasoning. Today I happened across an article about the Miami Marlins being investigated by the Securities and Exchange Commission for their sweetheart stadium deal with Miami-Dade County. Considering the moves the Marlins were looking to make this offseason and the people they were messing with, the timing of this investigation comes as no surprise to me.
In Los Angeles, Frank McCourt is in the process of selling the Los Angeles Dodgers (possibly to a group headed by Magic Johnson). The scandalous way he ran the team, funnelling millions of dollars of revenue away for his own interests while leaving the club barely able to meet payroll, finally drew attention from the league, but not from the Feds. Baseball has a special layer of exemption that goes beyond their monopoly-exempt status granted by Congress during darker financial times. The same way that police won't step on the field to arrest Ndamukong Suh for stomping on a player, the Feds won't step in to investigate poor financial practices because it expects that Baseball itself is going to handle potential problems, with a greater level of interest, and in a more appropriate manner.
The League has a wide range of powers to investigate and even take control of franchises if it deems that a club has problems that threaten league play. It's like condominiums - you own it, but the association can kick you out if you're a nuisance to the building. The league sent in an army of pencilnecks to set Frank McCourt straight, but there hasn't been the same question of impropriety concerning the Marlins. As far as baseball is concerned this is just business as usual, and considering the Commissioner's historical involvement in the Marlin franchise, federal intervention probably wouldn't be the first choice if there were a problem. If you've been participating in the Book Club you're aware of how Selig has been involved in blackmailing communities into building new stadiums. They don't want attention drawn to that.
But someone sent the Feds in. They didn't come to this decision on their own, they were pushed into this decision from outside forces. The Marlins are not the only sports franchise to ever be the beneficiary of a sweet stadium deal. The article points out that the San Francisco Giants are the only franchise to privately build a new stadium in the last 50 years, the rest have mostly been at taxpayer expense. And the local politics have rarely been unanimous. There are always councilmen and county executives and mayors and governors that roll up their cuffs and wade into the fray with their opinions on how taxpayer money should be spent, and in the end the franchise almost always gets its way, with a new building they didn't pay for.
So having the SEC show up on Miami's doorstep is out of the ordinary. Considering the breach of standard and the consequences to the ballclub for doing so, there are really only two reasons why this would happen now. First, the Marlins could have done something that was egregiously shady for even the stadium financing process, something overt and disgusting and profitable in excess of historical deals. If this were the case I think we would have seen more in the press about it before the SEC stepped in. The SEC is more about practices than crime scenes; if people are threatened the FBI shows up, if everyone is a little too happy then the SEC takes notice. But there isn't anything on the surface that distinguishes this deal from dozens of others, in my opinion.
The second reason is that the timing is exactly what is needed to prevent major stars from committing to playing in Miami. Well, not everyone, of course. I mean, if you're getting offered a free agent contract for three years at good money to play for them, you're not going to turn it down just because some accountant from an agency didn't like how the stadium was built. A contract is a contract, and the investigation might not be done in three years.
But let's say your contract was going to run somewhere from eight to ten years. Maybe you're not just looking for a ton of money, but also thinking about your legacy. Do you want to be the biggest star on a club that is in the press every day for suspected criminal activity?
Yeah, this is starting to sound a little conspiratorial, but you'll forgive me if I question peoples' motives when the money being thrown around starts to exceed $200 million, in addition to the pride involved. I've seen some guts of some public relations plans that have made me question our political process. I know that the right amount of money will buy you a segment on 60 Minutes. And I have a strong suspicion that the SEC didn't just wake up this morning and decide that there might be a financial crime being committed somewhere in Miami-Dade. Someone with enough influence made a phone call, with a promise, and made this happen. Passan is a journalist, and to his credit does not draw the strings together without evidence, but he leaves them there for people to see the possible cause.
And the fallout will be that big names might not land in Miami. In fact, competing offers can be thrown out in some cases because of the turnoff. Pujols is much more likely today to land in Chicago or St. Louis than Miami, and the Cardinals probably don't need to raise their offer now. Reyes might start answering the Mets' phone calls. With a potential suitor out of the running, Fielder might not wait for Pujols to sign. Oswalt & Buehrle could avoid Miami. Beltran and Rollins might look elsewhere.
And the timing is perfect - just before the winter meetings begin. Miami was looking to make a splash, but someone beat them to the punch.
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clear as a marlin stadium echo
this is a damn good article. simplifies what is usually so damn complicated to me anyway. when braun hit that pinch hit homer last season. i’m gonna miss all those empty seats in miami. but that’s the thing. where in the hell does the money come for a new stadium and why do they think more people will go to games? this doesn’t sound conspiracy at all. sounds smart.
by Rob Deer For President on Dec 4, 2011 11:16 AM CST reply actions
How about the Oney Guillens of the world?
(Or, specifically, Oney Guillen). If he followed his dad to Miami and found a job there, it seems like he’d have had an earful of information, already.
He did manage to mess up the White Sox clubhouse after he’d talked about some of the players, and talked trash about Kenny Williams. Enough about Oney;
I was kind of excited about the possibility of the Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals taking over the NL East in a few years! Arghhhh.
This is a good article!
FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.
by Jess'HittheBall on Dec 4, 2011 11:44 AM CST reply actions
I think I want to take back what I said about Oney -
When he acts up, it seems like he is trying to protect his dad. I don’t think he’d want to ruin anything for Ozzie.
FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.
by Jess'HittheBall on Dec 4, 2011 12:02 PM CST up reply actions
Some interesting possible-conspiracies going on this offseason
Still wondering who released all that inflammatory information on Pujols’ current agent. Though I don’t think that seems like something Boras would do, and if Pujols left his current agent it would only be to Boras.
If Plush had to pick Wearwolf or Vampire, I'm a Wearwolf!
That nature of that release...
… struck me as a lot more likely to have come from someone who hates Dan Lozano than a guy who thinks they might get a shot at negotiating Pujols’ next deal. Those groups aren’t mutually exclusive, of course, but the former group is a lot bigger than the latter. Much as I loathe Boras, he’s too far away from Lozano to have most of that information, and even if that wasn’t the case, he’s making way too much money to bother trying to nuke another guy’s career for a single pay day, no matter how big that pay day is.
"fortunate, but also lucky"
by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Dec 4, 2011 2:48 PM CST up reply actions
Yeah, I noticed the timing of that one too.
But although there are a lot of people who stand to gain from Pujols not signing an enormous contract, Boras is not one of them.
I was thinking more that it makes Pujols drop Lozano and find a new agent right before his mega-payday. That was the theory at least. I agree with TSSC though, Boras is already so far ahead of every other agent that he doesn’t need to risk doing something like that.
If Plush had to pick Wearwolf or Vampire, I'm a Wearwolf!
by SRB on Dec 4, 2011 3:28 PM CST up reply actions
Couple of things:
There’s nothing illegal about a business owner taking the profits from his company and running. That’s not to say that no one associated with the Marlins dealings broke the law. Beyond that I just don’t feel comfortable speculating on what the Feds are looking into, even though there are a couple of things that immediately spring to mind.
I will say this: besides the the accurate distinctions between the way federal agencies operate that nullact makes above, I have to add the following: the FBI shows up when they know a crime’s been committed. The SEC shows up when they think something smells. SEC investigations result in no charges far more often than FBI investigations, from my observation. The only other thing I’d add is that instead of saying “they were pushed into this decision by outside forces”, I’d probably say that they were led to this decision by information given to them by other concerned parties.
Semantics? Maybe, but I think there’s an important distinction to be made there. I’m not sure if nullact is suggesting that a competing team or owner directed the SEC to this particular stadium deal; I don’t think that’s the case. Regardless, the surreptitious release of the Marlins financial records already shows that someone who either still has access to the Marlins records or who once did has an axe to grind (and maybe rightfully so). Since that release occurred, there are many, many people in south Florida who are wildly unhappy with the Marlins stadium deal, and there’s also a number of local pols who might well lose their gigs over the whole thing (and still others who, without any legal basis to do so for now, are trying to force the Marlins to renegotiate public contracts that have already been signed.) All of these people stand to gain from an SEC investigation. My guess is that it’s one of the local pols who picked up the phone and drew the SEC’s attention to this whole mess.
"fortunate, but also lucky"
by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Dec 4, 2011 3:07 PM CST reply actions
Good distinction to make
I should have softened the wording, I don’t think someone made the SEC show up, just threw enough information in their direction that they would be derelict in not investigating. The timing of the investigation is worth noting however, since the agency is exceptionally sensitive to the timing of activity and announcements.
This is why I have a headache (not from you; I'm referring to all of the fun amateur detective work).
… It is the timing of the whole thing; right after Heath Bell got signed, that I thought about after reading your piece. The huge barrier is the fact (and I think I can call it a fact) that so many people dislike Loria. It is sort of exciting when you rule disgruntled owners/agents out of the situation, and start to read up on Jeffrey Loria’s past.
He’s made so many people mad, though. I wonder if it is someone he’d fired… there were lot’s of those! It could be anyone. The Passan reference is interesting; this is sort of Passan-esque (the good version- not the scathing version).
Anyhow, it is still more fun to think of the SEC being pulled into this by an mlb source. Good job, Nullact!
FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.
by Jess'HittheBall on Dec 4, 2011 7:00 PM CST up reply actions
Well the theory might be put to the test
The Marlins have apparently upped their offer to Reyes to something that looks quite competitive
Competitive with who?
Has anyone else even made him an offer yet?
"fortunate, but also lucky"
by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Dec 4, 2011 8:43 PM CST up reply actions
What I mean is that I don't think that it will be too far away to what Reyes signs for
The 1st offer they made was $3.5million a year less. This one is probably too rich for the Mets to match
Above the Law Article
It’s a little dated, but I think still holds some merit in the conversation. Loria made out like a bandit in this deal.
Some highlights:
The local gov’t has to pick up 75% of the maintenance tab.
The Marlins baseball club gets ALL revenue generated from the stadium, not just baseball related activities.
My guess the SEC is getting involved due to possible misrepresentation of the Marlins to the Miami/Dade counties. Maybe Loria painting a little gloomier picture than what actually is the case. Which might be the case being the spending spree they are on.
Interested in seeing this unfold.
"The way to catch a knuckleball is to wait until it stops rolling and then pick it up." ~Bob Uecker

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