C Jonathan Lucroy: .259/.327/.387, 72% of playing time
1B Prince Fielder: .286/.409/.566, 97% of playing time
2B Rickie Weeks: .273/.366/.466, 85% of playing time
3B Casey McGehee: .280/.345/.464, 83% of playing time
SS Yuniesky Betancourt: .261/.296/.389, 62% of playing time at SS
LF Ryan Braun: .314/.384/.565, 91% of playing time
CF Carlos Gomez: .259/.305/.376, 70% of playing time in CF
RF Corey Hart: .276/.333/.488, 84% of playing time
Craig Counsell: .265/.335/.358, 27% of playing time at SS
SP Zack Greinke: 200 IP, 3.12 ERA
SP Yovani Gallardo: 201 IP, 3.28 ERA
SP Shaun Marcum: 187 IP, 3.62 ERA
SP Randy Wolf: 196 IP, 4.2 ERA
SP Chris Narveson: 173 IP, 4.37 ERA
RP John Axford: 64 IP, 3.15 ERA
RP Zach Braddock: 49 IP, 3.56 ERA
RP Latroy Hawkins: 48 IP, 3.9 ERA
RP Manny Parra: 68 IP, 4.26 ERA
RP Takashi Saito: 52 IP, 3.08 ERA
RP Kameron Loe: 71 IP, 3.84 ERA
A few assorted thoughts
- I think Greinke and Gallardo could both be better than our projections, and Wolf and Narveson worse. They seem to be clustered toward the center, as it should be, because we're reflecting the middle of a distribution of possible outcomes.
- That bullpen is looking very solid. Usually there's a couple of guys who project near replacement level, which is about a 4.5 ERA, and the only guy we project above 4 is Parra, who I assume several people think will get some starts this year.
- The Fielder line would be phenomenal. I did throw out the person who projected a .999 SLG, which I think is a bit excessive.
- Community Projections tend to have a significant amount of bias toward the players. Fangraphs has written a lot about correcting for that problem. Aside from possibly the starting pitchers and maybe Fielder, I think just about everything is quite realistic here. Good work everybody.
- I'll be stashing these and breaking them out in-season to see how current performance compares to how we projected the player before the year, and then after the season to compare us to the actual lines and some other projection systems.
- Any other observations, fire away in the comments.