Yuni Who? Is shortstop really that important?
What the shortstop position lacks in name (short), it makes up six-fold in importance or so we are led to believe. On average, the man in the hole is involved in a very disproportionate amount of plays per game. It’s no wonder the best athletes often begin their careers there. Logically, teams hoping to win games make shortstop a top priority. They draft, trade, or sign as close to a fleet-footed wizard with a Tulowitzki gun as possible or so you’d think.
Comparisons between shortstops often times fail to consider the unique makeup of a team’s pitching staff. In some cases, a shortstop with great hands and incredible range is absolutely necessary. Take the early 80’s sinker ball-tilted Tigers. Now there’s a team that needed an elite shortstop! The presence of Alan Trammel and letting the infield grass grow made Sparky Anderson look like a genius as they breezed their way to a World Series triumph. It could not have been scripted any better. Scoring 829 runs helped too.
Yet, teams with a predominance of fly ball pitchers don’t need to stress as much over who fills the gap between second and third. And really it’s rare, but questionable how much better off a team is with a pitcher inducing ground balls at a rate the likes of Derek Lowe over the last 9 seasons (GB--63% FB--20% LD--17% ). One such pitcher makes a strong case for having that extra utility defender much like certain catchers serve as an ace’s battery mate.
Regardless, in the last four World Series winners, shortstop quality has not been at an all time high which leads me to believe that little thought goes into matching pitchers and shortstops when GB% is normal. No pitching-staff really stuck out as predominately ground ball or fly ball flavour. Only JulianTavarez (2007 Red Sox) tallied a GB % higher than 50% and Jimmy Rollins was the lone SS with an exceptional UZR.
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2010 Giants |
Cain |
Lincecum |
Bumgarner |
Sanchez |
Zito |
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GB-FB-LD% |
36-47-17 |
49-32-19 |
45-38-17 |
41-44-15 |
36-45-18 |
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2009 YANKEES |
Sabathia |
Burnett |
Pettitte |
Chamberlain |
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GB-FB-LD% |
43-37-20 |
43-39-18 |
43-38-19 |
43-36-21 |
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2008 PHILLIES |
Hamels |
Moyer |
Myers |
Kendrick |
Eaton |
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GB-FB-LD% |
39-39-22 |
44-35-21 |
47-33-20 |
45-28-27 |
43-34-23 |
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2007 RED SOX |
Matsuzaka |
Beckett |
Wakefield |
Schilling |
Tavarez |
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GB-FB-LD% |
38-44-18 |
47-37-16 |
39-42-19 |
37-44-19 |
55-30-15 |
| E's and UZR | |
| Renteria (2010) | 4 and 2.5 |
| Uribe (2010) | 6 and 2.1 |
| Jeter (09) | 8 and -0.3 |
| Rollins (08) | 7 and 12.9 |
| Lugo (07) | 19 and -1.4 |
This bodes well for a Brewers team heading into 2011 with such high expectations and such a question mark at shortstop. Of the four teams, probably the 2007 Red Sox resemble the Brewers most. Julio Lugo committed one more error (19) as Betancourt did in 2010 (18) and though his UZR didn’t dip as horrendously low as Yuni’s…the Red Sox managed to do quite well with a less than average shortstop. Other than Tavarez, Red Sox starters almost mirrored the 2010 Brewer starters in GB%. The edge Gallardo (2010) had over Schilling (2007), if you want to call it one, was washed by Tavarez.
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BREWERS |
Gallardo |
Wolf |
Greinke |
Marcum |
Narveson |
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2007 GB-FB-LD% |
38-37-25 |
41-40-19 |
34-44-22 |
41-42-17 |
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2008 |
40-48-12 |
39-37-24 |
43-38-19 |
43-40-17 |
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2009 |
45-36-19 |
40-42-18 |
40-41-19 |
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2010 |
43-23-24 |
39-42-19 |
46-36-18 |
39-43-18 |
40-43-17 |
I’m not saying the Brewers can afford to let Betancourt recline on a lawn chair sipping a Cuban cocktail, but the harm he can cause may be much less than first anticipated. Greinke’s groundball percentage did take a strange hike last year, but other than that, Brewers starters give up more fly balls and rely heavily on the strikeout.
The Yankees won in 2009 with perhaps baseball’s most popular player-Derek Jeter. The hustling and often times spectacular shortstop has certainly slowed down and the numbers reflect this, yet the Yankees still triumphed with his –3 UZR. The fact that Jeter made a miniscule 10 errors hints at the direction I am going here. If a player makes the routine plays on a team not prone to excessive ground ball activity, damage in terms of runs allowed can be avoided.
Ideally, the Brewers would send someone like Jimmy Rollins out to man the area where games can be won or loss. According to the numbers, he scooped up everything in sight in 2008. (7 errors and a 12.9 UZR.) Betancourt, on the other hand, does not even physically appear to be a shortstop. His barrel chest and lack of lateral mobility seems better suited for third base, but he will be there come March 30th.
If he is able to make the routine plays, the concern he has already caused may be quickly forgotten.
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The disconnect between Jeter's E rate and his UZR
is more in that he just didn’t GET to balls, so is ineligible for the error. If the play isn’t in his zone, it wouldn’t have affected UZR at all.
if i fail to link my next comment...
I will offer up a portion of my salary to keep Prince around at least one more year.
sorry about that…
If Jack Cust is in left field, think triple.
by Rob Deer For President on Feb 20, 2011 12:47 PM CST up reply actions
definitely!
I think your point is what makes UZR so useful to teams deciding whether or not to move say…a Michael Young from SS to 3B back in the day…Of course, now its a question if he should be on the infield at all.
Anyway, there seems to be deception when watching a defender. He may appear to be not only accurate with great hands, but a player with great range as he dives for balls and comes up with amazing stops…
But, if he would have gotten a better jump on the ball and moved quicker left to right, the dive and highlight reel would not have been necessary.
The UZR evaluation crew has a tough task distinguishing between someone without range that compensates for it with dives and a player like Escobar who glides with young legs and a quick first step..instinct….This maybe hints to the depth of metrics when you compare it to a score keeper’s contemplation…hit or error.
Its hard for many to believe that Escobar ranged so much farther than Jeter lat year…even those who watched the games…there in lies the subtlety of evaluating defense.
If Jack Cust is in left field, think triple.
by Rob Deer For President on Feb 20, 2011 12:44 PM CST reply actions
I guess this begs the question
of how exactly the defensive metrics are judged. Is there one that is simply how far did the player get from point A to point B (more distance is better), how much time did they have to do it (less is better), and did they have the ability to get off a strong (ie planted on the feet) throw?
how many people are “authorized” to make UZR ratings? How many games do they watch in a day or week?
by PagsBrewCrew on Feb 20, 2011 3:35 PM CST up reply actions
That is why we are eagerly awaiting public Fieldfx data.
I want to know if a guy is good because he positions himself well or he gets good reads or is athletic.
Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.
UZR doesn't look at the player.
Only where the ball was fielded.
Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.
Evaluating fielders...scout realm
This is what makes UZR so exciting. Maybe in its developmental stage and asking onlookers to really expand what they’re watching like we’re all scouts in search of a player’s subtle edge that can then be quantified.
If Jack Cust is in left field, think triple.
by Rob Deer For President on Feb 20, 2011 6:52 PM CST up reply actions
I am extremely skeptical of scouts.
I think they talk in possibilities instead of reality. Look at Escobar. He was supposed to come up and be a fantastic defender. He looked lost for the first part of the season and was about average overall.
Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.
a little above average
Escobar is the perfect example since the reports (possibiliies) on him were so readily available to Brewer fans…the hype around him with Hardy even being traded to make room, then the actual 2010 season and finally, the cold reality of being traded to probably the gloomiest team in all of baseball. It seems like KC keeps bumping up that year when things will come together.
I never watched Escobar while climbing the minor league ladder, so did scouts speculative possibilites contradict the reality in 2010? I don’t know.
I can say this. His range impressed me.
If Jack Cust is in left field, think triple.
by Rob Deer For President on Feb 20, 2011 9:28 PM CST up reply actions
Betancourt is a trainwreck, period
You can’t sugar coat crap. Especially at a vital position like shortstop. Betancourt is going to be a problem. If the Brewers are going to really contend then Melvin is going to have to find an upgrade. And no, the older than dirt Counsell is not a viable option.
Cesar Izturis is a name that makes sense for Milwaukee. Don’t laugh. The man can pick it at shortstop.
Oh c'mon guys, it's so simple, maybe you need a refresher course. It's ALL ball bearings these days.
You are totally wrong.
You can sugarcoat crap. It still tastes like crap though, or so I have heard.
Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.
by cooper82 on Feb 24, 2011 11:49 AM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Please
don’t give Braun any ideas for appetizers at his restaurant. He could used leftover glitter from his t-shirts.
Celebrating the addition of Greinke and mourning the loss of my man crush Cain

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