Monday's Frosty Mug
Some things to read while speaking the truth.
After weeks of preparation the Brewers are finally ready to play games for the first time today (FanShot), as they open exhibition play with split squad action against the Cubs and Giants. Shaun Marcum will take the mound for the first time against the Cubs, while Tim Dillard faces off against the Giants. Adam McCalvy has the full lineups, with Brewer regulars relatively evenly spread over the two games.
While most of the Brewer position players will likely see action today, Corey Hart will be out: He's going to miss a few days with soreness in his side.
Hart can grab a spot on the bench next to Jonathan Lucroy, who isn't allowed to take part in drills until he sees a doctor again this week to check on the progress of his surgically repaired pinkie finger.
Most of us don't get too worked up over spring training games, and here's a quick reminder why: Don't Bring In The Lefty has a chart showing virtually no correlation between spring training and regular season records. Even in a somewhat meaningless chart, though, the 2009 Brewers get a dubious distinction: The .240 drop between their spring (.734) and regular season (.494) winning percentages was the largest in the majors since 2003.
As their final tune up for today the Brewers played an intrasquad game yesterday, headlined by a Yuniesky Betancourt home run and a Prince Fielder bunt single against the shift. It sounds like it's possible Fielder could employ that strategy more often this season.
Even if the bunt was a one-time event, it's great to see Fielder having fun this spring. Jon Paul Morosi of Fox Sports said new management should let Fielder enjoy himself again in 2011.
Mark Rogers and John Axford signed their 2011 contracts over the weekend, leaving Casey McGehee as the team's lone unsigned player. The deadline to agree to 2011 contracts with pre-arbitration players is today, so the Brewers will either cut a deal with McGehee or renew his contract, probably before today's first pitches.
Other notes from camp:
- Adam McCalvy has a profile of Yuniesky Betancourt.
- Tom Haudricourt has a profile of Erick Almonte.
- Tom Singer of MLB.com has a profile of Mark Kotsay and a look at what he calls the "Halo Trinity:" managers Ron Roenicke, Bud Black and Joe Maddon, who all graduated from the Angels organization.
- Andrew Gruman of the Journal Sentinel has a profile of Dale Sveum.
- Grant Martin of the JS has a story on Don Falk, who won the right to coach first base in yesterday's intrasquad game in last season's Brewer charity auction.
Back at home, single game tickets went on sale on Saturday and over 98,000 were sold. Jaymes Langrehr of The Brewers Bar has a look at the possibility that the team will set a single season attendance record in 2011.
I guess it's time once again to reveal myself as a worrywart: David Pinto of Baseball Analytics has some graphs showing one of the reasons Yuniesky Betancourt is so bad at getting on base: There's a massive hole in his swing in the middle of the strike zone.
Speaking of Pinto, here are his two most recent posts on defense:
- Brewer third basemen are 12th in baseball in Pinto's Probabilistic Model of Range over the last five seasons, but Casey McGehee ranks fourth worst.
- Brewer right fielders are 21st overall, and Corey Hart is rated below the median.
Here's something to keep an eye on as the regular season approaches: Edinson Volquez is tentatively scheduled to pitch against the Brewers on Opening Day, but at this point he's still not allowed to pitch in front of paying fans due to a visa issue. Volquez is in the States on a travel visa, not a work visa.
In the minors:
- Prospect Madness continues at Bernie's Crew: The last matchup I've seen features Tyler Roberts and Lee Haydel.
- Brewersprospects.com has a scouting report for Roberts.
- John Sickels of Minor League Ball had a look at three potential sleepers yesterday, including Michael Fiers.
Around baseball:
Indians: Signed pitcher Chad Durbin to a one year, $800,000 deal.
Today's former Brewer notes:
- Jody Gerut, who had been in camp with the Mariners this spring, has decided to retire.
- Plunk Everyone notes that Fernando Vina scored a run after being hit by a pitch 33.1% of the time, the sixth highest percentage among major leaguers who were hit at least 100 times.
- Mark Loretta was the subject of Friday's Cold Stahoviak at 7th Inning Stache.
- Minor League Ball looks back at the career of Jim Edmonds.
- The B-Ref Blog noted that the Brewers are one of just 17 teams to have four players collect four or more hits in the same game - they did it against the Blue Jays on August 28, 1992.
Here are my favorite spring training stories from the weekend:
- I'm headed out to Arizona this week, and I just bought a new bottle of sunscreen. As it turns out, if I was going to the new Salt Flats Field I wouldn't need it.
- As you might have heard, most (all?) major league teams had their annual picture day over the weekend. Jeff Sullivan of SBNation.com has a look at the five worst photos, while Royals Review had some fun with Jason Kendall, Jeremy Jeffress and some guy named Johnny Giavotella.
- Matt Garza pitched for the Cubs yesterday and got a hit. He kept the ball.
- The Padres and Mariners played a ten inning, 13-12 game in 3:41 yesterday.
I'm not sure if this is an interesting statistical note or just an anomaly, but over the weekend Sky Kalkman noted that a player who steals 40 or more bases over a two year stretch is significantly more likely to still be in the majors seven years later. Some of that could probably be attributed to age: The average base-stealer is likely younger than the average major leaguer.
In sad news today, former Seattle Pilot and 1970 Brewer Greg Goossen has died. He was 65.
With help from the B-Ref Play Index, happy birthday to:
- 1977-79 Brewer Jim Wohlford, who turns 60 today.
- Yovani Gallardo, who turned 25 on Sunday. (also noted by @Bernie_Brewer)
- 2002 Brewer Matt Stairs, who turned 43 on Sunday.
- 1996 Brewer Danny Perez, who turned 40 on Saturday.
- Bullpen coach Stan Kyles, who turned 50 on Saturday (h/t @coriestark)
- 1978 Brewer Jeff Yurak, who turned 57 on Saturday.
- 1995-96 Brewer David Hulse, who turned 43 on Friday.
- 1962-65 Milwaukee Brave Denny Lemaster, who turned 72 on Friday.
- 1953-59 Milwaukee Brave Andy Pafko, who turned 90 on Friday.
Now, if you'll excuse me, I'm suing a bobcat.
Drink up.
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Is Yuni's terrible hitting even newsworthy at this point?
It’s a bit like posting about how TH doesn’t like the weather. What’s the point?
I don’t see any radio coverage for the split squad games today, does anyone know if they’re broadcast at all?
I think Fielder has has a bunt hit in Spring Training just about every year, but hasn’t tried it in a real game. I think a back-of-the-envelope calculation last year showed he has to be successful about 80% of the time to be worthwhile, but that made too many assumptions. My ballpark estimate is somewhere closer to 70% against the shift. Any bunt that either gets past the pitcher or isn’t fielded properly is all but guaranteed to get him to first.
That’s strictly based on expected runs, but its real value is strategic. If he even just shows bunt, would that be enough to move the shift? Does the pitcher have to start throwing pitches out of the zone? Anything that gives the pitcher and catcher something else to think about is good in my book. I certainly don’t want to see him bunting much, but if he gets down 2 or 3 bunt hits through May, that could have a substantial impact on the rest of the season, if not his career. I’ll gamble 3 of his ABs over 2 months for that.
Incidentally, fangraphs suggests Ryan Braun was the most efficient bunt hitter in all of baseball last year getting on base 4 times in 4 bunt attempts. In 2009 he only attempted 1 and was unsuccessful and in 2008 he was 3-for-5. That’s proof right there that a player can adjust his game.
There's radio coverage on MLB.com (though I think it is through the opposing team's stations)
for those with gameday audio
Too close for missiles, I’m switching to Ueck.
by theBrouhaha on Feb 28, 2011 10:20 AM CST up reply actions
according to one link today
there’s WGN coverage of the Cubs Brewers game. I didn’t look for the Giants one because of the split squad thing. I assume the cubs game would be available via gameday audio (but it doesn’t say “MLB.com” for that game in the Brewers slot). Our guys are probably on the Giants game, but I dunno.
by PagsBrewCrew on Feb 28, 2011 10:27 AM CST up reply actions
At Bat has WTMJ covering the Giants game
I have a sinking feeling it will be a Kent Summerfeld special.
When there is a scuffle in Ireland, there’s no need to specifically mention in the news story that alcohol was involved
by Getting Yosted on Feb 28, 2011 10:45 AM CST up reply actions
Not for the first game of spring.
I’d be surprised if it’s not Bob and Cory.
Now that's great tasting chicken!
by Kyle Lobner on Feb 28, 2011 11:18 AM CST up reply actions
I was telling my dad about Kent Summerfeld's broadcasting skills last night
Don’t quit your day job, Kent
Too close for missiles, I’m switching to Ueck.
by theBrouhaha on Feb 28, 2011 12:17 PM CST up reply actions
Can we get Kent Brockman to do a game?
Applying Simpsons and Star Wars quotes to Brewers discussions since 2009.
"That’s proof right there that a player can adjust his game"
no…that’s proof in there being small sample sizes
by PagsBrewCrew on Feb 28, 2011 10:25 AM CST up reply actions
I think most teams
would prefer Fielder to bunt than actually swing at the ball. He should bunt but only when we really need a base runner. Bunting for a hit, even if we ignore all the bad things that can happen eliminates the possibility for many good outcomes.
Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.
Yuni hacks
“Latin people don’t walk too many times. We just go up there and swing.”
Betancourt lifetime: .272 / .296 / .393 2.7 K / BB
“That ain’t Chuckie’s game. Chuckie hacks on 2-0.”
Chuckie Carr as a Brewer: .274 / .310 / .377 3.5 KK/BB
Sigh
by infield fly on Feb 28, 2011 10:53 AM CST reply actions 1 recs
I thought it was Marcum v giants and Dillard v Cubs.
"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."
~Doug Melvin
by Charlie Marlow on Feb 28, 2011 11:14 AM CST via mobile reply actions
Yeah, it is.
I got it backwards.
Now that's great tasting chicken!
by Kyle Lobner on Feb 28, 2011 11:19 AM CST up reply actions
"That hurts my feelings"
Quote from Fielder about the shift yielding extra outs against him.
by cwolf20 on Feb 28, 2011 11:20 AM CST reply actions 2 recs
USA Today Cover story is all about the Crew
Sorry, I don’t know how to do the fancy linking. I rarely post, let alone find links that Kyle misses. (Now that I think about it, he probably saw it, but didn’t think there was much useful information in the article) For those too lazy to click or want my opinion on the most interesting things I learned about the Brewers…
-Ryan Braun and Reggie Miller are neighbors who played ping pong all winter
-McGehee’s 4 year old son does an impersonation of Uecker
-Mat Gamel has terrible aim when it comes to the toilet, and he seems proud of that fact. Which makes me believe that we may be asking too much from him to make accurate throws from third to first…
"There's no reason for us not to start talking every day about a championship season."
Hell yeah, Doug. Hell yeah.
Listened to Gerut's comments
It sounds like his heart just isn’t in the game any more. Now his lack of interest last year in coming back from his injury makes a lot more sense. He just didn’t really want to play.
by ecocd on Feb 28, 2011 3:37 PM CST reply actions 1 recs
He just really didn't want to play
or just didn’t want to play for Macha.
Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.









































